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222 N Lake St
D Composite 41.85
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +10.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +9.1/10.0
  • ARV discount +8.4/15.0
  • DSCR +3.0/10.0
  • Livability +2.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +1.7/10.0
  • Schools +1.4/10.0

$215,000

222 N Lake St · Calipatria, CA 92233
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 958 sqft · SingleFamily · 92 Days on market
Built 1970 $224/sqft · at area comps Est $220k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 222 N Lake Ave, Calipatria Discover the charm of small-town living at 222 N Lake Ave, Calipatria a delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home that embodies the warmth and simplicity of small-town America. Nestled in a friendly community, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience for families or individuals seeking a serene lifestyle. Prime Location. Situated right across the street from a beautiful park, this home provides easy access to outdoor recreation and a place for kids to play or for you to enjoy a leisurely stroll. The location is ideal, with the Public Library, Freemont Primary School, and shopping centers all within short distance. This makes daily errands and school runs a breeze, enhancing the quality of life for you and your family. Home Features Cozy Living Spaces. Inviting Living Room: The welcoming living room is perfect for relaxing after a long day or hosting friends and family. Functional Kitchen: Equipped with ample cabinetry and counter space, the kitchen is designed to make meal preparation easy and enjoyable. Spacious Master Suite: Enjoy the privacy and comfort of a generous master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom. Two Additional Bedrooms: The additional bedrooms offer flexibility for use as children's rooms, guest rooms, or a home office. Outdoor Enjoyment Large Backyard: The expansive backyard provides endless possibilities for outdoor fun, gardening, or simply unwinding in the fresh air. Calipatria is known for its tight-knit community and welcoming atmosphere. Residents enjoy a slower pace of life with the benefits of modern conveniences nearby. With nearby schools and amenities, it's an ideal place to raise a family or settle down in a peaceful environment. Make 222 N Lake Ave Your New Home. This charming property offers a unique opportunity to experience small-town life while remaining connected to essential amenities. If you're ready to embrace the tranquility and community spirit of Calipatria, 222 N Lake Ave is waiting for you. Contact your realtor today to schedule a viewing and start the next chapter in your life. #realestate #Imperialcounty #Calipatria #calexico #brawley#imperial #heber #holtville

Key facts

  • Functional kitchen
  • Shopping centers
  • Public library

Tags

PRIME LOCATIONPUBLIC LIBRARYFREEMONT PRIMARY SCHOOLSHOPPING CENTERSFUNCTIONAL KITCHENSPACIOUS MASTER SUITE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $215k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-116 ($-1k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $194k (9.6% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $145k (32.6% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $145k (32.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 56/100 on livability (#789 in CA) — a working-class tenant base; expect higher turnover. Strengths: crime A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment D-.
  • Calipatria Unified (town): math 9% / reading 27% proficiency, ranked #485 of 517 in CA (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Fremont Primary (math 8% / reading 12%, grade F, #1,535 of 1,571 statewide, top 98%, 370 students, 90% FRL); Bill E. Young Jr. Middle (math 8% / reading 26%, grade F, #443 of 498 statewide, top 90%, 358 students, 90% FRL); Calipatria High (math 12% / reading 57%, grade F, #618 of 1,170 statewide, top 56%, 369 students, 80% FRL) — zoned schools at 87% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: 22 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 271 units permitted in Imperial County in 2024 (112 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $19k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (8.2% local appreciation)).
  • Imperial County population projected at +7% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$31k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 92 days — a 9% lower offer ($196k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 2 sale attempts with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $145,000 (32.6% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 92 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 33% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1970 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  7. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  8. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  9. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  10. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.67%
Cap rate
5.64%
Cash-on-cash
-2.32%
DSCR
0.90
GRM
12.4

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$219,622
List price
$215,000
Delta
-2.10%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
13 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
133 E California 0.29mi 3/1.5 1,098 (+15%) 22mo $240,000 $219 42

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

8.24% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
18.8%
Equity multiple
2.40×
Total profit
$84,384
Equity at exit
$166,890
10-year hold
IRR
17.6%
Equity multiple
5.16×
Total profit
$250,272
Equity at exit
$334,718

Cash invested: $60,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State California
18 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+13
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
AB1482 statewide rent cap (10% + CPI). Cities (SF/LA/Berkeley) layer stricter rules. Just-cause statewide.

