5712 Daniel Boone Pkwy · Madison, WV
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $787 – $1,461
Heat risk 4/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 98°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Appreciation +7.3/10.0
- Livability +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$44,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Charming one level home just out of town. Convenient to schools. hospital, shopping etc… Three bedrooms & two baths. Two car garage . Nice deck & two outbuildings. Aerator is one year old. Large utility room.
Key facts
- 0.29 acre lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1945
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $45k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $439 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $45k).
- Recommended offer: $40k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 60/100 on livability (#217 in WV) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, crime A, housing A-; Watch: amenities F, commute F, employment F.
- Boone County Schools (rural): math 26% / reading 36% proficiency, ranked #26 of 55 in WV (top 47%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Brookview Elementary (math 42% / reading 37%, grade F, #108 of 377 statewide, top 33%, 341 students, 0% FRL); Madison Middle School (math 18% / reading 30%, grade F, #89 of 109 statewide, top 82%, 442 students, 0% FRL); Scott High School (math 17% / reading 37%, grade F, #79 of 110 statewide, top 78%, 529 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 43% district-wide (43 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 1 active listings in the ZIP; 4 units permitted in Boone County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $2k of equity ($310 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (4.7% local appreciation)).
- Boone County population projected at -34% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
- At projected returns (4.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $13k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 144 days — a 12% lower offer ($40k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 4y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $40k (47%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1945 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 144 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1945 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 2.24% ✓
- Cap rate
- 19.81%
- Cash-on-cash
- 48.28%
- DSCR
- 3.15
- GRM
- 3.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $130,525
- Comps found
- 2
Show comp detail 2 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6192 Daniel Boone Parkway Pkwy | 0.29mi | 3/2.0 | 1,152 (+2%) | 13mo | $65,000 | $56 | 69 |
| 1391 Price Branch Rd | 0.51mi | 3/1.0 | 1,152 (+2%) | 23mo | $132,000 | $115 | 54 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
4.67% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 49.7%
- Equity multiple
- 3.99×
- Total profit
- $37,528
- Equity at exit
- $24,540
- IRR
- 47.8%
- Equity multiple
- 8.14×
- Total profit
- $89,761
- Equity at exit
- $41,622
Cash invested: $12,572 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State West Virginia
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+22
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 25081
- Home prices YoY
- 3.5%
- Active inventory
- 1
- Price-to-rent
- 3.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,007 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$235
- Tax from tax record
- −$36 /mo · $428/yr
- Insurance
- −$19
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$212
- Net cashflow
- $439
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $11,225
- Closing costs
- $1,347
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-04-20status Pending
-
2026-03-17price $44,900
-
2026-02-19price $54,900
-
2026-02-10status Active
-
2026-02-04status Pending
-
2025-12-22price $69,900
-
2025-11-19$84,900 Active
-
2023-01-17soldstatus $130,000
-
2023-01-09soldstatus $130,000 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Charming one level home just out of town. Convenient to schools. hospital, shopping etc… Three bedrooms & two baths. Two car garage . Nice deck & two outbuildings. Aerator is one year old. Large utility room.
-
2022-09-28$130,000 227-char remark
Show marketing remark (227 chars)
Charming one level home just out of town. Convenient to schools. hospital, shopping etc… Three bedrooms & two baths. Two car garage . Nice deck & two outbuildings. Aerator is one year old. Large utility room.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast WV · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $428 · $36/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $428 · $36/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥98°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $12,087
- − Mortgage interest
- −$2,515
- − Property taxes
- −$428
- − Insurance
- −$1,022
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$967
- − Management
- −$967
- − Depreciation
- −$1,306
- Taxable income
- $4,881
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$1,172
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,101/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Boone County Schools
- NCES district ID
- 5400090
- Math proficiency
- 26% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 36% ▼ -7.00%
- Median HH income
- $39,554
- Composite
- 26.0/100
- National rank
- #7318
- State rank
- #26 of 55 in WV
Livability — Madison
- Score
- 60/100
- State rank
- #217
- US rank
- #19138
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Population (ZIP)
- 1,084
Population outlook (Boone County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 20,544 people
- By 2030
- 19,019 · -7.4%
- By 2040
- 16,026 · -22.0%
- By 2050
- 13,482 · -34.4%
- By 2075
- 8,854 · -56.9%
- By 2100
- 6,046 · -70.6%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (99%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 99%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 2% Iranian 2%
- Languages at home
- 99% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Boone
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+57.4) · D 20.1% · R 77.5% · Other 2.3%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -68.1pp toward R · 2008: 10.7pp · 2024: -57.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+57.4 2020: R+53.0 2016: R+54.3 2012: R+31.3 2008: D+10.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 4.67%
- Current HPI
- 137.1258
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- —
- F500 in state
- 0
Price history
-65.5% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-20 Pending — KVBOR
- 2026-03-17 Price Changed $44,900 KVBOR
- 2026-02-19 Price Changed $54,900 KVBOR
- 2026-02-10 Relisted — KVBOR
- 2026-02-04 Pending — KVBOR
- 2025-12-22 Price Changed $69,900 KVBOR
- 2025-11-19 Listed $84,900 KVBOR
- 2023-01-17 Sold (Public Records) $130,000 Public Records
- 2023-01-09 Sold (MLS) $130,000 KVBOR
- 2022-09-28 Listed $130,000 KVBOR
Property tax history
+16.3%/yrLatest (2025): $428 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…