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206 Herman Ave
F Composite 34.37
Why this score? — see what drove the F grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.7/30.0
  • Livability +4.3/5.0
  • Schools +4.1/10.0
  • DSCR +3.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +3.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +2.9/15.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$224,900

206 Herman Ave · Lemoyne, PA 17043
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,410 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 74 Days on market
Built 1990 2,614 sqft lot $160/sqft · 10% above area Est $204k · 10% over

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This well-maintained 2-unit property presents an exceptional opportunity for both seasoned investors, first-time buyers, or those looking to house hack by living in one unit while generating income from the other. The property features two spacious units, including a first-floor 1-bedroom unit with comfortable living space, currently leased on a month-to-month basis, and a well-sized 2-bedroom unit, also on a month-to-month lease—offering flexibility for future positioning. The property has been carefully maintained and includes two newer furnaces, helping to reduce immediate capital expenditures for the next owner. Ideally located just minutes from Harrisburg and major highways, Lemoyne continues to see strong and consistent rental demand. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure a smart owner-occupant investment, this is a cash-flow-ready opportunity in a proven and desirable rental market.

Key facts

  • Strong rental demand
  • Two unit property
  • Newer furnaces

Tags

TWO UNIT PROPERTYFIRST FLOOR UNITNEWER FURNACESSTRONG RENTAL DEMANDCASH FLOW READY OPPORTUNITY

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $225k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-68 ($-814/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $213k (5.3% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $180k (19.9% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $180k (19.9% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 86/100 on livability (#60 in PA, #413 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: amenities D+.
  • West Shore SD (suburban): math 37% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #222 of 539 in PA (top 41%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 25 active listings in the ZIP; 21 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 21d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,052 units permitted in Cumberland County in 2024 (310 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Cumberland County population projected at +17% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 74 days — a 6% lower offer ($211k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $148k; list at $225k implies a 52% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $180,149 (19.9% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 74 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 20% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  6. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.80%
Cap rate
5.93%
Cash-on-cash
-1.29%
DSCR
0.94
GRM
10.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$204,037
List price
$224,900
Delta
10.22%
Verdict
OVERPRICED
Comps
7 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
273 Clark St 0.34mi 3/1.5 1,360 (-4%) 16mo $195,000 $143 63
550 Walton St 0.48mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,364 (-3%) 2mo $276,000 $202 61
257 Walton St 0.25mi 3/1.0 1,596 (+13%) 5mo $259,900 $163 58
623 Carol St 0.51mi 3/2.5 1,350 (-4%) 16mo $350,000 $259 54
730 Harding St 0.64mi 3/1.5 1,538 (+9%) 0mo $330,000 $215 53
45 Elm St 0.62mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,356 (-4%) 8mo $140,000 $103 49
706 Haldeman Blvd 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,298 (-8%) 5mo $316,000 $243 49
60 N 8th St 0.68mi 2/1.5 (-1) 1,420 (+1%) 16mo $253,000 $178 47
922 Hummel Ave 0.62mi 3/1.0 1,264 (-10%) 11mo $163,000 $129 41
1181 Shoreham Rd 0.74mi 3/1.5 1,262 (-10%) 10mo $260,000 $206 38
226 Bailey St 0.73mi 3/1.0 1,542 (+9%) 15mo $300,000 $195 34
719 Coolidge St 0.72mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,582 (+12%) 10mo $315,000 $199 29

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-18.4%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-40,777
Equity at exit
$33,533
10-year hold
IRR
-10.8%
Equity multiple
0.35×
Total profit
$-41,121
Equity at exit
$19,445

Cash invested: $62,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Pennsylvania
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
10-day notice; Philadelphia has eviction-court diversion + some protections; otherwise moderate.

ZIP-level market 17043

Home prices YoY
-27.0%
Active inventory
25
Price-to-rent
10.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,801 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,179
Tax from tax record
$218 /mo · $2,615/yr
Insurance
$94
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$378
Net cashflow
$-68

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,887
Max offer price $212,912
Occupancy floor 99%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$56,225
Closing costs
$6,747
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 21 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
407 Herman Ave Lemoyne, PA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,100 $1.50 21d 1 0.15mi
905 Hummel Ave Lemoyne, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $950 $0.95 43d 1 0.57mi
1149 Columbus Ave Lemoyne, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 840 $2,075 $2.47 13d 9 1.10mi
101 S 2nd St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 736 $1,749 $2.37 13d 32 1.17mi
200 S Court St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 950 $1,800 $1.89 13d 14 1.19mi
7 Hummel Ave Camp Hill, PA 3.0 1.0 1100 $1,275 $1.16 13d 1 1.20mi
321 N Front St Unit 102 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 2.5 1562 $2,395 $1.53 43d 1 1.22mi
116 Pine St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 900 $1,638 $1.82 13d 14 1.24mi
210 Walnut St Unit 206 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1007 $1,695 $1.68 13d 1 1.25mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,525 $1.76 13d 10 1.25mi
301 Chestnut St Harrisburg, PA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.5 1437 $2,097 $1.46 43d 1 1.25mi
319 Market St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.5 990 $1,135 $1.15 43d 1 1.30mi
122 State St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1250 $1,725 $1.38 13d 1 1.32mi
612 N 2nd St Apt 3 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1100 $1,545 $1.40 43d 1 1.37mi
612 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,445 $1.38 43d 1 1.37mi
618 N 2nd St Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,050 $1.05 23d 1 1.37mi
425 7th St New Cumberland, PA 2.0 1.5 1050 $975 $0.93 21d 1 1.40mi
420 7th St New Cumberland, PA 3.0 1.5 1800 $1,495 $0.83 23d 1 1.42mi
711 N 2nd St Apt 2 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1400 $1,595 $1.14 43d 1 1.42mi
719 N 2nd St Apt 6 Harrisburg, PA 2.0 1.0 1000 $1,150 $1.15 13d 1 1.43mi
508 N 2nd St Wormleysburg, PA 2.0 1.0 887 $1,395 $1.57 43d 1 1.44mi

