1 N Rolling Rd · Catonsville, MD
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 4/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $755 – $1,403
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 103°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 4/10 · Minor
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 17.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 2 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 4 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +23.9/30.0
- DSCR +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +7.1/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +2.3/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$200,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Listed and Sold
Key facts
- Zoned dr-2
- Existing structure
- 1.32 acre corner lot
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Other parking
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
- Home design: Detached structure; Above-grade finished area reported as 3,216 (assessor); Below-grade total area reported as 1,892
- Construction: Brick construction; Foundation described as other; Other structures above and below grade
- Exterior features: Lot dimensions listed as 3.00 x; No tidal water
Interior
- Bedrooms: Two bedrooms on the main level; Two bedrooms on the first upper level
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the main level; One full bathroom on the first upper level (two full baths total)
- Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling; Cooling fuel: Electric and other; Hot water: Other
- Interior features: Assessor-reported living area source; Has fireplace (1)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $200k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $387 ($5k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $200k).
- Recommended offer: $197k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 8.6% vs local median 3.4% in Catonsville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 81/100 on livability (#43 in MD, #1,586 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: commute A+, employment A+, housing A+; Watch: crime D, cost of living D.
- Baltimore County Public Schools (suburban): math 15% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #11 of 24 in MD (top 46%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.9%/yr); 144 active listings in the ZIP; high-income renter base; 1,511 units permitted in Baltimore County in 2024 (643 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $6k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Baltimore County population projected at +12% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 15 days — a 2% lower offer ($197k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 8y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1921 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→15/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1921 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.21% ✓
- Cap rate
- 8.62%
- Cash-on-cash
- 8.30%
- DSCR
- 1.37
- GRM
- 6.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $768,624
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 311 Concert Way | 0.16mi | 4/3.5 | 3,142 (-2%) | 9mo | $750,375 | $239 | 76 |
| 109 Hillside Rd | 0.45mi | 4/2.5 | 2,943 (-8%) | 8mo | $625,000 | $212 | 56 |
| 113 Hilton Ave | 0.68mi | 4/2.5 | 3,261 (+1%) | 12mo | $875,000 | $268 | 54 |
| 301 Roanoke Dr | 0.42mi | 5/3.0 (+1) | 3,192 (-1%) | 22mo | $642,500 | $201 | 52 |
| 111 Hillside Rd | 0.44mi | 4/3.5 | 3,348 (+4%) | 20mo | $706,234 | $211 | 50 |
| 1504 Ivanhoe Ave | 0.50mi | 4/2.5 | 2,738 (-15%) | 0mo | $875,000 | $320 | 50 |
| 301 Patleigh Rd | 0.57mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 3,224 (+0%) | 22mo | $570,000 | $177 | 46 |
| 1702 Seminole Ct | 0.68mi | 4/3.0 | 3,266 (+2%) | 21mo | $766,000 | $235 | 44 |
| 312 Patleigh Rd | 0.65mi | 4/3.0 | 3,084 (-4%) | 23mo | $740,000 | $240 | 40 |
| 106 S Morerick Ave | 0.52mi | 4/3.5 | 2,800 (-13%) | 20mo | $740,000 | $264 | 32 |
| 108 Longview Dr | 0.66mi | 4/3.0 | 2,808 (-13%) | 16mo | $710,000 | $253 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.87% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -5.0%
- Equity multiple
- 0.82×
- Total profit
- $-10,329
- Equity at exit
- $29,821
- IRR
- 3.2%
- Equity multiple
- 1.22×
- Total profit
- $12,371
- Equity at exit
- $17,292
Cash invested: $56,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 27 Tenant-Leaning
- State Maryland
- 27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 21228
- Rents YoY
- 1.9%
- Active inventory
- 144
- Price-to-rent
- 6.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,419 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,049
- Tax from tax record
- −$392 /mo · $4,698/yr
- Insurance
- −$83
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$508
- Net cashflow
- $387
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $50,000
- Closing costs
- $6,000
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $200,000 Active 15 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $200,000 Active 14 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $200,000 Active 13 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $200,000 Active 12 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $200,000 Active 10 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $200,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $200,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $200,000 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-04remarks 684-char remark
-
2026-06-04$200,000 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MD · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $4,698 · $392/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $4,698 · $392/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 4/10 Moderate
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥103°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 4/10 Moderate 17% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 2 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $29,029
- − Mortgage interest
- −$11,203
- − Property taxes
- −$4,698
- − Insurance
- −$1,000
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,322
- − Management
- −$2,322
- − Depreciation
- −$5,818
- Taxable income
- $1,665
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$400
- After-tax cash flow
- $4,250/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Baltimore County Public Schools
- NCES district ID
- 2400120
- Math proficiency
- 15% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $66,746
- Composite
- 23.17/100
- National rank
- #7948
- State rank
- #11 of 24 in MD
Livability — Catonsville
- Score
- 81/100
- State rank
- #43
- US rank
- #1586
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Catonsville, MD
- County
- Baltimore County · 769,527 people
- City population
- 50,492
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- Population (ZIP)
- 50,492
- Household income
- $112,656
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1820.0
Population outlook (Baltimore County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 885,518 people
- By 2030
- 909,272 · +2.7%
- By 2040
- 951,547 · +7.5%
- By 2050
- 990,955 · +11.9%
- By 2075
- 1,086,411 · +22.7%
- By 2100
- 1,135,078 · +28.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.64)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 55% Black 18% Asian 14% Hispanic / Latino 7% Two or more races 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 1%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 16% · Canada, Philippines, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 81% English-only · Other Indo-European 7% Spanish 5% Other Asian/Pacific 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Baltimore
- 2024 margin
- Strong D (+24.5) · D 61.0% · R 36.5% · Other 2.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +9.9pp toward D · 2008: 14.6pp · 2024: 24.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+24.5 2020: D+27.0 2016: D+17.4 2012: D+16.4 2008: D+14.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -370.51%
- Current HPI
- 282.1593
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.87%
- Metro
- Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.97%
- F500 in state
- 12
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Aerospace / Defense | 1 | $71B |
|
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| Utilities | 1 | $25B |
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| Hotels | 1 | $24B |
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| Consumer Goods | 1 | $7B |
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| Real Estate | 1 | $6B |
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| Chemicals | 1 | $2B |
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Price history
+0.5% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-03 Listed $200,000 BRIGHT MLS
- 2018-05-16 Sold (MLS) $562,000 MRIS
- 2018-04-17 Delisted — MRIS
- 2018-04-17 Listed $562,000 MRIS
- 1989-07-26 Sold (Public Records) $199,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+1.8%/yrLatest (2025): $4,698 · +4.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…