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111 W 1st St S
B Composite 73.06
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +23.1/30.0
  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Appreciation +8.4/10.0
  • 1% rule +8.1/10.0
  • DSCR +7.4/10.0
  • Livability +3.1/5.0
  • Schools +3.0/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$107,500

111 W 1st St S · Fulton, NY 13069
2 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,604 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 7 Days on market
Built 1880 4,000 sqft lot Est $162k · 34% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and move-in ready -- this home offers fantastic space, and a convenient location. Great curb appeal with nice landscaping, vinyl siding and sharp black accents. A welcoming enclosed front porch leads you into a home packed with functional space and great flexibility for both traditional buyers and possibly investors. Step inside to find an extra-large living room that provides plenty of space for your furniture, beautifully anchored by a classic wooden staircase. The kitchen features timeless cabinetry, a breakfast bar, and nice appliances! For year-round comfort, the property is fully equipped with a forced-air furnace and central air conditioning. Upstairs, the home offers a uniq

Key facts

  • Timeless cabinetry
  • Forced-air furnace
  • Breakfast bar

Tags

ENCLOSED FRONT PORCHEXTRA-LARGE LIVING ROOMTIMELESS CABINETRYBREAKFAST BARFORCED-AIR FURNACECENTRAL AIR CONDITIONING

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: No garage
  • Utilities: High-speed internet available; Public water connected; Sewer connected
  • Home design: 2-story existing home; Vinyl siding
  • Construction: Stone foundation
  • Exterior features: Enclosed porch; Open porch; Blacktop driveway; Rectangular residential lot with 40x100 dimensions; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Total rooms: 5 (includes laundry)
  • Flooring: Carpet; Resilient flooring; Vinyl; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom; 1 half bathroom; One main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Breakfast bar; Separate/formal dining room; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry located in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $108k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $192 ($2k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $108k).
  • Cap rate 8.4% vs local median 6.9% in Fulton — meaningfully above typical; check what's discounted (condition, days-on-market, listing class) to confirm the premium yield is real.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 61/100 on livability (#907 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, schools D-, crime F.
  • Fulton City School District (town): math 29% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #554 of 590 in NY (top 94%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: 115 active listings in the ZIP; 3 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 14d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 172 units permitted in Oswego County in 2024 (27 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $8k of equity ($743 loan paydown + $7k appreciation (6.8% local appreciation)).
  • Oswego County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (6.8% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $30k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 5, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$35k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 7 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • Current owner paid $40k; list at $108k implies a 169% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 3.5% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $107,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.31%
Cap rate
8.44%
Cash-on-cash
7.66%
DSCR
1.34
GRM
6.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$162,004
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
57 W 1st St S 0.11mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,590 (-1%) 5mo $180,000 $113 84
115 Phillips St 0.07mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,498 (-7%) 4mo $135,000 $90 75
207 W 2nd St S 0.18mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,660 (+4%) 11mo $161,000 $97 71
214 W 3rd St S 0.25mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,415 (-12%) 5mo $148,900 $105 60
310 S 3rd St 0.49mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,528 (-5%) 8mo $185,000 $121 55
121 Lyon St 0.71mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,684 (+5%) 5mo $42,500 $25 48
407 State St 0.61mi 2/1.5 1,380 (-14%) 2mo $125,000 $91 47
452 Broadwell Ave 0.66mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,440 (-10%) 2mo $170,000 $118 44
308 Seneca St 0.52mi 3/1.5 (+1) 1,433 (-11%) 13mo $145,000 $101 42
509 S 1st St 0.73mi 2/1.5 1,441 (-10%) 11mo $120,000 $83 40
403 Worth St 0.46mi 3/2.0 (+1) 1,821 (+14%) 12mo $165,600 $91 39
607 Highland St 0.64mi 3/1.0 (+1) 1,396 (-13%) 8mo $173,000 $124 34

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

6.75% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
23.3%
Equity multiple
2.60×
Total profit
$48,230
Equity at exit
$72,716
10-year hold
IRR
21.8%
Equity multiple
5.37×
Total profit
$131,498
Equity at exit
$136,547

Cash invested: $30,100 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13069

Home prices YoY
2.3%
Active inventory
115
Price-to-rent
6.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,410 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$564
Tax from tax record
$313 /mo · $3,759/yr
Insurance
$45
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$296
Net cashflow
$192

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,167
Max offer price $107,500
Occupancy floor 81%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$26,875
Closing costs
$3,225
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 3 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
115 W 1st St S Unit 2 Fulton, NY 2.0 1.0 1958 $1,400 $0.72 13d 1 0.03mi
262 W 4th St S Unit 1 Fulton, NY 3.0 1.0 1316 $1,500 $1.14 43d 1 0.31mi
312 Utica St Fulton, NY 3.0 1.0 1060 $1,300 $1.23 13d 1 0.47mi

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-24
    status Pending
  2. 2026-05-22
    historical Active Under Contract
  3. 2026-05-17
    listed $107,500 Active
  4. 2005-08-12
    soldstatus $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$3,759 · $313/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,759 · $313/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · -0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$16,919
− Mortgage interest
−$6,022
− Property taxes
−$3,759
− Insurance
−$538
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,354
− Management
−$1,354
− Depreciation
−$3,127
Taxable income
$767
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$184
After-tax cash flow
$2,121/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Fulton City School District
NCES district ID
3611700
Math proficiency
29% ▼ -11.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▲ 5.00%
Median HH income
$43,337
Composite
30.49/100
National rank
#6220
State rank
#554 of 590 in NY

Livability — Fulton

Score
61/100
State rank
#907
US rank
#17723

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety D- User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Fulton, NY
Population (ZIP)
23,176

Population outlook (Oswego County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
114,465 people
By 2030
109,968 · -3.9%
By 2040
99,205 · -13.3%
By 2050
87,979 · -23.1%
By 2075
65,100 · -43.1%
By 2100
47,117 · -58.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (93%)
Race & ethnicity
White 93% Hispanic / Latino 4% Two or more races 3%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 6% Romanian 6% Iranian 2%
Foreign-born
2% · Canada
Languages at home
96% English-only · Spanish 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Oswego

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.2) · D 37.9% · R 62.1%
2008→2024 swing
-26.6pp toward R · 2008: 2.5pp · 2024: -24.2pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.2 2020: R+20.2 2016: R+23.2 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+2.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 6.75%
Current HPI
304.443
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+168.8% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-24 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-05-22 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2026-05-17 Listed $107,500 CNYIS
  • 2005-08-12 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+1.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $3,759 · +2.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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