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251 SE 82nd Pl
B- Composite 69.47
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • 1% rule +9.3/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +3.6/10.0
  • Livability +3.5/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.2/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$112,667

251 SE 82nd Pl · Ocala, FL 34480
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 960 sqft · Manufactured public records · 23 Days on market
Built 1985 0.26 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

Charming and affordable mobile home situated on a spacious . 26-acre lot located in Ocala, FL. This split-bedroom floor plan offers a dining area off the kitchen, creating a comfortable and functional living space. While the home has a dated feel, everything is in working condition. Major updates include a Roof and A/C that are only 3 years old, plus the well is equipped with a water softener system. Outside, enjoy the privacy and peaceful setting with plenty of room to spread out. The property also features a new 8x8 shed and a carport with a new canopy. Conveniently located approximately 40 minutes from World Equestrian Center, Horse Capitol of the World and about 50 minutes to Orlando. N

Key facts

  • Dining area
  • Spacious lot
  • Privacy setting

Tags

SPACIOUS LOTDINING AREAWATER SOFTENER SYSTEMNEW SHEDCARPORT WITH CANOPYPRIVACY SETTING

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Lot roughly 0.26 acres (approx. 100 x 113) on a public maintained limerock road; One well and one septic on property
  • HOA & community: Pets allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Covered parking; 1-car carport
  • Utilities: Well water; Septic tank; Cable connected; Electricity connected; Propane
  • Home design: Manufactured double-wide home; Single-story; Faces south
  • Construction: Vinyl siding; Metal roof; Crawlspace foundation; Built on a double-wide manufactured home structure
  • Exterior features: Deck; Mature landscaping with oak trees

Interior

  • Kitchen: Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Carpet; Linoleum
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Heat pump heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Ceiling fans; Eat-in kitchen; Split bedroom layout
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry inside

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $113k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $521 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $113k).
  • Recommended offer: $111k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 12.6% vs local median 4.2% in Ocala — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 69/100 on livability (#476 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime F, amenities F, commute F.
  • Marion (rural): math 42% / reading 43% proficiency, ranked #61 of 73 in FL (top 84%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 61% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Zoned schools: Shady Hill Elementary School (math 69% / reading 53%, grade B, #653 of 2,144 statewide, top 31%, 643 students, 56% FRL); Vanguard High School (math 22% / reading 48%, grade F, #379 of 667 statewide, top 58%, 1,661 students, 59% FRL) — zoned schools at 57% FRL track the district average.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+2.8%/yr); 344 active listings in the ZIP; solid renter incomes; 7,071 units permitted in Marion County in 2024 (534 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $779 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $3k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Marion County population projected at +13% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 2.8% rent growth), your $32k cash investment doubles in ~7 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 23 days — a 2% lower offer ($111k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $110,976 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  4. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  5. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  6. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.43%
Cap rate
12.55%
Cash-on-cash
22.35%
DSCR
1.99
GRM
5.8

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 2.84% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
11.8%
Equity multiple
1.47×
Total profit
$14,686
Equity at exit
$16,799
10-year hold
IRR
20.6%
Equity multiple
2.73×
Total profit
$54,498
Equity at exit
$9,741

Cash invested: $31,547 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 34480

Home prices YoY
-28.7%
Rents YoY
2.8%
Active inventory
344
Price-to-rent
5.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,606 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$591
Tax from tax record
$43 /mo · $518/yr
Insurance
$47
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$337
Net cashflow
$521

Break-even live

Break-even rent $946
Max offer price $112,667
Occupancy floor 63%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$28,167
Closing costs
$3,380
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    status $112,667 Pending 23 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $112,667 Active 23 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $112,667 Active 22 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $112,667 Active 18 DOM
  5. 2026-06-02
    days on market $112,667 Active 17 DOM
  6. 2026-06-01
    days on market $112,667 Active 16 DOM
  7. 2026-05-31
    days on market $112,667 Active 15 DOM
  8. 2026-05-30
    days on market $112,667 Active 14 DOM
  9. 2026-05-16
    listed $112,667 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$518 · $43/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$935 · $78/mo
Expected delta
+$417/yr (+$35/mo · 80.4%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,271
− Mortgage interest
−$6,311
− Property taxes
−$518
− Insurance
−$1,361
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,542
− Management
−$1,542
− Depreciation
−$3,278
Taxable income
$4,719
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,133
After-tax cash flow
$5,122/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Marion
NCES district ID
1201260
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
43% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$40,015
Composite
35.61/100
National rank
#4890
State rank
#61 of 73 in FL

Livability — Ocala

Score
69/100
State rank
#476
US rank
#8461

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Marion County · 315,796 people
City population
263,375
Metro
Ocala, FL
Population (ZIP)
23,517
Household income
$77,557
Rent vs Own
23.3% rent · 76.7% own
Severe rent burden
169.0

Population outlook (Marion County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
365,905 people
By 2030
376,768 · +3.0%
By 2040
396,555 · +8.4%
By 2050
412,723 · +12.8%
By 2075
446,090 · +21.9%
By 2100
436,193 · +19.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (73%)
Race & ethnicity
White 73% Hispanic / Latino 15% Two or more races 11% Black 6% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 3% Puerto Rican 5% Cuban 2% Dominican 2%
Common ancestry
Italian 3% Slovak 3% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 9% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Marion

2024 margin
Solid R (+31.6) · D 33.8% · R 65.5%
2008→2024 swing
-20.0pp toward R · 2008: -11.6pp · 2024: -31.6pp
All cycles
2024: R+31.6 2020: R+25.9 2016: R+26.2 2012: R+16.2 2008: R+11.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -85.60%
Current HPI
212.4262
Rent YoY
▲ 2.84%
Metro
Ocala, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-05-16 Listed $112,667 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+6.2%/yr

Latest (2025): $518 · +71.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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