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19665 Justine St
B- Composite 69.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Rent growth +4.2/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.3/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$75,000

19665 Justine St · Detroit, MI 48234
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 914 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 158 Days on market
Built 1947 3,920 sqft lot $82/sqft · 154% above area ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

A NEW price provides a new opportunity to stop financing another's portfolio. Use your tax refund to own this three-bedroom home in a classic eastside Detroit neighborhood near Eight Mile and Outer Drive. Just steps from Farwell Park and recreation center. This bungalow will cost you less than HALF the average rental in the Motor City, has wood floors throughout, a spacious upstairs bedroom with sitting area, a kitchen + eating area, stove and fridge, and a basement with washer, dryer and a workshop. Owned by the same family that built it. Extra Benefit: This Zip Code qualifies for up to $25,000 in down payment assistance courtesy of Detroit Mayor Mary Sheffield, as part of her home-ownership initiative. Recently painted, move-in ready, and just waiting for your personal touch. Public transportation nearby, and less than two miles from the Original Buddy's Pizza (home of Detroit-style, deep-dish pizza). BATVAI

Key facts

  • 3,920 sq ft lot
  • Built 1947
  • Listed 157 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $75k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $555 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $75k).
  • Recommended offer: $66k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 15.2% vs local median 10.1% in Detroit — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools F, crime F, employment F.
  • Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+6.7%/yr); 227 active listings in the ZIP; 25 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 45% of the median local income ($35k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $519 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 6.7% rent growth), your $21k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 158 days — a 12% lower offer ($66k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $10k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1947 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $66,000 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 158 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1947 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.76%
Cap rate
15.18%
Cash-on-cash
31.74%
DSCR
2.41
GRM
4.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$45,303
List price
$75,000
Delta
65.55%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
19227 Ryan Rd 0.35mi 3/1.0 919 (+0%) 1mo $38,000 $41 82
19451 Conley St 0.33mi 3/1.0 900 (-2%) 3mo $54,000 $60 80
19392 Justine St 0.14mi 3/1.0 1,000 (+9%) 3mo $45,000 $45 75
19619 Norwood St 0.43mi 3/1.0 941 (+3%) 2mo $30,500 $32 74
20012 Binder St 0.33mi 3/1.0 871 (-5%) 3mo $50,500 $58 74
19672 Justine St 0.03mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+15%) 2mo $47,500 $45 72
19235 Lamont St 0.34mi 2/1.0 (-1) 960 (+5%) 1mo $40,000 $42 70
20426 Wexford St 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,009 (+10%) 1mo $117,000 $116 54
19608 Buffalo St 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,014 (+11%) 1mo $68,000 $67 54
19360 Revere St 0.48mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+15%) 2mo $78,000 $74 51
20409 Yonka St 0.59mi 3/1.0 1,050 (+15%) 1mo $93,000 $89 47
19662 Charest St 0.61mi 3/1.0 1,041 (+14%) 2mo $69,000 $66 46

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 6.72% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
30.7%
Equity multiple
2.35×
Total profit
$28,360
Equity at exit
$11,183
10-year hold
IRR
39.9%
Equity multiple
5.43×
Total profit
$93,013
Equity at exit
$6,485

Cash invested: $21,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48234

Home prices YoY
-11.9%
Rents YoY
6.7%
Active inventory
227
Price-to-rent
4.7×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,323 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$393
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $783/yr
Insurance
$31
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$278
Net cashflow
$555

Break-even live

Break-even rent $620
Max offer price $75,000
Occupancy floor 53%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $598 -5% $577 +0% $555 +5% $534 +10% $513
Rent -10% $451 -5% $503 +0% $555 +5% $608 +10% $660
Rate -1.0pp $593 -0.5pp $574 base $555 +0.5pp $536 +1.0pp $516

