14011 Stone Dr · Bristol, TN
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $666 – $1,236
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.6/30.0
- ARV discount +13.7/15.0
- Schools +6.2/10.0
- DSCR +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$289,900
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This Traditional 2 story home has 4 Bedrooms and 2.5 Baths. The first level features a Living Room, Formal Dining Room, Den with a fireplace insert, and Kitchen with a Breakfast nook, Laundry Room and a 1/2 bath. Upstairs you will find the Master Bedroom with 2 walk in closets and Master Bath, 3 additional Bedrooms and a full bath with double sinks. Kitchen with Bamboo floors and a new roof. The home has a large level yard with a patio for entertaining. . Call for you appointment today!! Buyers to verify all information.
Key facts
- Functional kitchen
- Formal dining room
- Well maintained
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Attached 2-car garage
- Security: Smoke detectors
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Propane
- Home design: Single family residence; Two-story; Residential property; Subdivision: Stonegate
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Level lot; Shed
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Gas cooktop; Gas oven; Microwave; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Two levels (home has multiple levels)
- Flooring: Carpet; Laminate; Tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Insulated windows; Wood-burning fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $290k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $124 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $234k (19.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $234k (19.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.8% vs local median 3.8% in Bristol — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#24 in TN) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, commute F, employment F.
- Washington County Public School District (rural): math 68% / reading 79% proficiency, ranked #15 of 131 in VA (top 12%) — strong family-tenant draw, lease renewals of 3-5y typical.
- Zoned schools: High Point Elementary (math 76% / reading 76%, grade A, #202 of 1,108 statewide, top 19%, 596 students, 66% FRL); Wallace Middle (math 74% / reading 80%, grade A, #38 of 342 statewide, top 11%, 426 students, 65% FRL); John S. Battle High (math 67% / reading 82%, grade B+, #107 of 319 statewide, top 37%, 659 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 66% FRL vs 42% district-wide (24 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 99 units permitted in Washington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Washington County population projected at -14% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 57 days — a 3% lower offer ($281k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 5y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $240k; 21% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 57 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 19% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1977 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.81% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 1.83%
- DSCR
- 1.08
- GRM
- 10.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $335,944
- List price
- $289,900
- Delta
- -13.71%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Abbie Ln | 0.05mi | 4/2.5 | 2,272 (+2%) | 12mo | $415,000 | $183 | 84 |
| 39 Stone Dr | 0.06mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,236 (+1%) | 14mo | $370,000 | $165 | 80 |
| 84 Stone Dr | 0.05mi | 4/3.0 | 2,362 (+6%) | 12mo | $335,000 | $142 | 75 |
| 50 Abbie Ln | 0.11mi | 4/3.0 | 2,520 (+13%) | 10mo | $481,900 | $191 | 62 |
| 6379 Old Jonesboro Rd | 0.14mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,381 (+7%) | 16mo | $333,000 | $140 | 61 |
| 14222 Ivory Ln | 0.50mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,280 (+3%) | 20mo | $590,000 | $259 | 51 |
| 276 Hampton Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,024 (-9%) | 22mo | $295,000 | $146 | 45 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -13.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.52×
- Total profit
- $-39,209
- Equity at exit
- $43,225
- IRR
- -4.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.70×
- Total profit
- $-24,515
- Equity at exit
- $25,065
Cash invested: $81,172 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Tennessee
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 24202
- Home prices YoY
- -30.0%
- Price-to-rent
- 10.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,343 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,520
- Tax from tax record
- −$86 /mo · $1,027/yr
- Insurance
- −$121
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$492
- Net cashflow
- $124
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $288 | -5% $206 | +0% $124 | +5% $42 | +10% $-40 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-61 | -5% $32 | +0% $124 | +5% $217 | +10% $309 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $270 | -0.5pp $198 | base $124 | +0.5pp $49 | +1.0pp $-27 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $72,475
- Closing costs
- $8,697
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 104 Hampton Ct Bristol, TN | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1814 | $2,300 | $1.27 | 14d | 1 | 0.25mi |
| 2209 King College Rd Bristol, TN | 4.0 | 2.0 | 2041 | $2,500 | $1.22 | 14d | 1 | 1.02mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $289,900 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $289,900 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $289,900 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $289,900 Active 54 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $289,900 Active 53 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $289,900 Active 51 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $289,900 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $289,900 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $289,900 Active 47 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $289,900 Active 46 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $289,900 Active 45 DOM
-
2026-06-03price $289,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $294,900 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $294,900 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $294,900 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $294,900 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $294,900 1303-char remark
-
2026-04-23$299,900 Active 1303-char remark
-
2022-07-15soldstatus $240,000 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
This Traditional 2 story home has 4 Bedrooms and 2.5 Baths. The first level features a Living Room, Formal Dining Room, Den with a fireplace insert, and Kitchen with a Breakfast nook, Laundry Room and a 1/2 bath. Upstairs you will find the Master Bedroom with 2 walk in closets and Master Bath, 3 additional Bedrooms and a full bath with double sinks. Kitchen with Bamboo floors and a new roof. The home has a large level yard with a patio for entertaining. . Call for you appointment today!! Buyers to verify all information.
