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653 Osborne St
B+ Composite 78.18
Why this score? — see what drove the B+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.8/15.0
  • Appreciation +7.8/10.0
  • Livability +3.3/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +2.3/10.0

$35,000

653 Osborne St · Pomeroy, OH 45769
2 bd · 1.0 ba · 736 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 430 Days on market
Built 1900 0.45 ac lot $48/sqft · 5% below area Est $37k · 5% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Here is a real fixer upper, city water and sewer and natural gas, on 2 lots totaling . 45 acre. Garage and storage building. Has been vacant for 3 years. Enter at your own risk. Contact city to see if you can tear it down and build new or bring in a mobile home. Also consult city as to possible use for extra lot as there are utility easements. Quiet, peaceful location on one way street. Cable TV and internet available per the seller. Lots of potential here. Just make an offer and get busy! Being sold as is. Seller is not able to remove any personal items or debris. ENTER AT YOUR OWN RISK.

Key facts

  • 0.45 acre lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $35k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $423 ($5k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($828 rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $31k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 66/100 on livability (#652 in OH) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, schools D-, amenities F.
  • Meigs Local (rural): math 20% / reading 35% proficiency, ranked #594 of 656 in OH (top 90%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 13 active listings in the ZIP; 3 units permitted in Meigs County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $2k of equity ($242 loan paydown + $2k appreciation (5.7% local appreciation)).
  • Meigs County population projected at -26% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
  • At projected returns (5.7% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 430 days — a 12% lower offer ($31k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: major flood risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $30,800 (12.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 430 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  5. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.37%
Cap rate
20.78%
Cash-on-cash
51.74%
DSCR
3.30
GRM
3.5

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$36,882
List price
$35,000
Delta
-5.10%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
4 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1663 Lincoln Heights Hts 0.40mi 2/1.0 718 (-2%) 17mo $23,000 $32 64

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

5.65% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
60.0%
Equity multiple
4.70×
Total profit
$36,305
Equity at exit
$21,241
10-year hold
IRR
57.2%
Equity multiple
9.77×
Total profit
$85,936
Equity at exit
$37,878

Cash invested: $9,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
73 Landlord-Friendly
State Ohio
73 Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day notice; Cleveland / Columbus have some habitability code enforcement; otherwise landlord-leaning.

ZIP-level market 45769

Home prices YoY
4.5%
Active inventory
13
Price-to-rent
3.5×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$828 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$184
Tax from tax record
$34 /mo · $403/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$174
Net cashflow
$423

Break-even live

Break-even rent $293
Max offer price $35,000
Occupancy floor 44%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,750
Closing costs
$1,050
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 18 events

  1. 2026-06-19
    days on market $35,000 Active 430 DOM
  2. 2026-06-18
    days on market $35,000 Active 429 DOM
  3. 2026-06-17
    days on market $35,000 Active 428 DOM
  4. 2026-06-16
    days on market $35,000 Active 427 DOM
  5. 2026-06-15
    days on market $35,000 Active 426 DOM
  6. 2026-06-14
    days on market $35,000 Active 424 DOM
  7. 2026-06-12
    days on market $35,000 Active 423 DOM
  8. 2026-06-09
    days on market $35,000 Active 420 DOM
  9. 2026-06-08
    days on market $35,000 Active 419 DOM
  10. 2026-06-07
    days on market $35,000 Active 418 DOM
  11. 2026-06-05
    days on market $35,000 Active 415 DOM
  12. 2026-06-03
    days on market $35,000 Active 414 DOM
  13. 2026-06-02
    days on market $35,000 Active 413 DOM
  14. 2026-06-01
    days on market $35,000 Active 412 DOM
  15. 2026-05-31
    days on market $35,000 Active 411 DOM
  16. 2026-05-30
    days on market $35,000 Active 410 DOM
  17. 2025-04-16
    price $35,000 596-char remark
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Here is a real fixer upper, city water and sewer and natural gas, on 2 lots totaling . 45 acre. Garage and storage building. Has been vacant for 3 years. Enter at your own risk. Contact city to see if you can tear it down and build new or bring in a mobile home. Also consult city as to possible use for extra lot as there are utility easements. Quiet, peaceful location on one way street. Cable TV and internet available per the seller. Lots of potential here. Just make an offer and get busy! Being sold as is. Seller is not able to remove any personal items or debris. ENTER AT YOUR OWN RISK.

  18. 2025-04-15
    listed $29,900 Active 596-char remark
    Show marketing remark (596 chars)

    Here is a real fixer upper, city water and sewer and natural gas, on 2 lots totaling . 45 acre. Garage and storage building. Has been vacant for 3 years. Enter at your own risk. Contact city to see if you can tear it down and build new or bring in a mobile home. Also consult city as to possible use for extra lot as there are utility easements. Quiet, peaceful location on one way street. Cable TV and internet available per the seller. Lots of potential here. Just make an offer and get busy! Being sold as is. Seller is not able to remove any personal items or debris. ENTER AT YOUR OWN RISK.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast OH · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$403 · $34/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$474 · $40/mo
Expected delta
+$72/yr (+$6/mo · 17.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 6/10 Major FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥101°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$9,937
− Mortgage interest
−$1,961
− Property taxes
−$403
− Insurance
−$175
− Repairs & maintenance
−$795
− Management
−$795
− Depreciation
−$1,018
Taxable income
$4,791
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$1,150
After-tax cash flow
$3,920/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Meigs Local
NCES district ID
3904852
Math proficiency
20% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
35% ▼ -14.00%
Median HH income
$34,110
Composite
22.56/100
National rank
#8079
State rank
#594 of 656 in OH

Livability — Pomeroy

Score
66/100
State rank
#652
US rank
#11587

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment F Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Pomeroy, OH
County
Meigs · 23,356 people
Population (ZIP)
5,560
Household income
$49,063
Rent vs Own
25.0% rent · 75.0% own
Severe rent burden
11.0

Population outlook (Meigs County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
21,933 people
By 2030
20,975 · -4.4%
By 2040
18,650 · -15.0%
By 2050
16,243 · -25.9%
By 2075
10,860 · -50.5%
By 2100
6,510 · -70.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (96%)
Race & ethnicity
White 96% Two or more races 2% Hispanic / Latino 1%
Common ancestry
Lithuanian 2% Slovak 1% Iranian 1%
Foreign-born
0%

Political lean MEDSL · Meigs

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.0) · D 21.2% · R 78.1%
2008→2024 swing
-38.4pp toward R · 2008: -18.6pp · 2024: -57.0pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.0 2020: R+53.2 2016: R+50.1 2012: R+18.8 2008: R+18.6

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 5.65%
Current HPI
131.6688
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 1.98%
F500 in state
48

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OH)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+17.1% since first listed
2 events — show timeline
  • 2025-04-16 Price Changed $35,000 ACBOR
  • 2025-04-15 Listed $29,900 ACBOR

Property tax history

+4.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $403 · +9.6% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…