113 Ave J · Thomaston, GA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $963 – $1,789
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 61.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.4/30.0
- DSCR +7.9/10.0
- 1% rule +5.3/10.0
- Livability +2.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.1/10.0
- ARV discount +0.0/15.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$108,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Remodeled 2 bedroom 2 bath home- new windows, new stainless steel appliances, new laminate flooring and refinished heart pine original floors, new heating and air , total electric, new roof, new interior painting, updated electrical and plumbing, primary bedroom has new on suite bath with walk in closet- primary has his and hers closets- 2nd bedroom has 2 closets- great room has opening to kitchen dining room area-new bath remodel -home has attached one car carport with partially fenced back yard - huge deck on back of home -
Key facts
- Total electric
- New heating and air
- New roof
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Agent owned listing; Home warranty included; Listing terms: Conventional, FHA, USDA loan, VA loan
- HOA & community: No HOA; Community features include sidewalks, street lights, walking distance to schools, and near shopping
Exterior
- Parking: Attached carport
- Security: Smoke detector(s); Carbon monoxide detector(s)
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electricity available; Sewer connected; Water available; High speed internet available; Cable available; Phone available
- Home design: Single-family house; Updated/remodeled; Built in 1943
- Construction: Wood siding; Block foundation; Composition roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Porch; Corner, level lot; Back yard chain link fencing; Has view
Interior
- Kitchen: Country-style kitchen; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Ice maker; Stainless steel appliances; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
- Flooring: Hardwood; Laminate; Wood
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms (both on the main level)
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric, hot water); Central air (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: High ceilings; Walk-in closet(s); Accessible doors, full bath, and kitchen; One level; Great room
- Laundry & utility: Mud room; Laundry area
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $108k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $219 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
- Cap rate 8.7% vs local median 4.0% in Thomaston — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 57/100 on livability (#455 in GA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A-; Watch: crime C-, amenities F, commute F.
- Thomaston-Upson County (rural): math 26% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #123 of 174 in GA (top 71%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 60% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Upson-Lee Middle School (math 22% / reading 32%, grade F, #271 of 470 statewide, top 60%, 927 students, 83% FRL); Upson-Lee High School (math 18% / reading 17%, grade F, #264 of 424 statewide, top 63%, 1,178 students, 70% FRL) — zoned schools average 77% FRL vs 60% district-wide (16 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: 199 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 111 units permitted in Upson County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $747 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Upson County population projected at -27% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 13 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 4 sale attempts since 2y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $12k (10%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $40k; list at $108k implies a 171% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1943 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 61% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1943 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.03% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.73%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.70%
- DSCR
- 1.39
- GRM
- 8.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $79,744
- Comps found
- 4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 113 Avenue J | 0.00mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (0%) | 22mo | $39,900 | $45 | 82 |
| 98 G Ave | 0.20mi | 2/1.0 | 896 (0%) | 23mo | $47,500 | $53 | 72 |
| 407 Kings Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 840 (-6%) | 21mo | $74,900 | $89 | 51 |
| 208 Jenkins St | 0.52mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 825 (-8%) | 19mo | $89,000 | $108 | 42 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.88×
- Total profit
- $-3,569
- Equity at exit
- $16,103
- IRR
- 6.5%
- Equity multiple
- 1.49×
- Total profit
- $14,731
- Equity at exit
- $9,338
Cash invested: $30,240 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Georgia
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 30286
- Home prices YoY
- -14.7%
- Active inventory
- 199
- Price-to-rent
- 8.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,113 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$566
- Tax from tax record
- −$49 /mo · $587/yr
- Insurance
- −$45
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$234
- Net cashflow
- $219
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $27,000
- Closing costs
- $3,240
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 705 Barnesville St Thomaston, GA | 3.0 | 1.0 | 936 | $1,095 | $1.17 | 1d | 1 | 0.19mi |
| 210 Thurston Ave Unit C Thomaston, GA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 24d | 1 | 1.18mi |
Listing history 11 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $108,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $108,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $108,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-15statusdays on market $108,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $108,000 Price Change 8 DOM
-
2026-06-12pricestatusdays on market $108,000 Price Change 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $120,000 New 4 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $120,000 New 3 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $120,000 New 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 532-char remark
-
2026-06-07$120,000 New 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast GA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $587 · $49/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $994 · $83/mo
- Expected delta
- +$407/yr (+$34/mo · 69.3%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 61% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,360
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,050
- − Property taxes
- −$587
- − Insurance
- −$540
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,069
- − Management
- −$1,069
- − Depreciation
- −$3,142
- Taxable income
- $905
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$217
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,415/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Thomaston-Upson County
- NCES district ID
- 1305280
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -14.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,757
- Composite
- 21.44/100
- National rank
- #8338
- State rank
- #123 of 174 in GA
Livability — Thomaston
- Score
- 57/100
- State rank
- #455
- US rank
- #21482
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Thomaston, GA
- City population
- 24,616
- Population (ZIP)
- 24,616
Population outlook (Upson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 24,396 people
- By 2030
- 23,158 · -5.1%
- By 2040
- 20,522 · -15.9%
- By 2050
- 17,828 · -26.9%
- By 2075
- 12,216 · -49.9%
- By 2100
- 7,779 · -68.1%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (65%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 65% Black 27% Two or more races 4% Hispanic / Latino 3%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 1% Slovak 1% Serbian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Upson
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.7) · D 30.0% · R 69.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -11.5pp toward R · 2008: -28.3pp · 2024: -39.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.7 2020: R+34.1 2016: R+35.0 2012: R+29.1 2008: R+28.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -54.56%
- Current HPI
- 316.6771
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.66%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in GA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Paper / Packaging | 2 | $29B |
|
||
| Retail | 1 | $160B |
|
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| Transportation / Logistics | 1 | $91B |
|
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| Airlines | 1 | $62B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
|
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Price history
+200.8% since first listed18 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-05 Listed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2025-08-01 Listing Removed — FMLS
- 2025-08-01 Listing Removed — GAMLS
- 2025-07-07 Price Changed $115,000 FMLS
- 2025-07-03 Price Changed $115,000 GAMLS
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed $120,000 FMLS
- 2025-06-26 Price Changed $120,000 GAMLS
- 2025-06-18 Price Changed $130,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $132,000 FMLS
- 2025-05-27 Price Changed $132,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-02 Price Changed $139,000 GAMLS
- 2025-05-02 Price Changed $139,000 FMLS
- 2025-04-18 Price Changed $149,000 GAMLS
- 2025-04-08 Listed $159,000 FMLS
- 2025-04-08 Listed $159,000 GAMLS
- 2024-08-26 Sold (MLS) $39,900 GAMLS
- 2024-07-26 Pending — GAMLS
- 2024-07-09 Listed $39,900 GAMLS
Property tax history
+7.4%/yrLatest (2025): $587 · +191.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…