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9365 Wilkerson Mill Rd
B+ Composite 76.49
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • Schools +4.5/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$144,900

9365 Wilkerson Mill Rd · Chattahoochee Hills, GA 30268
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,362 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 112 Days on market
Built 1999 1.00 ac lot $106/sqft · 42% below area Est $251k · 42% under ↓ 12% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Discover the perfect blend of rural tranquility and modern convenience with this single-family home located at 9365 Wilkerson Mill Road. Nestled on a lush, level one-acre lot, this property offers the breathing room you've been looking for in the Chattahoochee Hills community. Built in 1999, this three bedroom, two bathroom residence spans approximately 1,362 square feet. The thoughtfully designed, single-story floor plan features bright living spaces and is located just minutes from the airport, with quick access to Cochran Mill Park's waterfalls and hiking trails.

Key facts

  • One acre lot
  • 1 acre lot
  • Built 1999

Tags

ONE ACRE LOTSINGLE STORY FLOOR PLAN

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $145k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $591 ($7k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $145k).
  • Recommended offer: $132k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 11.2% vs local median 1.4% in Chattahoochee Hills — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#338 in GA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+, cost of living A; Watch: schools D-, amenities F, commute F.
  • Fulton County (suburban): math 49% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #12 of 174 in GA (top 7%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: 222 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 11,565 units permitted in Fulton County in 2024 (8,159 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Fulton County population projected at +38% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $41k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 112 days — a 9% lower offer ($132k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts; this cycle's ask has dropped $35k (19%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $131,859 (9.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 112 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.18%
Cash-on-cash
17.47%
DSCR
1.78
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$251,153
List price
$144,900
Delta
-42.31%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
8 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7205 Little Fawn Pkwy 0.48mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,414 (+4%) 22mo $286,000 $202 48
7360 Little Fawn Pkwy 0.56mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,485 (+9%) 7mo $290,000 $195 48

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.9%
Equity multiple
1.35×
Total profit
$14,162
Equity at exit
$21,605
10-year hold
IRR
18.1%
Equity multiple
2.50×
Total profit
$60,886
Equity at exit
$12,528

Cash invested: $40,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Georgia
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Magistrate court evictions in 10-30 days; no rent control; preempted; few tenant protections.

ZIP-level market 30268

Home prices YoY
-22.1%
Active inventory
222
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,015 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$760
Tax est. 1.5%
$181 /mo · $2,174/yr
Insurance
$60
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$423
Net cashflow
$591

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,268
Max offer price $144,900
Occupancy floor 66%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$36,225
Closing costs
$4,347
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
7266 Tiderace Ct Palmetto, GA 4.0 3.0 1500 $1,525 $1.02 2d 1 0.46mi
250 Big Bear Ct Palmetto, GA 3.0 2.5 1568 $1,695 $1.08 43d 1 0.61mi

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $144,900 Active 112 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $144,900 Active 111 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $144,900 Active 110 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $144,900 Active 109 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $144,900 Active 107 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $144,900 Active 103 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $144,900 Active 102 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $144,900 Active 101 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $144,900 Active 98 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $144,900 Active 97 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $157,900 Active 95 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $157,900 Active 94 DOM
  13. 2026-04-24
    price $157,900 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of rural tranquility and modern convenience with this single-family home located at 9365 Wilkerson Mill Road. Nestled on a lush, level one-acre lot, this property offers the breathing room you’ve been looking for in the Chattahoochee Hills community. Built in 1999, this three bedroom, two bathroom residence spans approximately 1,362 square feet. The thoughtfully designed, single-story floor plan features bright living spaces and is located just minutes from the airport, with quick access to Cochran Mill Park’s waterfalls and hiking trails.

  14. 2026-04-24
    price $157,900 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of rural tranquility and modern convenience with this single-family home located at 9365 Wilkerson Mill Road. Nestled on a lush, level one-acre lot, this property offers the breathing room you’ve been looking for in the Chattahoochee Hills community. Built in 1999, this three bedroom, two bathroom residence spans approximately 1,362 square feet. The thoughtfully designed, single-story floor plan features bright living spaces and is located just minutes from the airport, with quick access to Cochran Mill Park’s waterfalls and hiking trails.

