7253 Longleaf Rd · Rocky Mount, NC
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $906 – $1,684
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 109°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 65.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +11.6/15.0
- Cash flow +11.0/30.0
- Condition / age +4.0/5.0
- Schools +3.5/10.0
- Livability +3.5/5.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- DSCR +3.2/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$204,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
A Red Tag Sales Event Home. Come tour 7253 Longleaf Rd. ! One of our new homes at The Townes at Hunter Hill, located in Rocky Mount, NC. The Pearson is a two-story townhome showcased in The Townes at Hunter Hill, located in Rocky Mount, NC. As you step inside this 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath townhome you'll discover 1,418 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. The Pearson also features a 1-car garage, adding convenience and style, making it one of our most sought-after townhome floorplans. The first-floor living area is designed with an open-concept layout, seamlessly connecting the kitchen, living, and dining areas for a versatile space ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen boasts shaker-style cabinets, granite countertops with a tile backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. The spacious kitchen is perfect for meal prep, cooking, and entertaining. The living and dining areas are located next to the kitchen, keeping you close to the action. After dinner, relax and unwind on your back patio. Elevate your living experience with the second-floor's versatile rooms. Whether you need extra bedrooms, functional offices, or additional bonus spaces, this floor has it all. Indulge in the comfort of carpeted floors and spacious closets in every bedroom. Not to mention, the ideally located laundry area in the hallway makes chores a breeze. The primary bedroom has its own attached bathroom, featuring a 5' walk-in shower with a clear glass door, a double-bowl vanity with quartz countertops, and a spacious walk-in closet. With its thoughtful design, expansive layout, and modern features, the Pearson at The Townes at Hunter Hill is the perfect place to call home. * Photos are not of actual home or interior features and are representative of floor plan only.
Key facts
- Granite countertops
- Tile backsplash
- Open-concept layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $204k. Condition is rated good.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-85 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $192k (6.0% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $172k (15.7% below list).
- Recommended offer: $172k (15.7% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 4.8% in Rocky Mount — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 70/100 on livability (#134 in NC) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, employment F.
- Nash-Rocky Mount Schools (rural): math 20% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #155 of 178 in NC (top 87%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Zoned schools: Benvenue Elementary (math 14% / reading 25%, grade F, #1,242 of 1,410 statewide, top 90%, 580 students, 88% FRL); Rocky Mount Middle (math 7% / reading 26%, grade F, #449 of 475 statewide, top 96%, 407 students, 97% FRL); Rocky Mount High (math 27% / reading 36%, grade F, #449 of 535 statewide, top 85%, 1,072 students, 76% FRL) — zoned schools average 87% FRL vs 59% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.2%/yr); 534 active listings in the ZIP; 7 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 6d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 500 units permitted in Nash County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 34% of the median local income ($61k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Nash County population projected at -12% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 27 days — a 2% lower offer ($201k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 65% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.79%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.78%
- DSCR
- 0.92
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $224,446
- List price
- $204,000
- Delta
- -9.11%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7265 Longleaf Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 0mo | $192,000 | $135 | 100 |
| 7253 Longleaf Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 1mo | $195,000 | $138 | 99 |
| 7249 Longleaf Rd | 0.00mi | 3/2.5 | 1,418 (0%) | 1mo | $208,300 | $147 | 99 |
| 301 Wellspring Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.5 | 1,497 (+6%) | 0mo | $265,490 | $177 | 74 |
| 830 Brandywine Ln | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,442 (+2%) | 7mo | $212,500 | $147 | 70 |
| 7021 Moss Creek Way | 0.24mi | 3/2.5 | 1,566 (+10%) | 5mo | $229,991 | $147 | 68 |
| 7009 Moss Creek Walk | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,566 (+10%) | 4mo | $234,991 | $150 | 66 |
| 7009 Moss Creek Way | 0.27mi | 3/2.5 | 1,566 (+10%) | 4mo | $234,991 | $150 | 66 |
| 6938 Moss Creek Way | 0.33mi | 3/2.0 | 1,232 (-13%) | 2mo | $209,900 | $170 | 59 |
| 305 Wellspring Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (+14%) | 2mo | $271,990 | $168 | 56 |
| 313 Wellspring Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (+14%) | 4mo | $290,490 | $180 | 54 |
| 333 Wellspring Dr | 0.36mi | 3/2.0 | 1,618 (+14%) | 4mo | $255,560 | $158 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -22.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.24×
- Total profit
- $-43,448
- Equity at exit
- $30,417
- IRR
- -27.7%
- Equity multiple
- -0.12×
- Total profit
- $-64,068
- Equity at exit
- $17,638
Cash invested: $57,120 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State North Carolina
- 85 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
Active competition Active MLS
- For sale now
- 14 active · 9 under contract
- Months of supply
- 6.0 mo (17%/mo absorbed)
- Median asking
- $267,945 ($169/sqft)
- Median days on market
- 54 d
- This list price
- 14% of active listings are priced below it
- ARV vs active asking
- -6.5% vs current asking $/sqft
Closed sales set the value; these active listings set current market conditions and a practical price ceiling.
