107 Norwich Dr · North Gates, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 15 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 2 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +26.3/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- 1% rule +9.6/10.0
- DSCR +8.9/10.0
- Schools +4.8/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$119,995
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
VERY NICE TOWNHOUSE LOCATED IN WINDSOR VILLAGE. 2 BEDROOMS, 1 BATHROOM, DINING/LIVING ROOM. UPDATED CARPET 2015 ALL ROOMS. UPDATED TILE KITCHEN 2015. REFINISHED CABINETS. ALL ROOMS HAVE BEEN PAINTED.
Key facts
- $258 HOA
- 2 parking spots
- Built 1974
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed
- HOA & community: Kenrick association with a monthly fee of $258; Association fee covers common area maintenance, common area insurance, insurance, reserve fund, sewer, snow removal, trash and water
Exterior
- Parking: Assigned parking (2 spaces); No garage
- Utilities: Public water connected; Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: Single-story property; Entry level: main level; Resale condition
- Construction: Aluminum siding; Vinyl siding; Asphalt shingle roof; Slab foundation; Existing structure
- Exterior features: Fully fenced yard; Patio; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Eat-in country kitchen; Electric oven and electric range; Range hood; Dishwasher; Refrigerator; Exhaust fan
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Carpet; Luxury vinyl; Vinyl; Varies
- Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating; Central air conditioning
- Interior features: Ceiling fan(s); Eat-in kitchen; Separate/formal living room; Country kitchen; Sliding glass door(s); Window treatments; Drapes; Sliding doors; Bedroom on main level; Main level primary
- Laundry & utility: In-unit washer and dryer on the main level; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $120k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $308 ($4k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $120k).
- Cap rate 9.4% vs local median 4.7% in North Gates — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 75/100 on livability (#245 in NY, #3,859 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: housing A+, health & safety A+, cost of living A-; Watch: crime D, amenities F.
- Churchville-Chili Central School District (rural): math 53% / reading 57% proficiency, ranked #291 of 590 in NY (top 49%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
- Zoned schools: Churchville-Chili Middle School (math 39% / reading 50%, grade D, #348 of 729 statewide, top 50%, 1,156 students, 34% FRL); Churchville-Chili Senior High School (math 95% / reading 98%, grade A+, #59 of 1,100 statewide, top 6%, 1,192 students, 30% FRL).
- Zoned-school proficiency averages 70% at this address vs 55% district-wide (+15 pts) — the actual schools serving this property are materially stronger than the Churchville-Chili Central School District average implies; a family-tenant draw the district grade alone would hide.
- Market conditions: 127 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 4d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 1,169 units permitted in Monroe County in 2024 (591 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $829 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Monroe County population projected to shrink 6% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $34k cash investment doubles in ~10 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- Only 8 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 11y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $60k; list at $120k implies a 100% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1974 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are F-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 1.46% ✓
- Cap rate
- 9.38%
- Cash-on-cash
- 11.02%
- DSCR
- 1.49
- GRM
- 5.7
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $154,557
- List price
- $119,995
- Delta
- -22.36%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 8 within 1.0 mi
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 0.3%
- Equity multiple
- 1.01×
- Total profit
- $381
- Equity at exit
- $17,892
- IRR
- 10.1%
- Equity multiple
- 1.78×
- Total profit
- $26,355
- Equity at exit
- $10,375
Cash invested: $33,599 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 14624
- Active inventory
- 127
- Price-to-rent
- 5.7×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,753 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$629
- Tax from tax record
- −$139 /mo · $1,672/yr
- Insurance
- −$50
- HOA
- −$258
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$368
- Net cashflow
- $308
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $376 | -5% $342 | +0% $308 | +5% $275 | +10% $241 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $170 | -5% $239 | +0% $308 | +5% $378 | +10% $447 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $369 | -0.5pp $339 | base $308 | +0.5pp $277 | +1.0pp $246 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $29,999
- Closing costs
- $3,600
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2859 Manitou Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–1.5 | 937 | $1,642 | $1.75 | 4d | 12 | 0.10mi |
| 111 Whittier Rd Rochester, NY | 1.0–3.0 | 1.0–2.5 | 1112 | $2,100 | $1.89 | 4d | 23 | 0.28mi |
| 350 Westview Commons Blvd Rochester, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0–2.0 | 1087 | $1,860 | $1.71 | 4d | 13 | 0.50mi |
| 173 Bending Creek Rd Gates, NY | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 860 | $1,595 | $1.85 | 4d | 7 | 1.06mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $258 · $3,096/yr
Listing history 10 events
-
2026-05-08status Pending 651-char remark
-
2026-04-30$119,995 Active 651-char remark
-
2015-12-11historical 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
VERY NICE TOWNHOUSE LOCATED IN WINDSOR VILLAGE. 2 BEDROOMS, 1 BATHROOM, DINING/LIVING ROOM. UPDATED CARPET 2015 ALL ROOMS. UPDATED TILE KITCHEN 2015. REFINISHED CABINETS. ALL ROOMS HAVE BEEN PAINTED.
