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650 E Harbor Dr S Duplex
B Composite 70.63
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +27.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • DSCR +9.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +7.4/10.0
  • Schools +4.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Livability +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$285,000

650 E Harbor Dr S · St. Petersburg, FL 33705
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,831 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 73 Days on market
Built 1960 4,282 sqft lot Est $386k · 26% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks MLS

Two unit dwelling, ready for quick sale. Located next to park, easy access to shopping, interstate, family friendly community.

Key facts

  • 4,282 sq ft lot
  • Built 1960
  • Listed 73 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Property used as residential income with 2 units; Unfurnished units
  • Financial info: Gross income reported: $36,000; Annual net income reported: $24,783; Pro forma rents listed for unit types: one unit pro forma $1,600; the other unit pro forma $1,400
  • HOA & community: No HOA

Exterior

  • Parking: No specific parking details provided
  • Security: No specific security features provided
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Public utilities
  • Home design: Duplex (residential income property); One building with two units; Two levels
  • Construction: Block construction; Shingle and other roof materials; Slab foundation; Built area: approximately 1,999 total building area
  • Exterior features: Patio; Fenced yard; Storage structure on property; Asphalt road access; Lot dimensions approximately 55 x 79 feet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms total; Two 2-bedroom units (one 2-bed/1-bath unit and another 2-bed/1-bath unit)
  • Flooring: Tile flooring
  • Bathrooms: Each unit includes 1 bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Ductless heating; Wall/window air conditioning units
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Open floor plan; Window treatments (blinds)
  • Laundry & utility: Common area laundry room; Washer and dryer included; Inside utility and storage rooms

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2 × 2-bed/1.0-bath units multifamily listed at $285k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $374 ($4k/yr) — positive. Per door: $187/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $285k).
  • Recommended offer: $268k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 9.7% vs local median 2.6% in St. Petersburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
  • Pinellas (suburban): math 51% / reading 51% proficiency, ranked #31 of 73 in FL (top 42%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents soft (-0.1%/yr); 308 active listings in the ZIP; 33 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,676 units permitted in Pinellas County in 2024 (1,422 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $3,547/mo this rent would consume 58% of the median local household income ($73k/yr) (locally 1386% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Pinellas County population projected at +14% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 73 days — a 6% lower offer ($268k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 3 sale attempts since 10y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (12%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $285k implies a 200% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $427/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AE (mandatory federal flood insurance); severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→25/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $267,900 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 73 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1960 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  6. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  7. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.24%
Cap rate
9.66%
Cash-on-cash
12.04%
DSCR
1.54
GRM
6.7

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$386,341
Comps found
4
Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
719 20th Ave S 0.31mi 4/4.0 1,854 (+1%) 18mo $291,500 $157 60
801 18th Ave S 0.46mi 4/2.0 1,680 (-8%) 8mo $355,000 $211 58
875 19th Ave S Unit 1/2 0.44mi 5/3.0 (+1) 2,046 (+12%) 2mo $335,000 $164 49
877 36th Ave S 0.73mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,960 (+7%) 22mo $575,000 $293 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-11.6%
Equity multiple
0.59×
Total profit
$-32,408
Equity at exit
$42,494
10-year hold
IRR
-8.7%
Equity multiple
0.54×
Total profit
$-36,340
Equity at exit
$24,642

Cash invested: $79,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 33705

Rents YoY
-0.1%
Active inventory
308
Price-to-rent
13.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$3,547 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,495
Tax from tax record
$388 /mo · $4,657/yr
Insurance
$119
Flood insurance flood zone
−$427 /mo · $5,118/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$745
Net cashflow
$374

