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1896 Chestnut St
B- Composite 67.77
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +24.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +7.8/10.0
  • 1% rule +6.4/10.0
  • Rent growth +4.5/5.0
  • Livability +4.2/5.0
  • Schools +3.3/10.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$159,900

1896 Chestnut St · Holt, MI 48842
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,216 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 1925 8,712 sqft lot Est $204k · 22% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Charming 1925 bungalow in a desirable Holt location! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,216 sq ft of living space on a spacious 0.20-acre lot with a large fenced backyard and storage shed. Extremely well maintained and move-in ready, the home is super clean throughout. It features a covered front porch and a functional kitchen. Classic character meets solid bones -- perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking to add their personal updates. Great location near schools, parks, and easy access to Lansing.

Key facts

  • Covered front porch
  • Functional kitchen
  • Near schools

Tags

LARGE FENCED BACKYARDSTORAGE SHEDCOVERED FRONT PORCHFUNCTIONAL KITCHENNEAR SCHOOLSNEAR PARKS

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Natural gas water heater
  • Home design: Single-family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Built in 1925; Aluminum siding; Asphalt roof
  • Exterior features: Paved road access; Approximately 0.2-acre lot

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Six total rooms; Full basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $160k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $317 ($4k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $160k).
  • Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 3.6% in Holt — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 84/100 on livability (#37 in MI, #733 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: amenities C-, commute C-.
  • Holt Public Schools (suburban): math 28% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #236 of 540 in MI (top 44%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+8.0%/yr); 75 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 350 units permitted in Ingham County in 2024 (186 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Ingham County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 8.0% rent growth), your $45k cash investment doubles in ~8 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 4 sale attempts since 19y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $159,900

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.14%
Cap rate
8.67%
Cash-on-cash
8.49%
DSCR
1.38
GRM
7.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$204,288
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1942 Walnut St 0.11mi 3/1.0 1,213 (-0%) 4mo $188,250 $155 91
1858 Hall St 0.10mi 3/2.0 1,120 (-8%) 6mo $200,000 $179 73
2058 Park Ln 0.39mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,228 (+1%) 5mo $202,000 $164 67
1880 Phillips Ave 0.57mi 3/1.0 1,183 (-3%) 6mo $145,000 $123 64
4108 Holt Rd 0.49mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,270 (+4%) 2mo $195,000 $154 59
4461 Holt Rd 0.34mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,367 (+12%) 1mo $210,000 $154 53
1660 Pearson Ct 0.52mi 3/1.5 1,368 (+12%) 0mo $255,000 $186 52
4344 Willesdon Ave 0.49mi 3/1.5 1,357 (+12%) 4mo $237,000 $175 52
4418 Rexford Ave 0.68mi 4/2.0 (+1) 1,227 (+1%) 7mo $189,900 $155 52
1588 Grayfriars Ave 0.67mi 3/1.5 1,080 (-11%) 0mo $209,900 $194 48
4376 Davlind Dr 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,362 (+12%) 3mo $229,495 $168 44
4439 Keller Rd 0.72mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,344 (+10%) 1mo $235,000 $175 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 8.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
2.2%
Equity multiple
1.09×
Total profit
$3,931
Equity at exit
$23,842
10-year hold
IRR
16.2%
Equity multiple
2.64×
Total profit
$73,344
Equity at exit
$13,825

Cash invested: $44,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48842

Rents YoY
8.0%
Active inventory
75
Price-to-rent
7.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,820 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$839
Tax from tax record
$216 /mo · $2,589/yr
Insurance
$67
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$382
Net cashflow
$317

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,419
Max offer price $159,900
Occupancy floor 78%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $407 -5% $362 +0% $317 +5% $272 +10% $226
Rent -10% $173 -5% $245 +0% $317 +5% $389 +10% $461
Rate -1.0pp $397 -0.5pp $358 base $317 +0.5pp $275 +1.0pp $233

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$39,975
Closing costs
$4,797
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 6 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2030 N Cedar St Holt, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 930 $1,679 $1.81 14d 6 0.30mi
4075 Holt Rd Holt, MI 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.0 1000 $1,239 $1.24 14d 1 0.50mi
4330 Keller Rd Holt, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 462 $1,150 $2.49 14d 1 0.85mi
4612 Tolland Ave Unit 4612 Holt, MI 2.0 1.0 927 $1,325 $1.43 14d 1 0.99mi
3879 Lone Pne Holt, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0–2.0 1148 $2,322 $2.02 22d 1 1.14mi
2294 Main St Holt, MI 2.0 1.0 869 $999 $1.15 14d 1 1.20mi

Listing history 8 events

  1. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Charming 1925 bungalow in a desirable Holt location! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,216 sq ft of living space on a spacious 0.20-acre lot with a large fenced backyard and storage shed. Extremely well maintained and move-in ready, the home is super clean throughout. It features a covered front porch and a functional kitchen. Classic character meets solid bones -- perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking to add their personal updates. Great location near schools, parks, and easy access to Lansing.

