Multi-family
15925/15927 W 91st Ter · Lenexa, KS
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,154 – $2,142
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 17 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.5/30.0
- DSCR +9.1/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- Livability +4.4/5.0
- Schools +3.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.8/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$747,500
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Multi-family units
County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 1 unit. estimate disagrees with records
Key facts
- 7,500 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1998
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 6-bed/5.0-bath multifamily listed at $748k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $2k ($24k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($9k rent vs $748k).
- Cap rate 9.5% vs local median 2.9% in Lenexa — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 87/100 on livability (#3 in KS, #317 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, health & safety A+.
- Shawnee Mission Pub Schools (suburban): math 38% / reading 46% proficiency, ranked #22 of 169 in KS (top 13%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Sunflower Elem (math 47% / reading 57%, grade C-, #131 of 684 statewide, top 23%, 370 students, 35% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.2%/yr); 42 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 2,969 units permitted in Johnson County in 2024 (1,066 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $8,776/mo this rent would consume 112% of the median local household income ($94k/yr) (locally 542% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $5k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $22k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Johnson County population projected at +27% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.48%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.38%
- DSCR
- 1.51
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.2% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -1.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.95×
- Total profit
- $-10,312
- Equity at exit
- $111,455
- IRR
- 6.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.44×
- Total profit
- $92,018
- Equity at exit
- $64,630
Cash invested: $209,300 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kansas
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 66219
- Home prices YoY
- -22.6%
- Rents YoY
- 1.2%
- Active inventory
- 42
- Price-to-rent
- 14.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $8,776 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$3,920
- Tax from tax record
- −$567 /mo · $6,798/yr
- Insurance
- −$311
- HOA
- −$150
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$1,843
- Net cashflow
- $1,985
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $2,408 | -5% $2,197 | +0% $1,985 | +5% $1,774 | +10% $1,562 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,292 | -5% $1,638 | +0% $1,985 | +5% $2,332 | +10% $2,678 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $2,362 | -0.5pp $2,175 | base $1,985 | +0.5pp $1,791 | +1.0pp $1,594 |
2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)
| Units | Beds | Baths | Est. rent |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2× units | 4 | 2.5 | $8,776 |
| #1 | 4 | 2.5 | $4,388 |
| #2 | 4 | 2.5 | $4,388 |
| Total (2 units) | $8,776 | ||
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $186,875
- Closing costs
- $22,425
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $150 · $1,800/yr
Listing history 2 events
-
2026-04-27status Pending
-
2026-04-14historical $747,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KS · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $6,798 · $567/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $10,540 · $878/mo
- Expected delta
- +$3,742/yr (+$312/mo · 55.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 17 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $105,312
- − Mortgage interest
- −$41,872
- − Property taxes
- −$6,798
- − Insurance
- −$3,738
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$8,425
- − Management
- −$8,425
- − HOA
- −$1,800
- − Depreciation
- −$21,745
- Taxable income
- $12,509
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,002
- After-tax cash flow
- $20,819/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Shawnee Mission Pub Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2011640
- Math proficiency
- 38% ▼ -6.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 46% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $64,923
- Composite
- 37.55/100
- National rank
- #4391
- State rank
- #22 of 169 in KS
Livability — Lenexa
- Score
- 87/100
- State rank
- #3
- US rank
- #317
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Lenexa, KS
- County
- Johnson County · 574,662 people
- City population
- 57,609
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- Population (ZIP)
- 13,519
- Household income
- $94,124
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 542.0
Population outlook (Johnson County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 663,396 people
- By 2030
- 702,585 · +5.9%
- By 2040
- 775,386 · +16.9%
- By 2050
- 841,772 · +26.9%
- By 2075
- 994,137 · +49.9%
- By 2100
- 1,073,036 · +61.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (77%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 77% Hispanic / Latino 11% Two or more races 11% Asian 5% Black 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 10%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 4% Italian 3% Romanian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 6% · Canada, South Korea, China
- Languages at home
- 93% English-only · Spanish 2% Other Indo-European 1% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Johnson
- 2024 margin
- Lean D (+8.5) · D 53.4% · R 44.9% · Other 1.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +17.5pp toward D · 2008: -9.0pp · 2024: 8.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+8.5 2020: D+8.2 2016: R+2.7 2012: R+17.8 2008: R+9.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -69.61%
- Current HPI
- 238.2378
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.20%
- Metro
- Kansas City, MO-KS
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-27 Pending — Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
- 2026-04-14 Coming Soon $747,500 Heartland MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
Property tax history
+4.5%/yrLatest (2025): $6,798 · +8.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…