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3611 I St NE #63
B Composite 71.91
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +30.0/30.0
  • DSCR +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +9.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +8.6/10.0
  • Schools +4.7/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.9/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$174,500

3611 I St NE #63 · Auburn, WA 98002
3 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,815 sqft · Manufactured · 1 Days on market
Built 1978 Est $182k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Key facts

  • 2 parking spots
  • Community pool
  • Built 1978

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Bus line nearby
  • Financial info: Listing terms: Cash, Conventional
  • HOA & community: Located in The River Mobile Estates (park approved for sale); Senior community; Park amenities include clubhouse, common area, laundry, pool, recreational area, RV parking, sauna, spa/hot tub; Approximately 312 homes in the park; Pets allowed: cats and dogs; Land lease: $1,000

Exterior

  • Parking: Carport
  • Utilities: Public water (in HOA dues); Public sewer (in HOA dues); Electric service by PSE; Energy sources: Electric and wood
  • Home design: Manufactured home (double wide); One story; Model: GOLM 66-28; Make: Golden West Mobile; Tie-down foundation
  • Construction: Metal/vinyl construction; Composition roof
  • Exterior features: Metal/vinyl exterior; Awnings; Landscaped; Patio/porch/deck; Vaulted ceilings; Walk-in closet

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Garbage disposal; Microwave; Refrigerator; Stove/Range
  • Bedrooms: 3 bedrooms
  • Flooring: Ceramic tile; Laminate
  • Bathrooms: 1 full bath; 1 three-quarter bath
  • Heating & cooling: High-efficiency heating (90%+); Forced air; Heat pump; Central air
  • Interior features: Fireplace (wood burning)
  • Laundry & utility: Washer; Dryer; Utility room

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $174k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $513 ($6k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $174k).
  • Cap rate 10.9% vs local median 2.7% in Auburn — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 81/100 on livability (#75 in WA, #1,371 nationally) — a professional / high-income tenant draw. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, employment A+; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
  • Auburn School District (urban): math 47% / reading 56% proficiency, ranked #125 of 291 in WA (top 43%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising (+1.5%/yr); 171 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals at typical pace (median 22d on market — plan ~3-4 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); solid renter incomes; 10,555 units permitted in King County in 2024 (7,119 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • This rent runs 36% of the median local income ($79k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • King County population projected at +44% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $95k; list at $174k implies a 84% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $152/mo.
  • Climate carrying-cost: in FEMA flood zone AH (mandatory federal flood insurance) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $174,500

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1978 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.36%
Cap rate
10.87%
Cash-on-cash
16.33%
DSCR
1.73
GRM
6.1

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$181,500
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
3611 I St NE #76 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,900 (+5%) 4mo $120,000 $63 89
3611 I St NE #184 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,792 (-1%) 15mo $180,000 $100 85
3611 I St NE #424 0.15mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,792 (-1%) 2mo $210,000 $117 84
3611 NE I St #257 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,749 (-4%) 13mo $132,500 $76 83
3611 I St NE #130 0.00mi 3/2.0 1,820 (+0%) 20mo $146,000 $80 82
3611 I St NE #302 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,848 (+2%) 12mo $228,000 $123 78
3611 I St NE #225 0.20mi 3/2.0 1,800 (-1%) 18mo $170,000 $94 74
3611 I St NE #160 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,848 (+2%) 16mo $110,000 $60 68
3611 I St NE #10 0.15mi 3/2.0 2,040 (+12%) 7mo $183,000 $90 66
3611 I St NE #133 0.33mi 3/2.0 1,920 (+6%) 15mo $233,000 $121 62
3611 I St NE #80 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,612 (-11%) 18mo $189,900 $118 62
3611 I St NE #247 0.00mi 2/2.0 (-1) 1,560 (-14%) 14mo $167,500 $107 60

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 1.51% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
0.6%
Equity multiple
1.02×
Total profit
$1,027
Equity at exit
$26,019
10-year hold
IRR
8.5%
Equity multiple
1.60×
Total profit
$29,557
Equity at exit
$15,088

Cash invested: $48,860 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
28 Tenant-Leaning
State Washington
28 Tenant-Leaning · D+8
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Just-cause statewide (2021); Seattle layers rent control restrictions + relocation assistance; very tenant-friendly.