ZIP-level market 27804
- Rents YoY
- -0.2%
- Active inventory
- 534
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,719 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,070
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$255 /mo · $3,060/yr
- Insurance
- −$85
- HOA
- −$33
- Lot rent
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$361
- Net cashflow
- $-85
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $56 | -5% $-14 | +0% $-85 | +5% $-155 | +10% $-226 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-221 | -5% $-153 | +0% $-85 | +5% $-17 | +10% $51 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $18 | -0.5pp $-33 | base $-85 | +0.5pp $-138 | +1.0pp $-191 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $51,000
- Closing costs
- $6,120
- Club membership (one-time)
- —
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Cash invested
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 7 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7253 Longleaf Rd Rocky Mount, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1418 | $1,795 | $1.27 | 5d | 1 | 0.04mi |
| 1112 Strawbush Rd Rocky Mount, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1300 | $1,600 | $1.23 | 6d | 1 | 0.27mi |
| 2421 Sexton Rd Rocky Mount, NC | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1328 | $1,650 | $1.24 | 6d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 44 B P Ct Rocky Mount, NC | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1455 | $1,695 | $1.16 | 6d | 1 | 1.12mi |
| 3430 Sunset Ave Rocky Mount, NC | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1025 | $1,230 | $1.20 | 5d | 2 | 1.37mi |
| 3206 Sunset Ave Rocky Mount, NC | 2.0 | 1.5 | 875 | $972 | $1.11 | 5d | 2 | 1.44mi |
| 4292 Dortches Blvd Rocky Mount, NC | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1197 | $1,450 | $1.21 | 6d | 1 | 1.47mi |
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community
- Homeowners association managed by Keystone Professional ManagementHOA provides grounds maintenance and managementAnnual association fee
Exterior
- Parking
- Attached garageGarage door openerConcrete driveway2 total parking spaces (1 garage space)
- Utilities
- Public waterPublic sewerElectricity availableWater available
- Home design
- TownhouseTwo levelsSite-builtBuilt by D.R. Horton (Pearson model)
- Construction
- Vinyl sidingArchitectural shingle roofSlab foundationBuilt by D.R. Horton
- Exterior features
- PatioNo fencingLandscaped/maintained grounds (HOA maintenance included)
Interior
- Kitchen
- DishwasherFree-standing electric range
- Bedrooms
- 3 bedrooms
- Flooring
- LaminateLuxury vinyl
- Bathrooms
- 2 full bathrooms1 half bathroom
- Heating & cooling
- Central heatingCentral air
- Interior features
- Granite countersQuartz countersKitchen islandOpen floor planPantryWalk-in showerScreens on windowsSmart technology
- Laundry & utility
- Washer hookupElectric dryer hookupLaundry closet
Listing history 50 events
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2026-08-25days on market $204,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-08-24days on market $204,000 Active 26 DOM
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2026-08-23days on market $204,000 Active 25 DOM
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2026-08-22days on market $204,000 Active 24 DOM
-
2026-08-21days on market $204,000 Active 23 DOM
-
2026-08-20days on market $204,000 Active 22 DOM
-
2026-08-19days on market $204,000 Active 21 DOM
-
2026-08-18days on market $204,000 Active 20 DOM
-
2026-08-17days on market $204,000 Active 19 DOM
-
2026-08-16days on market $204,000 Active 18 DOM
-
2026-08-15days on market $204,000 Active 17 DOM
-
2026-08-14days on market $204,000 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-08-13days on market $204,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-08-12days on market $204,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-08-11days on market $204,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-08-10days on market $204,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-08-09days on market $204,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-08-08days on market $204,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-08-07days on market $204,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-08-06days on market $204,000 Active 8 DOM
-
2026-08-05days on market $204,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-08-04days on market $204,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-08-03days on market $204,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-07-31days on market $204,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-07-30days on market $204,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-07-29days on market $204,000 Active 63 DOM
-
2026-07-27days on market $204,000 Active 61 DOM
-
2026-07-25days on market $204,000 Active 59 DOM
-
2026-07-24days on market $204,000 Active 58 DOM
-
2026-07-23days on market $204,000 Active 57 DOM
-
2026-07-22days on market $204,000 Active 56 DOM
-
2026-07-21days on market $204,000 Active 55 DOM
-
2026-07-18days on market $204,000 Active 52 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $204,000 Active 50 DOM
-
2026-07-16days on market $204,000 Active 49 DOM
-
2026-07-14days on market $204,000 Active 48 DOM
-
2026-07-13days on market $204,000 Active 47 DOM
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2026-07-12days on market $204,000 Active 46 DOM
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2026-07-11days on market $204,000 Active 45 DOM
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2026-07-10days on market $204,000 Active 44 DOM
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2026-07-10price $204,000 Active 43 DOM