  2. 2026-05-13
    status Pending 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Charming 1925 bungalow in a desirable Holt location! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,216 sq ft of living space on a spacious 0.20-acre lot with a large fenced backyard and storage shed. Extremely well maintained and move-in ready, the home is super clean throughout. It features a covered front porch and a functional kitchen. Classic character meets solid bones -- perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking to add their personal updates. Great location near schools, parks, and easy access to Lansing.

  3. 2026-05-13
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Charming 1925 bungalow in a desirable Holt location! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,216 sq ft of living space on a spacious 0.20-acre lot with a large fenced backyard and storage shed. Extremely well maintained and move-in ready, the home is super clean throughout. It features a covered front porch and a functional kitchen. Classic character meets solid bones -- perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking to add their personal updates. Great location near schools, parks, and easy access to Lansing.

  4. 2026-05-09
    listed $159,900 Active 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Charming 1925 bungalow in a desirable Holt location! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,216 sq ft of living space on a spacious 0.20-acre lot with a large fenced backyard and storage shed. Extremely well maintained and move-in ready, the home is super clean throughout. It features a covered front porch and a functional kitchen. Classic character meets solid bones -- perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking to add their personal updates. Great location near schools, parks, and easy access to Lansing.

  5. 2026-05-09
    listed $159,900 Active 529-char remark
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Charming 1925 bungalow in a desirable Holt location! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,216 sq ft of living space on a spacious 0.20-acre lot with a large fenced backyard and storage shed. Extremely well maintained and move-in ready, the home is super clean throughout. It features a covered front porch and a functional kitchen. Classic character meets solid bones -- perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking to add their personal updates. Great location near schools, parks, and easy access to Lansing.

  6. 2026-05-09
    listed $159,900 Active
    Show marketing remark (529 chars)

    Charming 1925 bungalow in a desirable Holt location! This well-maintained 3-bedroom, 1-bath home offers 1,216 sq ft of living space on a spacious 0.20-acre lot with a large fenced backyard and storage shed. Extremely well maintained and move-in ready, the home is super clean throughout. It features a covered front porch and a functional kitchen. Classic character meets solid bones -- perfect for first-time buyers or anyone looking to add their personal updates. Great location near schools, parks, and easy access to Lansing.

  7. 2007-11-12
    historical
  8. 2007-08-14
    listed $127,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,589 · $216/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$2,589 · $216/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$21,840
− Mortgage interest
−$8,957
− Property taxes
−$2,589
− Insurance
−$800
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,747
− Management
−$1,747
− Depreciation
−$4,652
Taxable income
$1,349
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$324
After-tax cash flow
$3,479/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Holt Public Schools
NCES district ID
2618480
Math proficiency
28% ▼ -10.00%
Reading proficiency
46% ▼ -5.00%
Median HH income
$57,705
Composite
32.68/100
National rank
#5653
State rank
#236 of 540 in MI

Livability — Holt

Score
84/100
State rank
#37
US rank
#733

Category grades

Amenities C- Commute C- Cost of living A+ Crime C+ Employment B+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Holt, MI
County
Ingham County · 237,052 people
City population
21,945
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
Population (ZIP)
21,945
Household income
$88,340
Rent vs Own
33.5% rent · 66.5% own
Severe rent burden
545.0

Population outlook (Ingham County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
300,362 people
By 2030
307,808 · +2.5%
By 2040
320,492 · +6.7%
By 2050
333,223 · +10.9%
By 2075
373,693 · +24.4%
By 2100
392,021 · +30.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (76%)
Race & ethnicity
White 76% Two or more races 9% Hispanic / Latino 7% Black 6% Asian 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 6% Cuban 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 7% Lithuanian 3% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Vietnam, Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Other Indo-European 2% Vietnamese 1% Spanish 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Ingham

2024 margin
Strong D (+29.7) · D 63.9% · R 34.2% · Other 2.0%
2008→2024 swing
-3.6pp toward R · 2008: 33.3pp · 2024: 29.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+29.7 2020: D+32.2 2016: D+27.6 2012: D+27.9 2008: D+33.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -184.41%
Current HPI
208.5101
Rent YoY
▲ 8.03%
Metro
Lansing-East Lansing, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+25.9% since first listed
8 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-13 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-05-13 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-13 Pending SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $159,900 SW Michigan MLS
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $159,900 REALCOMP
  • 2026-05-09 Listed $159,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2007-11-12 Listing Removed Greater Lansing AoR
  • 2007-08-14 Listed $127,000 Greater Lansing AoR

Property tax history

+2.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,589 · +3.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…