13554 Turnleaf Blvd · Punta Gorda, FL
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +13.6/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Schools +4.6/10.0
- DSCR +4.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.0/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$359,499
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
THIS HOME IS READY FOR YOU NOW!! Discover the allure of Lennar's single-family homes at Turnleaf, near boating adventures, dining and historic downtown Punta Gorda, FL. This single-story home offers versatile living, with an open design among the dining room, kitchen and family room, which lead to a covered lanai for outdoor experiences. Surrounding the space are all four bedrooms, including the lavish owner’s suite with an adjoining bathroom and a large walk-in closet. A versatile two-car garage completes the home. Prices, dimensions and features may vary and are subject to change. Photos are for illustrative purposes only.
Key facts
- Open design
- Covered lanai
- Two car garage
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/3.0-bath land listed at $359k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $17 ($205/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $323k (10.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $323k (10.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.3% vs local median 2.8% in Punta Gorda — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#225 in FL, #3,567 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, health & safety A+, housing B; Watch: cost of living D+, amenities D-, commute F.
- Charlotte (suburban): math 54% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #22 of 73 in FL (top 30%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: East Elementary School (math 67% / reading 68%, grade B+, #435 of 2,144 statewide, top 21%, 761 students, 52% FRL); Punta Gorda Middle School (math 54% / reading 52%, grade C+, #209 of 571 statewide, top 37%, 1,120 students, 41% FRL); Charlotte High School (math 44% / reading 46%, grade D-, #228 of 667 statewide, top 35%, 1,994 students, 41% FRL).
- Market conditions: 1490 active listings in the ZIP; 13 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 4,585 units permitted in Charlotte County in 2024 (703 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $3,225/mo this rent would consume 50% of the median local household income ($77k/yr) (locally 226% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Charlotte County population projected at +24% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($354k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.90% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.35%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.20%
- DSCR
- 1.01
- GRM
- 9.3
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.43×
- Total profit
- $-57,090
- Equity at exit
- $53,602
- IRR
- -7.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-48,000
- Equity at exit
- $31,083
Cash invested: $100,660 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 33955
- Home prices YoY
- -24.5%
- Active inventory
- 1490
- Price-to-rent
- 9.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $3,225 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,885
- Tax from tax record
- −$222 /mo · $2,660/yr
- Insurance
- −$150
- HOA
- −$274
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$677
- Net cashflow
- $17
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $221 | -5% $119 | +0% $17 | +5% $-85 | +10% $-186 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-238 | -5% $-110 | +0% $17 | +5% $144 | +10% $272 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $198 | -0.5pp $109 | base $17 | +0.5pp $-76 | +1.0pp $-171 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $89,875
- Closing costs
- $10,785
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 13 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13239 Turnleaf Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1874 | $2,300 | $1.23 | 15d | 1 | 0.43mi |
| 27117 Treadmill Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 5.0 | 3.0 | 2300 | $3,500 | $1.52 | 23d | 1 | 0.86mi |
| 25228 Longmeadow Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2251 | $9,500 | $4.22 | 23d | 1 | 0.93mi |
| 25199 Longmeadow Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 3.0 | 2445 | $9,500 | $3.89 | 23d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 25115 Longmeadow Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2245 | $8,500 | $3.79 | 23d | 1 | 1.05mi |
| 25078 Golden Fern Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2477 | $13,000 | $5.25 | 23d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 25222 Keygrass Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2247 | $5,000 | $2.23 | 23d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 25191 Keygrass Ct Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 2.5 | 2572 | $8,500 | $3.30 | 23d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 14051 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1280 | $6,000 | $4.69 | 23d | 2 | 1.22mi |
| 25018 Longmeadow Dr Punta Gorda, FL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2251 | $9,500 | $4.22 | 23d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 14061 Heritage Landing Blvd Punta Gorda, FL | 2.0–3.0 | 2.0 | 1302 | $6,500 | $4.99 | 23d | 3 | 1.25mi |
| 14680 Sycamore Ct #3722 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $4,000 | $1.90 | 23d | 1 | 1.47mi |
| 14132 Poppy Field Loop #4021 Punta Gorda, FL | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2110 | $6,500 | $3.08 | 23d | 1 | 1.49mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $274 · $3,288/yr
Listing history 3 events
-
2026-04-24status Pending
-
2026-04-08price $359,499
-
2026-03-25$364,499 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,660 · $222/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,984 · $249/mo
- Expected delta
- +$324/yr (+$27/mo · 12.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $38,701
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,138
- − Property taxes
- −$2,660
- − Insurance
- −$1,797
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$3,096
- − Management
- −$3,096
- − HOA
- −$3,288
- − Depreciation
- −$10,458
- Taxable loss
- −$5,833
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,400
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,605/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Charlotte
- NCES district ID
- 1200240
- Math proficiency
- 54% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 54% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,864
- Composite
- 45.62/100
- National rank
- #2586
- State rank
- #22 of 73 in FL
Livability — Punta Gorda
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #225
- US rank
- #3567
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Charlotte County · 196,994 people
- City population
- 68,831
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,399
- Household income
- $76,943
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 226.0
Population outlook (Charlotte County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 198,646 people
- By 2030
- 210,507 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 230,857 · +16.2%
- By 2050
- 247,148 · +24.4%
- By 2075
- 281,777 · +41.8%
- By 2100
- 293,609 · +47.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (84%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 84% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Black 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 5% Italian 3% Serbian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Charlotte
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+34.0) · D 32.7% · R 66.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -26.7pp toward R · 2008: -7.2pp · 2024: -34.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+34.0 2020: R+26.6 2016: R+27.8 2012: R+14.3 2008: R+7.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.71%
- Current HPI
- 242.9043
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Punta Gorda, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-1.4% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-24 Pending — Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-08 Price Changed $359,499 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-03-25 Listed $364,499 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…