ZIP-level market 98002

Rents YoY
1.5%
Active inventory
171
Price-to-rent
6.1×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,368 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$915
Tax est. 1.5%
$218 /mo · $2,618/yr
Insurance
$73
Flood insurance flood zone
−$152 /mo · $1,824/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$497
Net cashflow
$513

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,719
Max offer price $174,500
Occupancy floor 73%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$43,625
Closing costs
$5,235
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
4750 Auburn Way N Auburn, WA 1.0–4.0 1.0–2.0 1011 $2,417 $2.39 1d 10 0.70mi
2317 I St NE Unit 2319 Auburn, WA 3.0 2.0 1400 $2,275 $1.62 24d 1 0.84mi
2414 N St NE Unit C Auburn, WA 3.0 1.0 1271 $1,950 $1.53 24d 1 0.86mi
1462 51st Pl NE Auburn, WA 3.0 2.5 1539 $2,900 $1.88 2d 1 0.98mi
2025 M St NE Unit 2045 Auburn, WA 2.0 1.5 1248 $2,095 $1.68 21d 1 1.03mi

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-04-29
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-29
    listed $174,500 Active
  3. 2019-11-25
    soldstatus $95,000 Sold
  4. 2019-11-10
    status Pending
  5. 2019-10-11
    listed $107,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 5/10 Major FEMA zone AH · 27% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 4/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥87°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 7/10 Severe 10 unhealthy d/yr today · 11 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

Loading nearby amenities…

Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$28,420
− Mortgage interest
−$9,775
− Property taxes
−$2,618
− Insurance
−$2,697
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,274
− Management
−$2,274
− Depreciation
−$5,076
Taxable income
$3,707
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$890
After-tax cash flow
$5,266/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Auburn School District
NCES district ID
5300300
Math proficiency
47% ▼ -3.00%
Reading proficiency
56% ▼ -1.00%
Median HH income
$58,048
Composite
46.73/100
National rank
#5240
State rank
#125 of 291 in WA

Livability — Auburn

Score
81/100
State rank
#75
US rank
#1371

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings C

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Auburn, WA
County
King County · 2,251,916 people
City population
74,969
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
Population (ZIP)
37,509
Household income
$78,684
Rent vs Own
51.1% rent · 48.9% own
Severe rent burden
2202.0

Population outlook (King County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
2,576,485 people
By 2030
2,803,316 · +8.8%
By 2040
3,255,921 · +26.4%
By 2050
3,706,444 · +43.9%
By 2075
4,746,063 · +84.2%
By 2100
5,407,730 · +109.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Highly diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.72)
Race & ethnicity
White 46% Hispanic / Latino 24% Two or more races 13% Black 12% Asian 6% Pacific Islander 4% Native American 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 20%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 4% Subsaharan African 4% Lithuanian 3%
Foreign-born
24% · Canada, Vietnam
Languages at home
63% English-only · Spanish 19% Russian/Polish/Slavic 6% Other Asian/Pacific 3%

Political lean MEDSL · King

2024 margin
Solid D (+51.7) · D 74.2% · R 22.5% · Other 3.4%
2008→2024 swing
+9.6pp toward D · 2008: 42.1pp · 2024: 51.7pp
All cycles
2024: D+51.7 2020: D+52.7 2016: D+50.4 2012: D+39.9 2008: D+42.1

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -677.96%
Current HPI
298.0849
Rent YoY
▲ 1.51%
Metro
Seattle-Tacoma-Bellevue, WA
State GDP YoY
▲ 4.65%
F500 in state
22

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in WA)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+63.1% since first listed
5 events — show timeline
  • 2026-04-29 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2026-04-29 Listed $174,500 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-25 Sold (MLS) $95,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-11-10 Pending NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
  • 2019-10-11 Listed $107,000 NWMLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…