605 8th Ave · Dayton, KY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $839 – $1,559
Heat risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 1.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Rent growth +4.3/5.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$155,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Investors take a look! This brick home still holds a lot of historic Dayton charm! This property is being sold AS-IS
Key facts
- 2,744 sq ft lot
- Parking
- Built 1885
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: On-street parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Natural gas available
- Home design: Single family residence; Two levels
- Construction: Built in 1885; Brick construction; Poured concrete and stone foundation
- Exterior features: Shingle roof; Lot of approximately 0.06 acres
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas cooktop, Gas oven, Dishwasher, Refrigerator
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating
- Interior features: Gas cooktop, Gas oven, Dishwasher, Refrigerator; Full basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $155k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $926 ($11k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $155k).
- Cap rate 13.5% vs local median 6.9% in Dayton — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#67 in KY, #1,485 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D+.
- Dayton Independent (suburban): math 23% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #129 of 165 in KY (top 78%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 71% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Lincoln Elementary School (math 20% / reading 29%, grade F, #489 of 676 statewide, top 76%, 487 students, 82% FRL); Dayton High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #97 of 254 statewide, top 46%, 372 students, 78% FRL).
- Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+7.2%/yr); 53 active listings in the ZIP; 9 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 247 units permitted in Campbell County in 2024 (77 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 44% of the median local income ($66k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 7.2% rent growth), your $43k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 12 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $45k; list at $155k implies a 244% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1885 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1885 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 13.46%
- Cash-on-cash
- 25.61%
- DSCR
- 2.14
- GRM
- 5.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $312,832
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 522 7th Ave | 0.06mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,568 (-6%) | 3mo | $248,000 | $158 | 78 |
| 520 4th Ave | 0.20mi | 4/2.0 | 1,771 (+6%) | 3mo | $285,000 | $161 | 77 |
| 417 8th Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,536 (-8%) | 0mo | $310,000 | $202 | 74 |
| 1008 3rd Ave | 0.38mi | 4/2.0 | 1,742 (+5%) | 0mo | $160,000 | $92 | 74 |
| 326 5th Ave | 0.29mi | 4/2.0 | 1,785 (+7%) | 4mo | $348,000 | $195 | 71 |
| 603 Belmont Rd | 0.23mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,536 (-8%) | 2mo | $230,000 | $150 | 67 |
| 402 5th Ave | 0.25mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,488 (-11%) | 1mo | $280,000 | $188 | 65 |
| 23 Beechwood Pl | 0.51mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,638 (-2%) | 3mo | $299,000 | $183 | 64 |
| 159 Ward Ave | 0.60mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,680 (+1%) | 5mo | $340,000 | $202 | 61 |
| 138 Ward Ave | 0.63mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,484 (-11%) | 0mo | $380,000 | $256 | 45 |
| 175 Van Voast Ave | 0.55mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,440 (-14%) | 3mo | $220,000 | $153 | 43 |
| 17 Harrison Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 1,862 (+12%) | 3mo | $410,000 | $220 | 39 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 7.15% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 23.7%
- Equity multiple
- 2.03×
- Total profit
- $44,497
- Equity at exit
- $23,111
- IRR
- 34.0%
- Equity multiple
- 4.74×
- Total profit
- $162,178
- Equity at exit
- $13,402
Cash invested: $43,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Kentucky
- 83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+16
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 41074
- Rents YoY
- 7.2%
- Active inventory
- 53
- Price-to-rent
- 5.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,442 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$813
- Tax from tax record
- −$125 /mo · $1,503/yr
- Insurance
- −$65
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$513
- Net cashflow
- $926
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,014 | -5% $970 | +0% $926 | +5% $882 | +10% $839 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $733 | -5% $830 | +0% $926 | +5% $1,023 | +10% $1,119 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,004 | -0.5pp $966 | base $926 | +0.5pp $886 | +1.0pp $845 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $38,750
- Closing costs
- $4,650
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 9 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1065 Manhattan Blvd Dayton, KY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1038 | $2,749 | $2.65 | 2d | 19 | 0.57mi |
| 236 Ward Ave Bellevue, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1500 | $2,585 | $1.72 | 12d | 1 | 0.58mi |
| 2533 Woodburn Ave Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–3.0 | 912 | $3,320 | $3.64 | 2d | 39 | 1.08mi |
| 2331 Park Ave Unit 1 Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2200 | $2,350 | $1.07 | 2d | 1 | 1.11mi |
| 923 Rogers Pl Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2061 | $1,600 | $0.78 | 24d | 1 | 1.26mi |
| 118 Beech St Newport, KY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1610 | $2,400 | $1.49 | 2d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 749 Morgan St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1488 | $1,745 | $1.17 | 15d | 1 | 1.41mi |
| 923 Paradrome St Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 2.5 | 2098 | $3,000 | $1.43 | 24d | 1 | 1.42mi |
| 1055 St Paul Pl Cincinnati, OH | 3.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 975 | $2,995 | $3.07 | 2d | 10 | 1.48mi |
Listing history 9 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $155,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $155,000 Active 11 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $155,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $155,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $155,000 Active 7 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $155,000 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $155,000 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-07remarks 116-char remark
-
2026-06-07$155,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast KY · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,503 · $125/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,503 · $125/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,301
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,682
- − Property taxes
- −$1,503
- − Insurance
- −$775
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,344
- − Management
- −$2,344
- − Depreciation
- −$4,509
- Taxable income
- $9,143
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$2,194
- After-tax cash flow
- $8,921/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Dayton Independent
- NCES district ID
- 2101530
- Math proficiency
- 23% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -12.00%
- Median HH income
- $38,533
- Composite
- 23.0/100
- National rank
- #7978
- State rank
- #129 of 165 in KY
Livability — Dayton
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #67
- US rank
- #1485
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Dayton, KY
- County
- Campbell County · 84,793 people
- City population
- 5,756
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- Population (ZIP)
- 5,756
- Household income
- $66,087
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 215.0
Population outlook (Campbell County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 95,668 people
- By 2030
- 96,886 · +1.3%
- By 2040
- 97,734 · +2.2%
- By 2050
- 96,413 · +0.8%
- By 2075
- 90,211 · -5.7%
- By 2100
- 79,434 · -17.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (89%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 89% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Black 1%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 5% Italian 3% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 2% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 98% English-only · Spanish 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Campbell
- 2024 margin
- R (+19.7) · D 39.2% · R 58.9% · Other 1.9%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.2pp toward D · 2008: -20.9pp · 2024: -19.7pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+19.7 2020: R+18.6 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+22.8 2008: R+20.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -171.48%
- Current HPI
- 235.1437
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 7.15%
- Metro
- Cincinnati, OH-KY-IN
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 1.81%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in KY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Healthcare | 1 | $118B |
|
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| Food / Beverage | 1 | $7B |
|
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Price history
+244.4% since first listed2 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-06 Listed $155,000 NKMLS
- 1995-09-07 Sold (Public Records) $45,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.1%/yrLatest (2025): $1,503 · -1.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…