20887 Villareal Way · North Fort Myers, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- A
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,009 – $1,996
Fire risk 7/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 30 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +25.1/30.0
- DSCR +8.2/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.4/10.0
- Schools +4.1/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Rent growth +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$249,500
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Priced to sell home!!!! This wont last long. Property needs a little fixer upper, but can be a great opportunity to make this into the dream home.
Key facts
- 6,403 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Community pool
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Community size: 1,380 units; Lot is rectangular with pond on lot; Private road frontage (paved); private and public maintained road responsibilities; Lot dimensions approx. 59 x 110 x 59 x 111
- Financial info: Pets allowed with conditions (maximum 3)
- HOA & community: Homeowners association (quarterly fee); Association fee includes cable TV, internet, golf, irrigation water, grounds maintenance, road maintenance, sewer, street lights, and trash; Community amenities: clubhouse, fitness center, golf course, putting greens, bocce, pickleball, tennis, shuffleboard, pool, spa/hot tub, restaurant, billiards/hobby/library rooms, sidewalks, management
Exterior
- Parking: Attached garage; 2 garage spaces; Assigned parking; Garage door opener; Two covered spaces
- Security: Gated community with guard; Security gate; Security guard; Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Cable available; High-speed internet available; Natural gas available; Underground utilities; Sewer assessment paid; Water assessment paid
- Home design: Single-story home; Entry level 1; Resale property; Faces east; West exposure on lot
- Construction: Block, concrete, and stucco construction; Tile roof; Built on foundation (standard)
- Exterior features: Courtyard; Lanai; Patio (screened); Porch; Outdoor grill / gas grill; Storage; Sprinkler/irrigation (automatic); Patio; Community pool
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Range; Self-cleaning oven; Microwave; Refrigerator with ice maker; Freezer; Disposal; Icemaker; Kitchen island; Pantry; Breakfast bar; Eat-in kitchen
- Bedrooms: Guest quarters; Exercise room; Screened porch
- Flooring: Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Attic; Breakfast bar; Bathtub; Dual sinks; Eat-in kitchen; Kitchen island; Open living/dining area; Main level primary; Pantry; Pull-down attic stairs; Separate shower; Cable TV; High-speed internet; Single-hung windows; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Laundry tub; Laundry in garage; Tankless water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $250k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $250k).
- Recommended offer: $242k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.9% vs local median 3.6% in North Fort Myers — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#269 in FL, #4,409 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Lee (suburban): math 47% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #42 of 73 in FL (top 58%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.6%/yr); 841 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 15,411 units permitted in Lee County in 2024 (4,686 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,099/mo this rent would consume 68% of the median local household income ($55k/yr) (locally 775% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lee County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($242k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $100k; list at $250k implies a 150% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $125/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone A (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→30/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 9.42%
- DSCR
- 1.42
- GRM
- 6.7
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.63% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.79×
- Total profit
- $-14,411
- Equity at exit
- $37,201
- IRR
- 3.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.26×
- Total profit
- $18,397
- Equity at exit
- $21,572
Cash invested: $69,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33917
- Home prices YoY
- -30.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.6%
- Active inventory
- 841
- Price-to-rent
- 6.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,099 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,308
- Tax from tax record
- −$246 /mo · $2,947/yr
- Insurance
- −$104
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$125 /mo · $1,502/yr
- HOA
- −$242
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$651
- Net cashflow
- $423
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $62,375
- Closing costs
- $7,485
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20919 Villareal Way North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1428 | $4,000 | $2.80 | 23d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1900 Corona del Sire Dr North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1449 | $2,400 | $1.66 | 23d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 2130 Rio Nuevo Dr Unit 1546442P North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1248 | $4,682 | $3.75 | 14d | 1 | 0.35mi |
| 2300 Valparaiso Blvd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $4,000 | $3.23 | 23d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2300 Valparaiso Blvd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1237 | $3,000 | $2.43 | 15d | 1 | 0.44mi |
| 2481 Palo Duro Blvd North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $4,000 | $2.76 | 21d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 2481 Palo Duro Blvd North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1450 | $4,000 | $2.76 | 15d | 1 | 0.73mi |
| 10401 Circle Pine Rd North Fort Myers, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1294 | $3,000 | $2.32 | 23d | 1 | 1.32mi |
| 19621 N Tamiami Trl North Fort Myers, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1205 | $1,300 | $1.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $242 · $2,904/yr
Listing history 13 events
-
2026-04-07historical
-
2026-04-06$249,500 Active
-
2026-03-05price $229,000
-
2026-01-02price $249,500
-
2025-11-02$262,000 Active
-
2019-01-16soldstatus $99,750
-
2018-12-20soldstatus $99,750 Sold 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Priced to sell home!!!! This wont last long. Property needs a little fixer upper, but can be a great opportunity to make this into the dream home.
