Do Not Use · Cleves, OH
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
- —
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
- —
Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- —
Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
- —
Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
- —
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +24.1/30.0
- ARV discount +10.4/15.0
- DSCR +7.8/10.0
- 1% rule +6.3/10.0
- Schools +5.3/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$399,990
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Discover The Birmingham A Two-Story Home Designed for the Way You Live The Birmingham offers the perfect blend of space, style, and flexibility to match your lifestyle. This impressive two-story floorplan welcomes you with a wide foyer and open layout that leads into a bright and spacious family room-ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Add even more warmth and character with optional features like a gas fireplace or additional windows. At the heart of the home, the kitchen shines with an island countertop, a double-door pantry, and a generous breakfast area-perfect for casual meals and morning routines. Upstairs, your private retreat awaits. The expansive owner's suite, entered through elegant French doors, features a large walk-in closet and a luxurious owner's bath with a soaking tub, separate shower, and dual-sink vanity. Convenience continues with a thoughtfully placed second-floor laundry room, which can be enhanced with a folding station, extra natural light, and even a direct entry into your closet. Want more flexibility? Choose between an open second-floor loft or an additional bedroom-whatever fits your needs best. Start personalizing The Birmingham today and bring your vision of home to life.
Key facts
- Bright family room
- Open layout
- Double door pantry
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.5-bath single-family listed at $400k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $791 ($9k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($4k rent vs $400k).
- Recommended offer: $352k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#701 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Three Rivers Local (rural): math 58% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #256 of 656 in OH (top 39%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 801 units permitted in Hamilton County in 2024 (190 in 5+ unit buildings).
- At $4,500/mo this rent would consume 64% of the median local household income ($85k/yr) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $12k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 156 days — a 12% lower offer ($352k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 156 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.13% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.67%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.47%
- DSCR
- 1.38
- GRM
- 7.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $427,174
- List price
- $399,990
- Delta
- -6.36%
- Verdict
- FAIR
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 9 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 587 Laurelwood Dr | 0.34mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,790 (+2%) | 12mo | $465,000 | $167 | 67 |
| 583 Laurelwood Dr | 0.36mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 2,700 (-2%) | 12mo | $500,000 | $185 | 61 |
| 540 Aston View Ln | 0.72mi | 3/3.0 | 2,910 (+6%) | 3mo | $465,000 | $160 | 52 |
| 113 Coleman Ct | 0.63mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,957 (+8%) | 17mo | $465,000 | $157 | 39 |
| 534 Aston View Ln | 0.71mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,684 (-2%) | 24mo | $515,000 | $192 | 38 |
| 702 Rosewynne Ct | 0.67mi | 4/3.5 (+1) | 3,064 (+12%) | 5mo | $450,000 | $147 | 36 |
| 511 Laurelwood Dr | 0.69mi | 4/2.5 (+1) | 2,485 (-10%) | 13mo | $433,000 | $174 | 36 |
| 542 Aston View Ln | 0.73mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,368 (-14%) | 4mo | $450,000 | $190 | 33 |
| 515 Laurelwood Dr | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 (+1) | 2,532 (-8%) | 21mo | $395,000 | $156 | 30 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -3.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.87×
- Total profit
- $-14,384
- Equity at exit
- $59,640
- IRR
- 6.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.47×
- Total profit
- $52,602
- Equity at exit
- $34,584
Cash invested: $111,997 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 73 Landlord-Friendly
- State Ohio
- 73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 45002
- Home prices YoY
- -28.9%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 7.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $4,500 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$2,098
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$500 /mo · $6,000/yr
- Insurance
- −$167
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$945
- Net cashflow
- $791
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,067 | -5% $929 | +0% $791 | +5% $653 | +10% $514 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $435 | -5% $613 | +0% $791 | +5% $969 | +10% $1,146 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $992 | -0.5pp $892 | base $791 | +0.5pp $687 | +1.0pp $582 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $99,998
- Closing costs
- $12,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8705 Quietwood Ln Cleves, OH | 4.0 | 2.5 | 3708 | $4,500 | $1.21 | 44d | 1 | 1.01mi |
Listing history 15 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $399,990 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $399,990 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $399,990 Active 153 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $399,990 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $399,990 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $399,990 Active 149 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $399,990 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $399,990 Active 145 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,990 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $399,990 Active 143 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $399,990 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $399,990 Active 138 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $399,990 Active 137 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $399,990 Active 136 DOM
-
2026-01-15$399,990 Active 1229-char remark
Show marketing remark (1229 chars)
Discover The Birmingham A Two-Story Home Designed for the Way You Live The Birmingham offers the perfect blend of space, style, and flexibility to match your lifestyle. This impressive two-story floorplan welcomes you with a wide foyer and open layout that leads into a bright and spacious family room-ideal for everyday living and entertaining. Add even more warmth and character with optional features like a gas fireplace or additional windows. At the heart of the home, the kitchen shines with an island countertop, a double-door pantry, and a generous breakfast area-perfect for casual meals and morning routines. Upstairs, your private retreat awaits. The expansive owner's suite, entered through elegant French doors, features a large walk-in closet and a luxurious owner's bath with a soaking tub, separate shower, and dual-sink vanity. Convenience continues with a thoughtfully placed second-floor laundry room, which can be enhanced with a folding station, extra natural light, and even a direct entry into your closet. Want more flexibility? Choose between an open second-floor loft or an additional bedroom-whatever fits your needs best. Start personalizing The Birmingham today and bring your vision of home to life.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
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Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $54,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$22,406
- − Property taxes
- −$6,000
- − Insurance
- −$2,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$4,320
- − Management
- −$4,320
- − Depreciation
- −$11,636
- Taxable income
- $3,318
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$796
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,693/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Three Rivers Local
- NCES district ID
- 3904739
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -9.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 61% ▼ -10.00%
- Median HH income
- $72,973
- Composite
- 52.85/100
- National rank
- #1533
- State rank
- #256 of 656 in OH
Livability — Cleves
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #701
- US rank
- #12525
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Cleves, OH
- County
- Hamilton · 838,887 people
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 14,647
- Household income
- $84,597
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 12.0
Population outlook (Hamilton County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 826,054 people
- By 2030
- 830,947 · +0.6%
- By 2040
- 832,319 · +0.8%
- By 2050
- 822,428 · -0.4%
- By 2075
- 788,688 · -4.5%
- By 2100
- 710,674 · -14.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (93%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 93% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 1%
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hamilton
- 2024 margin
- D (+14.9) · D 57.0% · R 42.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +7.9pp toward D · 2008: 7.0pp · 2024: 14.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+14.9 2020: D+15.9 2016: D+9.5 2012: D+4.9 2008: D+7.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -85.62%
- Current HPI
- 210.9397
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.98%
- F500 in state
- 48
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Insurance | 3 | $145B |
|
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| Industrial Machinery | 3 | $49B |
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| Financial Services | 3 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 2 | $93B |
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| Aerospace / Defense | 2 | $47B |
|
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| Utilities | 2 | $33B |
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Price history
1 event — show timeline
- 2026-01-15 Listed $399,990 Zillow
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…