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$18,750
Closing costs
$2,250
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 25 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
19450 Fenelon St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1062 $1,384 $1.30 6d 1 0.27mi
19930 Binder St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,450 $1.45 17d 1 0.31mi
19450 Norwood St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,200 $1.20 6d 1 0.43mi
19361 Moenart St Unit 1 Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,100 $1.10 25d 1 0.45mi
19162 Conley St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 0.46mi
19360 Revere St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1050 $1,250 $1.19 25d 1 0.50mi
19260 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,350 $1.23 5d 1 0.56mi
19694 Gallagher St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 16d 1 0.58mi
18662 Sunset St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.0 726 $1,250 $1.72 18d 1 0.59mi
18891 Moenart St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 870 $1,195 $1.37 17d 1 0.61mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 23d 1 0.67mi
18884 Bloom St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 979 $975 $1.00 44d 1 0.67mi
20263 Caldwell St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 909 $1,350 $1.49 17d 1 0.72mi
20794 Audrey Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 954 $1,350 $1.42 44d 1 0.76mi
19415 Gable St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,373 $1.37 25d 1 0.82mi
20255 Harned St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,374 $1.37 17d 1 0.88mi
18666 Joseph Campau St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 1000 $1,400 $1.40 17d 1 0.91mi
21410 Panama St Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 900 $1,600 $1.78 25d 1 1.09mi
21465 Syracuse Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 990 $1,375 $1.39 44d 1 1.17mi
18629 Fleming St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.5 900 $1,150 $1.28 25d 1 1.21mi
21155 Warner Ave Warren, MI 2.0 1.0 756 $1,029 $1.36 25d 1 1.23mi
18084 Goddard St Detroit, MI 2.0 1.5 790 $1,050 $1.33 17d 1 1.26mi
2034 John B Ave Warren, MI 3.0 1.0 920 $1,261 $1.37 44d 1 1.35mi
18551 Saint Aubin St Detroit, MI 3.0 1.0 962 $1,200 $1.25 17d 1 1.35mi
18882 Marx St Highland Park, MI 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,300 $1.30 44d 1 1.36mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $75,000 Active 158 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $75,000 Active 155 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $75,000 Active 154 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $75,000 Active 152 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 150 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $75,000 Active 149 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $75,000 Active 146 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $75,000 Active 145 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $75,000 Active 144 DOM
  10. 2026-06-04
    days on market $75,000 Active 141 DOM
  11. 2026-06-03
    days on market $75,000 Active 140 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $75,000 Active 138 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $75,000 Active 137 DOM
  14. 2026-04-24
    price $75,000 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    A NEW price provides a new opportunity to stop financing another's portfolio. Use your tax refund to own this three-bedroom home in a classic eastside Detroit neighborhood near Eight Mile and Outer Drive. Just steps from Farwell Park and recreation center. This bungalow will cost you less than HALF the average rental in the Motor City, has wood floors throughout, a spacious upstairs bedroom with sitting area, a kitchen + eating area, stove and fridge, and a basement with washer, dryer and a workshop. Owned by the same family that built it. Extra Benefit: This Zip Code qualifies for up to $25,000 in down payment assistance courtesy of Detroit Mayor Mary Sheffield, as part of her home-ownership initiative. Recently painted, move-in ready, and just waiting for your personal touch. Public transportation nearby, and less than two miles from the Original Buddy's Pizza (home of Detroit-style, deep-dish pizza). BATVAI

  15. 2026-04-23
    price $75,000 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    A NEW price provides a new opportunity to stop financing another's portfolio. Use your tax refund to own this three-bedroom home in a classic eastside Detroit neighborhood near Eight Mile and Outer Drive. Just steps from Farwell Park and recreation center. This bungalow will cost you less than HALF the average rental in the Motor City, has wood floors throughout, a spacious upstairs bedroom with sitting area, a kitchen + eating area, stove and fridge, and a basement with washer, dryer and a workshop. Owned by the same family that built it. Extra Benefit: This Zip Code qualifies for up to $25,000 in down payment assistance courtesy of Detroit Mayor Mary Sheffield, as part of her home-ownership initiative. Recently painted, move-in ready, and just waiting for your personal touch. Public transportation nearby, and less than two miles from the Original Buddy's Pizza (home of Detroit-style, deep-dish pizza). BATVAI

