310 Walnut · Needles, CA
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $659 – $1,223
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 116°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- Appreciation +5.8/10.0
- Livability +3.1/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Investment opportunity! 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home that needs you to bring it back to its glory! This fixer upper has tons of potential!
Key facts
- 6,000 sq ft lot
- Garage
- Built 1925
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $399 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($992 rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 14.4% vs local median 5.1% in Needles — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 62/100 on livability (#492 in CA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D+, crime F.
- Needles Unified (town): math 22% / reading 28% proficiency, ranked #1,194 of 1,400 in CA (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 151 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,458 units permitted in San Bernardino County in 2024 (1,500 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $1k of equity ($408 loan paydown + $970 appreciation (1.6% local appreciation)).
- San Bernardino County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (1.6% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 143 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 3y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $59k implies a 55% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1925 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 143 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1925 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.68% ✓
- Cap rate
- 14.41%
- Cash-on-cash
- 29.00%
- DSCR
- 2.29
- GRM
- 5.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $67,838
- List price
- $59,000
- Delta
- -13.03%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 16 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 210 Chestnut St | 0.09mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 785 (+5%) | 14mo | $124,500 | $159 | 71 |
| 318 N K St | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 860 (+15%) | 23mo | $165,000 | $192 | 44 |
| 905 Bush St | 0.52mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 660 (-12%) | 12mo | $45,000 | $68 | 41 |
| 811 4th St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 (+1) | 816 (+9%) | 8mo | $130,000 | $159 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
1.64% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 32.5%
- Equity multiple
- 2.72×
- Total profit
- $28,417
- Equity at exit
- $22,145
- IRR
- 34.1%
- Equity multiple
- 5.30×
- Total profit
- $70,953
- Equity at exit
- $31,046
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State California
- 18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 92363
- Home prices YoY
- 0.6%
- Active inventory
- 151
- Price-to-rent
- 5.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $992 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax from tax record
- −$50 /mo · $604/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$208
- Net cashflow
- $399
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 214 Spruce St Needles, CA | 1.0 | 1.0 | 542 | $1,100 | $2.03 | 43d | 1 | 0.05mi |
| 110 S L St Needles, CA | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $800 | $1.14 | 43d | 1 | 0.23mi |
Listing history 26 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $59,000 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $59,000 Active 142 DOM
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2026-06-17days on market $59,000 Active 141 DOM
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2026-06-16days on market $59,000 Active 140 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $59,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $59,000 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $59,000 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-06-10days on market $59,000 Active 134 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $59,000 Active 133 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $59,000 Active 132 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $59,000 Active 131 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $59,000 Active 128 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $59,000 Active 126 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 125 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 124 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,000 Active 123 DOM
-
2026-01-27$59,000 Active 135-char remark
Show marketing remark (135 chars)
Investment opportunity! 2 bedroom 1 bathroom home that needs you to bring it back to its glory! This fixer upper has tons of potential!
-
2024-05-31soldstatus $38,000 Closed Sale 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *
-
2024-05-31soldstatus $38,000
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *
-
2024-02-29status Pending Sale 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *
-
2024-02-13status Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *
-
2024-01-20status Pending Sale 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *
-
2024-01-10price $49,999 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *
-
2024-01-02price $50,000 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *
-
2023-11-28$60,000 Active 288-char remark
Show marketing remark (288 chars)
CASH ONLY OFFERS! Home is a fixer upper and is being sold AS IS. Bring your tools and make this home yours! * * * Buyers must provide proof of rehab experience, waive all contingencies and agree to rehab property within required timeline. Sale will be subject to court approval * * *
-
1977-06-24soldstatus $15,000
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $604 · $50/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $604 · $50/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥116°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $11,902
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$604
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$952
- − Management
- −$952
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $4,078
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$979
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,813/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Needles Unified
- NCES district ID
- 0626760
- Math proficiency
- 22% ▼ -2.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 28% ▼ -1.00%
- Median HH income
- $31,795
- Composite
- 23.35/100
- National rank
- #13305
- State rank
- #1194 of 1400 in CA
Livability — Needles
- Score
- 62/100
- State rank
- #492
- US rank
- #16661
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Needles, CA
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,392
Population outlook (San Bernardino County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 2,300,329 people
- By 2030
- 2,378,907 · +3.4%
- By 2040
- 2,523,137 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 2,642,388 · +14.9%
- By 2075
- 2,880,769 · +25.2%
- By 2100
- 2,909,436 · +26.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.63)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 54% Hispanic / Latino 29% Two or more races 16% Native American 11% Black 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 24% Puerto Rican 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Iranian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 89% English-only · Spanish 9% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · San Bernardino
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 47.5% · R 49.7% · Other 2.8%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -8.5pp toward R · 2008: 6.3pp · 2024: -2.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.1 2020: D+10.7 2016: D+9.8 2012: D+5.4 2008: D+6.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 1.64%
- Current HPI
- 279.7931
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.21%
- F500 in state
- 116
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology | 27 | $1,492B |
|
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| Financial Services | 3 | $174B |
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| Retail | 3 | $44B |
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| Insurance | 3 | $26B |
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $115B |
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| Pharmaceuticals / Biotech | 2 | $62B |
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Price history
+293.3% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-27 Listed $59,000 CRMLS
- 2024-05-31 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
- 2024-05-31 Sold (MLS) $38,000 CRMLS
- 2024-02-29 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-02-13 Relisted — CRMLS
- 2024-01-20 Pending — CRMLS
- 2024-01-10 Price Changed $49,999 CRMLS
- 2024-01-02 Price Changed $50,000 CRMLS
- 2023-11-28 Listed $60,000 CRMLS
- 1977-06-24 Sold (Public Records) $15,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+5.8%/yrLatest (2025): $604 · +9.3% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…