382 Marietta Ave · Hawthorne, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 4 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 6 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +19.3/30.0
- ARV discount +14.1/15.0
- DSCR +6.1/10.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- 1% rule +5.1/10.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$788,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Welcome to 382 Marietta Avenue in the Hamlet of Hawthorne — offered for the first time in 58 years! This charming Colonial features 3 bedrooms plus bonus room that lives like a 4th bedroom, along with 2 full baths and inviting living areas. An entry way welcomes you to the spacious living room with a cozy wood-burning fireplace and Dutch doors leading to a screened-in side porch. The large eat-in kitchen with newer appliances provides plenty of room for everyday dining. The main level includes a family room that can easily function as a formal dining room, as well as an updated full bath with tiled finishes, built-in bench seating, and glass shower doors. Upstairs, you’ll find a
Key facts
- Finished space
- Cedar lined closets
- Cedar walk in closet
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Driveway
- Utilities: Natural gas connected; Water connected; Public sewer; Trash collection (public); Electric service by Con-Edison
- Home design: Single family residence; Three or more levels; Not waterfront
- Construction: Brick and vinyl siding exterior; Block and concrete perimeter foundation
- Exterior features: Garden; Back yard and front yard; Corner lot; Level lot; Near public transit and shops; Stone/brick wall; Shed(s)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator; Kitchen island; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Three or more levels (total 7 rooms)
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating with ducts (natural gas); Ductless cooling; Wall/window air conditioning units
- Interior features: First-floor full bathroom; Eat-in kitchen with island; Storage space; Screened porch
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer included; Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $788k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $868 ($10k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($8k rent vs $788k).
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#399 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: amenities F, cost of living F, health & safety F.
- Mount Pleasant Central School District (suburban): math 62% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #146 of 590 in NY (top 25%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 5% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Hawthorne Elementary School (460 students, 10% FRL); Westlake Middle School (math 55% / reading 61%, grade B, #184 of 729 statewide, top 25%, 429 students, 14% FRL); Westlake High School (math 72% / reading 95%, grade A, #409 of 1,100 statewide, top 39%, 547 students, 19% FRL).
- Market conditions: 17 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 19d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 954 units permitted in Westchester County in 2024 (649 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $24k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Westchester County population projected at +10% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 14 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.01% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.61%
- Cash-on-cash
- 4.72%
- DSCR
- 1.21
- GRM
- 8.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $922,922
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 322 Linda Ave | 0.31mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 2,000 (-0%) | 10mo | $727,000 | $364 | 72 |
| 284 Warren Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,954 (-2%) | 10mo | $900,000 | $461 | 65 |
| 206 Myrtle Ave | 0.61mi | 3/1.5 | 2,003 (0%) | 8mo | $750,000 | $374 | 62 |
| 251 Brady Ave | 0.48mi | 3/2.0 | 1,934 (-3%) | 12mo | $700,000 | $362 | 62 |
| 55 Cleveland Pl | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (-10%) | 14mo | $765,000 | $425 | 61 |
| 284 Marietta Ave | 0.33mi | 3/2.5 | 1,824 (-9%) | 10mo | $850,000 | $466 | 59 |
| 349 Linda Ave | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,807 (-10%) | 15mo | $947,525 | $524 | 58 |
| 14 Aspen Way | 0.58mi | 3/2.5 | 2,123 (+6%) | 3mo | $800,000 | $377 | 58 |
| 237 Brady Ave | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 | 2,200 (+10%) | 3mo | $795,000 | $361 | 56 |
| 59 Chelsea St | 0.54mi | 3/2.5 | 1,894 (-5%) | 12mo | $883,000 | $466 | 54 |
| 116 Rolling Hills Rd | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,133 (+6%) | 6mo | $1,250,000 | $586 | 45 |
| 263 Memorial Dr | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,776 (-11%) | 9mo | $840,000 | $473 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -8.9%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-72,329
- Equity at exit
- $117,493
- IRR
- 0.6%
- Equity multiple
- 1.04×
- Total profit
- $8,580
- Equity at exit
- $68,132
Cash invested: $220,640 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 10532
- Home prices YoY
- -25.9%
- Active inventory
- 17
- Price-to-rent
- 8.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $7,949 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$4,132
- Tax from tax record
- −$951 /mo · $11,417/yr
- Insurance
- −$328
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,669
- Net cashflow
- $868
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,314 | -5% $1,091 | +0% $868 | +5% $645 | +10% $422 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $240 | -5% $554 | +0% $868 | +5% $1,182 | +10% $1,496 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,264 | -0.5pp $1,068 | base $868 | +0.5pp $663 | +1.0pp $456 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $197,000
- Closing costs
- $23,640
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 3 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Foxwood Ln Thornwood, NY | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2026 | $12,999 | $6.42 | 44d | 1 | 1.43mi |
| 568 Manville Rd Unit Upper R Pleasantville, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2049 | $5,500 | $2.68 | 18d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 568 Manville Rd Unit Upper R Pleasantville, NY | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2049 | $5,200 | $2.54 | 2d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-05-22status Pending
-
2026-05-07$788,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $11,417 · $951/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $12,367 · $1,031/mo
- Expected delta
- +$950/yr (+$79/mo · 8.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 2/10 Low
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $95,390
- − Mortgage interest
- −$44,140
- − Property taxes
- −$11,417
- − Insurance
- −$3,940
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$7,631
- − Management
- −$7,631
- − Depreciation
- −$22,924
- Taxable loss
- −$2,294
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$551
- After-tax cash flow
- $10,963/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Mount Pleasant Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3620160
- Math proficiency
- 62% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $109,054
- Composite
- 59.62/100
- National rank
- #911
- State rank
- #146 of 590 in NY
Livability — Hawthorne
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #399
- US rank
- #6922
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Hawthorne, NY
- City population
- 5,253
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,253
Population outlook (Westchester County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,028,035 people
- By 2030
- 1,051,636 · +2.3%
- By 2040
- 1,098,520 · +6.9%
- By 2050
- 1,136,044 · +10.5%
- By 2075
- 1,196,925 · +16.4%
- By 2100
- 1,175,147 · +14.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 9% Asian 4% Two or more races 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Cuban 2% Dominican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 4% Scotch-Irish 3%
- Foreign-born
- 14% · Canada, Jamaica, China
- Languages at home
- 79% English-only · Other Indo-European 9% Spanish 6% Russian/Polish/Slavic 3%
Political lean MEDSL · Westchester
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+26.3) · D 63.1% · R 36.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.3pp toward R · 2008: 27.6pp · 2024: 26.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+26.3 2020: D+36.3 2016: D+32.8 2012: D+22.2 2008: D+27.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -98.61%
- Current HPI
- 281.5765
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
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| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
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| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-07 Listed $788,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+2.2%/yrLatest (2025): $11,417 · -0.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…