  16. 2026-01-15
    listed $85,000 Active 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    A NEW price provides a new opportunity to stop financing another's portfolio. Use your tax refund to own this three-bedroom home in a classic eastside Detroit neighborhood near Eight Mile and Outer Drive. Just steps from Farwell Park and recreation center. This bungalow will cost you less than HALF the average rental in the Motor City, has wood floors throughout, a spacious upstairs bedroom with sitting area, a kitchen + eating area, stove and fridge, and a basement with washer, dryer and a workshop. Owned by the same family that built it. Extra Benefit: This Zip Code qualifies for up to $25,000 in down payment assistance courtesy of Detroit Mayor Mary Sheffield, as part of her home-ownership initiative. Recently painted, move-in ready, and just waiting for your personal touch. Public transportation nearby, and less than two miles from the Original Buddy's Pizza (home of Detroit-style, deep-dish pizza). BATVAI

  17. 2026-01-15
    listed $85,000 Active 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    A NEW price provides a new opportunity to stop financing another's portfolio. Use your tax refund to own this three-bedroom home in a classic eastside Detroit neighborhood near Eight Mile and Outer Drive. Just steps from Farwell Park and recreation center. This bungalow will cost you less than HALF the average rental in the Motor City, has wood floors throughout, a spacious upstairs bedroom with sitting area, a kitchen + eating area, stove and fridge, and a basement with washer, dryer and a workshop. Owned by the same family that built it. Extra Benefit: This Zip Code qualifies for up to $25,000 in down payment assistance courtesy of Detroit Mayor Mary Sheffield, as part of her home-ownership initiative. Recently painted, move-in ready, and just waiting for your personal touch. Public transportation nearby, and less than two miles from the Original Buddy's Pizza (home of Detroit-style, deep-dish pizza). BATVAI

  18. 2026-01-15
    historical $85,000 923-char remark
    Show marketing remark (923 chars)

    A NEW price provides a new opportunity to stop financing another's portfolio. Use your tax refund to own this three-bedroom home in a classic eastside Detroit neighborhood near Eight Mile and Outer Drive. Just steps from Farwell Park and recreation center. This bungalow will cost you less than HALF the average rental in the Motor City, has wood floors throughout, a spacious upstairs bedroom with sitting area, a kitchen + eating area, stove and fridge, and a basement with washer, dryer and a workshop. Owned by the same family that built it. Extra Benefit: This Zip Code qualifies for up to $25,000 in down payment assistance courtesy of Detroit Mayor Mary Sheffield, as part of her home-ownership initiative. Recently painted, move-in ready, and just waiting for your personal touch. Public transportation nearby, and less than two miles from the Original Buddy's Pizza (home of Detroit-style, deep-dish pizza). BATVAI

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$783 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$969 · $81/mo
Expected delta
+$186/yr (+$16/mo · 23.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,876
− Mortgage interest
−$4,201
− Property taxes
−$783
− Insurance
−$375
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,270
− Management
−$1,270
− Depreciation
−$2,182
Taxable income
$5,795
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,391
After-tax cash flow
$5,274/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Detroit Public Schools Community District
NCES district ID
2601103
Math proficiency
10% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
24% ▲ 6.00%
Median HH income
$25,815
Composite
13.06/100
National rank
#9564
State rank
#499 of 540 in MI

Livability — Detroit

Score
73/100
State rank
#218
US rank
#5427

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Detroit, MI
County
Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
City population
572,865
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
32,760
Household income
$35,322
Rent vs Own
47.0% rent · 53.0% own
Severe rent burden
2372.0

Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,675,273 people
By 2030
1,620,300 · -3.3%
By 2040
1,502,341 · -10.3%
By 2050
1,384,039 · -17.4%
By 2075
1,124,592 · -32.9%
By 2100
881,193 · -47.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Black (94%)
Race & ethnicity
Black 94% White 3% Two or more races 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Vietnam, Philippines
Languages at home
97% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Wayne

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
2008→2024 swing
-20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -44.65%
Current HPI
328.8978
Rent YoY
▲ 6.72%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-11.8% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $75,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-04-23 Price Changed $75,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-01-15 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
  • 2026-01-15 Coming Soon $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS

Property tax history

-2.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $783 · -45.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…