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188 Pinetree Ln
C+ Composite 60.81
Why this score? — see what drove the C+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +19.3/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • DSCR +6.1/10.0
  • Schools +5.2/10.0
  • 1% rule +5.1/10.0
  • Livability +3.2/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0

$195,000

188 Pinetree Ln · DeFuniak Springs, FL 32433
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 1,512 sqft · Manufactured · 89 Days on market
Built 2021 0.34 ac lot Est $192k · at est.

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Welcome to 188 Pinetree Lane in DeFuniak Springs! This inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort and country charm. Step inside to a bright, open-concept layout designed for easy everyday living and relaxed gatherings. Durable vinyl plank flooring runs throughout the entire home, providing a warm look with easy maintenance. The kitchen truly serves as the heart of the home, featuring a center island that's perfect for meal prep, casual dining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The four bedrooms offer comfortable, functional space with flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. With peaceful surroundings and room to breathe, this home delivers the simplicity and charm of country living while still being convenient to nearby amenities. If you're looking for a place that feels welcoming from the moment you walk in, this one is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

Key facts

  • Center island
  • Open-concept layout
  • 0.34 acre lot

Tags

OPEN-CONCEPT LAYOUTDURABLE VINYL PLANK FLOORINGCENTER ISLAND

Property features AI

Finance

  • HOA & community: Subdivision: OAKWOOD HILLS UNIT 3

Exterior

  • Utilities: Electric service; Public water; Septic tank
  • Home design: Single-story mobile home; Built in 2021
  • Construction: Vinyl siding and trim; Shingle roof
  • Exterior features: Cleared, level lot; County road frontage on a paved road

Interior

  • Kitchen: Dishwasher; Refrigerator
  • Bedrooms: 4 bedrooms; Primary bedroom on the first floor with walk-in closet and private bath
  • Flooring: Vinyl flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms
  • Heating & cooling: Central heating; Central air conditioning
  • Interior features: Kitchen island; Split-bedroom floor plan; Washer/dryer hookup
  • Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $195k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $216 ($3k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $195k).
  • Recommended offer: $183k (6.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
  • Cap rate 7.6% vs local median 4.8% in DeFuniak Springs — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 64/100 on livability (#694 in FL) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: health & safety C-, crime D, amenities F.
  • Walton (rural): math 62% / reading 61% proficiency, ranked #10 of 73 in FL (top 14%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease.
  • Zoned schools: Mossy Head School (math 72% / reading 57%, grade B, #525 of 2,144 statewide, top 26%, 439 students, 86% FRL); Walton High School (math 52% / reading 53%, grade C-, #154 of 667 statewide, top 24%, 856 students, 65% FRL) — zoned schools average 75% FRL vs 48% district-wide (27 pts higher); higher-poverty schools than district average — tighter screening recommended.
  • Market conditions: 422 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 2,883 units permitted in Walton County in 2024 (1,322 in 5+ unit buildings).
  • At $1,979/mo this rent would consume 45% of the median local household income ($52k/yr) (locally 356% of renters already pay >50% of income on rent) — very limited rent-growth headroom before tenants either downsize or default.

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $21k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $20k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Walton County population projected at +46% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $55k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$34k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 89 days — a 6% lower offer ($183k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
  • 6 sale attempts since 5y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $17k (8%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $183,300 (6.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. It's been on market 89 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 6% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  2. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is D in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
1.01%
Cap rate
7.62%
Cash-on-cash
4.74%
DSCR
1.21
GRM
8.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$192,024
Comps found
5
Show comp detail 5 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
210 Amaryllis Ln 0.11mi 4/2.0 1,475 (-2%) 1mo $187,500 $127 90
524 E Tiger Lily Ln 0.28mi 4/2.0 1,480 (-2%) 3mo $192,000 $130 81
236 Laurel Dr 0.34mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,344 (-11%) 6mo $60,000 $45 56
275 E Violet Ln 0.55mi 4/2.0 1,400 (-7%) 10mo $130,000 $93 53
105 See Saw Bnd 0.17mi 3/2.0 (-1) 1,352 (-11%) 20mo $178,000 $132 52

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
27.7%
Equity multiple
3.20×
Total profit
$119,982
Equity at exit
$175,671
10-year hold
IRR
24.2%
Equity multiple
7.27×
Total profit
$342,573
Equity at exit
$378,842

Cash invested: $54,600 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Florida
87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
3-day pay-or-quit; preempts local rent control; landlord-friendly statutes. Court speed varies by county.