-
2015-12-10soldstatus $60,000 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
VERY NICE TOWNHOUSE LOCATED IN WINDSOR VILLAGE. 2 BEDROOMS, 1 BATHROOM, DINING/LIVING ROOM. UPDATED CARPET 2015 ALL ROOMS. UPDATED TILE KITCHEN 2015. REFINISHED CABINETS. ALL ROOMS HAVE BEEN PAINTED.
-
2015-12-08soldstatus $60,000
-
2015-09-02$69,000 199-char remark
Show marketing remark (199 chars)
VERY NICE TOWNHOUSE LOCATED IN WINDSOR VILLAGE. 2 BEDROOMS, 1 BATHROOM, DINING/LIVING ROOM. UPDATED CARPET 2015 ALL ROOMS. UPDATED TILE KITCHEN 2015. REFINISHED CABINETS. ALL ROOMS HAVE BEEN PAINTED.
-
2009-11-19soldstatus $57,000
-
2007-05-04soldstatus $59,000
-
2003-04-22soldstatus $54,000
-
1996-05-20soldstatus $46,500
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $1,672 · $139/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,850 · $154/mo
- Expected delta
- +$178/yr (+$15/mo · 10.7%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 2/10 Low 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 15 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 2 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $21,039
- − Mortgage interest
- −$6,722
- − Property taxes
- −$1,672
- − Insurance
- −$600
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,683
- − Management
- −$1,683
- − HOA
- −$3,096
- − Depreciation
- −$3,491
- Taxable income
- $2,092
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$502
- After-tax cash flow
- $3,199/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Churchville-Chili Central School District
- NCES district ID
- 3607530
- Math proficiency
- 53% ▼ -13.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 57% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $61,997
- Composite
- 48.07/100
- National rank
- #2191
- State rank
- #291 of 590 in NY
Livability — North Gates
- Score
- 75/100
- State rank
- #245
- US rank
- #3859
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Monroe County · 674,131 people
- City population
- 27,478
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- Population (ZIP)
- 38,626
- Household income
- $87,989
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 584.0
Population outlook (Monroe County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 759,460 people
- By 2030
- 757,154 · -0.3%
- By 2040
- 740,644 · -2.5%
- By 2050
- 714,443 · -5.9%
- By 2075
- 645,883 · -15.0%
- By 2100
- 547,084 · -28.0%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (78%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 78% Black 9% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 6% Iranian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 7% · Canada, China, India
- Languages at home
- 90% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 3% Russian/Polish/Slavic 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Monroe
- 2024 margin
- D (+19.1) · D 59.5% · R 40.5%
- 2008→2024 swing
- +1.4pp toward D · 2008: 17.7pp · 2024: 19.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+19.1 2020: D+21.0 2016: D+14.1 2012: D+17.4 2008: D+17.7
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -151.26%
- Current HPI
- 267.356
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Rochester, NY
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
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| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
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| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
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Price history
+158.1% since first listed10 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-08 Pending — UNYREIS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $119,995 UNYREIS
- 2015-12-11 Listing Removed — UNYREIS
- 2015-12-10 Sold (MLS) $60,000 UNYREIS
- 2015-12-08 Sold (Public Records) $60,000 Public Records
- 2015-09-02 Listed $69,000 UNYREIS
- 2009-11-19 Sold (Public Records) $57,000 Public Records
- 2007-05-04 Sold (Public Records) $59,000 Public Records
- 2003-04-22 Sold (Public Records) $54,000 Public Records
- 1996-05-20 Sold (Public Records) $46,500 Public Records
Property tax history
+6.4%/yrLatest (2025): $1,672 · -2.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…