6539 Forrer St · Detroit, MI
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $784 – $1,456
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 97°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +20.7/30.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +6.7/10.0
- DSCR +6.6/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +1.9/5.0
- Schools +1.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$105,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Location! Location! Location. CLEAN AND COZY 2 BR RANCH STYLE HOME IN WARRENDALE AREA. LARGE EAT IN KITCHEN, OPEN FLOOR PLAN. Two and Half Garage.
Key facts
- Open floor plan
- Large eat in kitchen
- Warrendale area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Lot dimensions roughly 42 x 132.5 (about 0.13 acres)
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; Approximately 2.5 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; One level; Ground-level entry
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Brick/mortar foundation; Built with conventional construction
- Exterior features: Porch; Balcony; Paved road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Free-standing gas range; Range hood; Microwave; Free-standing refrigerator; Dishwasher not listed
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); No central air conditioning
- Interior features: Partially finished basement; 4 total rooms
- Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $105k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $141 ($2k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $105k).
- Cap rate 7.9% vs local median 10.0% in Detroit — below-typical yield; the buyer is paying a premium for something (appreciation thesis, condition, location) that the cap rate doesn't capture.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 73/100 on livability (#218 in MI) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: crime F, employment F.
- Detroit Public Schools Community District (urban): math 10% / reading 24% proficiency, ranked #499 of 540 in MI (top 92%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 90% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Gardner Elementary School (math 10% / reading 10%, grade F, #1,230 of 1,397 statewide, top 91%, 282 students, 89% FRL); Cody High School (math 24% / reading 24%, grade F, #481 of 713 statewide, top 81%, 466 students, 88% FRL) — zoned schools at 88% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-2.3%/yr); 367 active listings in the ZIP; 6 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 15d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 2,639 units permitted in Wayne County in 2024 (1,216 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $1,224/mo this rent would consume 48% of the median local household income ($31k/yr) (locally 4144% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $726 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Wayne County population projected at -17% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 20 sale attempts since 22y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $82k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1944 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1944 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.17% ✓
- Cap rate
- 7.91%
- Cash-on-cash
- 5.77%
- DSCR
- 1.26
- GRM
- 7.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $56,160
- Comps found
- 7
Show comp detail 7 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6374 Rutland St | 0.61mi | 2/1.0 | 750 (+4%) | 8mo | $95,000 | $127 | 58 |
| 6800 Memorial Ave | 0.57mi | 2/1.0 | 745 (+4%) | 14mo | $47,000 | $63 | 56 |
| 6871 Winthrop St | 0.28mi | 2/1.0 | 814 (+13%) | 13mo | $65,000 | $80 | 54 |
| 6884 Memorial Ave | 0.60mi | 2/1.5 | 786 (+9%) | 2mo | $70,000 | $89 | 54 |
| 7556 Saint Marys St | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 732 (+2%) | 12mo | $57,000 | $78 | 51 |
| 7782 Forrer St | 0.75mi | 2/1.0 | 700 (-3%) | 21mo | $36,000 | $51 | 43 |
| 6758 Archdale St | 0.75mi | 2/1.5 | 796 (+11%) | 15mo | $35,000 | $44 | 33 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.61×
- Total profit
- $-11,513
- Equity at exit
- $15,656
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.59×
- Total profit
- $-11,964
- Equity at exit
- $9,078
Cash invested: $29,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 62 Landlord-Friendly
- State Michigan
- 62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 48228
- Rents YoY
- -2.3%
- Active inventory
- 367
- Price-to-rent
- 7.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,224 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$551
- Tax from tax record
- −$231 /mo · $2,776/yr
- Insurance
- −$44
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$257
- Net cashflow
- $141
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $201 | -5% $171 | +0% $141 | +5% $112 | +10% $82 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $45 | -5% $93 | +0% $141 | +5% $190 | +10% $238 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $194 | -0.5pp $168 | base $141 | +0.5pp $114 | +1.0pp $87 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $26,250
- Closing costs
- $3,150
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 6 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6225 Middlesex St Unit 5 Dearborn, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 6d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 6225 Middlesex St Unit 5 Dearborn, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $950 | $1.36 | 14d | 1 | 0.98mi |
| 4900 Heather Dr Dearborn, MI | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 921 | $1,980 | $2.15 | 4d | 1 | 1.07mi |
| 5777 Southfield Fwy Detroit, MI | 2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 667 | $1,530 | $2.29 | 0d | 7 | 1.11mi |
| 4810 Ternes St Dearborn, MI | 2.0 | 1.0 | 720 | $1,350 | $1.88 | 19d | 1 | 1.33mi |
| 14825 Joy Rd Detroit, MI | 1.0 | 1.0 | 410 | $900 | $2.20 | 46d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 50 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $105,000 Active 12 DOM
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2026-06-18days on market $105,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $105,000 Active 8 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $105,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $105,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 4 DOM
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2026-06-13days on market $105,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-10pricedays on market $105,000 Active 1 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $119,900 Active 21 DOM
Show marketing remark (146 chars)
Location! Location! Location. CLEAN AND COZY 2 BR RANCH STYLE HOME IN WARRENDALE AREA. LARGE EAT IN KITCHEN, OPEN FLOOR PLAN. Two and Half Garage.