ZIP-level market 32433

Home prices YoY
4.2%
Active inventory
422
Price-to-rent
8.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,979 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,023
Tax est. 1.5%
$244 /mo · $2,925/yr
Insurance
$81
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$416
Net cashflow
$216

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,706
Max offer price $195,000
Occupancy floor 84%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$48,750
Closing costs
$5,850
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
135 Tiger Lily Ln Defuniak Springs, FL 3.0 2.0 1114 $1,795 $1.61 14d 1 0.23mi
150 Hibiscus Ave Defuniak Springs, FL 3.0 2.0 1256 $1,950 $1.55 21d 1 0.89mi

Listing history 23 events

  1. 2026-06-07
    days on market $195,000 Active 89 DOM
  2. 2026-06-05
    days on market $195,000 Active 86 DOM
  3. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 85 DOM
  4. 2026-06-03
    days on market $195,000 Active 84 DOM
  5. 2026-06-01
    days on market $195,000 Active 83 DOM
  6. 2026-05-31
    days on market $195,000 Active 82 DOM
  7. 2026-05-30
    days on market $195,000 Active 81 DOM
  8. 2026-05-19
    price $195,000
  9. 2026-04-13
    price $195,000 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Welcome to 188 Pinetree Lane in DeFuniak Springs! This inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort and country charm. Step inside to a bright, open-concept layout designed for easy everyday living and relaxed gatherings. Durable vinyl plank flooring runs throughout the entire home, providing a warm look with easy maintenance. The kitchen truly serves as the heart of the home, featuring a center island that's perfect for meal prep, casual dining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The four bedrooms offer comfortable, functional space with flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. With peaceful surroundings and room to breathe, this home delivers the simplicity and charm of country living while still being convenient to nearby amenities. If you're looking for a place that feels welcoming from the moment you walk in, this one is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

  10. 2026-03-25
    price $203,000
  11. 2026-03-21
    price $203,000 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Welcome to 188 Pinetree Lane in DeFuniak Springs! This inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort and country charm. Step inside to a bright, open-concept layout designed for easy everyday living and relaxed gatherings. Durable vinyl plank flooring runs throughout the entire home, providing a warm look with easy maintenance. The kitchen truly serves as the heart of the home, featuring a center island that's perfect for meal prep, casual dining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The four bedrooms offer comfortable, functional space with flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. With peaceful surroundings and room to breathe, this home delivers the simplicity and charm of country living while still being convenient to nearby amenities. If you're looking for a place that feels welcoming from the moment you walk in, this one is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

  12. 2026-03-07
    listed $212,000 Active
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Welcome to 188 Pinetree Lane in DeFuniak Springs! This inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort and country charm. Step inside to a bright, open-concept layout designed for easy everyday living and relaxed gatherings. Durable vinyl plank flooring runs throughout the entire home, providing a warm look with easy maintenance. The kitchen truly serves as the heart of the home, featuring a center island that's perfect for meal prep, casual dining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The four bedrooms offer comfortable, functional space with flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. With peaceful surroundings and room to breathe, this home delivers the simplicity and charm of country living while still being convenient to nearby amenities. If you're looking for a place that feels welcoming from the moment you walk in, this one is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

  13. 2026-03-07
    listed $212,000 Active 916-char remark
    Show marketing remark (916 chars)

