65 Pashley Rd · East Glenville, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 96°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 4.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +13.2/15.0
- Cash flow +10.0/30.0
- Schools +6.1/10.0
- Livability +3.4/5.0
- DSCR +2.8/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.1/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$310,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This charming Cape Cod home is in excellent condition. This home has been cared for meticulously by the original owners. Living room features a gas fireplace with hardwood floors. The main floor has two bedrooms and a full bathroom, the second floor has 2 more bedrooms and a 1/2 bath. Full basement with updated electric, furnace and hot water heater. Oversized two car garage with spacious workshop. This house also features a whole house generator to keep the day going even if the power goes out! Fabulous location in the highly desired Burnt Hills School District. Buy with confidence with HSA home warranty. Taxes do not include STAR
Key facts
- Gas fireplace
- Cape style home
- Workshop
Tags
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces; Additional paved driveway parking for a total of 10 parking spaces; Garage door opener
- Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
- Utilities: 150 amp electric service; Public water; Septic tank sewer
- Home design: Single family residence; Vinyl siding; Asbestos shingle roof; Full unfinished basement with Bilco doors
- Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asbestos shingle roof; Full, unfinished basement (Bilco doors)
- Exterior features: Rear porch; Deck; Paved driveway; Outdoor lighting; Chain link fencing; Kennel/dog run; Level, landscaped lot (approximately 0.4 acre)
Interior
- Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
- Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor; Two bedrooms on the second floor
- Flooring: Tile; Carpet; Hardwood
- Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor; One half bathroom on the second floor
- Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
- Interior features: High speed internet; Paddle fan(s); Crown molding; Living room fireplace
- Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (included); Laundry in basement
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (10.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (29.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $220k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.5% in East Glenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 68/100 on livability (#535 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D+, amenities F.
- Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #137 of 590 in NY (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Pashley Elementary School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 462 students, 20% FRL); Richard H O'Rourke Middle School (math 42% / reading 65%, grade C+, #228 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 724 students, 19% FRL); Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake Senior High School (math 97% / reading 98%, grade A+, #49 of 1,100 statewide, top 5%, 928 students, 19% FRL).
- Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $250k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.71% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.56%
- Cash-on-cash
- -2.62%
- DSCR
- 0.88
- GRM
- 11.8
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $355,258
- List price
- $310,000
- Delta
- -12.74%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Willow Ln | 0.13mi | 4/2.0 | 1,275 (-2%) | 8mo | $353,000 | $277 | 83 |
| 19 Willow Ln | 0.20mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,344 (+4%) | 1mo | $355,350 | $264 | 79 |
| 155 Willow Ln | 0.43mi | 4/1.5 | 1,296 (-0%) | 2mo | $376,700 | $291 | 78 |
| 1 Sutherland Dr | 0.35mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 1,344 (+4%) | 7mo | $312,000 | $232 | 65 |
| 10 Saratoga Dr | 0.32mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,250 (-4%) | 10mo | $348,000 | $278 | 64 |
| 35 Witbeck Dr | 0.58mi | 4/1.5 | 1,360 (+5%) | 6mo | $355,000 | $261 | 60 |
| 138 Willow Ln | 0.41mi | 3/1.5 (-1) | 1,416 (+9%) | 4mo | $358,000 | $253 | 58 |
| 11 Saratoga Dr | 0.33mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,424 (+10%) | 6mo | $320,000 | $225 | 57 |
| 204 Heckeler Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,227 (-6%) | 1mo | $310,000 | $253 | 48 |
| 13 Willowbrook Rd | 0.68mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,218 (-6%) | 11mo | $285,000 | $234 | 42 |
| 23 Gleason Rd | 0.50mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,116 (-14%) | 9mo | $325,000 | $291 | 39 |
| 33 Woodside Dr | 0.75mi | 3/1.0 (-1) | 1,482 (+14%) | 9mo | $322,000 | $217 | 27 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -20.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.28×
- Total profit
- $-62,386
- Equity at exit
- $46,222
- IRR
- -14.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.19×
- Total profit
- $-70,255
- Equity at exit
- $26,803
Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 12302
- Active inventory
- 129
- Price-to-rent
- 11.8×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,195 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,626
