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65 Pashley Rd
D Composite 42.6
Why this score? — see what drove the D grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +13.2/15.0
  • Cash flow +10.0/30.0
  • Schools +6.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.4/5.0
  • DSCR +2.8/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.1/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$310,000

65 Pashley Rd · East Glenville, NY 12302
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 1,298 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 8 Days on market
Built 1946 0.40 ac lot $239/sqft · 11% below area Est $355k · 13% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This charming Cape Cod home is in excellent condition. This home has been cared for meticulously by the original owners. Living room features a gas fireplace with hardwood floors. The main floor has two bedrooms and a full bathroom, the second floor has 2 more bedrooms and a 1/2 bath. Full basement with updated electric, furnace and hot water heater. Oversized two car garage with spacious workshop. This house also features a whole house generator to keep the day going even if the power goes out! Fabulous location in the highly desired Burnt Hills School District. Buy with confidence with HSA home warranty. Taxes do not include STAR

Key facts

  • Gas fireplace
  • Cape style home
  • Workshop

Tags

CAPE STYLE HOMEHARDWOOD FLOORSGAS FIREPLACEOVERSIZED GARAGEWORKSHOPEXCELLENT STORAGE

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage with 2 garage spaces; Additional paved driveway parking for a total of 10 parking spaces; Garage door opener
  • Security: Smoke detectors; Carbon monoxide detectors
  • Utilities: 150 amp electric service; Public water; Septic tank sewer
  • Home design: Single family residence; Vinyl siding; Asbestos shingle roof; Full unfinished basement with Bilco doors
  • Construction: Vinyl siding construction; Asbestos shingle roof; Full, unfinished basement (Bilco doors)
  • Exterior features: Rear porch; Deck; Paved driveway; Outdoor lighting; Chain link fencing; Kennel/dog run; Level, landscaped lot (approximately 0.4 acre)

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Microwave; Oven; Range; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: Three bedrooms on the first floor; Two bedrooms on the second floor
  • Flooring: Tile; Carpet; Hardwood
  • Bathrooms: One full bathroom on the first floor; One half bathroom on the second floor
  • Heating & cooling: Forced air heating (natural gas); Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: High speed internet; Paddle fan(s); Crown molding; Living room fireplace
  • Laundry & utility: Washer and dryer (included); Laundry in basement

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $310k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-189 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $277k (10.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $220k (29.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $220k (29.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.6% vs local median 3.5% in East Glenville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 68/100 on livability (#535 in NY) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, employment A-; Watch: cost of living C-, crime D+, amenities F.
  • Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake Central School District (suburban): math 64% / reading 73% proficiency, ranked #137 of 590 in NY (top 23%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 9% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Pashley Elementary School (math 62% / reading 72%, grade B+, #525 of 2,108 statewide, top 27%, 462 students, 20% FRL); Richard H O'Rourke Middle School (math 42% / reading 65%, grade C+, #228 of 729 statewide, top 31%, 724 students, 19% FRL); Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake Senior High School (math 97% / reading 98%, grade A+, #49 of 1,100 statewide, top 5%, 928 students, 19% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 129 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; solid renter incomes; 154 units permitted in Schenectady County in 2024 (54 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $2k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $9k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Schenectady County population projected to shrink 4% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.

Negotiation context

  • Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 6y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $250k; 24% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: built in 1946 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $219,506 (29.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. Built in 1946 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.71%
Cap rate
5.56%
Cash-on-cash
-2.62%
DSCR
0.88
GRM
11.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$355,258
List price
$310,000
Delta
-12.74%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
7 Willow Ln 0.13mi 4/2.0 1,275 (-2%) 8mo $353,000 $277 83
19 Willow Ln 0.20mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,344 (+4%) 1mo $355,350 $264 79
155 Willow Ln 0.43mi 4/1.5 1,296 (-0%) 2mo $376,700 $291 78
1 Sutherland Dr 0.35mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (+4%) 7mo $312,000 $232 65
10 Saratoga Dr 0.32mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,250 (-4%) 10mo $348,000 $278 64
35 Witbeck Dr 0.58mi 4/1.5 1,360 (+5%) 6mo $355,000 $261 60
138 Willow Ln 0.41mi 3/1.5 (-1) 1,416 (+9%) 4mo $358,000 $253 58
11 Saratoga Dr 0.33mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,424 (+10%) 6mo $320,000 $225 57
204 Heckeler Dr 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,227 (-6%) 1mo $310,000 $253 48
13 Willowbrook Rd 0.68mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,218 (-6%) 11mo $285,000 $234 42
23 Gleason Rd 0.50mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,116 (-14%) 9mo $325,000 $291 39
33 Woodside Dr 0.75mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,482 (+14%) 9mo $322,000 $217 27

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-20.7%
Equity multiple
0.28×
Total profit
$-62,386
Equity at exit
$46,222
10-year hold
IRR
-14.1%
Equity multiple
0.19×
Total profit
$-70,255
Equity at exit
$26,803

