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315 E Prairie St
B+ Composite 75.93
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +25.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +8.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.6/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.5/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$130,000

315 E Prairie St · Jerseyville, IL 62052
4 bd · 2.5 ba · 2,260 sqft · SingleFamily · 52 Days on market
Built 1920 9,901 sqft lot $58/sqft · 33% below area Est $193k · 33% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large home with 2,260 sq. ft. that have as many as 4 or 5 bedrooms and 2 1/2 baths. Large eat-in kitchen with large pantry. Laundry on main level. Attached 1 car garage. This home has been winterized. New roof 2012, new windows in 2005. Covered front porch & enclosed back porch with laundry & 1/2 bath. Fenced in yard. Before making an offer on any property, Buyer/Buyer's agent should independently verify all MARIS/MLS information and data, which is derived from various sources and not warranted as accurate.

Key facts

  • Walk-in closet
  • High ceilings
  • Walk-in pantry

Tags

HIGH CEILINGSPRIMARY BEDROOM SUITEWALK-IN CLOSETWALK-IN PANTRYPRIVACY-FENCED BACKYARDATTACHED ONE-CAR GARAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Attached garage (1-car), approximately 13x18
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren; Electricity, sewer and water connected
  • Home design: Single family residence; Residential property; Two and a half levels; Entry faces front (front porch entry)
  • Construction: Aluminum siding; Stone foundation; Basement (full, unfinished)
  • Exterior features: Covered, enclosed front porch; Porch; Private yard; Privacy wood fencing; Back yard; Level lot

Interior

  • Kitchen: Walk-in pantry
  • Bedrooms: Four bedrooms total with one on the main level and three on the upper level
  • Flooring: Combination of flooring types; Wood floors
  • Bathrooms: Two full bathrooms and one half bathroom; Main level has one full and one half; upper level has one full
  • Heating & cooling: Baseboard heating; Hot water heating; Window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: High ceilings; Master bedroom on main level; Walk-in closet(s); Walk-in pantry
  • Laundry & utility: Main level laundry room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $130k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $290 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $130k).
  • Recommended offer: $126k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.0% vs local median 4.6% in Jerseyville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 72/100 on livability (#327 in IL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: health & safety C-, amenities D+, commute F.
  • Jersey CUSD 100 (town): math 25% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #260 of 620 in IL (top 42%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
  • Market conditions: 91 active listings in the ZIP; 101 units permitted in Jersey County in 2024 (68 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $14k of equity ($899 loan paydown + $13k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Jersey County population projected at -24% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $36k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 3, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 52 days — a 3% lower offer ($126k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $86k; list at $130k implies a 51% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1920 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $126,100 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 52 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1920 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.97%
Cash-on-cash
9.55%
DSCR
1.42
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$193,162
List price
$130,000
Delta
-32.70%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
208 E Arch St 0.09mi 4/2.0 2,226 (-2%) 10mo $240,000 $108 83
906 E Prairie St 0.56mi 4/2.0 2,272 (+0%) 0mo $172,000 $76 71
205 W Barr Ave 0.40mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,200 (-3%) 6mo $209,900 $95 65
713 N State St 0.52mi 4/2.5 2,400 (+6%) 6mo $249,900 $104 60
502 Stryker Ave 0.44mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,363 (+5%) 20mo $218,900 $93 49
614 Cleveland St 0.69mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,179 (-4%) 9mo $195,000 $89 48
502 N State St 0.43mi 4/1.5 1,928 (-15%) 9mo $139,900 $73 44
605 W Pearl St 0.62mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,007 (-11%) 3mo $177,000 $88 43
414 S Arch 0.53mi 4/2.0 2,000 (-12%) 18mo $165,000 $83 39

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
31.3%
Equity multiple
3.45×
Total profit
$89,261
Equity at exit
$117,114
10-year hold
IRR
27.0%
Equity multiple
7.82×
Total profit
$248,375
Equity at exit
$252,561

Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
State Illinois
43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

ZIP-level market 62052

Home prices YoY
10.2%
Active inventory
91
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,482 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$682
Tax from tax record
$146 /mo · $1,748/yr
Insurance
$54
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$311
Net cashflow
$290

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,116
Max offer price $130,000
Occupancy floor 75%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $363 -5% $326 +0% $290 +5% $253 +10% $216
Rent -10% $173 -5% $231 +0% $290 +5% $348 +10% $407
Rate -1.0pp $355 -0.5pp $323 base $290 +0.5pp $256 +1.0pp $222

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$32,500
Closing costs
$3,900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 27 events

