13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #51 · King City, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 92°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 14 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 12 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 13 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.9/10.0
- Livability +4.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.4/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$162,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Welcome to this rare 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,782sqft home on a corner lot. Located at Mountain View Mobile Estates, an all ages mobile home community. Walk into a fresh remodel that includes a brand-new roof, fully remodeled kitchen, new bathrooms, new flooring, and more. The bright, open layout offers great flow for everyday living. Enjoy hosting in your massive living room open to the kitchen with a large center island, ample space for dining room table. Enjoy 4 generously sized bedrooms with closets and a larger than normal primary bedroom with full bath. The corner lot provides added space and privacy. Outside you have a nice yard space with storage shed. A must see property with hard-to-find space and a fully move in ready atmosphere. Space rent is $1,425 am month.
Key facts
- Massive living room
- New flooring
- Fresh remodel
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $162k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($3k rent vs $162k).
- Recommended offer: $143k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 15.5% vs local median 2.7% in King City — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 85/100 on livability (#24 in OR, #539 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: crime A+, commute A+, housing A+.
- Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J (suburban): math 47% / reading 65% proficiency, ranked #6 of 58 in OR (top 10%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.4%/yr); 422 active listings in the ZIP; 11 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 12d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 2,224 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (242 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 35% of the median local income ($98k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at +33% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 0.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~4 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 132 days — a 12% lower offer ($143k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $162k implies a 325% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 132 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.76% ✓
- Cap rate
- 15.49%
- Cash-on-cash
- 32.84%
- DSCR
- 2.46
- GRM
- 4.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $100,844
- List price
- $162,000
- Delta
- 60.64%
- Verdict
- OVERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #146 | 0.08mi | 3/2.0 | 1,728 (-3%) | 0mo | $115,000 | $67 | 91 |
| 13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #66 | 0.15mi | 3/2.0 | 1,684 (-6%) | 1mo | $120,000 | $71 | 83 |
| 13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #130 | 0.18mi | 3/2.0 | 1,810 (+2%) | 12mo | $116,000 | $64 | 79 |
| 13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #149 | 0.07mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,596 (-10%) | 9mo | $146,020 | $91 | 67 |
| 13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #27 | 0.03mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,915 (+8%) | 19mo | $100,000 | $52 | 65 |
| 13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #1 | 0.24mi | 3/2.0 | 1,525 (-14%) | 1mo | $199,000 | $130 | 64 |
| 13620 SW Beef Bend Rd #85 | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 | 1,600 (-10%) | 20mo | $170,000 | $106 | 59 |
| 17123 SW Eldorado Dr | 0.65mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-12%) | 2mo | $129,985 | $83 | 48 |
| 17106 SW Eldorado Dr | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-12%) | 22mo | $162,985 | $104 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 24.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.98×
- Total profit
- $44,416
- Equity at exit
- $24,155
- IRR
- 30.6%
- Equity multiple
- 3.38×
- Total profit
- $108,035
- Equity at exit
- $14,007
Cash invested: $45,360 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97224
- Rents YoY
- -0.4%
- Active inventory
- 422
- Price-to-rent
- 4.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,857 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$850
- Tax from tax record
- −$99 /mo · $1,188/yr
- Insurance
- −$68
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$600
- Net cashflow
- $1,241
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,333 | -5% $1,287 | +0% $1,241 | +5% $1,195 | +10% $1,150 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,016 | -5% $1,128 | +0% $1,241 | +5% $1,354 | +10% $1,467 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,323 | -0.5pp $1,283 | base $1,241 | +0.5pp $1,199 | +1.0pp $1,157 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $40,500
- Closing costs
- $4,860
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 11 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16903 SW 133rd Ter Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1665 | $2,845 | $1.71 | 12d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 17335 SW Montague Way Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1687 | $3,175 | $1.88 | 0d | 1 | 0.39mi |
| 13660 SW Wrightwood Ct Portland, OR | 4.0 | 3.5 | 2335 | $3,499 | $1.50 | 5d | 1 | 0.47mi |
| 14660 SW Mulberry Dr Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2600 | $3,295 | $1.27 | 23d | 1 | 0.62mi |
| 17865 SW Pacific Hwy Tualatin, OR | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 970 | $2,242 | $2.31 | 3d | 13 | 0.80mi |
| 15050 SW 141st Ave Portland, OR | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2051 | $3,495 | $1.70 | 19d | 1 | 0.80mi |
| 15205 SW 119th Ave Portland, OR | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1650 | $2,150 | $1.30 | 21d | 1 | 1.03mi |
| 11865 SW Tualatin Rd Tualatin, OR | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0–2.5 | 1154 | $2,737 | $2.37 | 0d | 18 | 1.03mi |
| 12099 SW Aspen Ridge Dr Portland, OR | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2341 | $10,000 | $4.27 | 19d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 12712 SW Rocky Mountain Ct Portland, OR | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2450 | $2,995 | $1.22 | 45d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 11050 SW Lucas Dr Tualatin, OR | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2280 | $2,990 | $1.31 | 0d | 1 | 1.36mi |
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-17status $162,000 Pending 132 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $162,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $162,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $162,000 Active 130 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $162,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $162,000 Active 124 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $162,000 Active 123 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $162,000 Active 122 DOM
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2026-06-05days on market $162,000 Active 119 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $162,000 Active 118 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $162,000 Active 117 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $162,000 Active 116 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $162,000 Active 115 DOM
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2026-05-19price $162,000 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Welcome to this rare 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,782sqft home on a corner lot. Located at Mountain View Mobile Estates, an all ages mobile home community. Walk into a fresh remodel that includes a brand-new roof, fully remodeled kitchen, new bathrooms, new flooring, and more. The bright, open layout offers great flow for everyday living. Enjoy hosting in your massive living room open to the kitchen with a large center island, ample space for dining room table. Enjoy 4 generously sized bedrooms with closets and a larger than normal primary bedroom with full bath. The corner lot provides added space and privacy. Outside you have a nice yard space with storage shed. A must see property with hard-to-find space and a fully move in ready atmosphere. Space rent is $1,425 am month.
