4890 Weyerhaeuser Rd · Klamath Falls, OR
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 91°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 10/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 29 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 31 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Schools +2.7/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$55,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Calling all investors, builders, and visionaries! This unique property features two separate tax lots totaling . 26 acres of level, landscaped land. The existing 1974 manufactured home (2 bed, 1 bath) is ready for a complete transformation, or remove it and start fresh. Buyer to do their due diligence on whether the MH can be rehabbed or is best to demo.
Key facts
- 0.26 acre lot
- Parking
- Built 1974
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $55k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $680 ($8k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $55k).
- Recommended offer: $50k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 21.1% vs local median 3.4% in Klamath Falls — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#67 in OR, #2,703 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D-, crime F, employment F.
- Klamath Falls City Schools (town): math 26% / reading 40% proficiency, ranked #36 of 58 in OR (top 62%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 493 active listings in the ZIP; 232 units permitted in Klamath County in 2024 (72 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 30% of the median local income ($52k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $380 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Klamath County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $15k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 101 days — a 9% lower offer ($50k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 4 sale attempts since 13y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 101 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.36% ✓
- Cap rate
- 21.13%
- Cash-on-cash
- 53.00%
- DSCR
- 3.36
- GRM
- 3.5
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $239,000
- List price
- $55,000
- Delta
- -76.99%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 1 within 2.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 51.2%
- Equity multiple
- 3.24×
- Total profit
- $34,565
- Equity at exit
- $8,201
- IRR
- 56.6%
- Equity multiple
- 6.62×
- Total profit
- $86,526
- Equity at exit
- $4,755
Cash invested: $15,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97601
- Home prices YoY
- -3.7%
- Rents YoY
- 3.1%
- Active inventory
- 493
- Price-to-rent
- 3.5×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,301 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$288
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $433/yr
- Insurance
- −$23
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$273
- Net cashflow
- $680
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $711 | -5% $696 | +0% $680 | +5% $665 | +10% $649 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $577 | -5% $629 | +0% $680 | +5% $732 | +10% $783 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $708 | -0.5pp $694 | base $680 | +0.5pp $666 | +1.0pp $651 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $13,750
- Closing costs
- $1,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 27 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $55,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $55,000 Active 100 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $55,000 Active 99 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $55,000 Active 98 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $55,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $55,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $55,000 Active 94 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $55,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $55,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $55,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $55,000 Active 86 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $55,000 Active 85 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $55,000 Active 84 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $55,000 Active 83 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $55,000 Active 82 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $55,000 Active 81 DOM
-
2026-03-09$55,000 Active 356-char remark
Show marketing remark (356 chars)
Calling all investors, builders, and visionaries! This unique property features two separate tax lots totaling . 26 acres of level, landscaped land. The existing 1974 manufactured home (2 bed, 1 bath) is ready for a complete transformation, or remove it and start fresh. Buyer to do their due diligence on whether the MH can be rehabbed or is best to demo.
-
2022-04-01soldstatus $65,000 Closed 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Possible remodel or tear down on a little over 1/4 of an acre. Corner lot and a separate lot behind. Owner may carry with right terms. Buyer to do their own due diligence.
-
2022-03-18status Pending 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Possible remodel or tear down on a little over 1/4 of an acre. Corner lot and a separate lot behind. Owner may carry with right terms. Buyer to do their own due diligence.
-
2022-02-25$65,000 Active 171-char remark
Show marketing remark (171 chars)
Possible remodel or tear down on a little over 1/4 of an acre. Corner lot and a separate lot behind. Owner may carry with right terms. Buyer to do their own due diligence.
-
2021-09-13historical
-
2021-06-14price $80,000
-
2021-04-29$100,000 Active
-
2013-10-08soldstatus $55,000
-
2013-10-08soldstatus $55,100
-
2013-03-05$55,000
-
2000-12-14soldstatus $27,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $433 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $534 · $44/mo
- Expected delta
- +$101/yr (+$8/mo · 23.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥91°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 10/10 Extreme 29 unhealthy d/yr today · 31 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,609
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,081
- − Property taxes
- −$433
- − Insurance
- −$275
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,249
- − Management
- −$1,249
- − Depreciation
- −$1,600
- Taxable income
- $7,723
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,853
- After-tax cash flow
- $6,309/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Klamath Falls City Schools
- NCES district ID
- 4107080
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 40% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,329
- Composite
- 27.14/100
- National rank
- #7033
- State rank
- #36 of 58 in OR
Livability — Klamath Falls
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #2703
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Klamath County · 56,186 people
- City population
- 56,186
- Metro
- Klamath Falls, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 22,964
- Household income
- $51,780
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1323.0
Population outlook (Klamath County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 63,870 people
- By 2030
- 62,279 · -2.5%
- By 2040
- 58,891 · -7.8%
- By 2050
- 56,207 · -12.0%
- By 2075
- 51,239 · -19.8%
- By 2100
- 46,526 · -27.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (76%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 76% Hispanic / Latino 12% Two or more races 10% Native American 3% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 9%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 4% Slovak 3% Portuguese 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 92% English-only · Spanish 6%
Political lean MEDSL · Klamath
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+41.9) · D 27.9% · R 69.8% · Other 2.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.8pp toward R · 2008: -33.1pp · 2024: -41.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+41.9 2020: R+40.6 2016: R+44.8 2012: R+38.2 2008: R+33.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -14.37%
- Current HPI
- 372.5418
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.12%
- Metro
- Klamath Falls, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+100.0% since first listed11 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-09 Listed $55,000 MLSCO
- 2022-04-01 Sold (MLS) $65,000 MLSCO
- 2022-03-18 Pending — MLSCO
- 2022-02-25 Listed $65,000 MLSCO
- 2021-09-13 Listing Removed — MLSCO
- 2021-06-14 Price Changed $80,000 MLSCO
- 2021-04-29 Listed $100,000 MLSCO
- 2013-10-08 Sold (Public Records) $55,100 Public Records
- 2013-10-08 Sold (MLS) $55,000 MLSCO
- 2013-03-05 Listed $55,000 MLSCO
- 2000-12-14 Sold (Public Records) $27,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+3.8%/yrLatest (2025): $433 · +1.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…