520 Riverside Ln · Cayce, SC
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- AE
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $1,737 – $8,500
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $783 – $1,453
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 69.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.6/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.9/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$85,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This home has been a rental. It has a new roof (2026) and the aluminum wiring has been replaced with new copper wire. The last tenant painted rooms dark purple and/or black. There is a lot of trash which needs to be picked up/cleaning is needed. We are selling at a firm $85000. AS IS. Houses in this area are going for $140,000 when well maintained. If you want a fix it upper here is a great chance to get in at a good price. Great potential - Handyman special Quiet neighborhood. Close to everything Riverwalk to the Art District Thomas Newman Boat landing. Congaree Creek Heritage Preserve Downtown Columbia/USC/ William Brice Steelhand Brewery This is a firm price please don& apos; t wa
Key facts
- Copper wire
- Close to everything
- Quiet neighborhood
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $85k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $159 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $85k).
- Recommended offer: $82k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 71/100 on livability (#55 in SC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: employment D+, schools D, crime F.
- Lexington 02 (suburban): math 30% / reading 38% proficiency, ranked #45 of 80 in SC (top 56%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.0%/yr); 76 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 24d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 1,712 units permitted in Lexington County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $588 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lexington County population projected at +26% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 35 days — a 3% lower offer ($82k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- Current owner paid $55k; list at $85k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
- Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); major wind risk, 69% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 35 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1972 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.70% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.51%
- DSCR
- 2.31
- GRM
- 4.9
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 2.04% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.80×
- Total profit
- $-4,776
- Equity at exit
- $12,674
- IRR
- 2.7%
- Equity multiple
- 1.18×
- Total profit
- $4,380
- Equity at exit
- $7,349
Cash invested: $23,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State South Carolina
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 29033
- Home prices YoY
- -12.2%
- Rents YoY
- 2.0%
- Active inventory
- 76
- Price-to-rent
- 4.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,444 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$446
- Tax from tax record
- −$74 /mo · $887/yr
- Insurance
- −$35
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$303
- Net cashflow
- $159
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $207 | -5% $183 | +0% $159 | +5% $135 | +10% $111 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $45 | -5% $102 | +0% $159 | +5% $216 | +10% $273 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $202 | -0.5pp $180 | base $159 | +0.5pp $137 | +1.0pp $114 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $21,250
- Closing costs
- $2,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 5 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 307 Lyles St Unit 307 Cayce, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 880 | $895 | $1.02 | 24d | 1 | 0.95mi |
| 2801 Julius Felder St Unit 2801 Cayce, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 743 | $1,300 | $1.75 | 24d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 615 Lexington Ave Unit A Cayce, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,300 | $1.62 | 24d | 1 | 1.10mi |
| 617 Lexington Ave Unit C Cayce, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 830 | $1,300 | $1.57 | 15d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 1113 Olympia Ave Unit B Columbia, SC | 2.0 | 1.0 | 800 | $1,495 | $1.87 | 24d | 1 | 1.29mi |
Listing history 16 events
-
2026-06-16statusdays on market $85,000 Under Contract 35 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $85,000 Active 34 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $85,000 Active 32 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $85,000 Active 31 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $85,000 Active 29 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $85,000 Active 28 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $85,000 Active 27 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $85,000 Active 26 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $85,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $85,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $85,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $85,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-05-12$85,000 Active
-
2002-03-25soldstatus $55,000
-
1991-04-01soldstatus $24,700
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast SC · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $887 · $74/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $887 · $74/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 69% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $17,323
- − Mortgage interest
- −$4,761
- − Property taxes
- −$887
- − Insurance
- −$5,544
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,386
- − Management
- −$1,386
- − Depreciation
- −$2,473
- Taxable income
- $887
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$213
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,693/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Lexington 02
- NCES district ID
- 4502730
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 38% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $42,532
- Composite
- 28.78/100
- National rank
- #6669
- State rank
- #45 of 80 in SC
Livability — Cayce
- Score
- 71/100
- State rank
- #55
- US rank
- #7173
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cayce, SC
- County
- Lexington County · 232,571 people
- City population
- 12,837
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- Population (ZIP)
- 12,837
- Household income
- $61,237
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 425.0
Population outlook (Lexington County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 322,999 people
- By 2030
- 342,356 · +6.0%
- By 2040
- 377,715 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 406,984 · +26.0%
- By 2075
- 465,447 · +44.1%
- By 2100
- 485,674 · +50.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 57% Black 28% Hispanic / Latino 10% Two or more races 9% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Serbian 3% Iranian 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, China, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 91% English-only · Spanish 6% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Lexington
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+33.5) · D 32.5% · R 66.0% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.6pp toward D · 2008: -38.0pp · 2024: -33.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+33.5 2020: R+30.1 2016: R+36.7 2012: R+37.8 2008: R+38.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -39.93%
- Current HPI
- 288.7749
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 2.04%
- Metro
- Columbia, SC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 4.51%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in SC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Packaging | 1 | $7B |
|
||
Price history
+244.1% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-12 Listed $85,000 FSBO.com
- 2002-03-25 Sold (Public Records) $55,000 Public Records
- 1991-04-01 Sold (Public Records) $24,700 Public Records
Property tax history
-3.8%/yrLatest (2024): $887 · +7.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…