3746 Haidee Dr · Edinburg, TX
Flood risk 6/10 · Moderate
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.69%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 9/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 111°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 21 days/yr
Wind risk 8/10 · Major
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- 1% rule +8.5/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Rent growth +2.2/5.0
- Schools +2.2/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$67,300
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
Take a look at this property!! It has 3 Lots plus it is a fully furnished home in 55+ Community! Rare find in Edinburg! Three adjoining lots (151, 152, 153) at 3746 Haidee Dr in Monte Cristo RV Park — fully furnished 1-bed/1-bath mobile home, 2 carports, 2 sheds (with washer/dryer), and all necessary move in ready appliances.
Key facts
- Three adjoining lots
- Two carports
- Two sheds
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $67k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $256 ($3k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($908 rent vs $67k).
- Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.4% in Edinburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#784 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
- Edinburg CISD (urban): math 20% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #699 of 826 in TX (top 85%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 62% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Monte Cristo El (math 18% / reading 21%, grade F, #3,583 of 4,322 statewide, top 86%, 597 students, 95% FRL); Memorial Middle (math 14% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,301 of 1,662 statewide, top 79%, 1,065 students, 91% FRL); Economedes H S (math 19% / reading 24%, grade F, #1,377 of 1,632 statewide, top 85%, 2,762 students, 92% FRL) — zoned schools average 93% FRL vs 62% district-wide (31 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents soft (-1.1%/yr); 1011 active listings in the ZIP; 7,378 units permitted in Hidalgo County in 2024 (641 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $465 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Hidalgo County population projected at +28% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 2 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 5 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk; severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→21/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.35% ✓
- Cap rate
- 10.86%
- Cash-on-cash
- 16.33%
- DSCR
- 1.73
- GRM
- 6.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $39,984
- Comps found
- 1
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2651 Alexander Dumas Dr W | 0.06mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 408 (0%) | 23mo | $39,900 | $98 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 0.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 3.9%
- Equity multiple
- 1.15×
- Total profit
- $2,774
- Equity at exit
- $10,035
- IRR
- 10.4%
- Equity multiple
- 1.70×
- Total profit
- $13,206
- Equity at exit
- $5,819
Cash invested: $18,844 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 78542
- Home prices YoY
- -13.4%
- Rents YoY
- -1.1%
- Active inventory
- 1011
- Price-to-rent
- 6.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $908 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$353
- Tax from tax record
- −$60 /mo · $716/yr
- Insurance
- −$28
- HOA
- −$20
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$191
- Net cashflow
- $256
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $294 | -5% $275 | +0% $256 | +5% $237 | +10% $218 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $185 | -5% $221 | +0% $256 | +5% $292 | +10% $328 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $290 | -0.5pp $273 | base $256 | +0.5pp $239 | +1.0pp $221 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $16,825
- Closing costs
- $2,019
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $20 · $240/yr
Listing history 9 events
-
2025-07-31status Pending
-
2025-07-29$67,300 Active
-
2025-07-09$67,300 Active
-
2025-02-27price $67,300
-
2024-12-31price $69,500
-
2024-12-19$61,500 Active
-
2024-10-27price $69,500
-
2024-06-05$71,500 Active
-
2024-02-01$73,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $716 · $60/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,232 · $103/mo
- Expected delta
- +$515/yr (+$43/mo · 71.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (shaded) · 69% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥111°F today · 21 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 8/10 Severe 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $10,892
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,770
- − Property taxes
- −$716
- − Insurance
- −$336
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$871
- − Management
- −$871
- − HOA
- −$240
- − Depreciation
- −$1,958
- Taxable income
- $2,129
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$511
- After-tax cash flow
- $2,566/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Edinburg CISD
- NCES district ID
- 4818180
- Math proficiency
- 20% ▼ -34.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -11.00%
- Median HH income
- $36,985
- Composite
- 22.42/100
- National rank
- #8114
- State rank
- #699 of 826 in TX
Livability — Edinburg
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #784
- US rank
- #14319
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Edinburg, TX
- County
- Hidalgo County · 623,128 people
- City population
- 178,279
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 89,401
- Household income
- $55,243
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1240.0
Population outlook (Hidalgo County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 955,232 people
- By 2030
- 1,009,774 · +5.7%
- By 2040
- 1,120,332 · +17.3%
- By 2050
- 1,225,036 · +28.2%
- By 2075
- 1,439,189 · +50.7%
- By 2100
- 1,533,429 · +60.5%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly Hispanic (95%)
- Race & ethnicity
- Hispanic / Latino 95% Two or more races 59% White 4%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 91%
- Foreign-born
- 25% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 15% English-only · Spanish 84%
Political lean MEDSL · Hidalgo
- 2024 margin
- Toss-up / Even · D 48.1% · R 51.0%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -41.6pp toward R · 2008: 38.7pp · 2024: -2.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+2.9 2020: D+17.1 2016: D+40.5 2012: D+41.8 2008: D+38.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -34.17%
- Current HPI
- 220.921
- Rent YoY
- ▼ -1.07%
- Metro
- McAllen-Edinburg-Mission, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-7.8% since first listed9 events — show timeline
- 2025-07-31 Pending — MCALLENMLS
- 2025-07-29 Listed $67,300 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-07-09 Listed $67,300 MCALLENMLS
- 2025-02-27 Price Changed $67,300 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-12-31 Price Changed $69,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-12-19 Listed $61,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-10-27 Price Changed $69,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-06-05 Listed $71,500 MCALLENMLS
- 2024-02-01 Listed $73,000 MCALLENMLS
Property tax history
+2.8%/yrLatest (2025): $716 · +12.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…