3828 Plainsman Ln · Bryan, TX
Flood risk No data
- FEMA flood zone
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- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
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- Est. flood insurance / yr
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Fire risk No data
- Est. fire insurance / yr
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Heat risk No data
- Hot days now (above threshold)
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- Hot days in 30 yrs
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Wind risk No data
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
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Air-quality risk No data
- Unhealthy air days now
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- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
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Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +14.3/30.0
- 1% rule +7.7/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- DSCR +4.3/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +3.0/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$150,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Great condo for use as your personal home or rental. 3 bedrooms 2.5 baths on two floors. Light and bright corner unit with 2 car detached garage, and utility room. There is space enough in the utility room for a freezer if you need one. Washer, dryer and refrigerator convey with the condo. Good closet space and storage space. Centrally located on the A & M bus route, close to Blinn, doctors, hospital, grocery stores, schools, daycare, restaurants all nearby to make life easy for you. Refrig, washer and dryer all convey.
Key facts
- Roomy layout
- Two story condo
- Open porch area
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Directions: From University Drive turn onto Tarrow (becomes E. 29th). Turn left onto Stillmeadow Dr, then right onto Plainsman. The condo will be on the left.
- HOA & community: Homeowners association with monthly fee of $341; HOA covers trash, water, grounds maintenance, structure maintenance, and sewer
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage (2 covered spaces, 2 garage spaces); Garage entrance located at the back of the home
- Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Municipal water and sewer available
- Home design: Residential condominium; Two-story
- Exterior features: Condo in the Plainsman Townhomes subdivision; Approximately 0.1042 acre lot
Interior
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating (electric); Central air conditioning (electric); Ceiling fan(s)
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s)
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath condo listed at $150k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $27 ($324/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $150k).
- Recommended offer: $148k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 6.5% vs local median 4.0% in Bryan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#99 in TX, #3,341 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, amenities C-, employment D+.
- Bryan ISD (urban): math 30% / reading 32% proficiency, ranked #608 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases; 68% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Zoned schools: Sul Ross El (math 22% / reading 22%, grade F, #3,333 of 4,322 statewide, top 80%, 545 students, 75% FRL); Stephen F Austin (math 25% / reading 36%, grade F, #1,036 of 1,662 statewide, top 63%, 1,206 students, 76% FRL); Travis B Bryan H S (math 22% / reading 34%, grade F, #1,170 of 1,632 statewide, top 72%, 2,419 students, 67% FRL) — zoned schools at 73% FRL track the district average.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.8%/yr); 278 active listings in the ZIP; 15 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 23d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 2,211 units permitted in Brazos County in 2024 (768 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($71k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Brazos County population projected at +55% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 30 days — a 2% lower offer ($148k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 10y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1973 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Any open or pending special assessments — roof, HVAC, plumbing, elevator, façade? What's the per-unit balance and payoff schedule, and is the seller paying it off at close or rolling it to the buyer?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.27% ✓
- Cap rate
- 6.51%
- Cash-on-cash
- 0.77%
- DSCR
- 1.03
- GRM
- 6.6
CMA / ARV
No comps found within radius.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 1.82% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-24,524
- Equity at exit
- $22,365
- IRR
- -11.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.36×
- Total profit
- $-26,887
- Equity at exit
- $12,969
Cash invested: $42,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 77802
- Rents YoY
- 1.8%
- Active inventory
- 278
- Price-to-rent
- 6.6×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,908 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$787
- Tax from tax record
- −$290 /mo · $3,483/yr
- Insurance
- −$62
- HOA
- −$341
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$401
- Net cashflow
- $27
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $112 | -5% $69 | +0% $27 | +5% $-15 | +10% $-58 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-124 | -5% $-48 | +0% $27 | +5% $102 | +10% $178 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $103 | -0.5pp $65 | base $27 | +0.5pp $-12 | +1.0pp $-51 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $37,500
- Closing costs
- $4,500
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 15 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4401 Carter Creek Pkwy #15 Bryan, TX | 2.0 | 1.0 | 1116 | $1,250 | $1.12 | 22d | 1 | 0.37mi |
| 2106 Barak Ln Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.5 | 1943 | $2,400 | $1.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.41mi |
| 1409 Broadmoor Dr Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1141 | $2,000 | $1.75 | 15d | 1 | 0.53mi |
| 101 Winter Park Unit A College Station, TX | 3.0 | 3.0 | 1347 | $2,250 | $1.67 | 15d | 1 | 0.66mi |
| 728 Meadow Ln Unit 1093291P Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1517 | $4,919 | $3.24 | 45d | 1 | 0.88mi |
| 2812 Village Dr Bryan, TX | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1244 | $1,400 | $1.13 | 45d | 1 | 0.94mi |
| 2902 Chaparral Cir Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2181 | $3,000 | $1.38 | 22d | 1 | 0.96mi |
| 146 Forest Dr College Station, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1496 | $1,900 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 1.08mi |
| 533 Forest Drive Loop College Station, TX | 3.0 | 3.5 | 1456 | $1,675 | $1.15 | 15d | 1 | 1.16mi |
| 415 Forest Dr College Station, TX | 4.0 | 4.0 | 1496 | $630 | $0.42 | 45d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 2702 Apple Creek Cir Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2198 | $2,800 | $1.27 | 15d | 1 | 1.19mi |
| 615 Pasler St College Station, TX | 3.0 | 1.5 | 1061 | $1,600 | $1.51 | 15d | 1 | 1.20mi |
| 501 Helena St Bryan, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1424 | $2,200 | $1.54 | 22d | 1 | 1.21mi |
| 214 Helena St Unit 1071607P Bryan, TX | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2034 | $6,503 | $3.20 | 15d | 1 | 1.30mi |
| 818 Nimitz St College Station, TX | 3.0 | 2.0 | 1133 | $1,395 | $1.23 | 45d | 1 | 1.39mi |
HOA detail condo
- Monthly dues
- $341 · $4,092/yr
- Assessments
- None detected in remarks — confirm with the listing agent.