Cash invested: $86,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 12302

Active inventory
129
Price-to-rent
11.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,195 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,626
Tax from tax record
$168 /mo · $2,022/yr
Insurance
$129
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$461
Net cashflow
$-189

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,435
Max offer price $276,574
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $-14 -5% $-101 +0% $-189 +5% $-277 +10% $-365
Rent -10% $-363 -5% $-276 +0% $-189 +5% $-103 +10% $-16
Rate -1.0pp $-33 -0.5pp $-110 base $-189 +0.5pp $-270 +1.0pp $-351

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$77,500
Closing costs
$9,300
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
41 Rustic Bridge Rd Rexford, NY 3.0 1.0 1500 $1,650 $1.10 45d 1 1.24mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-05-14
    listed $310,000 Active 457-char remark
  2. 2021-04-30
    soldstatus $250,000
  3. 2021-04-28
    soldstatus $250,000 Closed (Final Sale) 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    This charming Cape Cod home is in excellent condition. This home has been cared for meticulously by the original owners. Living room features a gas fireplace with hardwood floors. The main floor has two bedrooms and a full bathroom, the second floor has 2 more bedrooms and a 1/2 bath. Full basement with updated electric, furnace and hot water heater. Oversized two car garage with spacious workshop. This house also features a whole house generator to keep the day going even if the power goes out! Fabulous location in the highly desired Burnt Hills School District. Buy with confidence with HSA home warranty. Taxes do not include STAR

  4. 2020-12-04
    status Pend (Under Cntr) 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    This charming Cape Cod home is in excellent condition. This home has been cared for meticulously by the original owners. Living room features a gas fireplace with hardwood floors. The main floor has two bedrooms and a full bathroom, the second floor has 2 more bedrooms and a 1/2 bath. Full basement with updated electric, furnace and hot water heater. Oversized two car garage with spacious workshop. This house also features a whole house generator to keep the day going even if the power goes out! Fabulous location in the highly desired Burnt Hills School District. Buy with confidence with HSA home warranty. Taxes do not include STAR

  5. 2020-11-19
    listed $250,000 New 639-char remark
    Show marketing remark (639 chars)

    This charming Cape Cod home is in excellent condition. This home has been cared for meticulously by the original owners. Living room features a gas fireplace with hardwood floors. The main floor has two bedrooms and a full bathroom, the second floor has 2 more bedrooms and a 1/2 bath. Full basement with updated electric, furnace and hot water heater. Oversized two car garage with spacious workshop. This house also features a whole house generator to keep the day going even if the power goes out! Fabulous location in the highly desired Burnt Hills School District. Buy with confidence with HSA home warranty. Taxes do not include STAR

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$2,022 · $168/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$3,630 · $303/mo
Expected delta
+$1,609/yr (+$134/mo · 79.6%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥96°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 4% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$26,341
− Mortgage interest
−$17,365
− Property taxes
−$2,022
− Insurance
−$1,550
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,107
− Management
−$2,107
− Depreciation
−$9,018
Taxable loss
−$7,829
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,879
After-tax cash flow
$-392/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burnt Hills-Ballston Lake Central School District
NCES district ID
3605940
Math proficiency
64% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
73% ▲ 2.00%
Median HH income
$79,256
Composite
60.89/100
National rank
#813
State rank
#137 of 590 in NY

Livability — East Glenville

Score
68/100
State rank
#535
US rank
#9653

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living C- Crime D+ Employment A- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
East Glenville, NY
County
Schenectady County · 141,369 people
City population
610
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
Population (ZIP)
28,031
Household income
$98,163
Rent vs Own
24.2% rent · 75.8% own
Severe rent burden
632.0

Population outlook (Schenectady County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
155,046 people
By 2030
154,322 · -0.5%
By 2040
151,796 · -2.1%
By 2050
148,621 · -4.1%
By 2075
141,229 · -8.9%
By 2100
126,014 · -18.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 5% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2% Black 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 9% Lithuanian 4% Italian 3%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, China
Languages at home
94% English-only · Spanish 2% Chinese 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Schenectady

2024 margin
D (+10.8) · D 55.4% · R 44.6%
2008→2024 swing
-1.8pp toward R · 2008: 12.7pp · 2024: 10.8pp
All cycles
2024: D+10.8 2020: D+15.7 2016: D+5.8 2012: D+15.4 2008: D+12.7

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -274.86%
Current HPI
304.1765
Rent YoY
Metro
Albany-Schenectady-Troy, NY
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+24.0% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-22 Pending Global MLS
  • 2026-05-14 Listed $310,000 Global MLS
  • 2021-04-30 Sold (Public Records) $250,000 Public Records
  • 2021-04-28 Sold (MLS) $250,000 Global MLS
  • 2020-12-04 Pending Global MLS
  • 2020-11-19 Listed $250,000 Global MLS

Property tax history

-8.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $2,022 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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