-
2026-04-13price $169,000 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Welcome to this rare 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,782sqft home on a corner lot. Located at Mountain View Mobile Estates, an all ages mobile home community. Walk into a fresh remodel that includes a brand-new roof, fully remodeled kitchen, new bathrooms, new flooring, and more. The bright, open layout offers great flow for everyday living. Enjoy hosting in your massive living room open to the kitchen with a large center island, ample space for dining room table. Enjoy 4 generously sized bedrooms with closets and a larger than normal primary bedroom with full bath. The corner lot provides added space and privacy. Outside you have a nice yard space with storage shed. A must see property with hard-to-find space and a fully move in ready atmosphere. Space rent is $1,425 am month.
-
2026-03-23price $175,000 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Welcome to this rare 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,782sqft home on a corner lot. Located at Mountain View Mobile Estates, an all ages mobile home community. Walk into a fresh remodel that includes a brand-new roof, fully remodeled kitchen, new bathrooms, new flooring, and more. The bright, open layout offers great flow for everyday living. Enjoy hosting in your massive living room open to the kitchen with a large center island, ample space for dining room table. Enjoy 4 generously sized bedrooms with closets and a larger than normal primary bedroom with full bath. The corner lot provides added space and privacy. Outside you have a nice yard space with storage shed. A must see property with hard-to-find space and a fully move in ready atmosphere. Space rent is $1,425 am month.
-
2026-01-24$180,000 Active 781-char remark
Show marketing remark (781 chars)
Welcome to this rare 4 bedroom, 2 bathroom, 1,782sqft home on a corner lot. Located at Mountain View Mobile Estates, an all ages mobile home community. Walk into a fresh remodel that includes a brand-new roof, fully remodeled kitchen, new bathrooms, new flooring, and more. The bright, open layout offers great flow for everyday living. Enjoy hosting in your massive living room open to the kitchen with a large center island, ample space for dining room table. Enjoy 4 generously sized bedrooms with closets and a larger than normal primary bedroom with full bath. The corner lot provides added space and privacy. Outside you have a nice yard space with storage shed. A must see property with hard-to-find space and a fully move in ready atmosphere. Space rent is $1,425 am month.
-
1989-02-05soldstatus $38,110
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,188 · $99/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,571 · $131/mo
- Expected delta
- +$383/yr (+$32/mo · 32.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥92°F today · 14 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 12 unhealthy d/yr today · 13 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $34,290
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,075
- − Property taxes
- −$1,188
- − Insurance
- −$810
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,743
- − Management
- −$2,743
- − Depreciation
- −$4,713
- Taxable income
- $13,018
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,124
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,772/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Tigard-Tualatin SD 23J
- NCES district ID
- 4112240
- Math proficiency
- 47% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 65% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $60,739
- Composite
- 48.72/100
- National rank
- #2100
- State rank
- #6 of 58 in OR
Livability — King City
- Score
- 85/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #539
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- King City, OR
- County
- Washington County · 583,254 people
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- Population (ZIP)
- 36,569
- Household income
- $98,125
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1468.0
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 674,042 people
- By 2030
- 721,804 · +7.1%
- By 2040
- 812,732 · +20.6%
- By 2050
- 895,143 · +32.8%
- By 2075
- 1,058,806 · +57.1%
- By 2100
- 1,131,692 · +67.9%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (73%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 73% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 8% Asian 8% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 7%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3%
- Foreign-born
- 13% · Canada, Vietnam, China
- Languages at home
- 83% English-only · Spanish 7% Other Indo-European 3% Vietnamese 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid D (+34.0) · D 65.3% · R 31.3% · Other 3.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +11.8pp toward D · 2008: 22.1pp · 2024: 34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+34.0 2020: D+34.6 2016: D+26.7 2012: D+17.5 2008: D+22.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -287.40%
- Current HPI
- 277.57
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.38%
- Metro
- Portland-Vancouver-Hillsboro, OR-WA
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+325.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-19 Price Changed $162,000 RMLS
- 2026-04-13 Price Changed $169,000 RMLS
- 2026-03-23 Price Changed $175,000 RMLS
- 2026-01-24 Listed $180,000 RMLS
- 1989-02-05 Sold (Public Records) $38,110 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.0%/yrLatest (2025): $1,188 · +10.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…