-
2022-07-15soldstatus $240,000
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
This Traditional 2 story home has 4 Bedrooms and 2.5 Baths. The first level features a Living Room, Formal Dining Room, Den with a fireplace insert, and Kitchen with a Breakfast nook, Laundry Room and a 1/2 bath. Upstairs you will find the Master Bedroom with 2 walk in closets and Master Bath, 3 additional Bedrooms and a full bath with double sinks. Kitchen with Bamboo floors and a new roof. The home has a large level yard with a patio for entertaining. . Call for you appointment today!! Buyers to verify all information.
-
2022-05-05$240,000 528-char remark
Show marketing remark (528 chars)
This Traditional 2 story home has 4 Bedrooms and 2.5 Baths. The first level features a Living Room, Formal Dining Room, Den with a fireplace insert, and Kitchen with a Breakfast nook, Laundry Room and a 1/2 bath. Upstairs you will find the Master Bedroom with 2 walk in closets and Master Bath, 3 additional Bedrooms and a full bath with double sinks. Kitchen with Bamboo floors and a new roof. The home has a large level yard with a patio for entertaining. . Call for you appointment today!! Buyers to verify all information.
-
2021-07-13soldstatus $205,000
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
4BR 2.5 baths with over 2200 sq. ft. of living space located less than 1/2 mile from The Golf Club of Bristol. This Wash. Co. home , in the High Point School Dist. has a large master bedroom with 2 walk in closets, a spacious level backyard, and a number of updates including remodeled bathrooms and a repaved driveway. Leaf Filter gutters with a transferrable warranty is a plus.
-
2021-07-13soldstatus $202,000
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
4BR 2.5 baths with over 2200 sq. ft. of living space located less than 1/2 mile from The Golf Club of Bristol. This Wash. Co. home , in the High Point School Dist. has a large master bedroom with 2 walk in closets, a spacious level backyard, and a number of updates including remodeled bathrooms and a repaved driveway. Leaf Filter gutters with a transferrable warranty is a plus.
-
2021-06-09$189,900
Show marketing remark (380 chars)
4BR 2.5 baths with over 2200 sq. ft. of living space located less than 1/2 mile from The Golf Club of Bristol. This Wash. Co. home , in the High Point School Dist. has a large master bedroom with 2 walk in closets, a spacious level backyard, and a number of updates including remodeled bathrooms and a repaved driveway. Leaf Filter gutters with a transferrable warranty is a plus.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TN · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,027 · $86/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,058 · $172/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,031/yr (+$86/mo · 100.4%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $28,112
- − Mortgage interest
- −$16,239
- − Property taxes
- −$1,027
- − Insurance
- −$1,450
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,249
- − Management
- −$2,249
- − Depreciation
- −$8,433
- Taxable loss
- −$3,535
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$848
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,337/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Washington County Public School District
- NCES district ID
- 5103900
- Math proficiency
- 68% ▼ -23.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 79% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,412
- Composite
- 61.5/100
- National rank
- #754
- State rank
- #15 of 131 in VA
Livability — Bristol
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #24
- US rank
- #5413
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- City population
- 38,494
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,324
Population outlook (Washington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 53,266 people
- By 2030
- 52,284 · -1.8%
- By 2040
- 49,415 · -7.2%
- By 2050
- 45,683 · -14.2%
- By 2075
- 37,258 · -30.1%
- By 2100
- 27,983 · -47.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (94%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 94% Two or more races 3% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Portuguese 1% Italian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 97% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Washington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.3) · D 23.0% · R 76.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.6pp toward R · 2008: -32.7pp · 2024: -53.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.3 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+53.5 2012: R+43.2 2008: R+32.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -78.07%
- Current HPI
- 182.4415
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.78%
- F500 in state
- 22
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TN)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 3 | $91B |
|
||
| Retail | 3 | $72B |
|
||
| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $88B |
|
||
| Paper / Packaging | 1 | $19B |
|
||
| Insurance | 1 | $13B |
|
||
| Energy | 1 | $12B |
|
||
Price history
+52.7% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-02 Price Changed $289,900 SWVAR
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $294,900 SWVAR
- 2026-04-23 Listed $299,900 SWVAR
- 2022-07-15 Sold (Public Records) $240,000 Public Records
- 2022-07-15 Sold (MLS) $240,000 TVRMLS
- 2022-05-05 Listed $240,000 TVRMLS
- 2021-07-13 Sold (Public Records) $202,000 Public Records
- 2021-07-13 Sold (MLS) $205,000 TVRMLS
- 2021-06-09 Listed $189,900 TVRMLS
Property tax history
+1.6%/yrLatest (2026): $1,027 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…