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310 Walnut
B+ Composite 79.62
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +13.4/15.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • Appreciation +5.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$59,000

310 Walnut · Needles, CA 92363
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 749 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 143 Days on market
Built 1925 6,000 sqft lot $79/sqft · 13% below area Est $68k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Investment opportunity! 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home that needs you to bring it back to its glory! This fixer upper has tons of potential!

Key facts

  • 6,000 sq ft lot
  • Garage
  • Built 1925

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $59k).
  • Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 5.1% in Needles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 62/100 on livability (#492 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
  • Needles Unified (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #1,194 of 1,400 in CA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $1k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $970 appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
  • San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $38k; list at $59k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $51,920 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  7. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  8. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  9. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.68%
Cap rate
14.41%
Cash-on-cash
29.00%
DSCR
2.29
GRM
5.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$67,838
List price
$59,000
Delta
-13.03%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 Chestnut St 0.09mi 2/1.0 (+1) 785 (+5%) 14mo $124,500 $159 71
318 N K St 0.16mi 2/1.0 (+1) 860 (+15%) 23mo $165,000 $192 44
905 Bush St 0.52mi 2/1.0 (+1) 660 (-12%) 12mo $45,000 $68 41
811 4th St 0.73mi 2/1.0 (+1) 816 (+9%) 8mo $130,000 $159 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

1.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
32.5%
Equity multiple
2.72×
Total profit
$28,417
Equity at exit
$22,145
10-year hold
IRR
34.1%
Equity multiple
5.30×
Total profit
$70,953
Equity at exit
$31,046

Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92363

Home prices YoY
0.6%
Active inventory
151
Price-to-rent
5.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$992 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$309
Tax from tax record
$50 /mo · $604/yr
Insurance
$25
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$208
Net cashflow
$399

Break-even live

Break-even rent $486
Max offer price $59,000
Occupancy floor 55%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$14,750
Closing costs
$1,770
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
214 Spruce St Needles, CA 1.0 1.0 542 $1,100 $2.03 43d 1 0.05mi
110 S L St Needles, CA 2.0 1.0 700 $800 $1.14 43d 1 0.23mi

Listing history 26 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $59,000 Active 143 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $59,000 Active 142 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $59,000 Active 141 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $59,000 Active 140 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $59,000 Active 139 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $59,000 Active 137 DOM
  7. 2026-06-13
    days on market $59,000 Active 136 DOM
  8. 2026-06-10
    days on market $59,000 Active 134 DOM
  9. 2026-06-09
    days on market $59,000 Active 133 DOM
  10. 2026-06-08
    days on market $59,000 Active 132 DOM
  11. 2026-06-07
    days on market $59,000 Active 131 DOM
  12. 2026-06-05
    days on market $59,000 Active 128 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $59,000 Active 126 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $59,000 Active 125 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $59,000 Active 124 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $59,000 Active 123 DOM
  17. 2026-01-27
    listed $59,000 Active 135-char remark
    Show marketing remark (135 chars)

    Investment opportunity! 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home that needs you to bring it back to its glory! This fixer upper has tons of potential!

  18. 2024-05-31
    soldstatus $38,000 Closed Sale 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *

  19. 2024-05-31
    soldstatus $38,000
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *

  20. 2024-02-29
    status Pending Sale 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *

  21. 2024-02-13
    status Active 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *

  22. 2024-01-20
    status Pending Sale 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *

  23. 2024-01-10
    price $49,999 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *

  24. 2024-01-02
    price $50,000 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *

  25. 2023-11-28
    listed $60,000 Active 288-char remark
    Show marketing remark (288 chars)

    CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *

  26. 1977-06-24
    soldstatus $15,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$604 · $50/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$604 · $50/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥116°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$11,902
− Mortgage interest
−$3,305
− Property taxes
−$604
− Insurance
−$295
− Repairs & maintenance
−$952
− Management
−$952
− Depreciation
−$1,716
Taxable income
$4,078
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$979
After-tax cash flow
$3,813/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Needles Unified
NCES district ID
0626760
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -2.00%
Reading proficiency
28% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$31,795
Composite
23.35/100
National rank
#13305
State rank
#1194 of 1400 in CA

Livability — Needles

Score
62/100
State rank
#492
US rank
#16661

Category grades

Amenities F Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Needles, CA
Population (ZIP)
5,392

Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,300,329 people
By 2030
2,378,907 · +3.4%
By 2040
2,523,137 · +9.7%
By 2050
2,642,388 · +14.9%
By 2075
2,880,769 · +25.2%
By 2100
2,909,436 · +26.5%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
Race & ethnicity
White 54% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 16% Native American 11% Black 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada, China
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
2008→2024 swing
-8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 1.64%
Current HPI
279.7931
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+293.3% since first listed
10 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-27 Listed $59,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 2024-05-31 Sold (MLS) $38,000 CRMLS
  • 2024-02-29 Pending CRMLS
  • 2024-02-13 Relisted CRMLS
  • 2024-01-20 Pending CRMLS
  • 2024-01-10 Price Changed $49,999 CRMLS
  • 2024-01-02 Price Changed $50,000 CRMLS
  • 2023-11-28 Listed $60,000 CRMLS
  • 1977-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+5.8%/yr

Latest (2025): $604 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…