  15. 2026-03-31
    price $164,900 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of rural tranquility and modern convenience with this single-family home located at 9365 Wilkerson Mill Road. Nestled on a lush, level one-acre lot, this property offers the breathing room you've been looking for in the Chattahoochee Hills community. Built in 1999, this three bedroom, two bathroom residence spans approximately 1,362 square feet. The thoughtfully designed, single-story floor plan features bright living spaces and is located just minutes from the airport, with quick access to Cochran Mill Park's waterfalls and hiking trails.

  16. 2026-03-31
    price $164,900 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (572 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of rural tranquility and modern convenience with this single-family home located at 9365 Wilkerson Mill Road. Nestled on a lush, level one-acre lot, this property offers the breathing room you've been looking for in the Chattahoochee Hills community. Built in 1999, this three bedroom, two bathroom residence spans approximately 1,362 square feet. The thoughtfully designed, single-story floor plan features bright living spaces and is located just minutes from the airport, with quick access to Cochran Mill Park's waterfalls and hiking trails.

  17. 2026-02-24
    listed $179,900 New 572-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of rural tranquility and modern convenience with this single-family home located at 9365 Wilkerson Mill Road. Nestled on a lush, level one-acre lot, this property offers the breathing room you’ve been looking for in the Chattahoochee Hills community. Built in 1999, this three bedroom, two bathroom residence spans approximately 1,362 square feet. The thoughtfully designed, single-story floor plan features bright living spaces and is located just minutes from the airport, with quick access to Cochran Mill Park’s waterfalls and hiking trails.

  18. 2026-02-24
    listed $179,900 Active 584-char remark
    Show marketing remark (584 chars)

    Discover the perfect blend of rural tranquility and modern convenience with this single-family home located at 9365 Wilkerson Mill Road. Nestled on a lush, level one-acre lot, this property offers the breathing room you’ve been looking for in the Chattahoochee Hills community. Built in 1999, this three bedroom, two bathroom residence spans approximately 1,362 square feet. The thoughtfully designed, single-story floor plan features bright living spaces and is located just minutes from the airport, with quick access to Cochran Mill Park’s waterfalls and hiking trails.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,181
− Mortgage interest
−$8,117
− Property taxes
−$2,174
− Insurance
−$724
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,934
− Management
−$1,934
− Depreciation
−$4,215
Taxable income
$5,082
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,220
After-tax cash flow
$5,867/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton County
NCES district ID
1302280
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
53% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$68,035
Composite
45.33/100
National rank
#2640
State rank
#12 of 174 in GA

Livability — Chattahoochee Hills

Score
61/100
State rank
#338
US rank
#17608

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A Crime A+ Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Chattahoochee Hills, GA
County
Fulton County · 1,094,430 people
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
Population (ZIP)
10,874
Household income
$91,349
Rent vs Own
27.1% rent · 72.9% own
Severe rent burden
206.0

Population outlook (Fulton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,203,707 people
By 2030
1,299,706 · +8.0%
By 2040
1,488,256 · +23.6%
By 2050
1,664,580 · +38.3%
By 2075
2,036,072 · +69.2%
By 2100
2,222,402 · +84.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 42% White 36% Hispanic / Latino 18% Two or more races 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 13% Puerto Rican 3%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Serbian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada
Languages at home
84% English-only · Spanish 14% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Fulton

2024 margin
Solid D (+44.9) · D 71.9% · R 27.0% · Other 1.1%
2008→2024 swing
+9.8pp toward D · 2008: 35.0pp · 2024: 44.9pp
All cycles
2024: D+44.9 2020: D+46.4 2016: D+42.1 2012: D+29.6 2008: D+35.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -73.29%
Current HPI
258.4993
Rent YoY
Metro
Atlanta-Sandy Springs-Alpharetta, GA
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.66%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-12.2% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $157,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-04-24 Price Changed $157,900 FMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $164,900 FMLS
  • 2026-03-31 Price Changed $164,900 GAMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $179,900 FMLS
  • 2026-02-24 Listed $179,900 GAMLS

Property tax history

-41.0%/yr

Latest (2015): $1 · -50.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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