938 Bluefield Rd · White Knoll, SC 29073

$162,500

4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,568 sqft · Manufactured public records · 5 Days on market

Built 1989 1.41 ac lot

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Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• 1% rule +7.7/10.0
• ARV discount +7.5/15.0
• Schools +4.2/10.0
• Rent growth +3.3/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks

Welcome to 938 Bluefield Road, a move-in-ready one-story de-titled mobile home set on a spacious 1.41-acre lot with no HOA. This 4-bedroom, 2-bath residence features 1,568 square feet of comfortable living space and a well-designed layout ideal for everyday living. Step inside to a large great room enhanced by luxury vinyl plank flooring installed in 2022, creating a warm and inviting central gathering area. The nearby kitchen includes stained cabinetry, ample counter space, and an adjacent eat-in area perfect for casual meals. The primary bedroom features generous space, a walk-in closet, and an ensuite bath with dual vanity sinks for added convenience. Three additional bedrooms each inclu

Key facts

• 1.41 acre lot
• Built 1989
• Listed 5 days

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $162k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $639 ($8k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $162k).

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Lexington 01 (suburban): math 42% / reading 53% proficiency, ranked #11 of 80 in SC (top 14%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
• Zoned schools: Forts Pond Elementary (math 25% / reading 25%, grade F, #447 of 597 statewide, top 76%, 468 students, 100% FRL); Pelion High (math 14% / reading 77%, grade D-, #164 of 196 statewide, top 84%, 727 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 83% FRL vs 30% district-wide (52 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
• Zoned-school proficiency averages 35% at this address vs 48% district-wide (-12 pts) — the specific schools serving this property underperform the Lexington 01 average; the district grade overstates school quality for this exact location.
• Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.2%/yr); 564 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($77k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.2% rent growth), your $46k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• Only 5 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
• 2 sale attempts since 4y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
• Current owner paid $135k; 20% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 64% chance of damaging wind over 30y; major wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $162,500

Questions for the listing agent

1. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
2. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
3. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
4. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.27% ✓
• Cap rate: 11.01%
• Cash-on-cash: 16.85%
• DSCR: 1.75
• GRM: 6.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.24% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 8.3%
• Equity multiple: 1.33×
• Total profit: $14,809
• Equity at exit: $24,229

10-year hold

• IRR: 17.7%
• Equity multiple: 2.48×
• Total profit: $67,138
• Equity at exit: $14,050

Cash invested: $45,500 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
• State South Carolina: 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

5-day notice; preempted; landlord-favorable.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 29073

• Home prices YoY: -19.1%
• Rents YoY: 3.2%
• Active inventory: 564
• Price-to-rent: 6.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $2,058 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$852
• Tax from tax record: −$67 /mo · $807/yr
• Insurance: −$68
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$432
• Net cashflow: $639

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,249

Max offer price $162,500

Occupancy floor 64%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $40,625
• Closing costs: $4,875
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Listing history 10 events

1. 2026-04-13
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-08
   listed $162,500 Active
3. 2022-12-02
   soldstatus $134,900
4. 2022-10-27
   historical
5. 2022-08-27
   price $139,900
6. 2022-08-12
   listed $159,000 Active
7. 2001-10-05
   soldstatus $49,900
8. 2001-10-05
   soldstatus $49,900
9. 1998-09-01
   soldstatus $28,500
10. 1993-11-01
    soldstatus $53,900

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price

• Current annual tax: $807 · $67/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $926 · $77/mo
• Expected delta: +$120/yr (+$10/mo · 14.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 6/10 Major
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 64% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $24,699
• − Mortgage interest: −$9,103
• − Property taxes: −$807
• − Insurance: −$812
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,976
• − Management: −$1,976
• − Depreciation: −$4,727
• Taxable income: $5,299
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$1,272
• After-tax cash flow: $6,396/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Lexington 01
• NCES district ID: 4502700
• Math proficiency: 42% ▼ -12.00%
• Reading proficiency: 53% ▼ -2.00%
• Median HH income: $61,298
• Composite: 41.75/100
• National rank: #3399
• State rank: #11 of 80 in SC

Livability — White Knoll

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• County: Lexington County · 232,571 people
• City population: 51,471
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• Population (ZIP): 53,156
• Household income: $77,229
• Rent vs Own: 18.3% rent · 81.7% own
• Severe rent burden: 935.0

Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 322,999 people
• By 2030: 342,356 · +6.0%
• By 2040: 377,715 · +16.9%
• By 2050: 406,984 · +26.0%
• By 2075: 465,447 · +44.1%
• By 2100: 485,674 · +50.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly White (72%)
• Race & ethnicity: White 72% Black 14% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 1%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 1%
• Foreign-born: 4% · Canada, China
• Languages at home: 93% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lexington

• 2024 margin: Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
• 2008→2024 swing: +4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
• All cycles: 2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -59.20%
• Current HPI: 249.8957
• Rent YoY: ▲ 3.24%
• Metro: Columbia, SC
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 4.51%
• F500 in state: 2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Packaging	1	$7B

Price history

+201.5% since first listed

10 events — show timeline

• 2026-04-13 Pending — Consolidated MLS
• 2026-04-08 Listed $162,500 Consolidated MLS
• 2022-12-02 Sold (Public Records) $134,900 Public Records
• 2022-10-27 Delisted — Consolidated MLS
• 2022-08-27 Price Changed $139,900 Consolidated MLS
• 2022-08-12 Listed $159,000 Consolidated MLS
• 2001-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
• 2001-10-05 Sold (Public Records) $49,900 Public Records
• 1998-09-01 Sold (Public Records) $28,500 Public Records
• 1993-11-01 Sold (Public Records) $53,900 Public Records

Property tax history

+6.8%/yr

Latest (2024): $807 · +14.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.