CashFlowRE
Sign in Sign up
1302 S 14 St
D+ Composite 45.18
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Schools +4.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$15,000

1302 S 14 St · Burlington, IA 52601
4 bd · 1.0 ba · 1,659 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 17 Days on market
Built 1880 4,680 sqft lot $9/sqft · 85% below area

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks

This home is a fixer upper and could be brought back to a very nice family home. THE PRICE IS NOT NEGOTIABLE. Seller is a licensed realtor in the state of Iowa.

Key facts

  • 4,680 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1880

Property features AI

Finance

  • Financial info: Annual tax amount reported

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached 2-car garage
  • Utilities: Public water; Public sewer
  • Home design: Two-story single family residence; Residential property
  • Construction: Constructed with other materials
  • Exterior features: Gravel driveway; Lot dimensions approximately 40 x 117

Interior

  • Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Central air conditioning; Forced air heating
  • Interior features: Basement present

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $15k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $850 ($10k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $15k).
  • Recommended offer: $15k (1.5% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 74.3% vs local median 6.0% in Burlington — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#287 in IA) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime D+, employment D, amenities F.
  • Burlington Community School District (town): math 42% / reading 54% proficiency, ranked #286 of 289 in IA (top 99%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Black Hawk Elementary School (math 52% / reading 52%, grade C-, #494 of 616 statewide, top 83%, 316 students, 72% FRL); Edward Stone Middle School (math 34% / reading 48%, grade F, #236 of 246 statewide, top 96%, 489 students, 63% FRL); Burlington Community High School (math 45% / reading 64%, grade C-, #290 of 336 statewide, top 87%, 1,092 students, 58% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 188 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 53 units permitted in Des Moines County in 2024 (40 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $104 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $450 of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Des Moines County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $4k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 17 days — a 2% lower offer ($15k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 4 sale attempts since 12y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 5.0% of price; built in 1880 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $14,775 (1.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1880 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
8.42%
Cap rate
74.31%
Cash-on-cash
242.94%
DSCR
11.81
GRM
1.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$97,937
List price
$15,000
Delta
-84.68%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1302 S 14 St 0.00mi 4/1.0 1,659 (0%) 0mo $15,000 $9 100
910 S 14th St 0.18mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,552 (-6%) 2mo $64,000 $41 74
705 S Central Ave 0.36mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,600 (-4%) 2mo $99,020 $62 70
1820 Dill St 0.47mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,622 (-2%) 1mo $150,000 $92 69
1632 S Central St 0.29mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,768 (+7%) 2mo $95,000 $54 69
810 S 14th St 0.25mi 4/1.0 1,883 (+14%) 3mo $15,000 $8 64
1200 Perkins Ave 0.23mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,478 (-11%) 2mo $104,000 $70 60
526 S Central Ave 0.58mi 3/1.0 (-1) 1,737 (+5%) 4mo $73,500 $42 57
716 S 5th St 0.63mi 4/2.0 1,840 (+11%) 0mo $84,900 $46 48
316 Barret St 0.67mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,794 (+8%) 2mo $177,000 $99 44
1027 S Plane St 0.68mi 4/2.5 1,905 (+15%) 3mo $245,000 $129 35
1103 Hagemann Ave 0.73mi 3/2.5 (-1) 1,426 (-14%) 1mo $279,000 $196 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.33×
Total profit
$51,769
Equity at exit
$2,237
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
28.38×
Total profit
$114,998
Equity at exit
$1,297

Cash invested: $4,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Iowa
83 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+6
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; mostly landlord-friendly statewide.

ZIP-level market 52601

Active inventory
188
Price-to-rent
1.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,262 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$79
Tax from tax record
$62 /mo · $744/yr
Insurance
$6
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$265
Net cashflow
$850

Break-even live

Break-even rent $186
Max offer price $15,000
Occupancy floor 28%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $904 -5% $899 +0% $850 +5% $846 +10% $842
Rent -10% $751 -5% $800 +0% $850 +5% $900 +10% $950
Rate -1.0pp $858 -0.5pp $854 base $850 +0.5pp $846 +1.0pp $842

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$3,750
Closing costs
$450
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1601 Division St Burlington, IA 3.0 1.0 1440 $1,100 $0.76 45d 1 0.99mi

Listing history 13 events

  1. 2026-06-01
    status $15,000 Pending 17 DOM
  2. 2026-06-01
    days on market $15,000 Active 17 DOM
  3. 2026-05-31
    days on market $15,000 Active 16 DOM
  4. 2026-05-30
    days on market $15,000 Active 15 DOM
  5. 2026-05-15
    listed $15,000 Active 160-char remark
  6. 2026-01-21
    status Pending
  7. 2025-12-21
    price $15,000
  8. 2025-10-17
    listed $22,000 Active
  9. 2023-08-01
    soldstatus $25,000
  10. 2021-05-13
    soldstatus $32,000
  11. 2015-10-30
    soldstatus $29,500
  12. 2015-04-18
    listed $35,000
  13. 2014-09-22
    listed $40,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IA · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$744 · $62/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$744 · $62/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 2/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,147
− Mortgage interest
−$840
− Property taxes
−$744
− Insurance
−$75
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,212
− Management
−$1,212
− Depreciation
−$436
Taxable income
$10,628
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$2,551
After-tax cash flow
$7,653/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Burlington Community School District
NCES district ID
1905790
Math proficiency
42% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
54% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$41,833
Composite
40.3/100
National rank
#3753
State rank
#286 of 289 in IA

Livability — Burlington

Score
73/100
State rank
#287
US rank
#5540

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings B

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Burlington, IA
County
Des Moines County · 27,341 people
City population
27,341
Metro
Burlington, IA-IL
Population (ZIP)
27,341
Household income
$60,983
Rent vs Own
26.8% rent · 73.2% own
Severe rent burden
963.0

Population outlook (Des Moines County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
39,735 people
By 2030
39,257 · -1.2%
By 2040
38,090 · -4.1%
By 2050
37,156 · -6.5%
By 2075
36,905 · -7.1%
By 2100
37,222 · -6.3%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (83%)
Race & ethnicity
White 83% Two or more races 8% Black 5% Hispanic / Latino 4% Asian 1%
Common ancestry
Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Des Moines

2024 margin
R (+15.1) · D 41.8% · R 56.8% · Other 1.4%
2008→2024 swing
-38.1pp toward R · 2008: 23.0pp · 2024: -15.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+15.1 2020: R+8.5 2016: R+7.0 2012: D+18.5 2008: D+23.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -83.48%
Current HPI
149.7662
Rent YoY
Metro
Burlington, IA-IL
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.48%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

-62.5% since first listed
11 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-15 Sold (MLS) $15,000 IAR
  • 2026-06-01 Pending IAR
  • 2026-05-15 Listed $15,000 IAR
  • 2026-01-21 Pending IAR
  • 2025-12-21 Price Changed $15,000 IAR
  • 2025-10-17 Listed $22,000 IAR
  • 2023-08-01 Sold (Public Records) $25,000 Public Records
  • 2021-05-13 Sold (Public Records) $32,000 Public Records
  • 2015-10-30 Sold (MLS) $29,500 IAR
  • 2015-04-18 Listed $35,000 IAR
  • 2014-09-22 Listed $40,000 IAR

Property tax history

-3.0%/yr

Latest (2025): $744 · +14.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…