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2026-06-08days on market $119,900 Active 20 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $119,900 Active 19 DOM
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2026-06-04days on market $119,900 Active 16 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $119,900 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $119,900 Active 14 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $119,900 Active 13 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $119,900 Active 12 DOM
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2026-05-19$119,900 Active 146-char remark
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2026-05-19$119,900 Active 146-char remark
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2024-10-17soldstatus $82,500
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2023-08-09$85,000
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2023-08-09historical
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2023-08-09historical
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2023-08-09$85,000
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2015-05-06historical
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2015-04-16historical
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2014-11-06$18,900 Active
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2014-11-06$18,900
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2014-05-30historical
-
2014-05-30historical
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2013-12-19$12,900
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2013-12-19$12,900
-
2013-12-18historical
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2013-12-18historical
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2013-09-23$25,000
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2013-09-23$25,000
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2013-09-18historical
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2013-09-18historical
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2013-08-23$25,000
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2013-08-23$25,000
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2013-05-20historical
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2013-05-20historical
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2012-11-20$13,900
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2012-11-20$13,900
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2009-06-03soldstatus $4,000
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2009-06-03soldstatus $4,000
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2009-06-03soldstatus $4,000
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2009-04-11historical
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2009-04-11historical
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2009-03-10$5,500
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2009-03-10$5,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,776 · $231/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $2,776 · $231/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $14,691
- − Mortgage interest
- −$5,882
- − Property taxes
- −$2,776
- − Insurance
- −$525
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,175
- − Management
- −$1,175
- − Depreciation
- −$3,055
- Taxable income
- $103
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$25
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,673/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Detroit Public Schools Community District
- NCES district ID
- 2601103
- Math proficiency
- 10% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 24% ▲ 6.00%
- Median HH income
- $25,815
- Composite
- 13.06/100
- National rank
- #9564
- State rank
- #499 of 540 in MI
Livability — Detroit
- Score
- 73/100
- State rank
- #218
- US rank
- #5427
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Detroit, MI
- County
- Wayne County · 1,562,939 people
- City population
- 572,865
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,117
- Household income
- $30,680
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 4144.0
Population outlook (Wayne County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 1,675,273 people
- By 2030
- 1,620,300 · -3.3%
- By 2040
- 1,502,341 · -10.3%
- By 2050
- 1,384,039 · -17.4%
- By 2075
- 1,124,592 · -32.9%
- By 2100
- 881,193 · -47.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Black (71%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 71% White 16% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 6%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Arab 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 11% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Arabic 11% Spanish 5%
Political lean MEDSL · Wayne
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+29.0) · D 62.7% · R 33.7% · Other 3.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -20.5pp toward R · 2008: 49.5pp · 2024: 29.0pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+29.0 2020: D+38.1 2016: D+37.3 2012: D+46.9 2008: D+49.5
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -160.81%
- Current HPI
- 168.6843
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -2.30%
- Metro
- Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.37%
- F500 in state
- 28
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Automotive Parts | 3 | $48B |
|
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| Automotive | 2 | $372B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $45B |
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| Automotive Retail | 1 | $29B |
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| Healthcare / Medical Devices | 1 | $23B |
|
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| Automotive Technology | 1 | $20B |
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Price history
+123.4% since first listed42 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-09 Listed $105,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-06-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2026-06-09 Listed $105,000 REALCOMP
- 2026-05-19 Listed $119,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2026-05-19 Listed $119,900 REALCOMP
- 2024-10-17 Sold (Public Records) $82,500 Public Records
- 2023-08-09 Listed $85,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-09 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2023-08-09 Listed $85,000 REALCOMP
- 2023-08-09 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2015-05-06 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2015-04-16 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2014-11-06 Listed $18,900 REALCOMP
- 2014-11-06 Listed $18,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-05-30 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2014-05-30 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-12-19 Listed $12,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-12-19 Listed $12,900 REALCOMP
- 2013-12-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-12-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-09-23 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-09-23 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-09-18 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-09-18 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-08-23 Listed $25,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2013-08-23 Listed $25,000 REALCOMP
- 2013-05-20 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2013-05-20 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2012-11-20 Listed $13,900 REALCOMP
- 2012-11-20 Listed $13,900 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-06-03 Sold (MLS) $4,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-06-03 Sold (MLS) $4,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-06-03 Sold (MLS) $4,000 REALCOMP
- 2009-04-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-04-11 Listing Removed — MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-03-10 Listed $5,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-03-10 Listed $5,500 MiRealSource-MiMLS
- 2009-03-10 Listed $5,500 REALCOMP
- 2004-05-10 Listing Removed — REALCOMP
- 2004-02-10 Listed $75,900 REALCOMP
- 1998-08-10 Sold (Public Records) $47,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.3%/yrLatest (2025): $2,776 · -1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…