ZIP-level market 92233

Home prices YoY
2.0%
Active inventory
22
Price-to-rent
12.4×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,450 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,127
Tax from tax record
$45 /mo · $536/yr
Insurance
$90
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$304
Net cashflow
$-116

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,597
Max offer price $194,464
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $5 -5% $-55 +0% $-116 +5% $-177 +10% $-238
Rent -10% $-231 -5% $-174 +0% $-116 +5% $-59 +10% $-2
Rate -1.0pp $-8 -0.5pp $-62 base $-116 +0.5pp $-172 +1.0pp $-229

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$53,750
Closing costs
$6,450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
172 W Alamo St Unit 1 Calipatria, CA 2.0 1.0 880 $1,450 $1.65 45d 1 0.19mi

Listing history 3 events

  1. 2026-03-20
    historical Active Under Contract 2201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2201 chars)

    Welcome to 222 N Lake Ave, Calipatria Discover the charm of small-town living at 222 N Lake Ave, Calipatria a delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home that embodies the warmth and simplicity of small-town America. Nestled in a friendly community, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience for families or individuals seeking a serene lifestyle. Prime Location. Situated right across the street from a beautiful park, this home provides easy access to outdoor recreation and a place for kids to play or for you to enjoy a leisurely stroll. The location is ideal, with the Public Library, Freemont Primary School, and shopping centers all within short distance. This makes daily errands and school runs a breeze, enhancing the quality of life for you and your family. Home Features Cozy Living Spaces. Inviting Living Room: The welcoming living room is perfect for relaxing after a long day or hosting friends and family. Functional Kitchen: Equipped with ample cabinetry and counter space, the kitchen is designed to make meal preparation easy and enjoyable. Spacious Master Suite: Enjoy the privacy and comfort of a generous master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom. Two Additional Bedrooms: The additional bedrooms offer flexibility for use as children's rooms, guest rooms, or a home office. Outdoor Enjoyment Large Backyard: The expansive backyard provides endless possibilities for outdoor fun, gardening, or simply unwinding in the fresh air. Calipatria is known for its tight-knit community and welcoming atmosphere. Residents enjoy a slower pace of life with the benefits of modern conveniences nearby. With nearby schools and amenities, it's an ideal place to raise a family or settle down in a peaceful environment. Make 222 N Lake Ave Your New Home. This charming property offers a unique opportunity to experience small-town life while remaining connected to essential amenities. If you're ready to embrace the tranquility and community spirit of Calipatria, 222 N Lake Ave is waiting for you. Contact your realtor today to schedule a viewing and start the next chapter in your life. #realestate #Imperialcounty #Calipatria #calexico #brawley#imperial #heber #holtville

  2. 2026-02-26
    listed $215,000 Active 1543-char remark
    Show marketing remark (1543 chars)

    Welcome to 222 N Lake Ave, Calipatria Discover the charm of small-town living at 222 N Lake Ave, Calipatria a delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home that embodies the warmth and simplicity of small-town America. Nestled in a friendly community, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience for families or individuals seeking a serene lifestyle. Prime Location. Situated right across the street from a beautiful park, this home provides easy access to outdoor recreation and a place for kids to play or for you to enjoy a leisurely stroll. The location is ideal, with the Public Library, Freemont Primary School, and shopping centers all within short distance. This makes daily errands and school runs a breeze, enhancing the quality of life for you and your family. Home Features Cozy Living Spaces. Inviting Living Room: The welcoming living room is perfect for relaxing after a long day or hosting friends and family. Functional Kitchen: Equipped with ample cabinetry and counter space, the kitchen is designed to make meal preparation easy and enjoyable. Spacious Master Suite: Enjoy the privacy and comfort of a generous master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom. Two Additional Bedrooms: The additional bedrooms offer flexibility for use as children's rooms, guest rooms, or a home office. Outdoor Enjoyment Large Backyard: The expansive backyard provides endless possibilities for outdoor fun, gardening, or simply unwinding in the fresh air. Calipatria is known for its tight-knit community and welcoming atmosphere.

