507 W Jackson St · Athens, IL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $804 – $1,492
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 104°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 2.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Schools +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$32,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This home is a great opportunity for the investor or a home owner that is knowledgeable in home rehab. This 1,952 Sqft home is a duplex that consists of a 2 bedroom 1 bath with nice size laundry in the main home (1,192 Sqft) and a 2 bedroom with 1 bath in the 2nd unit with a entry door off the driveway (832 sqft). This home sits on a park like setting lot that is just under an acres with lots of shade and just a few blocks from Downtown Athens. The home has been cleaned out and is ready to be completely rehabbed to fit the needs of the new owner.
Key facts
- Laundry
- 0.8 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath other listed at $32k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $718 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $32k).
- Recommended offer: $29k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#267 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, employment B+; Watch: schools D+, amenities F, commute F.
- Athens CUSD 213 (rural): math 29% / reading 42% proficiency, ranked #162 of 620 in IL (top 26%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 21 active listings in the ZIP; 9 units permitted in Menard County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $225 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $975 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Menard County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $9k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 289 days — a 12% lower offer ($29k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $4k (11%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $24k; 35% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 289 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.72% ✓
- Cap rate
- 32.80%
- Cash-on-cash
- 94.68%
- DSCR
- 5.21
- GRM
- 2.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,720
- List price
- $32,500
- Delta
- -78.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 95.6%
- Equity multiple
- 5.45×
- Total profit
- $40,490
- Equity at exit
- $4,846
- IRR
- 98.3%
- Equity multiple
- 11.36×
- Total profit
- $94,247
- Equity at exit
- $2,810
Cash invested: $9,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
- State Illinois
- 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 62613
- Home prices YoY
- -29.2%
- Active inventory
- 21
- Price-to-rent
- 2.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,208 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$170
- Tax from tax record
- −$52 /mo · $627/yr
- Insurance
- −$14
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$254
- Net cashflow
- $718
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $736 | -5% $727 | +0% $718 | +5% $709 | +10% $700 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $623 | -5% $670 | +0% $718 | +5% $766 | +10% $813 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $734 | -0.5pp $726 | base $718 | +0.5pp $710 | +1.0pp $701 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $8,125
- Closing costs
- $975
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 21 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $32,500 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $32,500 Active 287 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $32,500 Active 286 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $32,500 Active 285 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $32,500 Active 284 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $32,500 Active 282 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $32,500 Active 281 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $32,500 Active 278 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $32,500 Active 277 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $32,500 Active 276 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $32,500 Active 274 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $32,500 Active 272 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $32,500 Active 271 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $32,500 Active 270 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $32,500 Active 269 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $32,500 Active 268 DOM
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2026-03-09price $32,500 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
This home is a great opportunity for the investor or a home owner that is knowledgeable in home rehab. This 1,952 Sqft home is a duplex that consists of a 2 bedroom 1 bath with nice size laundry in the main home (1,192 Sqft) and a 2 bedroom with 1 bath in the 2nd unit with a entry door off the driveway (832 sqft). This home sits on a park like setting lot that is just under an acres with lots of shade and just a few blocks from Downtown Athens. The home has been cleaned out and is ready to be completely rehabbed to fit the needs of the new owner.
-
2025-09-04$36,500 Active 555-char remark
Show marketing remark (555 chars)
This home is a great opportunity for the investor or a home owner that is knowledgeable in home rehab. This 1,952 Sqft home is a duplex that consists of a 2 bedroom 1 bath with nice size laundry in the main home (1,192 Sqft) and a 2 bedroom with 1 bath in the 2nd unit with a entry door off the driveway (832 sqft). This home sits on a park like setting lot that is just under an acres with lots of shade and just a few blocks from Downtown Athens. The home has been cleaned out and is ready to be completely rehabbed to fit the needs of the new owner.
-
2025-07-11historical
-
2024-08-15Active
-
2018-10-31soldstatus $24,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $627 · $52/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $683 · $57/mo
- Expected delta
- +$55/yr (+$5/mo · 8.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥104°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 2% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,495
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,821
- − Property taxes
- −$627
- − Insurance
- −$162
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,160
- − Management
- −$1,160
- − Depreciation
- −$945
- Taxable income
- $8,620
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,069
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,547/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Athens CUSD 213
- NCES district ID
- 1704470
- Math proficiency
- 29% ▼ -7.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 42% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $70,172
- Composite
- 32.64/100
- National rank
- #5663
- State rank
- #162 of 620 in IL
Livability — Athens
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #267
- US rank
- #5018
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Athens, IL
- Population (ZIP)
- 3,659
Population outlook (Menard County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 11,894 people
- By 2030
- 11,493 · -3.4%
- By 2040
- 10,675 · -10.2%
- By 2050
- 9,861 · -17.1%
- By 2075
- 8,334 · -29.9%
- By 2100
- 6,799 · -42.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Hispanic / Latino 3% Two or more races 2% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 7% Serbian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada, Jamaica
Political lean MEDSL · Menard
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.5) · D 28.6% · R 70.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.6pp toward R · 2008: -14.9pp · 2024: -41.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.5 2020: R+39.4 2016: R+37.7 2012: R+30.1 2008: R+14.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -59.96%
- Current HPI
- 145.3111
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.59%
- F500 in state
- 60
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 4 | $201B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 4 | $87B |
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $64B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $55B |
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| Retail / Pharmacy | 1 | $148B |
|
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| Agriculture / Food | 1 | $86B |
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Price history
+35.4% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Price Changed $32,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-09-04 Listed $36,500 RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2025-07-11 Listing Removed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2024-08-15 Listed — RMLSA as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2018-10-31 Sold (Public Records) $24,000 Public Records
Property tax history
-8.7%/yrLatest (2024): $627 · +2.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…