  1. 2026-06-21
    days on market $130,000 Active 52 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $130,000 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $130,000 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $130,000 Active 47 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $130,000 Active 46 DOM
  6. 2026-06-13
    days on market $130,000 Active 44 DOM
  7. 2026-06-09
    days on market $130,000 Active 40 DOM
  8. 2026-06-08
    days on market $130,000 Active 39 DOM
  9. 2026-06-07
    days on market $130,000 Active 38 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    days on market $130,000 Active 34 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $130,000 Active 33 DOM
  12. 2026-06-02
    status $130,000 Active 32 DOM
  13. 2026-06-01
    days on market $130,000 Active Under Contract 32 DOM
  14. 2026-05-31
    days on market $130,000 Active Under Contract 31 DOM
  15. 2026-04-30
    listed $130,000 Active 884-char remark
  16. 2026-03-10
    status Active
  17. 2025-11-24
    price $135,000
  18. 2025-10-19
    price $140,000
  19. 2025-10-08
    listed $146,000 Active
  20. 2020-03-17
    soldstatus Closed
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Large home with 2,260 sq. ft. that have as many as 4 or 5 bedrooms and 2 1/2 baths. Large eat-in kitchen with large pantry. Laundry on main level. Attached 1 car garage. This home has been winterized. New roof 2012, new windows in 2005. Covered front porch & enclosed back porch with laundry & 1/2 bath. Fenced in yard. Before making an offer on any property, Buyer/Buyer's agent should independently verify all MARIS/MLS information and data, which is derived from various sources and not warranted as accurate.

  21. 2020-03-17
    soldstatus $86,000
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Large home with 2,260 sq. ft. that have as many as 4 or 5 bedrooms and 2 1/2 baths. Large eat-in kitchen with large pantry. Laundry on main level. Attached 1 car garage. This home has been winterized. New roof 2012, new windows in 2005. Covered front porch & enclosed back porch with laundry & 1/2 bath. Fenced in yard. Before making an offer on any property, Buyer/Buyer's agent should independently verify all MARIS/MLS information and data, which is derived from various sources and not warranted as accurate.

  22. 2020-03-16
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Large home with 2,260 sq. ft. that have as many as 4 or 5 bedrooms and 2 1/2 baths. Large eat-in kitchen with large pantry. Laundry on main level. Attached 1 car garage. This home has been winterized. New roof 2012, new windows in 2005. Covered front porch & enclosed back porch with laundry & 1/2 bath. Fenced in yard. Before making an offer on any property, Buyer/Buyer's agent should independently verify all MARIS/MLS information and data, which is derived from various sources and not warranted as accurate.

  23. 2020-02-04
    historical Active Under Contract
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Large home with 2,260 sq. ft. that have as many as 4 or 5 bedrooms and 2 1/2 baths. Large eat-in kitchen with large pantry. Laundry on main level. Attached 1 car garage. This home has been winterized. New roof 2012, new windows in 2005. Covered front porch & enclosed back porch with laundry & 1/2 bath. Fenced in yard. Before making an offer on any property, Buyer/Buyer's agent should independently verify all MARIS/MLS information and data, which is derived from various sources and not warranted as accurate.

  24. 2019-09-16
    listed $86,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (520 chars)

    Large home with 2,260 sq. ft. that have as many as 4 or 5 bedrooms and 2 1/2 baths. Large eat-in kitchen with large pantry. Laundry on main level. Attached 1 car garage. This home has been winterized. New roof 2012, new windows in 2005. Covered front porch & enclosed back porch with laundry & 1/2 bath. Fenced in yard. Before making an offer on any property, Buyer/Buyer's agent should independently verify all MARIS/MLS information and data, which is derived from various sources and not warranted as accurate.

  25. 2016-09-02
    historical
  26. 2016-05-04
    listed $96,900 Active
  27. 2003-03-04
    soldstatus $79,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,748 · $146/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,349 · $196/mo
Expected delta
+$602/yr (+$50/mo · 34.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥105°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,790
− Mortgage interest
−$7,282
− Property taxes
−$1,748
− Insurance
−$650
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,423
− Management
−$1,423
− Depreciation
−$3,782
Taxable income
$1,482
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$356
After-tax cash flow
$3,120/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Jersey CUSD 100
NCES district ID
1720430
Math proficiency
25% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
32% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$52,066
Composite
25.13/100
National rank
#7522
State rank
#260 of 620 in IL

Livability — Jerseyville

Score
72/100
State rank
#327
US rank
#6498

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A Employment C+ Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Jerseyville, IL
City population
12,483
Population (ZIP)
12,483

Population outlook (Jersey County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,031 people
By 2030
20,138 · -4.2%
By 2040
18,077 · -14.0%
By 2050
15,882 · -24.5%
By 2075
11,718 · -44.3%
By 2100
8,546 · -59.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 2%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 1% Romanian 1%
Foreign-born
1% · Canada
Languages at home
99% English-only · Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Jersey

2024 margin
Solid R (+50.2) · D 24.1% · R 74.3% · Other 1.6%
2008→2024 swing
-47.5pp toward R · 2008: -2.7pp · 2024: -50.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+50.2 2020: R+48.1 2016: R+46.4 2012: R+23.9 2008: R+2.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 23.63%
Current HPI
255.48
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.59%
F500 in state
60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+64.6% since first listed
15 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-02 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $130,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-10 Relisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-11-24 Price Changed $135,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-19 Price Changed $140,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2025-10-08 Listed $146,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-17 Sold (Public Records) $86,000 Public Records
  • 2020-03-17 Sold (MLS) MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-03-16 Pending MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2020-02-04 Contingent MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-09-16 Listed $86,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-09-02 Delisted MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-05-04 Listed $96,900 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2003-03-04 Sold (Public Records) $79,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+3.2%/yr

Latest (2024): $1,748 · +6.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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