  3. 2026-02-11
    listed $215,000 Active 2201-char remark
    Show marketing remark (2201 chars)

    Welcome to 222 N Lake Ave, Calipatria Discover the charm of small-town living at 222 N Lake Ave, Calipatria a delightful 3-bedroom, 2-bathroom home that embodies the warmth and simplicity of small-town America. Nestled in a friendly community, this property offers the perfect blend of comfort and convenience for families or individuals seeking a serene lifestyle. Prime Location. Situated right across the street from a beautiful park, this home provides easy access to outdoor recreation and a place for kids to play or for you to enjoy a leisurely stroll. The location is ideal, with the Public Library, Freemont Primary School, and shopping centers all within short distance. This makes daily errands and school runs a breeze, enhancing the quality of life for you and your family. Home Features Cozy Living Spaces. Inviting Living Room: The welcoming living room is perfect for relaxing after a long day or hosting friends and family. Functional Kitchen: Equipped with ample cabinetry and counter space, the kitchen is designed to make meal preparation easy and enjoyable. Spacious Master Suite: Enjoy the privacy and comfort of a generous master bedroom with an en-suite bathroom. Two Additional Bedrooms: The additional bedrooms offer flexibility for use as children's rooms, guest rooms, or a home office. Outdoor Enjoyment Large Backyard: The expansive backyard provides endless possibilities for outdoor fun, gardening, or simply unwinding in the fresh air. Calipatria is known for its tight-knit community and welcoming atmosphere. Residents enjoy a slower pace of life with the benefits of modern conveniences nearby. With nearby schools and amenities, it's an ideal place to raise a family or settle down in a peaceful environment. Make 222 N Lake Ave Your New Home. This charming property offers a unique opportunity to experience small-town life while remaining connected to essential amenities. If you're ready to embrace the tranquility and community spirit of Calipatria, 222 N Lake Ave is waiting for you. Contact your realtor today to schedule a viewing and start the next chapter in your life. #realestate #Imperialcounty #Calipatria #calexico #brawley#imperial #heber #holtville

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast CA · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$536 · $45/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,634 · $136/mo
Expected delta
+$1,098/yr (+$91/mo · 204.7%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥114°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$17,400
− Mortgage interest
−$12,043
− Property taxes
−$536
− Insurance
−$1,075
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,392
− Management
−$1,392
− Depreciation
−$6,255
Taxable loss
−$5,293
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,270
After-tax cash flow
$-125/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Calipatria Unified
NCES district ID
0606990
Math proficiency
9% ▼ -18.00%
Reading proficiency
27% ▼ -18.00%
Median HH income
$30,088
Composite
14.28/100
National rank
#9446
State rank
#485 of 517 in CA

Livability — Calipatria

Score
56/100
State rank
#789
US rank
#22633

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living B- Crime A+ Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety F User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Calipatria, CA
Population (ZIP)
6,837

Population outlook (Imperial County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
186,713 people
By 2030
190,022 · +1.8%
By 2040
195,993 · +5.0%
By 2050
199,534 · +6.9%
By 2075
216,878 · +16.2%
By 2100
352,705 · +88.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly Hispanic (80%)
Race & ethnicity
Hispanic / Latino 80% Two or more races 22% Black 9% White 7% Asian 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 75% Puerto Rican 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 1% Lithuanian 1% Slovak 0%
Foreign-born
20% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
31% English-only · Spanish 67% Korean 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Imperial

2024 margin
Toss-up / Even · D 48.3% · R 49.1% · Other 2.6%
2008→2024 swing
-27.0pp toward R · 2008: 26.2pp · 2024: -0.9pp
All cycles
2024: R+0.9 2020: D+24.4 2016: D+41.1 2012: D+28.8 2008: D+26.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 8.24%
Current HPI
426.7554
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.21%
F500 in state
116

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in CA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+0.0% since first listed
3 events — show timeline
  • 2026-03-20 Contingent ICAOR
  • 2026-02-26 Listed $215,000 SDMLS
  • 2026-02-11 Listed $215,000 ICAOR

Property tax history

-4.3%/yr

Latest (2025): $536 · -5.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…