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11281 NE 64th Pl
B- Composite 69.24
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$40,000

11281 NE 64th Pl · East Bronson, FL 32696
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 552 sqft · Manufactured public records · 57 Days on market
Built 1985 0.48 ac lot ↓ 31% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Investment Opportunity – 2BR Mobile Home on Double Lot in Levy County! Great opportunity for investors, flippers, buy-and-hold buyers, or anyone looking for an affordable place to call home. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home sits on a spacious 0.46-acre double lot with existing utilities already in place, including water, septic, and electric. The property offers multiple exit strategies: renovate and resell, keep it as a cash-flowing rental, or subdivide the lot into two separate parcels and place a second mobile home. This has already been verified with the county, and the process is simple with no additional cost. That creates the potential for a second rental property and increas

Key facts

  • Existing utilities
  • Cash-flowing rental
  • Double lot

Tags

DOUBLE LOTEXISTING UTILITIESCASH-FLOWING RENTALPOTENTIAL FOR SECOND RENTAL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property type: Residential; Lot approximately 0.46 acres (about 1/2 acre)
  • HOA & community: No HOA/association

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected
  • Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Faces north
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Other foundation
  • Exterior features: Paved road access

Interior

  • Kitchen: No appliances listed
  • Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Laminate flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
  • Interior features: Open living room/dining room combo
  • Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups or features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $751 ($9k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
  • Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 30.8% vs local median 3.4% in East Bronson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#768 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Williston Elementary School (math 53% / reading 52%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 488 students, 71% FRL); Williston Middle High School (math 44% / reading 36%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,119 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $38,800 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
3.55%
Cap rate
30.82%
Cash-on-cash
87.61%
DSCR
4.90
GRM
2.4

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
80.7%
Equity multiple
4.70×
Total profit
$41,444
Equity at exit
$5,964
10-year hold
IRR
84.2%
Equity multiple
9.75×
Total profit
$98,017
Equity at exit
$3,458

Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32696

Home prices YoY
-6.2%
Active inventory
358
Price-to-rent
2.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,418 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$210
Tax from tax record
$76 /mo · $915/yr
Insurance
$17
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$298
Net cashflow
$751

Break-even live

Break-even rent $467
Max offer price $40,000
Occupancy floor 42%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$10,000
Closing costs
$1,200
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 20 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $40,000 Active 57 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    price $40,000 Active 56 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $45,000 Active 56 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $45,000 Active 55 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $45,000 Active 54 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $45,000 Active 52 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $45,000 Active 51 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $45,000 Active 49 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $45,000 Active 48 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $45,000 Active 47 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $45,000 Active 46 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $45,000 Active 43 DOM
  13. 2026-06-03
    days on market $45,000 Active 42 DOM
  14. 2026-06-02
    days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
  15. 2026-06-01
    days on market $45,000 Active 40 DOM
  16. 2026-05-31
    days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
  17. 2026-05-30
    days on market $45,000 Active 38 DOM
  18. 2026-05-09
    price $45,000
  19. 2026-05-02
    price $55,000
  20. 2026-04-22
    listed $65,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$915 · $76/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$915 · $76/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,018
− Mortgage interest
−$2,241
− Property taxes
−$915
− Insurance
−$998
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,361
− Management
−$1,361
− Depreciation
−$1,164
Taxable income
$8,979
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,155
After-tax cash flow
$6,860/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Levy
NCES district ID
1201140
Math proficiency
45% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$35,254
Composite
36.42/100
National rank
#4673
State rank
#54 of 73 in FL

Livability — East Bronson

Score
62/100
State rank
#768
US rank
#17230

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety D User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Population (ZIP)
14,532

Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
36,536 people
By 2030
34,498 · -5.6%
By 2040
30,294 · -17.1%
By 2050
26,368 · -27.8%
By 2075
19,003 · -48.0%
By 2100
13,169 · -64.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (69%)
Race & ethnicity
White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 13% Two or more races 7%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Levy

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
2008→2024 swing
-23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -21.99%
Current HPI
335.7751
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-30.8% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Price Changed $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-02 Price Changed $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-22 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+7.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $915 · +31.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…