Break-even live

Break-even rent $3,073
Max offer price $285,000
Occupancy floor 84%

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (2 units) $3,547

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$71,250
Closing costs
$8,550
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 33 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
2329 7th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 3.0 1894 $2,150 $1.14 17d 1 0.09mi
773 W Harbor Dr S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1495 $2,800 $1.87 24d 1 0.13mi
2825 6th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1235 $2,590 $2.10 4d 1 0.24mi
2720 Edwards Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1298 $2,300 $1.77 4d 1 0.28mi
825 32nd Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 1.0–3.0 1.0–2.5 1518 $3,840 $2.53 2d 17 0.39mi
2950 Pallanza Dr S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 3.0 2015 $3,250 $1.61 4d 1 0.49mi
2003 10th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1620 $2,349 $1.45 7d 1 0.53mi
675 16th Ave S Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1518 $2,750 $1.81 10d 1 0.63mi
935 17th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 2448 $3,195 $1.31 4d 1 0.63mi
720 Newton Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1320 $2,500 $1.89 7d 1 0.70mi
116 16th Ave SE Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1468 $3,200 $2.18 24d 1 0.79mi
750 38th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1475 $1,900 $1.29 3d 1 0.85mi
1535 13th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1716 $2,850 $1.66 24d 1 0.87mi
1137 Highland St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,600 $1.86 2d 1 0.90mi
3876 Island Way Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.5 1345 $2,500 $1.86 17d 1 0.93mi
160 Coquina Bay Dr Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.5 1345 $2,400 $1.78 24d 1 0.94mi
3353 Coquina Key Dr SE Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 2240 $4,800 $2.14 4d 1 0.95mi
1218 13th Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1356 $2,594 $1.91 4d 1 0.99mi
1465 15th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.5 1405 $2,400 $1.71 4d 1 0.99mi
3560 Beach Dr SE Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1388 $3,500 $2.52 4d 1 1.04mi
2524 19th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1230 $2,495 $2.03 24d 1 1.04mi
1317 14th St S St Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1236 $2,150 $1.74 24d 1 1.06mi
1349 15th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1702 $2,700 $1.59 24d 1 1.06mi
1911 22nd Ave S St Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1424 $3,000 $2.11 2d 1 1.08mi
1900 19th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 1.0 1572 $2,500 $1.59 4d 1 1.08mi
1900 19th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 1.0 2148 $2,500 $1.16 24d 1 1.08mi
2435 20th St S Unit 1 St. Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1230 $2,650 $2.15 24d 1 1.13mi
2033 20th St S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1752 $1,775 $1.01 4d 1 1.15mi
3601 Coquina Key Dr SE St Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.5 1680 $7,800 $4.64 24d 1 1.15mi
2310 21st St S Saint Petersburg, FL 5.0 3.0 1500 $3,460 $2.31 4d 1 1.15mi
1400 21st St S Saint Petersburg, FL 4.0 2.0 1487 $2,970 $2.00 7d 1 1.34mi
2244 21st Ave S Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 1.0 1229 $2,250 $1.83 4d 1 1.36mi
218 Lewis Blvd SE Saint Petersburg, FL 3.0 2.0 1300 $2,300 $1.77 4d 1 1.39mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $285,000 Active 73 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $285,000 Active 72 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $285,000 Active 71 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    days on market $285,000 Active 70 DOM
  5. 2026-06-13
    days on market $285,000 Active 68 DOM
  6. 2026-06-09
    days on market $285,000 Active 64 DOM
  7. 2026-06-08
    days on market $285,000 Active 63 DOM
  8. 2026-06-07
    days on market $285,000 Active 62 DOM
  9. 2026-06-04
    days on market $285,000 Active 59 DOM
  10. 2026-06-03
    pricedays on market $285,000 Active 58 DOM
  11. 2026-06-01
    days on market $299,900 Active 56 DOM
  12. 2026-05-31
    days on market $299,900 Active 55 DOM
  13. 2026-04-30
    price $299,900
  14. 2026-04-06
    listed $325,000 Active
  15. 2026-03-26
    historical $1,500
  16. 2026-03-20
    price $1,500
  17. 2026-02-06
    listed $1,600
  18. 2017-03-24
    soldstatus $95,000
  19. 2017-03-23
    soldstatus $95,000 Sold 126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    Two unit dwelling, ready for quick sale. Located next to park, easy access to shopping, interstate, family friendly community.

  20. 2017-01-12
    status Pending 126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    Two unit dwelling, ready for quick sale. Located next to park, easy access to shopping, interstate, family friendly community.

  21. 2016-12-29
    listed $109,500 Active 126-char remark
    Show marketing remark (126 chars)

    Two unit dwelling, ready for quick sale. Located next to park, easy access to shopping, interstate, family friendly community.

  22. 1999-08-04
    soldstatus $38,000
  23. 1985-10-01
    soldstatus $39,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$4,657 · $388/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$4,657 · $388/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 10/10 Extreme FEMA zone AE · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 25 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$42,564
− Mortgage interest
−$15,964
− Property taxes
−$4,657
− Insurance
−$6,544
− Repairs & maintenance
−$3,405
− Management
−$3,405
− Depreciation
−$8,291
Taxable income
$298
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$72
After-tax cash flow
$4,419/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Pinellas
NCES district ID
1201560
Math proficiency
51% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
51% ▼ -3.00%
Median HH income
$46,270
Composite
43.27/100
National rank
#3046
State rank
#31 of 73 in FL

Livability — St. Petersburg

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

Census place
St. Petersburg, FL
County
Pinellas County · 939,478 people
City population
249,151
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
Population (ZIP)
27,939
Household income
$73,027
Rent vs Own
41.5% rent · 58.5% own
Severe rent burden
1386.0

Population outlook (Pinellas County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
1,027,532 people
By 2030
1,063,586 · +3.5%
By 2040
1,125,020 · +9.5%
By 2050
1,168,637 · +13.7%
By 2075
1,265,188 · +23.1%
By 2100
1,260,357 · +22.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 41% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 5%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Italian 1% Slovak 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Dominican Republic
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Pinellas

2024 margin
Lean R (+5.2) · D 46.9% · R 52.1%
2008→2024 swing
-13.5pp toward R · 2008: 8.3pp · 2024: -5.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+5.2 2020: D+0.2 2016: R+1.1 2012: D+5.6 2008: D+8.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -540.28%
Current HPI
388.3086
Rent YoY
▼ -0.13%
Metro
Tampa-St. Petersburg-Clearwater, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+669.0% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-30 Price Changed $299,900 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $325,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-03-26 Rental Removed $1,500 RentEngineListings
  • 2026-03-20 Price Changed $1,500 RentEngineListings
  • 2026-02-06 Listed for Rent $1,600 RentEngineListings
  • 2017-03-24 Sold (Public Records) $95,000 Public Records
  • 2017-03-23 Sold (MLS) $95,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2017-01-12 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2016-12-29 Listed $109,500 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 1999-08-04 Sold (Public Records) $38,000 Public Records
  • 1985-10-01 Sold (Public Records) $39,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+16.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $4,657 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…