-
2018-11-12status Pending 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Priced to sell home!!!! This wont last long. Property needs a little fixer upper, but can be a great opportunity to make this into the dream home.
-
2018-08-22price $124,000 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Priced to sell home!!!! This wont last long. Property needs a little fixer upper, but can be a great opportunity to make this into the dream home.
-
2018-08-03price $134,000 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Priced to sell home!!!! This wont last long. Property needs a little fixer upper, but can be a great opportunity to make this into the dream home.
-
2018-08-02price $144,000 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Priced to sell home!!!! This wont last long. Property needs a little fixer upper, but can be a great opportunity to make this into the dream home.
-
2018-03-29$160,000 Active 146-char remark
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Priced to sell home!!!! This wont last long. Property needs a little fixer upper, but can be a great opportunity to make this into the dream home.
-
1993-12-14soldstatus $118,600
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,947 · $246/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,947 · $246/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone A · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 7/10 Severe
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 30 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $37,186
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,976
- − Property taxes
- −$2,947
- − Insurance
- −$2,750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,975
- − Management
- −$2,975
- − HOA
- −$2,904
- − Depreciation
- −$7,258
- Taxable income
- $1,401
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$336
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,739/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lee
- NCES district ID
- 1201080
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $49,518
- Composite
- 41.49/100
- National rank
- #3458
- State rank
- #42 of 73 in FL
Livability — North Fort Myers
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #269
- US rank
- #4409
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- North Fort Myers, FL
- County
- Lee County · 788,662 people
- City population
- 57,035
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 33,380
- Household income
- $55,000
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 775.0
Population outlook (Lee County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 871,946 people
- By 2030
- 955,468 · +9.6%
- By 2040
- 1,113,587 · +27.7%
- By 2050
- 1,256,891 · +44.1%
- By 2075
- 1,560,270 · +78.9%
- By 2100
- 1,726,848 · +98.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 7% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1% Cuban 3%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Romanian 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lee
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+28.4) · D 35.5% · R 63.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -18.0pp toward R · 2008: -10.4pp · 2024: -28.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+28.4 2020: R+19.2 2016: R+20.4 2012: R+16.6 2008: R+10.4
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -122.28%
- Current HPI
- 282.2895
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.63%
- Metro
- Cape Coral-Fort Myers, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
||
| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+110.4% since first listed13 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Listing Removed — FORTMLS
- 2026-04-06 Listed $249,500 FORTMLS
- 2026-03-05 Price Changed $229,000 FORTMLS
- 2026-01-02 Price Changed $249,500 FORTMLS
- 2025-11-02 Listed $262,000 FORTMLS
- 2019-01-16 Sold (Public Records) $99,750 Public Records
- 2018-12-20 Sold (MLS) $99,750 FORTMLS
- 2018-11-12 Pending — FORTMLS
- 2018-08-22 Price Changed $124,000 FORTMLS
- 2018-08-03 Price Changed $134,000 FORTMLS
- 2018-08-02 Price Changed $144,000 FORTMLS
- 2018-03-29 Listed $160,000 FORTMLS
- 1993-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $118,600 Public Records
Property tax history
+2.6%/yrLatest (2025): $2,947 · +3.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…