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1921 Chipper Dr #346
C- Composite 50.47
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • ARV discount +11.2/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Condition / age +4.0/5.0
  • Rent growth +3.7/5.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • Schools +2.9/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$34,900

1921 Chipper Dr #346 · Edgewood, MD 21040
2 bd · 2.0 ba · 980 sqft · Manufactured · 50 Days on market
Built 2026 Good condition $36/sqft · 8% below area Est $38k · 8% under

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

* THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, a playground, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

Key facts

  • Built 2026
  • Listed 50 days

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $35k. Condition is rated good.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($13k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $35k).
  • Recommended offer: $34k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 42.8% vs local median 5.5% in Edgewood — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 73/100 on livability (#118 in MD, #4,991 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: schools D, amenities D, crime F.
  • Harford County Public Schools (suburban): math 22% / reading 39% proficiency, ranked #9 of 24 in MD (top 38%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Market conditions: Rents rising fast (+4.9%/yr); 94 active listings in the ZIP; 5 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 60% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; solid renter incomes; 803 units permitted in Harford County in 2024 (26 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $241 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $1k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 4.9% rent growth), your $10k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 50 days — a 3% lower offer ($34k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Recommended offer $33,853 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 50 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  3. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  4. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
4.73%
Cap rate
42.84%
Cash-on-cash
130.51%
DSCR
6.81
GRM
1.8

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$37,981
List price
$34,900
Delta
-8.11%
Verdict
FAIR
Comps
1 within 2.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
1921 Steven Dr 0.10mi 2/2.0 850 (-13%) 9mo $60,000 $71 65

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 4.92% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
7.68×
Total profit
$65,309
Equity at exit
$5,204
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
17.17×
Total profit
$158,002
Equity at exit
$3,018

Cash invested: $9,772 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
27 Tenant-Leaning
State Maryland
27 Tenant-Leaning · D+14
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Failure-to-pay is dismissed if cured before judgment; Baltimore has just-cause; strict deposit rules.

ZIP-level market 21040

Home prices YoY
-29.4%
Rents YoY
4.9%
Active inventory
94
Price-to-rent
1.8×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,651 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$183
Tax est. 1.5%
$44 /mo · $524/yr
Insurance
$15
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$347
Net cashflow
$1,063

Break-even live

Break-even rent $305
Max offer price $34,900
Occupancy floor 31%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$8,725
Closing costs
$1,047
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 5 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1772 Judy Way Edgewood, MD 3.0 1.5 1040 $2,195 $2.11 44d 1 0.42mi
905 Swallow Crest Ct Unit E Edgewood, MD 2.0 1.0 990 $1,495 $1.51 44d 1 0.55mi
1703 Fountain Rock Way Unit 1703-B Edgewood, MD 2.0 1.0 882 $1,250 $1.42 24d 1 0.63mi
814 Windstream Way Unit 814-A Edgewood, MD 1.0 1.0 882 $1,200 $1.36 44d 1 0.85mi
802 Kingston Ct Edgewood, MD 1.0–3.0 1.0–1.5 1007 $1,660 $1.65 2d 15 0.99mi

Listing history 9 events

  1. 2026-06-09
    days on market $34,900 Active 50 DOM
  2. 2026-06-08
    days on market $34,900 Active 49 DOM
  3. 2026-06-07
    days on market $34,900 Active 48 DOM
  4. 2026-06-04
    pricedays on market $34,900 Active 45 DOM
  5. 2026-06-03
    days on market $39,900 Active 44 DOM
  6. 2026-06-02
    days on market $39,900 Active 43 DOM
  7. 2026-06-01
    pricedays on market $39,900 Active 42 DOM
  8. 2026-05-31
    days on market $39,400 Active 41 DOM
  9. 2026-04-20
    listed $39,400 Active 399-char remark
    Show marketing remark (399 chars)

    * THIS IS A RESALE LISTING * You'll love living in this 2 bedroom, 2 bathroom home within a wonderful family-friendly community. Check out the awesome amenities your community has to offer such as community events, a playground, a clubhouse, and more! This home won't be on the market long, so call us today for more information or to schedule a tour. Deposits & Fees are subject to change.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$19,807
− Mortgage interest
−$1,955
− Property taxes
−$524
− Insurance
−$174
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,585
− Management
−$1,585
− Depreciation
−$1,015
Taxable income
$12,970
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$3,113
After-tax cash flow
$9,641/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Condition & rehab AI · 12 photos

Good 80/100 Cosmetic rehab

This 2-bedroom, 2-bathroom manufactured home is in excellent condition with recent updates, making it move-in ready for both resale and rental.

Value-add opportunities

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace air conditioning unit — Modern unit improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Install new outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal

Renovation cost estimate screening

Value-add ROI direction

  • Both Paint exterior siding — Fresh paint can enhance curb appeal and value
  • Both Replace air conditioning unit — Modern unit improves comfort and energy efficiency
  • Both Install new outdoor lighting — Enhances safety and curb appeal

ⓘ Cost ranges are severity-bucket heuristics (US national rule-of-thumb). Get contractor quotes + a written scope before underwriting a rehab budget.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Harford County Public Schools
NCES district ID
2400390
Math proficiency
22% ▼ -23.00%
Reading proficiency
39% ▼ -12.00%
Median HH income
$79,569
Composite
29.38/100
National rank
#6527
State rank
#9 of 24 in MD

Livability — Edgewood

Score
73/100
State rank
#118
US rank
#4991

Category grades

Amenities D Commute A+ Cost of living A- Crime F Employment B Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Edgewood, MD
County
Harford County · 198,512 people
City population
24,960
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
Population (ZIP)
24,960
Household income
$81,704
Rent vs Own
28.9% rent · 71.1% own
Severe rent burden
859.0

Population outlook (Harford County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
262,292 people
By 2030
266,437 · +1.6%
By 2040
269,954 · +2.9%
By 2050
265,659 · +1.3%
By 2075
252,886 · -3.6%
By 2100
224,014 · -14.6%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.66)
Race & ethnicity
Black 45% White 36% Two or more races 11% Hispanic / Latino 10% Asian 2%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 1% Puerto Rican 2%
Common ancestry
Romanian 4% Slovak 1% Italian 1%
Foreign-born
8% · Canada, South Korea
Languages at home
89% English-only · Spanish 5% Russian/Polish/Slavic 2% German/W. Germanic 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Harford

2024 margin
R (+13.8) · D 41.9% · R 55.7% · Other 2.4%
2008→2024 swing
+5.0pp toward D · 2008: -18.8pp · 2024: -13.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+13.8 2020: R+12.0 2016: R+24.5 2012: R+19.5 2008: R+18.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -106.14%
Current HPI
254.2305
Rent YoY
▲ 4.92%
Metro
Baltimore-Columbia-Towson, MD
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.97%
F500 in state
12

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MD)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

1 event — show timeline
  • 2026-04-20 Listed $39,400 Zillow

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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