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507 W Jackson St
B- Composite 69.41
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$32,500

507 W Jackson St · Athens, IL 62613
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,952 sqft · Other public records · 289 Days on market
Built 1920 0.80 ac lot $17/sqft · 79% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This home is a great opportunity for the investor or a home owner that is knowledgeable in home rehab. This 1,952 Sqft home is a duplex that consists of a 2 bedroom 1 bath with nice size laundry in the main home (1,192 Sqft) and a 2 bedroom with 1 bath in the 2nd unit with a entry door off the driveway (832 sqft). This home sits on a park like setting lot that is just under an acres with lots of shade and just a few blocks from Downtown Athens. The home has been cleaned out and is ready to be completely rehabbed to fit the needs of the new owner.

Key facts

  • Laundry
  • 0.8 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots

Tags

LAUNDRYPARK LIKE SETTING LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $32k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
  • Recommended offer: $29k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#267 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
  • Athens CUSD 213 (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #162 of 620 in IL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Menard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $225 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $975 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Menard County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 289 days — a 12% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $24k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $28,600 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 289 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.72%
Cap rate
32.80%
Cash-on-cash
94.68%
DSCR
5.21
GRM
2.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$154,720
List price
$32,500
Delta
-78.99%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
95.6%
Equity multiple
5.45×
Total profit
$40,490
Equity at exit
$4,846
10-year hold
IRR
98.3%
Equity multiple
11.36×
Total profit
$94,247
Equity at exit
$2,810

Cash invested: $9,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62613

Home prices YoY
-29.2%
Active inventory
21
Price-to-rent
2.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,208 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$170
Tax from tax record
$52 /mo · $627/yr
Insurance
$14
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$254
Net cashflow
$718

Break-even live

Break-even rent $299
Max offer price $32,500
Occupancy floor 36%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $736 -5% $727 +0% $718 +5% $709 +10% $700
Rent -10% $623 -5% $670 +0% $718 +5% $766 +10% $813
Rate -1.0pp $734 -0.5pp $726 base $718 +0.5pp $710 +1.0pp $701

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,125
Closing costs
$975
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 21 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $32,500 Active 289 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $32,500 Active 287 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $32,500 Active 286 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $32,500 Active 285 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $32,500 Active 284 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $32,500 Active 282 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $32,500 Active 281 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $32,500 Active 278 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $32,500 Active 277 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $32,500 Active 276 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $32,500 Active 274 DOM
  12. 2026-06-04
    days on market $32,500 Active 272 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $32,500 Active 271 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $32,500 Active 270 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $32,500 Active 269 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $32,500 Active 268 DOM
  17. 2026-03-09
    price $32,500 555-char remark
    Show marketing remark (555 chars)

    This home is a great opportunity for the investor or a home owner that is knowledgeable in home rehab. This 1,952 Sqft home is a duplex that consists of a 2 bedroom 1 bath with nice size laundry in the main home (1,192 Sqft) and a 2 bedroom with 1 bath in the 2nd unit with a entry door off the driveway (832 sqft). This home sits on a park like setting lot that is just under an acres with lots of shade and just a few blocks from Downtown Athens. The home has been cleaned out and is ready to be completely rehabbed to fit the needs of the new owner.

  18. 2025-09-04
    listed $36,500 Active 555-char remark
    Show marketing remark (555 chars)

    This home is a great opportunity for the investor or a home owner that is knowledgeable in home rehab. This 1,952 Sqft home is a duplex that consists of a 2 bedroom 1 bath with nice size laundry in the main home (1,192 Sqft) and a 2 bedroom with 1 bath in the 2nd unit with a entry door off the driveway (832 sqft). This home sits on a park like setting lot that is just under an acres with lots of shade and just a few blocks from Downtown Athens. The home has been cleaned out and is ready to be completely rehabbed to fit the needs of the new owner.

  19. 2025-07-11
    historical
  20. 2024-08-15
    listed Active
  21. 2018-10-31
    soldstatus $24,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$627 · $52/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$683 · $57/mo
Expected delta
+$55/yr (+$5/mo · 8.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,495
− Mortgage interest
−$1,821
− Property taxes
−$627
− Insurance
−$162
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,160
− Management
−$1,160
− Depreciation
−$945
Taxable income
$8,620
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,069
After-tax cash flow
$6,547/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Athens CUSD 213
NCES district ID
1704470
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
42% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$70,172
Composite
32.64/100
National rank
#5663
State rank
#162 of 620 in IL

Livability — Athens

Score
73/100
State rank
#267
US rank
#5018

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Athens, IL
Population (ZIP)
3,659

Population outlook (Menard County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
11,894 people
By 2030
11,493 · -3.4%
By 2040
10,675 · -10.2%
By 2050
9,861 · -17.1%
By 2075
8,334 · -29.9%
By 2100
6,799 · -42.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (94%)
Race & ethnicity
White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 7% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada, Jamaica

Political lean MEDSL · Menard

2024 margin
Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.6% · R 70.0% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -41.5pp
All cycles
2024: R+41.5 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+14.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -59.96%
Current HPI
145.3111
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+35.4% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-09 Price Changed $32,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-09-04 Listed $36,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-07-11 Listing Removed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2024-08-15 Listed RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2018-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records

Property tax history

-8.7%/yr

Latest (2024): $627 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…