Listing history 14 events
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2026-06-10days on market $150,000 Active 30 DOM
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2026-06-09days on market $150,000 Active 29 DOM
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2026-06-08days on market $150,000 Active 28 DOM
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2026-06-07days on market $150,000 Active 27 DOM
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2026-06-03days on market $150,000 Active 23 DOM
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2026-06-02days on market $150,000 Active 22 DOM
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2026-06-01days on market $150,000 Active 21 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $150,000 Active 20 DOM
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2026-05-30days on market $150,000 Active 19 DOM
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2026-05-11$150,000 Active 428-char remark
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2016-09-15soldstatus
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2016-09-14soldstatus 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Great condo for use as your personal home or rental. 3 bedrooms 2.5 baths on two floors. Light and bright corner unit with 2 car detached garage, and utility room. There is space enough in the utility room for a freezer if you need one. Washer, dryer and refrigerator convey with the condo. Good closet space and storage space. Centrally located on the A & M bus route, close to Blinn, doctors, hospital, grocery stores, schools, daycare, restaurants all nearby to make life easy for you. Refrig, washer and dryer all convey.
-
2016-06-21$95,000 530-char remark
Show marketing remark (530 chars)
Great condo for use as your personal home or rental. 3 bedrooms 2.5 baths on two floors. Light and bright corner unit with 2 car detached garage, and utility room. There is space enough in the utility room for a freezer if you need one. Washer, dryer and refrigerator convey with the condo. Good closet space and storage space. Centrally located on the A & M bus route, close to Blinn, doctors, hospital, grocery stores, schools, daycare, restaurants all nearby to make life easy for you. Refrig, washer and dryer all convey.
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1998-03-09soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,483 · $290/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,483 · $290/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $22,897
- − Mortgage interest
- −$8,402
- − Property taxes
- −$3,483
- − Insurance
- −$750
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,832
- − Management
- −$1,832
- − HOA
- −$4,092
- − Depreciation
- −$4,364
- Taxable loss
- −$1,858
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$446
- After-tax cash flow
- $770/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Bryan ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4811790
- Math proficiency
- 30% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 32% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,895
- Composite
- 26.26/100
- National rank
- #7253
- State rank
- #608 of 826 in TX
Livability — Bryan
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #99
- US rank
- #3341
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Bryan, TX
- County
- Brazos County · 233,400 people
- City population
- 101,772
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 25,762
- Household income
- $70,666
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 1559.0
Population outlook (Brazos County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 267,942 people
- By 2030
- 296,630 · +10.7%
- By 2040
- 354,560 · +32.3%
- By 2050
- 414,616 · +54.7%
- By 2075
- 562,158 · +109.8%
- By 2100
- 678,828 · +153.3%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.58)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 59% Hispanic / Latino 26% Two or more races 12% Black 11% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 23%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 3% Slovak 2% Italian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, South Korea
- Languages at home
- 82% English-only · Spanish 15% Korean 1% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Brazos
- 2024 margin
- Strong R (+24.9) · D 36.9% · R 61.7% · Other 1.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +4.1pp toward D · 2008: -28.9pp · 2024: -24.9pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+24.9 2020: R+14.3 2016: R+23.7 2012: R+35.3 2008: R+28.9
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -148.67%
- Current HPI
- 202.0858
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 1.82%
- Metro
- College Station-Bryan, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
+57.9% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-11 Delisted — BCSRMLS
- 2026-05-11 Listed $150,000 BCSRMLS
- 2016-09-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
- 2016-09-14 Sold (MLS) — BCSRMLS
- 2016-06-21 Listed $95,000 BCSRMLS
- 1998-03-09 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,483 · +13.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…