    Welcome to 188 Pinetree Lane in DeFuniak Springs! This inviting 4-bedroom, 2-bath home offers the perfect blend of comfort and country charm. Step inside to a bright, open-concept layout designed for easy everyday living and relaxed gatherings. Durable vinyl plank flooring runs throughout the entire home, providing a warm look with easy maintenance. The kitchen truly serves as the heart of the home, featuring a center island that's perfect for meal prep, casual dining, or enjoying your morning coffee. The four bedrooms offer comfortable, functional space with flexibility for family, guests, or a home office. With peaceful surroundings and room to breathe, this home delivers the simplicity and charm of country living while still being convenient to nearby amenities. If you're looking for a place that feels welcoming from the moment you walk in, this one is a must-see. Schedule your private showing today!

  14. 2025-10-04
    historical
  15. 2025-01-10
    price $206,500
  16. 2024-11-20
    price $206,500
  17. 2024-10-05
    listed $209,000 Active
  18. 2024-10-04
    listed $209,000 Active
  19. 2022-01-10
    soldstatus $179,995 Sold
  20. 2022-01-10
    soldstatus $179,995
  21. 2021-12-08
    status Pending
  22. 2021-10-20
    listed $179,995 Active
  23. 2021-10-20
    listed $179,995

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 9/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 9/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$23,749
− Mortgage interest
−$10,923
− Property taxes
−$2,925
− Insurance
−$975
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,900
− Management
−$1,900
− Depreciation
−$5,673
Taxable loss
−$547
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$131
After-tax cash flow
$2,722/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Walton
NCES district ID
1201980
Math proficiency
62% ▼ -4.00%
Reading proficiency
61% ▼ -2.00%
Median HH income
$46,794
Composite
52.03/100
National rank
#1634
State rank
#10 of 73 in FL

Livability — DeFuniak Springs

Score
64/100
State rank
#694
US rank
#14475

Category grades

Amenities F Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime D Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety C- User ratings D-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

County
Walton County · 70,839 people
City population
19,746
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
Population (ZIP)
19,746
Household income
$52,199
Rent vs Own
25.4% rent · 74.6% own
Severe rent burden
356.0

Population outlook (Walton County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
80,014 people
By 2030
88,120 · +10.1%
By 2040
103,537 · +29.4%
By 2050
117,034 · +46.3%
By 2075
143,901 · +79.8%
By 2100
155,138 · +93.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (75%)
Race & ethnicity
White 75% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Native American 1%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Mexican 5%
Common ancestry
Slovak 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
Foreign-born
6% · Canada
Languages at home
92% English-only · Spanish 4% Other Indo-European 1% French/Haitian/Cajun 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Walton

2024 margin
Solid R (+57.8) · D 20.7% · R 78.6%
2008→2024 swing
-12.0pp toward R · 2008: -45.8pp · 2024: -57.8pp
All cycles
2024: R+57.8 2020: R+51.7 2016: R+56.1 2012: R+52.0 2008: R+45.8

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 14.77%
Current HPI
367.046
Rent YoY
Metro
Crestview-Fort Walton Beach-Destin, FL
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.28%
F500 in state
36

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+8.3% since first listed
16 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-19 Price Changed $195,000 ECAR
  • 2026-04-13 Price Changed $195,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-03-25 Price Changed $203,000 ECAR
  • 2026-03-21 Price Changed $203,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $212,000 CPARMLS
  • 2026-03-07 Listed $212,000 ECAR
  • 2025-10-04 Listing Removed CPARMLS
  • 2025-01-10 Price Changed $206,500 CPARMLS
  • 2024-11-20 Price Changed $206,500 ECAR
  • 2024-10-05 Listed $209,000 CPARMLS
  • 2024-10-04 Listed $209,000 ECAR
  • 2022-01-10 Sold (MLS) $179,995 NAMLS
  • 2022-01-10 Sold (MLS) $179,995 ECAR
  • 2021-12-08 Pending ECAR
  • 2021-10-20 Listed $179,995 ECAR
  • 2021-10-20 Listed $179,995 NAMLS

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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