60 Plankton Ave · Middleburg, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 8/10 · Major
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 8/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 108°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 9/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 3/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 3 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.4/15.0
- Cash flow +12.9/30.0
- Schools +5.1/10.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- 1% rule +3.4/10.0
- Rent growth +3.3/5.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$239,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
READY. .. Final touches on Renovations in place, be the first to view. . beautiful additions Trimmed trees, Front & Rear Decks, Kitchen lots of upgraded soft close Cabinets, Quartz countertops, New Stainless Appliances, sep laundry Room, Bath has Garden soaker seperate shower ceilings fans LED lighting new hardware , New drywall few windows , lots of upgrades Must see situated on a paved road cul-de-sac private all metal sheds convey Seller is a licensed RE Agent
Key facts
- Quartz countertops
- Garden soaker
- Sep laundry room
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- HOA & community: Not a senior community
Exterior
- Parking: Additional parking
- Utilities: Private sewer (septic tank); Electricity connected
- Home design: Double wide manufactured home; Entry on level 1; Property attached
- Construction: Vinyl siding; Wood siding; Shingle roof
- Exterior features: Deck; Front porch; Rear porch; Cul-de-sac lot; Few trees; Wooded lot; Asphalt and gravel driveway/road access
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Electric oven; Electric range; Microwave; Plumbed for ice maker; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
- Heating & cooling: Central heating; Heat pump; Central air; Electric cooling
- Interior features: Breakfast bar; Split bedrooms; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closets; Wood-burning fireplace (1)
- Laundry & utility: Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $239k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-18 ($-214/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $236k (1.3% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $202k (15.6% below list).
- Recommended offer: $202k (15.6% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 3.8% in Middleburg — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 65/100 on livability (#657 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities F, commute F, health & safety F.
- Clay (suburban): math 58% / reading 59% proficiency, ranked #14 of 73 in FL (top 19%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Middleburg Elementary School (math 65% / reading 61%, grade B, #582 of 2,144 statewide, top 28%, 559 students, 100% FRL); Wilkinson Junior High School (math 54% / reading 49%, grade C, #232 of 571 statewide, top 41%, 752 students, 100% FRL); Middleburg High School (math 41% / reading 52%, grade D-, #216 of 667 statewide, top 33%, 1,852 students, 47% FRL) — zoned schools average 82% FRL vs 35% district-wide (47 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
- Market conditions: Rents rising (+3.4%/yr); 610 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 1,876 units permitted in Clay County in 2024 (14 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $7k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Clay County population projected at +19% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
Negotiation context
- Only 9 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- Current owner paid $82k; list at $239k implies a 192% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; severe wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→18/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.84% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.20%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.32%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 9.9
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $275,400
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 153 Plankton Ave | 0.20mi | 3/2.0 | 1,568 (-3%) | 6mo | $235,000 | $150 | 80 |
| 8710 Poppy Ct | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (0%) | 10mo | $255,000 | $157 | 74 |
| 157 Plankton Ave | 0.17mi | 3/2.0 | 1,440 (-11%) | 2mo | $269,900 | $187 | 72 |
| 1994 Rose Ridge Ct | 0.42mi | 3/2.0 | 1,620 (0%) | 17mo | $275,000 | $170 | 66 |
| 2106 Candlewood Ct | 0.28mi | 3/2.0 | 1,501 (-7%) | 15mo | $259,900 | $173 | 62 |
| 1978 Pepperhill Ct | 0.43mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,560 (-4%) | 14mo | $269,500 | $173 | 57 |
| 225 Peppermint Ave | 0.49mi | 3/2.0 | 1,444 (-11%) | 5mo | $221,900 | $154 | 55 |
| 300 N Mimosa Ave | 0.34mi | 3/2.0 | 1,800 (+11%) | 16mo | $289,000 | $161 | 52 |
| 497 Kay Rd | 0.42mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,456 (-10%) | 10mo | $260,000 | $179 | 50 |
| 4541 Johns Cemetery Rd | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,782 (+10%) | 7mo | $308,000 | $173 | 44 |
| 4530 Cougar Ct | 0.74mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,680 (+4%) | 21mo | $255,000 | $152 | 37 |
| 4967 Windmill Ct | 0.61mi | 4/2.0 (+1) | 1,782 (+10%) | 18mo | $253,242 | $142 | 35 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.35% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -16.4%
- Equity multiple
- 0.42×
- Total profit
- $-39,143
- Equity at exit
- $35,636
- IRR
- -7.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.51×
- Total profit
- $-32,577
- Equity at exit
- $20,664
Cash invested: $66,920 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 32068
- Home prices YoY
- -27.5%
- Rents YoY
- 3.4%
- Active inventory
- 610
- Price-to-rent
- 9.9×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,017 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,253
- Tax from tax record
- −$258 /mo · $3,098/yr
- Insurance
- −$100
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$424
- Net cashflow
- $-18
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $118 | -5% $50 | +0% $-18 | +5% $-85 | +10% $-153 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-177 | -5% $-97 | +0% $-18 | +5% $62 | +10% $142 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $103 | -0.5pp $43 | base $-18 | +0.5pp $-80 | +1.0pp $-143 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $59,750
- Closing costs
- $7,170
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4371 Johns Cemetery Rd Middleburg, FL | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1718 | $2,000 | $1.16 | 23d | 1 | 1.40mi |
Listing history 8 events
-
2026-06-21days on market $239,000 Active 9 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $239,000 Active 6 DOM
-
2026-06-17price $239,000 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $249,900 Active 5 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $249,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $249,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-13remarks 474-char remark
-
2026-06-13$249,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $3,098 · $258/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,098 · $258/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 8/10 Severe
- Heat 8/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 3 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,202
- − Mortgage interest
- −$13,388
- − Property taxes
- −$3,098
- − Insurance
- −$1,195
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,936
- − Management
- −$1,936
- − Depreciation
- −$6,953
- Taxable loss
- −$4,304
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,033
- After-tax cash flow
- $819/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Clay
- NCES district ID
- 1200300
- Math proficiency
- 58% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 59% ▼ -3.00%
- Median HH income
- $59,379
- Composite
- 50.73/100
- National rank
- #1815
- State rank
- #14 of 73 in FL
Livability — Middleburg
- Score
- 65/100
- State rank
- #657
- US rank
- #13174
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Clay County · 208,450 people
- City population
- 58,983
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 58,983
- Household income
- $84,431
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 975.0
Population outlook (Clay County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 230,495 people
- By 2030
- 242,427 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 262,244 · +13.8%
- By 2050
- 275,148 · +19.4%
- By 2075
- 295,397 · +28.2%
- By 2100
- 287,592 · +24.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 13% Two or more races 10% Black 7%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 5%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Romanian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 9% Arabic 1% German/W. Germanic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Clay
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+39.3) · D 29.9% · R 69.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +3.6pp toward D · 2008: -42.8pp · 2024: -39.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+39.3 2020: R+37.1 2016: R+44.3 2012: R+45.8 2008: R+42.8
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -115.99%
- Current HPI
- 305.2531
- Rent YoY
- ▲ 3.35%
- Metro
- Jacksonville, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
+1982.5% since first listed4 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-12 Listed $249,900 realMLS
- 2026-03-06 Sold (Public Records) $81,800 Public Records
- 1992-11-12 Sold (Public Records) $13,640 Public Records
- 1987-01-01 Sold (Public Records) $12,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+15.7%/yrLatest (2025): $3,098 · +11.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…