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2026-07-09days on market $211,700 Active 43 DOM
Show marketing remark (1785 chars)
A Red Tag Sales Event Home. Come tour 7253 Longleaf Rd. ! One of our new homes at The Townes at Hunter Hill, located in Rocky Mount, NC. The Pearson is a two-story townhome showcased in The Townes at Hunter Hill, located in Rocky Mount, NC. As you step inside this 3-bedroom, 2.5 bath townhome you'll discover 1,418 sq. ft. of comfortable living space. The Pearson also features a 1-car garage, adding convenience and style, making it one of our most sought-after townhome floorplans. The first-floor living area is designed with an open-concept layout, seamlessly connecting the kitchen, living, and dining areas for a versatile space ideal for everyday living and entertaining. The kitchen boasts shaker-style cabinets, granite countertops with a tile backsplash, and stainless steel appliances. The spacious kitchen is perfect for meal prep, cooking, and entertaining. The living and dining areas are located next to the kitchen, keeping you close to the action. After dinner, relax and unwind on your back patio. Elevate your living experience with the second-floor's versatile rooms. Whether you need extra bedrooms, functional offices, or additional bonus spaces, this floor has it all. Indulge in the comfort of carpeted floors and spacious closets in every bedroom. Not to mention, the ideally located laundry area in the hallway makes chores a breeze. The primary bedroom has its own attached bathroom, featuring a 5' walk-in shower with a clear glass door, a double-bowl vanity with quartz countertops, and a spacious walk-in closet. With its thoughtful design, expansive layout, and modern features, the Pearson at The Townes at Hunter Hill is the perfect place to call home. * Photos are not of actual home or interior features and are representative of floor plan only. *
-
2026-07-08days on market $211,700 Active 42 DOM
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2026-07-07days on market $211,700 Active 41 DOM
-
2026-07-06days on market $211,700 Active 40 DOM
-
2026-07-05days on market $211,700 Active 39 DOM
-
2026-07-04days on market $211,700 Active 38 DOM
-
2026-07-03days on market $211,700 Active 37 DOM
-
2026-07-02days on market $211,700 Active 36 DOM
-
2026-07-01days on market $211,700 Active 35 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥109°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 65% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,628
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,427
- − Property taxes
- −$3,060
- − Insurance
- −$1,020
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,650
- − Management
- −$1,650
- − HOA
- −$396
- − Depreciation
- −$5,935
- Taxable loss
- −$4,510
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,082
- After-tax cash flow
- $65/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos
This well-maintained townhouse is move-in ready with a good condition score and minimal updates needed to enhance its value.
Value-add opportunities
- Both Painting exterior siding — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Both Landscaping improvements — Enhances curb appeal and value. ↑
- Resale Kitchen backsplash — Modernizes kitchen and adds value. ↑
- Resale Bathroom vanity — Modernizes bathroom and adds value. ↑
Zoned Schools
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Nash-Rocky Mount Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3703270
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -3.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▲ 1.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,553
- Composite
- 22.04/100
- National rank
- #8198
- State rank
- #155 of 178 in NC
Livability — Rocky Mount
- Score
- 70/100
- State rank
- #134
- US rank
- #7692
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Rocky Mount, NC
- County
- Nash County · 91,107 people
- City population
- 70,300
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- Population (ZIP)
- 30,713
- Household income
- $61,359
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 6% of renters
Population outlook (Nash County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 91,107 people
- By 2030
- 89,193 · -2.1%
- By 2040
- 84,959 · -6.7%
- By 2050
- 80,517 · -11.6%
- By 2075
- 72,941 · -19.9%
- By 2100
- 63,602 · -30.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.59)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 52% White 38% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 3% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 1% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 5% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Nash
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.7% · R 50.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.4pp no change · 2008: -1.3pp · 2024: -1.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+1.8 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+0.2 2012: D+0.9 2008: R+1.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -142.83%
- Current HPI
- 183.0082
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -0.17%
- Metro
- Rocky Mount, NC
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 26
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NC)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 2 | $213B |
|
||
| Retail | 2 | $95B |
|
||
| Industrial Conglomerate | 1 | $38B |
|
||
| Metals / Steel | 1 | $35B |
|
||
| Utilities | 1 | $30B |
|
||
| Industrial Machinery | 1 | $19B |
|
||
Price history
+0.0% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-07-09 Price Changed $204,000 Hive MLS
- 2026-05-28 Listed $211,700 Hive MLS
- 2026-02-19 Listed $204,000 TMLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…