11281 NE 64th Pl · East Bronson, FL
Flood risk 8/10 · Major
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 23 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +3.6/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$40,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investment Opportunity – 2BR Mobile Home on Double Lot in Levy County! Great opportunity for investors, flippers, buy-and-hold buyers, or anyone looking for an affordable place to call home. This 2-bedroom, 1-bath mobile home sits on a spacious 0.46-acre double lot with existing utilities already in place, including water, septic, and electric. The property offers multiple exit strategies: renovate and resell, keep it as a cash-flowing rental, or subdivide the lot into two separate parcels and place a second mobile home. This has already been verified with the county, and the process is simple with no additional cost. That creates the potential for a second rental property and increas
Key facts
- Existing utilities
- Cash-flowing rental
- Double lot
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Property type: Residential; Lot approximately 0.46 acres (about 1/2 acre)
- HOA & community: No HOA/association
Exterior
- Utilities: Public water; Septic tank sewer; Electricity connected
- Home design: Manufactured home (single wide); One story; Faces north
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Other foundation
- Exterior features: Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: No appliances listed
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms
- Flooring: Laminate flooring
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: No heating; No cooling
- Interior features: Open living room/dining room combo
- Laundry & utility: No laundry hookups or features
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath manufactured listed at $40k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $751 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $40k).
- Recommended offer: $39k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 30.8% vs local median 3.4% in East Bronson — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#768 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety D, amenities F, commute F.
- Levy (rural): math 45% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #54 of 73 in FL (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Williston Elementary School (math 53% / reading 52%, grade C-, #976 of 2,144 statewide, top 46%, 488 students, 71% FRL); Williston Middle High School (math 44% / reading 36%, grade F, #296 of 667 statewide, top 45%, 1,119 students, 60% FRL) — zoned schools at 66% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: 358 active listings in the ZIP; 199 units permitted in Levy County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $277 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Levy County population projected at -28% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $11k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($39k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→23/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.55% ✓
- Cap rate
- 30.82%
- Cash-on-cash
- 87.61%
- DSCR
- 4.90
- GRM
- 2.4
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 80.7%
- Equity multiple
- 4.70×
- Total profit
- $41,444
- Equity at exit
- $5,964
- IRR
- 84.2%
- Equity multiple
- 9.75×
- Total profit
- $98,017
- Equity at exit
- $3,458
Cash invested: $11,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32696
- Home prices YoY
- -6.2%
- Active inventory
- 358
- Price-to-rent
- 2.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,418 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$210
- Tax from tax record
- −$76 /mo · $915/yr
- Insurance
- −$17
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$298
- Net cashflow
- $751
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $10,000
- Closing costs
- $1,200
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 20 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $40,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18price $40,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $45,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $45,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $45,000 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $45,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $45,000 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $45,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $45,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $45,000 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $45,000 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $45,000 Active 43 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $45,000 Active 42 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $45,000 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $45,000 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $45,000 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $45,000 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-09price $45,000
-
2026-05-02price $55,000
-
2026-04-22$65,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $915 · $76/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $915 · $76/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 8/10 Severe FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 23 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,018
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,241
- − Property taxes
- −$915
- − Insurance
- −$998
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,361
- − Management
- −$1,361
- − Depreciation
- −$1,164
- Taxable income
- $8,979
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,155
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,860/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Levy
- NCES district ID
- 1201140
- Math proficiency
- 45% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 43% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $35,254
- Composite
- 36.42/100
- National rank
- #4673
- State rank
- #54 of 73 in FL
Livability — East Bronson
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #768
- US rank
- #17230
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,532
Population outlook (Levy County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 36,536 people
- By 2030
- 34,498 · -5.6%
- By 2040
- 30,294 · -17.1%
- By 2050
- 26,368 · -27.8%
- By 2075
- 19,003 · -48.0%
- By 2100
- 13,169 · -64.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (69%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 69% Hispanic / Latino 13% Black 13% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 4% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 4% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 10% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Levy
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+50.3) · D 24.6% · R 74.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -23.3pp toward R · 2008: -26.9pp · 2024: -50.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+50.3 2020: R+45.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+32.2 2008: R+26.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -21.99%
- Current HPI
- 335.7751
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-30.8% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-09 Price Changed $45,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-05-02 Price Changed $55,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-22 Listed $65,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+7.8%/yrLatest (2025): $915 · +31.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…