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3413 Poplar Springs Dr
C- Composite 51.2
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +20.6/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +7.2/10.0
  • DSCR +6.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.2/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,999

3413 Poplar Springs Dr · Meridian, MS 39305
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,104 sqft · Other public records · 84 Days on market
Built 1925 0.39 ac lot $48/sqft · at area comps Est $100k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Enter into an abundance of timeless charm and character in this historical Meridian home. The arched entryway is indicative of the architecture throughout, and very typical of this era. With 2104 square feet, 3 bedrooms & 3 baths, you'll appreciate the beautiful hardwood floors and high ceilings throughout the top floor. This home also features a very nice sized sunroom for you to enjoy. Downstairs you'll find additional living space. Situated on a very deep lot means lots of opportunity for creating a wonderful outdoor backyard retreat. With a bit of work and a little TLC, this home is ideal for the right buyer to unlock its full potential. It could also generate a nice revenue stream for a savvy investor.

Key facts

  • Deep lot
  • Arched entryway
  • Sunroom

Tags

ARCHED ENTRYWAYHARDWOOD FLOORSHIGH CEILINGSSUNROOMDEEP LOT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath other listed at $100k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $134 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $100k).
  • Recommended offer: $94k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#141 in MS) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Meridian Public Schools (town): math 13% / reading 17% proficiency, ranked #109 of 130 in MS (top 84%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 83 active listings in the ZIP; 18 units permitted in Lauderdale County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $691 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lauderdale County population projected at -18% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 84 days — a 6% lower offer ($94k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.2% of price; built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 80% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $93,999 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 84 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.22%
Cap rate
7.90%
Cash-on-cash
5.74%
DSCR
1.26
GRM
6.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$99,900
List price
$99,999
Delta
0.10%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
9 within 1.0 mi

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-7.3%
Equity multiple
0.73×
Total profit
$-7,574
Equity at exit
$14,910
10-year hold
IRR
2.4%
Equity multiple
1.17×
Total profit
$4,804
Equity at exit
$8,646

Cash invested: $28,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Mississippi
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; very landlord-favorable; no rent control.

ZIP-level market 39305

Home prices YoY
-31.7%
Active inventory
83
Price-to-rent
6.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,219 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$524
Tax from tax record
$263 /mo · $3,160/yr
Insurance
$42
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$256
Net cashflow
$134

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,050
Max offer price $99,999
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$25,000
Closing costs
$3,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $99,999 Active 84 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $99,999 Active 83 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $99,999 Active 82 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $99,999 Active 81 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $99,999 Active 80 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $99,999 Active 78 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $99,999 Active 77 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $99,999 Active 74 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $99,999 Active 73 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $99,999 Active 72 DOM
  11. 2026-06-02
    days on market $99,999 Active 67 DOM
  12. 2026-06-01
    days on market $99,999 Active 66 DOM
  13. 2026-05-31
    days on market $99,999 Active 65 DOM
  14. 2026-05-30
    days on market $99,999 Active 64 DOM
  15. 2026-03-27
    listed $99,999 Active 722-char remark
    Show marketing remark (722 chars)

    Enter into an abundance of timeless charm and character in this historical Meridian home. The arched entryway is indicative of the architecture throughout, and very typical of this era. With 2104 square feet, 3 bedrooms & 3 baths, you'll appreciate the beautiful hardwood floors and high ceilings throughout the top floor. This home also features a very nice sized sunroom for you to enjoy. Downstairs you'll find additional living space. Situated on a very deep lot means lots of opportunity for creating a wonderful outdoor backyard retreat. With a bit of work and a little TLC, this home is ideal for the right buyer to unlock its full potential. It could also generate a nice revenue stream for a savvy investor.

  16. 2024-04-22
    historical $1,600
  17. 2024-02-22
    listed $1,600
  18. 2023-06-16
    historical 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    Marvelous 3/3 Older Home with over approximately 2100 sq ft. Tons of Character. Architectural curved entrance and inside home. Roof age 10. Hardwood floors. C/H/A. Fireplace Up and Down. Storage galore in basement plus full bath and heart-pine walls. Back yard is tremendous. Nice large kitchen has pantry and beautiful cabinetry. Front wrap-around porch with plenty of parking plus two-car covered carport. Extra Parking pad/turn-around. This is an excellent investment.

  19. 2017-06-07
    listed $59,900 471-char remark
    Show marketing remark (471 chars)

    Marvelous 3/3 Older Home with over approximately 2100 sq ft. Tons of Character. Architectural curved entrance and inside home. Roof age 10. Hardwood floors. C/H/A. Fireplace Up and Down. Storage galore in basement plus full bath and heart-pine walls. Back yard is tremendous. Nice large kitchen has pantry and beautiful cabinetry. Front wrap-around porch with plenty of parking plus two-car covered carport. Extra Parking pad/turn-around. This is an excellent investment.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MS · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$3,160 · $263/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,160 · $263/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 8/10 Severe 80% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$14,632
− Mortgage interest
−$5,601
− Property taxes
−$3,160
− Insurance
−$500
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,171
− Management
−$1,171
− Depreciation
−$2,909
Taxable income
$120
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$29
After-tax cash flow
$1,578/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Meridian Public Schools
NCES district ID
2802910
Math proficiency
13% ▼ -12.00%
Reading proficiency
17% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$30,236
Composite
11.87/100
National rank
#9673
State rank
#109 of 130 in MS

Livability — Meridian

Score
64/100
State rank
#141
US rank
#14839

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime B- Employment F Housing A Health & safety D- User ratings D

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Meridian, MS
County
Lauderdale County · 42,445 people
City population
42,445
Metro
Meridian, MS
Population (ZIP)
21,638
Household income
$67,712
Rent vs Own
31.9% rent · 68.1% own
Severe rent burden
791.0

Population outlook (Lauderdale County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
75,158 people
By 2030
72,770 · -3.2%
By 2040
67,309 · -10.4%
By 2050
61,797 · -17.8%
By 2075
49,790 · -33.8%
By 2100
39,797 · -47.0%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
Race & ethnicity
White 53% Black 36% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Serbian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Arabic 2% Spanish 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lauderdale

2024 margin
Strong R (+21.2) · D 39.0% · R 60.2%
2008→2024 swing
-2.3pp toward R · 2008: -18.9pp · 2024: -21.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+21.2 2020: R+16.0 2016: R+23.0 2012: R+15.5 2008: R+18.9

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -57.15%
Current HPI
123.1214
Rent YoY
Metro
Meridian, MS
State GDP YoY
F500 in state
0

Price history

+66.9% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-27 Listed $99,999 EMR
  • 2024-04-22 Rental Removed $1,600 EMR
  • 2024-02-22 Listed for Rent $1,600 EMR
  • 2023-06-16 Delisted EMR
  • 2017-06-07 Listed $59,900 EMR

Property tax history

+21.9%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,160 · +0.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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