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39669 Ormsby St
B Composite 74.14
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.9/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.3/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +0.6/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$99,000

39669 Ormsby St · Mount Clemens, MI 48036
3 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,073 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1968 7,841 sqft lot Est $175k · 43% under ↓ 21% since listing

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

INVESTOR ALERT! Rare opportunity to snag a 3-bedroom ranch in Clinton Township with massive upside. This home is a basically complete blank canvas and requires a full rehab - perfect for your next fix-and-flip or BRRRR project. Featuring 1,073 sq. ft. , a solid crawl space foundation, and a deep 122' lot. Seller may entertain a short-term Land Contract with a strong down payment. Located in the Mount Clemens school district, just minutes from Metro Parkway. Sold as-is. Bring your contractor and your vision! BRRRR-Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat Property sold as-is. All data, including room sizes and square footage, should be independently verified by the buyer and/or buyer's representative for accuracy. "

Key facts

  • Deep lot
  • 7,841 sq ft lot
  • Built 1968

Tags

CRAWL SPACE FOUNDATIONDEEP LOTMOUNT CLEMENS SCHOOL DISTRICT

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $99k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $395 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $99k).
  • Cap rate 11.1% vs local median 3.0% in Mount Clemens — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#120 in MI, #2,918 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: schools D+, crime D+, amenities D+.
  • Mount Clemens Community School District (suburban): math 4% / reading 11% proficiency, ranked #532 of 540 in MI (top 98%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 80% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.1%/yr); 117 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 11d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 42% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 1,321 units permitted in Macomb County in 2024 (86 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $684 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Macomb County population projected at +9% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.1% rent growth), your $28k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $78k; 27% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Recommended offer $99,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1968 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.39%
Cap rate
11.08%
Cash-on-cash
17.10%
DSCR
1.76
GRM
6.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$174,899
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
39669 Ormsby St 0.00mi 3/1.0 1,073 (0%) 3mo $78,000 $73 98
39355 Charbeneau St 0.10mi 3/1.0 1,148 (+7%) 10mo $185,000 $161 75
50 Michigan St 0.46mi 4/1.0 (+1) 1,056 (-2%) 6mo $90,500 $86 66
53 Eastman St 0.26mi 3/2.0 1,200 (+12%) 1mo $240,000 $200 64
72 Gratiot Ave 0.72mi 3/1.0 1,045 (-3%) 1mo $169,900 $163 61
79 Rathbone St 0.22mi 2/1.0 (-1) 985 (-8%) 14mo $75,000 $76 60
54 Gibbs St 0.37mi 3/1.0 1,000 (-7%) 15mo $185,000 $185 59
38747 Harper Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 1,003 (-6%) 6mo $165,000 $165 57
184 Dickinson St 0.24mi 2/1.0 (-1) 1,226 (+14%) 4mo $105,000 $86 57
46 Michigan St 0.47mi 3/1.0 1,192 (+11%) 9mo $124,000 $104 52
38815 Albert Blvd 0.55mi 3/1.5 1,189 (+11%) 4mo $225,000 $189 51
38482 Riverside Dr 0.74mi 3/1.0 1,196 (+12%) 6mo $236,500 $198 41

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.12% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.34×
Total profit
$9,302
Equity at exit
$14,761
10-year hold
IRR
17.9%
Equity multiple
2.49×
Total profit
$41,272
Equity at exit
$8,560

Cash invested: $27,720 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
62 Landlord-Friendly
State Michigan
62 Landlord-Friendly · EVEN
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
7-day pay-or-quit; mixed climate; Detroit/AA have some protections.

ZIP-level market 48036

Home prices YoY
-29.2%
Rents YoY
3.1%
Active inventory
117
Price-to-rent
6.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,374 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$519
Tax from tax record
$130 /mo · $1,564/yr
Insurance
$41
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$289
Net cashflow
$395

Break-even live

Break-even rent $874
Max offer price $99,000
Occupancy floor 66%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $451 -5% $423 +0% $395 +5% $367 +10% $339
Rent -10% $286 -5% $341 +0% $395 +5% $449 +10% $503
Rate -1.0pp $445 -0.5pp $420 base $395 +0.5pp $369 +1.0pp $343

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$24,750
Closing costs
$2,970
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
104 Crocker Blvd Mt Clemens, MI 2.0 1.0 854 $1,250 $1.46 6d 1 0.46mi
70 Crocker Blvd Mt Clemens, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,400 $1.47 11d 1 0.55mi
64 Crocker Blvd Mt Clemens, MI 2.0 1.0 950 $1,250 $1.32 44d 1 0.55mi
23128 Wellington Cres Clinton Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 850 $1,375 $1.62 0d 6 0.99mi
121 Jones St Unit 2 Mt Clemens, MI 2.0 1.0 1050 $1,600 $1.52 3d 1 0.99mi
121 Jones St Unit 1 Mt Clemens, MI 2.0 1.0 1080 $1,400 $1.30 0d 1 0.99mi
38539 Wellington Dr #19 Clinton Twp, MI 2.0 1.0 1092 $1,400 $1.28 44d 1 1.06mi
20 Lincoln St Unit 225 Mt Clemens, MI 2.0 1.0 816 $1,200 $1.47 44d 1 1.13mi
15 Washington St Unit 2 Mt Clemens, MI 3.0 1.0 1396 $1,400 $1.00 44d 1 1.22mi
24120 Denise Blvd Clinton Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 800 $940 $1.18 44d 1 1.24mi
40 Ferrin Pl Mount Clemens, MI 3.0 1.0 1400 $1,700 $1.21 0d 1 1.24mi
23560 Denton St Clinton Twp, MI 1.0–2.0 1.0 650 $1,100 $1.69 4d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 7 events

