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1000 E Caroline St 40-Plex
B Composite 71.52
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • 1% rule +10.0/10.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • Schools +4.2/10.0
  • Livability +3.8/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$3,600,000

1000 E Caroline St · Tavares, FL 32778
1600 bd · 5.0 ba · 3,708 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 33 Days on market
Built 1979 3.56 ac lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (5+ Unit). Listing-text estimate: 40 units. confirmed

5+ unit building — per-unit beds/baths from public records are typically unavailable; the breakdown below (if shown) is an estimate from the listing text.

Listing remarks

Under contract-accepting backup offers. Exceptional opportunity to acquire Caroline Court, a 40-unit multifamily community in the heart of Tavares, offering immediate scale, stable occupancy, and the security of HUD-backed rental income. Situated on approximately 3.56 acres, this well-established apartment community consists of 8 residential buildings totaling approximately 32,000 square feet, with a desirable mix of 1-bedroom, 2-bedroom, and 3-bedroom floor plans. Built in 1979, the property has maintained strong performance with historically high occupancy and minimal vacancy, supported by consistent demand for affordable housing in the Tavares market. A major investment advantage is that

Key facts

  • 3.56 acre lot
  • Built 1979
  • Listed 33 days

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Total living area reported: 35,262 square feet; Lot size reported: 3.56 acres (approx. 14,400 sq meters); Zoning: RMF-3
  • Financial info: Annual net income reported: $499,296; Pro forma income for Unit Type 1: 41,608; Calculated list price per square foot reported
  • HOA & community: No association reported

Exterior

  • Utilities: Public water; Other sewer; Other utilities
  • Home design: Residential income property; Quadruplex sub-type; Completed condition; 8 buildings on site; Facing and entry details not provided
  • Construction: Other construction materials; Other roof type; Other foundation details; Built as part of multiple buildings (8 total)
  • Exterior features: Other exterior features; Road surfaces other than typical pavement

Interior

  • Bedrooms: 40 total bedrooms
  • Bathrooms: 5 total bathrooms (in Unit Type 1 group)
  • Heating & cooling: Other heating; Other cooling
  • Interior features: Other interior features
  • Laundry & utility: Other laundry features

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 40 × 40-bed/40.0-bath units multifamily listed at $3.60M.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $42k ($500k/yr) — positive. Per door: $1k/mo.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($82k rent vs $3.60M).
  • Recommended offer: $3.49M (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 20.2% vs local median 4.5% in Tavares — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 76/100 on livability (#220 in FL, #3,464 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: employment D, amenities F, commute F.
  • Lake (suburban): math 49% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #37 of 73 in FL (top 51%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Tavares Elementary School (math 49% / reading 45%, grade D-, #1,191 of 2,144 statewide, top 57%, 875 students, 61% FRL); Tavares Middle School (math 43% / reading 40%, grade F, #348 of 571 statewide, top 62%, 1,070 students, 58% FRL); Tavares High School (math 32% / reading 40%, grade F, #359 of 667 statewide, top 55%, 1,507 students, 45% FRL).
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.0%/yr); 507 active listings in the ZIP; 4,799 units permitted in Lake County in 2024 (814 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $82,289/mo this rent would consume 1556% of the median local household income ($63k/yr) (locally 586% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $25k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $108k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lake County population projected at +37% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.0% rent growth), your $1.01M cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 33 days — a 3% lower offer ($3.49M) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • Current owner paid $2.31M; list at $3.60M implies a 56% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→22/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $3,492,000 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 33 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
  3. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
  4. Built in 1979 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  5. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

1% rule
2.29%
Cap rate
20.19%
Cash-on-cash
49.65%
DSCR
3.21
GRM
3.6

CMA / ARV

No comps found within radius.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.05% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
48.5%
Equity multiple
3.14×
Total profit
$2,160,877
Equity at exit
$536,772
10-year hold
IRR
54.5%
Equity multiple
6.63×
Total profit
$5,671,190
Equity at exit
$311,262

Cash invested: $1,008,000 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32778

Home prices YoY
-23.4%
Rents YoY
4.0%
Active inventory
507
Price-to-rent
145.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$82,289 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$18,879
Tax from tax record
$2,926 /mo · $35,112/yr
Insurance
$1,500
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$17,281
Net cashflow
$41,703

Break-even live

Break-even rent $29,500
Max offer price $3,600,000
Occupancy floor 44%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $43,741 -5% $42,722 +0% $41,703 +5% $40,685 +10% $39,666
Rent -10% $35,203 -5% $38,453 +0% $41,703 +5% $44,954 +10% $48,204
Rate -1.0pp $43,516 -0.5pp $42,619 base $41,703 +0.5pp $40,771 +1.0pp $39,822

40-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

UnitsBedsBathsEst. rent
Total (40 units) $82,289

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$900,000
Closing costs
$108,000
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Listing history 4 events

  1. 2026-05-09
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-06
    listed $3,600,000 Active
  3. 2008-02-25
    soldstatus $2,310,000
  4. 2001-09-18
    soldstatus $925,000

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast FL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$35,112 · $2,926/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$35,112 · $2,926/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥108°F today · 22 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$987,468
− Mortgage interest
−$201,656
− Property taxes
−$35,112
− Insurance
−$18,000
− Repairs & maintenance
−$78,997
− Management
−$78,997
− Depreciation
−$104,727
Taxable income
$469,977
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$112,795
After-tax cash flow
$387,647/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Lake
NCES district ID
1201050
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -7.00%
Reading proficiency
50% ▼ -4.00%
Median HH income
$46,632
Composite
42.05/100
National rank
#3327
State rank
#37 of 73 in FL

Livability — Tavares

Score
76/100
State rank
#220
US rank
#3464

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings A+

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Tavares, FL
County
Lake County · 364,602 people
City population
25,042
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
Population (ZIP)
25,042
Household income
$63,472
Rent vs Own
21.4% rent · 78.6% own
Severe rent burden
586.0

Population outlook (Lake County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
386,640 people
By 2030
417,107 · +7.9%
By 2040
476,676 · +23.3%
By 2050
531,296 · +37.4%
By 2075
648,303 · +67.7%
By 2100
698,530 · +80.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (72%)
Race & ethnicity
White 72% Hispanic / Latino 14% Two or more races 8% Black 8% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 7% Cuban 2% Dominican 1%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Italian 3% Slovak 2%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, Dominican Republic, Jamaica
Languages at home
85% English-only · Spanish 11% Other Indo-European 2% Other Asian/Pacific 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Lake

2024 margin
Strong R (+24.7) · D 37.3% · R 62.0%
2008→2024 swing
-11.2pp toward R · 2008: -13.5pp · 2024: -24.7pp
All cycles
2024: R+24.7 2020: R+20.0 2016: R+23.1 2012: R+17.1 2008: R+13.5

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -88.07%
Current HPI
288.7123
Rent YoY
▲ 4.05%
Metro
Orlando-Kissimmee-Sanford, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+289.2% since first listed
4 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-09 Pending Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-06 Listed $3,600,000 Stellar MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2008-02-25 Sold (Public Records) $2,310,000 Public Records
  • 2001-09-18 Sold (Public Records) $925,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+4.6%/yr

Latest (2025): $35,112 · +8.2% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…