251 Piney Mountain Rd · Ivanhoe, VA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 22 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.4/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Schools +6.0/10.0
- DSCR +4.7/10.0
- 1% rule +3.0/10.0
- Livability +2.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This 2000 manufactured home located in Wythe County at 251 Piney Mountain Road, Wytheville, VA, offers peaceful country living with beautiful mountain views. The 1,344 square foot home features three bedrooms, two baths, a comfortable living room with gas logs for cozy evenings, and a functional kitchen. Enjoy the scenic surroundings from the covered front porch, open side deck, or back deck, all perfectly positioned to take in the views from the nicely situated 0.57-acre lot. Recent updates include a new roof completed in May 2025 with new plywood and 30 year shingles, along with a gas stove, refrigerator, and dishwasher that are all just one year old. The home offers a mix of laminate, vinyl, and carpet flooring and will have a few additional remodeling projects. The master bathroom is coming along smoothly with a very unique shower/tub combination with lighting and jets for a nice relaxing bath. The home still has a few more projects to be completed prior to closing. Also on the property is a shop/shed building with potential to be finished into additional living space and be completed by the new owner to suit their needs. This could potentially be a nice little rental unit if you so desire, lots of options for this nicely designed additional structure. The home is conveniently located within approximately 20 minutes of the Town of Wytheville and just minutes from interstate access. Several additional storage buildings are currently on the property and will be removed prior to closing; however, some or all of the personal property contained within them may be negotiable outside of the purchase contract. This property offers a great opportunity for those seeking space, views, and flexibility in a quiet county setting.
Key facts
- Covered front porch
- Gas stove
- Back deck
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($834/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (20.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $148k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 56/100 on livability (#509 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
- Wythe County Public School District (rural): math 67% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 131 in VA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Wythe County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wythe County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $68k; list at $185k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.80% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.74%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.61%
- DSCR
- 1.07
- GRM
- 10.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $331,968
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 194 Timberland Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,540 (+15%) | 23mo | $380,000 | $247 | 26 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.8%
- Equity multiple
- 0.50×
- Total profit
- $-25,642
- Equity at exit
- $27,584
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.67×
- Total profit
- $-16,993
- Equity at exit
- $15,995
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
- State Virginia
- 55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24382
- Home prices YoY
- -25.7%
- Active inventory
- 155
- Price-to-rent
- 10.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,478 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$51 /mo · $606/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$310
- Net cashflow
- $69
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 17 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 179 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 178 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 177 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $185,000 Active 176 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 173 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 172 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 171 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 170 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 167 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 166 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 165 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 164 DOM
-
2025-12-18$185,000 Active 1750-char remark
Show marketing remark (1750 chars)
This 2000 manufactured home located in Wythe County at 251 Piney Mountain Road, Wytheville, VA, offers peaceful country living with beautiful mountain views. The 1,344 square foot home features three bedrooms, two baths, a comfortable living room with gas logs for cozy evenings, and a functional kitchen. Enjoy the scenic surroundings from the covered front porch, open side deck, or back deck, all perfectly positioned to take in the views from the nicely situated 0.57-acre lot. Recent updates include a new roof completed in May 2025 with new plywood and 30 year shingles, along with a gas stove, refrigerator, and dishwasher that are all just one year old. The home offers a mix of laminate, vinyl, and carpet flooring and will have a few additional remodeling projects. The master bathroom is coming along smoothly with a very unique shower/tub combination with lighting and jets for a nice relaxing bath. The home still has a few more projects to be completed prior to closing. Also on the property is a shop/shed building with potential to be finished into additional living space and be completed by the new owner to suit their needs. This could potentially be a nice little rental unit if you so desire, lots of options for this nicely designed additional structure. The home is conveniently located within approximately 20 minutes of the Town of Wytheville and just minutes from interstate access. Several additional storage buildings are currently on the property and will be removed prior to closing; however, some or all of the personal property contained within them may be negotiable outside of the purchase contract. This property offers a great opportunity for those seeking space, views, and flexibility in a quiet county setting.
-
2023-11-06soldstatus $68,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $606 · $51/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,517 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$911/yr (+$76/mo · 150.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,730
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$606
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,418
- − Management
- −$1,418
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$2,383
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$572
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,405/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Wythe County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5104110
- Math proficiency
- 67% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 77% ▼ -9.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,665
- Composite
- 60.19/100
- National rank
- #863
- State rank
- #20 of 131 in VA
Livability — Ivanhoe
- Score
- 56/100
- State rank
- #509
- US rank
- #22729
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,751
Population outlook (Wythe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 29,176 people
- By 2030
- 28,993 · -0.6%
- By 2040
- 28,273 · -3.1%
- By 2050
- 27,055 · -7.3%
- By 2075
- 23,668 · -18.9%
- By 2100
- 18,904 · -35.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (92%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 92% Black 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Wythe
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.9% · R 79.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.8pp · 2024: -59.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+59.5 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+54.9 2012: R+36.8 2008: R+32.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -66.18%
- Current HPI
- 191.6387
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.40%
- F500 in state
- 50
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 4 | $236B |
|
||
| Technology / Defense | 3 | $32B |
|
||
| Financial Services | 2 | $176B |
|
||
| Utilities | 2 | $27B |
|
||
| Insurance | 2 | $25B |
|
||
| Technology | 2 | $15B |
|
||
Price history
+172.1% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2025-12-18 Listed $185,000 SWVAR
- 2023-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.2%/yrLatest (2025): $606 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…