  1. 2026-05-12
    status Pending
  2. 2026-03-31
    soldstatus $78,000
  3. 2026-03-21
    status Pending
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    INVESTOR ALERT! Rare opportunity to snag a 3-bedroom ranch in Clinton Township with massive upside. This home is a basically complete blank canvas and requires a full rehab - perfect for your next fix-and-flip or BRRRR project. Featuring 1,073 sq. ft. , a solid crawl space foundation, and a deep 122' lot. Seller may entertain a short-term Land Contract with a strong down payment. Located in the Mount Clemens school district, just minutes from Metro Parkway. Sold as-is. Bring your contractor and your vision! BRRRR-Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat Property sold as-is. All data, including room sizes and square footage, should be independently verified by the buyer and/or buyer's representative for accuracy. "

  4. 2026-03-21
    status Pending 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    INVESTOR ALERT! Rare opportunity to snag a 3-bedroom ranch in Clinton Township with massive upside. This home is a basically complete blank canvas and requires a full rehab - perfect for your next fix-and-flip or BRRRR project. Featuring 1,073 sq. ft. , a solid crawl space foundation, and a deep 122' lot. Seller may entertain a short-term Land Contract with a strong down payment. Located in the Mount Clemens school district, just minutes from Metro Parkway. Sold as-is. Bring your contractor and your vision! BRRRR-Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat Property sold as-is. All data, including room sizes and square footage, should be independently verified by the buyer and/or buyer's representative for accuracy. "

  5. 2026-03-20
    historical
  6. 2026-03-13
    listed $99,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    INVESTOR ALERT! Rare opportunity to snag a 3-bedroom ranch in Clinton Township with massive upside. This home is a basically complete blank canvas and requires a full rehab - perfect for your next fix-and-flip or BRRRR project. Featuring 1,073 sq. ft. , a solid crawl space foundation, and a deep 122' lot. Seller may entertain a short-term Land Contract with a strong down payment. Located in the Mount Clemens school district, just minutes from Metro Parkway. Sold as-is. Bring your contractor and your vision! BRRRR-Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat Property sold as-is. All data, including room sizes and square footage, should be independently verified by the buyer and/or buyer's representative for accuracy. "

  7. 2026-03-13
    listed $99,000 Active 724-char remark
    Show marketing remark (724 chars)

    INVESTOR ALERT! Rare opportunity to snag a 3-bedroom ranch in Clinton Township with massive upside. This home is a basically complete blank canvas and requires a full rehab - perfect for your next fix-and-flip or BRRRR project. Featuring 1,073 sq. ft. , a solid crawl space foundation, and a deep 122' lot. Seller may entertain a short-term Land Contract with a strong down payment. Located in the Mount Clemens school district, just minutes from Metro Parkway. Sold as-is. Bring your contractor and your vision! BRRRR-Buy, Rehab, Rent, Refinance, Repeat Property sold as-is. All data, including room sizes and square footage, should be independently verified by the buyer and/or buyer's representative for accuracy. "

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MI · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$1,564 · $130/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,564 · $130/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 20% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 6 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,491
− Mortgage interest
−$5,546
− Property taxes
−$1,564
− Insurance
−$495
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,319
− Management
−$1,319
− Depreciation
−$2,880
Taxable income
$3,368
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$808
After-tax cash flow
$3,931/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Mount Clemens Community School District
NCES district ID
2624690
Math proficiency
4% ▼ -9.00%
Reading proficiency
11% ▼ -7.00%
Median HH income
$36,632
Composite
6.25/100
National rank
#10005
State rank
#532 of 540 in MI

Livability — Mount Clemens

Score
77/100
State rank
#120
US rank
#2918

Category grades

Amenities D+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety B- User ratings D+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Macomb County · 638,552 people
City population
15,429
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
Population (ZIP)
22,538
Household income
$70,071
Rent vs Own
29.5% rent · 70.5% own
Severe rent burden
514.0

Population outlook (Macomb County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
925,296 people
By 2030
948,226 · +2.5%
By 2040
983,961 · +6.3%
By 2050
1,010,200 · +9.2%
By 2075
1,076,222 · +16.3%
By 2100
1,077,065 · +16.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (65%)
Race & ethnicity
White 65% Black 21% Two or more races 8% Hispanic / Latino 5% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3%
Common ancestry
Romanian 13% Lithuanian 3% English 2%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China, Jamaica
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 3% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Macomb

2024 margin
R (+13.7) · D 42.2% · R 55.9% · Other 1.9%
2008→2024 swing
-22.3pp toward R · 2008: 8.6pp · 2024: -13.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.7 2020: R+8.1 2016: R+11.6 2012: D+4.0 2008: D+8.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -111.99%
Current HPI
270.9126
Rent YoY
▲ 3.12%
Metro
Detroit-Warren-Dearborn, MI
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.37%
F500 in state
28

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MI)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-21.2% since first listed
7 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-12 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-31 Sold (Public Records) $78,000 Public Records
  • 2026-03-21 Pending REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-21 Pending MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-20 Listing Removed REALCOMP
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $99,000 MiRealSource-MiMLS
  • 2026-03-13 Listed $99,000 REALCOMP

Property tax history

-3.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $1,564 · +0.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…