Listing history 14 events

  1. 2026-06-14
    statusdays on market $224,900 Pending 74 DOM
  2. 2026-06-10
    days on market $224,900 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-09
    days on market $224,900 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-08
    days on market $224,900 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-07
    days on market $224,900 Active 69 DOM
  6. 2026-06-05
    days on market $224,900 Active 66 DOM
  7. 2026-06-03
    days on market $224,900 Active 65 DOM
  8. 2026-06-02
    days on market $224,900 Active 64 DOM
  9. 2026-06-01
    days on market $224,900 Active 63 DOM
  10. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 62 DOM
  11. 2026-05-31
    days on market $224,900 Active 61 DOM
  12. 2026-04-17
    price $229,900 928-char remark
    Show marketing remark (928 chars)

    This well-maintained 2-unit property presents an exceptional opportunity for both seasoned investors, first-time buyers, or those looking to house hack by living in one unit while generating income from the other. The property features two spacious units, including a first-floor 1-bedroom unit with comfortable living space, currently leased on a month-to-month basis, and a well-sized 2-bedroom unit, also on a month-to-month lease—offering flexibility for future positioning. The property has been carefully maintained and includes two newer furnaces, helping to reduce immediate capital expenditures for the next owner. Ideally located just minutes from Harrisburg and major highways, Lemoyne continues to see strong and consistent rental demand. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure a smart owner-occupant investment, this is a cash-flow-ready opportunity in a proven and desirable rental market.

  13. 2026-03-30
    listed $239,900 Active 928-char remark
    Show marketing remark (928 chars)

    This well-maintained 2-unit property presents an exceptional opportunity for both seasoned investors, first-time buyers, or those looking to house hack by living in one unit while generating income from the other. The property features two spacious units, including a first-floor 1-bedroom unit with comfortable living space, currently leased on a month-to-month basis, and a well-sized 2-bedroom unit, also on a month-to-month lease—offering flexibility for future positioning. The property has been carefully maintained and includes two newer furnaces, helping to reduce immediate capital expenditures for the next owner. Ideally located just minutes from Harrisburg and major highways, Lemoyne continues to see strong and consistent rental demand. Whether you're looking to expand your portfolio or secure a smart owner-occupant investment, this is a cash-flow-ready opportunity in a proven and desirable rental market.

  14. 2022-12-28
    soldstatus $148,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast PA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,615 · $218/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,084 · $257/mo
Expected delta
+$469/yr (+$39/mo · 17.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥100°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,618
− Mortgage interest
−$12,598
− Property taxes
−$2,615
− Insurance
−$1,124
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,729
− Management
−$1,729
− Depreciation
−$6,543
Taxable loss
−$4,721
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,133
After-tax cash flow
$319/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
West Shore SD
NCES district ID
4225830
Math proficiency
37% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -10.00%
Median HH income
$61,398
Composite
40.9/100
National rank
#3617
State rank
#222 of 539 in PA

Livability — Lemoyne

Score
86/100
State rank
#60
US rank
#413

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Lemoyne, PA
County
Cumberland County · 257,673 people
City population
5,852
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
Population (ZIP)
5,852
Household income
$61,173
Rent vs Own
48.1% rent · 51.9% own
Severe rent burden
444.0

Population outlook (Cumberland County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
267,950 people
By 2030
278,105 · +3.8%
By 2040
296,552 · +10.7%
By 2050
312,937 · +16.8%
By 2075
349,233 · +30.3%
By 2100
361,875 · +35.1%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (88%)
Race & ethnicity
White 88% Two or more races 5% Black 4% Asian 2%
Common ancestry
Polish 3% Slovak 3% Romanian 2%
Foreign-born
5% · Canada, China
Languages at home
93% English-only · Russian/Polish/Slavic 3% Other Indo-European 1% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Cumberland

2024 margin
Lean R (+9.4) · D 44.6% · R 54.1% · Other 1.3%
2008→2024 swing
+4.2pp toward D · 2008: -13.6pp · 2024: -9.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+9.4 2020: R+10.6 2016: R+18.6 2012: R+18.5 2008: R+13.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -84.77%
Current HPI
229.3436
Rent YoY
Metro
Harrisburg-Carlisle, PA
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.68%
F500 in state
34

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in PA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+55.3% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-17 Price Changed $229,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2026-03-30 Listed $239,900 BRIGHT MLS
  • 2022-12-28 Sold (Public Records) $148,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2026): $2,615 · +2.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…