- Tax from tax record
- −$168 /mo · $2,022/yr
- Insurance
- −$129
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$461
- Net cashflow
- $-189
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $-14 | -5% $-101 | +0% $-189 | +5% $-277 | +10% $-365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-363 | -5% $-276 | +0% $-189 | +5% $-103 | +10% $-16 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $-33 | -0.5pp $-110 | base $-189 | +0.5pp $-270 | +1.0pp $-351 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $77,500
- Closing costs
- $9,300
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 41 Rustic Bridge Rd Rexford, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1500 | $1,650 | $1.10 | 45d | 1 | 1.24mi |
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-05-14$310,000 Active 457-char remark
-
2021-04-30soldstatus $250,000
-
2021-04-28soldstatus $250,000 Closed (Final Sale) 639-char remark
Show marketing remark (639 chars)
This charming Cape Cod home is in excellent condition. This home has been cared for meticulously by the original owners. Living room features a gas fireplace with hardwood floors. The main floor has two bedrooms and a full bathroom, the second floor has 2 more bedrooms and a 1/2 bath. Full basement with updated electric, furnace and hot water heater. Oversized two car garage with spacious workshop. This house also features a whole house generator to keep the day going even if the power goes out! Fabulous location in the highly desired Burnt Hills School District. Buy with confidence with HSA home warranty. Taxes do not include STAR
-
2020-12-04status Pend (Under Cntr) 639-char remark
Show marketing remark (639 chars)
This charming Cape Cod home is in excellent condition. This home has been cared for meticulously by the original owners. Living room features a gas fireplace with hardwood floors. The main floor has two bedrooms and a full bathroom, the second floor has 2 more bedrooms and a 1/2 bath. Full basement with updated electric, furnace and hot water heater. Oversized two car garage with spacious workshop. This house also features a whole house generator to keep the day going even if the power goes out! Fabulous location in the highly desired Burnt Hills School District. Buy with confidence with HSA home warranty. Taxes do not include STAR
-
2020-11-19$250,000 New 639-char remark
Show marketing remark (639 chars)
This charming Cape Cod home is in excellent condition. This home has been cared for meticulously by the original owners. Living room features a gas fireplace with hardwood floors. The main floor has two bedrooms and a full bathroom, the second floor has 2 more bedrooms and a 1/2 bath. Full basement with updated electric, furnace and hot water heater. Oversized two car garage with spacious workshop. This house also features a whole house generator to keep the day going even if the power goes out! Fabulous location in the highly desired Burnt Hills School District. Buy with confidence with HSA home warranty. Taxes do not include STAR
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $2,022 · $168/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,630 · $303/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,609/yr (+$134/mo · 79.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $26,341
- − Mortgage interest
- −$17,365
- − Property taxes
- −$2,022
- − Insurance
- −$1,550
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,107
- − Management
- −$2,107
- − Depreciation
- −$9,018
- Taxable loss
- −$7,829
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,879
- After-tax cash flow
- $-392/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3605940
- Math proficiency
- 64% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 73% ▲ 2.00%
- Median HH income
- $79,256
- Composite
- 60.89/100
- National rank
- #813
- State rank
- #137 of 590 in NY
Livability — East Glenville
- Score
- 68/100
- State rank
- #535
- US rank
- #9653
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- East Glenville, NY
- County
- Schenectady County · 141,369 people
- City population
- 610
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 28,031
- Household income
- $98,163
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 632.0
Population outlook (Schenectady County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 155,046 people
- By 2030
- 154,322 · -0.5%
- By 2040
- 151,796 · -2.1%
- By 2050
- 148,621 · -4.1%
- By 2075
- 141,229 · -8.9%
- By 2100
- 126,014 · -18.7%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Schenectady
- 2024 margin
- D (+10.8) · D 55.4% · R 44.6%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -1.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 10.8pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.7 2016: D+5.8 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+12.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -274.86%
- Current HPI
- 304.1765
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+24.0% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-22 Pending — Global MLS
- 2026-05-14 Listed $310,000 Global MLS
- 2021-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
- 2021-04-28 Sold (MLS) $250,000 Global MLS
- 2020-12-04 Pending — Global MLS
- 2020-11-19 Listed $250,000 Global MLS
Property tax history
-8.7%/yrLatest (2025): $2,022 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…