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251 Piney Mountain Rd
C- Composite 51.87
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.4/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Schools +6.0/10.0
  • DSCR +4.7/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$185,000

251 Piney Mountain Rd · Ivanhoe, VA 24382
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,344 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 182 Days on market
Built 2000 0.57 ac lot Est $332k · 44% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This 2000 manufactured home located in Wythe County at 251 Piney Mountain Road, Wytheville, VA, offers peaceful country living with beautiful mountain views. The 1,344 square foot home features three bedrooms, two baths, a comfortable living room with gas logs for cozy evenings, and a functional kitchen. Enjoy the scenic surroundings from the covered front porch, open side deck, or back deck, all perfectly positioned to take in the views from the nicely situated 0.57-acre lot. Recent updates include a new roof completed in May 2025 with new plywood and 30 year shingles, along with a gas stove, refrigerator, and dishwasher that are all just one year old. The home offers a mix of laminate, vinyl, and carpet flooring and will have a few additional remodeling projects. The master bathroom is coming along smoothly with a very unique shower/tub combination with lighting and jets for a nice relaxing bath. The home still has a few more projects to be completed prior to closing. Also on the property is a shop/shed building with potential to be finished into additional living space and be completed by the new owner to suit their needs. This could potentially be a nice little rental unit if you so desire, lots of options for this nicely designed additional structure. The home is conveniently located within approximately 20 minutes of the Town of Wytheville and just minutes from interstate access. Several additional storage buildings are currently on the property and will be removed prior to closing; however, some or all of the personal property contained within them may be negotiable outside of the purchase contract. This property offers a great opportunity for those seeking space, views, and flexibility in a quiet county setting.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Gas stove
  • Back deck

Tags

MOUNTAIN VIEWSCOVERED FRONT PORCHOPEN SIDE DECKBACK DECKNEW ROOFGAS STOVE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $185k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $69 ($834/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $148k (20.1% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $148k (20.1% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#509 in VA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing B+; Watch: employment D+, schools F, amenities F.
  • Wythe County Public School District (rural): math 67% / reading 77% proficiency, ranked #20 of 131 in VA (top 15%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
  • Market conditions: 155 active listings in the ZIP; 63 units permitted in Wythe County in 2024 (12 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wythe County population projected to shrink 7% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($163k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $68k; list at $185k implies a 172% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Recommended offer $147,752 (20.1% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
6.74%
Cash-on-cash
1.61%
DSCR
1.07
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$331,968
Comps found
1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
194 Timberland Dr 0.65mi 3/2.0 1,540 (+15%) 23mo $380,000 $247 26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-13.8%
Equity multiple
0.50×
Total profit
$-25,642
Equity at exit
$27,584
10-year hold
IRR
-5.0%
Equity multiple
0.67×
Total profit
$-16,993
Equity at exit
$15,995

Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning
State Virginia
55 Moderately Landlord-Leaning · D+2
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
VRLTA gives some tenant protections; Northern Virginia courts slower; rural VA landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 24382

Home prices YoY
-25.7%
Active inventory
155
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,478 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$970
Tax from tax record
$51 /mo · $606/yr
Insurance
$77
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$310
Net cashflow
$69

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,390
Max offer price $185,000
Occupancy floor 90%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$46,250
Closing costs
$5,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 17 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $185,000 Active 182 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $185,000 Active 181 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $185,000 Active 180 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 179 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $185,000 Active 178 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $185,000 Active 177 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $185,000 Active 176 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $185,000 Active 173 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 172 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $185,000 Active 171 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $185,000 Active 170 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $185,000 Active 167 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $185,000 Active 166 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $185,000 Active 165 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $185,000 Active 164 DOM
  16. 2025-12-18
    listed $185,000 Active 1750-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1750 chars)

    This 2000 manufactured home located in Wythe County at 251 Piney Mountain Road, Wytheville, VA, offers peaceful country living with beautiful mountain views. The 1,344 square foot home features three bedrooms, two baths, a comfortable living room with gas logs for cozy evenings, and a functional kitchen. Enjoy the scenic surroundings from the covered front porch, open side deck, or back deck, all perfectly positioned to take in the views from the nicely situated 0.57-acre lot. Recent updates include a new roof completed in May 2025 with new plywood and 30 year shingles, along with a gas stove, refrigerator, and dishwasher that are all just one year old. The home offers a mix of laminate, vinyl, and carpet flooring and will have a few additional remodeling projects. The master bathroom is coming along smoothly with a very unique shower/tub combination with lighting and jets for a nice relaxing bath. The home still has a few more projects to be completed prior to closing. Also on the property is a shop/shed building with potential to be finished into additional living space and be completed by the new owner to suit their needs. This could potentially be a nice little rental unit if you so desire, lots of options for this nicely designed additional structure. The home is conveniently located within approximately 20 minutes of the Town of Wytheville and just minutes from interstate access. Several additional storage buildings are currently on the property and will be removed prior to closing; however, some or all of the personal property contained within them may be negotiable outside of the purchase contract. This property offers a great opportunity for those seeking space, views, and flexibility in a quiet county setting.

  17. 2023-11-06
    soldstatus $68,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast VA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$606 · $51/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,517 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$911/yr (+$76/mo · 150.2%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,730
− Mortgage interest
−$10,363
− Property taxes
−$606
− Insurance
−$925
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,418
− Management
−$1,418
− Depreciation
−$5,382
Taxable loss
−$2,383
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$572
After-tax cash flow
$1,405/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Wythe County Public School District
NCES district ID
5104110
Math proficiency
67% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
77% ▼ -9.00%
Median HH income
$41,665
Composite
60.19/100
National rank
#863
State rank
#20 of 131 in VA

Livability — Ivanhoe

Score
56/100
State rank
#509
US rank
#22729

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime C Employment D+ Housing B+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,751

Population outlook (Wythe County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
29,176 people
By 2030
28,993 · -0.6%
By 2040
28,273 · -3.1%
By 2050
27,055 · -7.3%
By 2075
23,668 · -18.9%
By 2100
18,904 · -35.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (92%)
Race & ethnicity
White 92% Black 4% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 2% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Serbian 2% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
2%
Languages at home
98% English-only · Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wythe

2024 margin
Solid R (+59.5) · D 19.9% · R 79.5%
2008→2024 swing
-26.7pp toward R · 2008: -32.8pp · 2024: -59.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+59.5 2020: R+57.0 2016: R+54.9 2012: R+36.8 2008: R+32.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -66.18%
Current HPI
191.6387
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.40%
F500 in state
50

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in VA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+172.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-12-18 Listed $185,000 SWVAR
  • 2023-11-06 Sold (Public Records) $68,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $606 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…