1617 Mullens Ave · Cahokia Heights, IL 62206

$56,000

2 bd · 2.0 ba · 720 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 36 Days on market

Built 1958 9,147 sqft lot Est $57k · at est.

---

Why this score? — see what drove the B- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• Cash flow +30.0/30.0
• 1% rule +10.0/10.0
• DSCR +10.0/10.0
• ARV discount +8.2/15.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Livability +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• Schools +0.6/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Listing remarks MLS

Great home for the price. Home would make a great starter home or investment property. Buyer to verify all MLS data including by not limited to square feet, measurements, features, exemptions/taxes, schools, etc. Had no access to property due to renters. Room sizes may be verified at a later date.

Key facts

• 9,147 sq ft lot
• Garage
• Built 1958

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: 1-car garage
• Utilities: Public water; Public sewer; Electric service by Ameren
• Home design: Single family residence; One story
• Construction: Frame construction
• Exterior features: Back yard

Interior

• Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms (both on the main level)
• Bathrooms: 1 full bathroom (main level)
• Interior features: Forced air heating; Central air conditioning

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $56k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $379 ($5k/yr) — positive.
• The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
• Meets the 1% rule at list price ($1k rent vs $56k).
• Recommended offer: $54k (3.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.

Location & tenants

• Location reads: area grade B — affects rentability + tenant quality, not the cash-flow math above.
• Cahokia CUSD 187 (suburban): math 3% / reading 5% proficiency, ranked #864 of 919 in IL (top 94%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 85% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
• Zoned schools: Cahokia High School (math 8% / reading 2%, grade F, #614 of 693 statewide, top 95%, 845 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 85% district-wide (85 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
• Market conditions: 153 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 44d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; lower-income renter base — watch delinquency; 783 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (378 in 5+ unit buildings).
• This rent runs 39% of the median local income ($34k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $387 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• St. Clair County population projected at -23% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
• At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $16k cash investment doubles in ~5 years — after that, you're playing with house money.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 36 days — a 3% lower offer ($54k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
• 2 sale attempts since 13y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $14k (20%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.

Risks & watch-outs

• Watch-outs: property tax is 3.7% of price; built in 1958 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
• Climate carrying-cost: extreme-heat days projected 7→20/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $54,320 (3.0% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. It's been on market 36 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 3% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
2. Built in 1958 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
3. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
4. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
5. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
6. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
7. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 1.96% ✓
• Cap rate: 14.42%
• Cash-on-cash: 29.01%
• DSCR: 2.29
• GRM: 4.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $56,880
• Comps found: 8

Show comp detail 8 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
1617 Mullens Ave	0.00mi	2/1.0	720 (0%)	1mo	$56,000	$78	95
1112 Richard Dr	0.52mi	2/2.0	756 (+5%)	22mo	$54,900	$73	49
845 Mildred Ave	0.59mi	1/1.0 (-1)	792 (+10%)	11mo	$55,000	$69	38
1215 Richard Dr	0.38mi	3/1.0 (+1)	624 (-13%)	16mo	$89,000	$143	38
1109 Saint Helena Dr	0.65mi	3/1.0 (+1)	825 (+15%)	1mo	$75,000	$91	36
1120 Saint Michael Dr	0.65mi	3/1.0 (+1)	825 (+15%)	4mo	$65,000	$79	33
1129 Saint Michael Dr	0.60mi	3/1.0 (+1)	825 (+15%)	12mo	$80,000	$97	29
1206 Saint Michael Dr	0.58mi	2/1.0	825 (+15%)	22mo	$29,900	$36	26

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: 23.5%
• Equity multiple: 1.97×
• Total profit: $15,151
• Equity at exit: $8,350

10-year hold

• IRR: 31.4%
• Equity multiple: 3.84×
• Total profit: $44,606
• Equity at exit: $4,842

Cash invested: $15,680 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (STATE): 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning
• State Illinois: 43 Moderately Tenant-Leaning · D+7
• County: — inherits STATE
• City: — inherits STATE

Chicago RTLO is among the strongest tenant ordinances in the Midwest; downstate is more landlord-friendly.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 62206

• Home prices YoY: -20.2%
• Active inventory: 153
• Price-to-rent: 4.3×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $1,098 medium
• Mortgage (P&I): −$294
• Tax from tax record: −$171 /mo · $2,053/yr
• Insurance: −$23
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$231
• Net cashflow: $379

Break-even live

Break-even rent $618

Max offer price $56,000

Occupancy floor 60%

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $14,000
• Closing costs: $1,680
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 4 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
1716 # E Unit Loretta Ave unit East St Louis, IL	2.0	1.0	720	$1,000	$1.39	43d	1	0.09mi
1002 Upper Cahokia Rd East Saint Louis, IL	3.0	1.0	720	$860	$1.19	14d	1	1.19mi
115 Jerome Ln Unit 3 Sauget, IL	1.0	1.0	700	$700	$1.00	43d	1	1.38mi
211 Judith Ln East Saint Louis, IL	2.0	1.0	672	$995	$1.48	4d	1	1.46mi

Listing history 7 events

1. 2026-05-01
   status Pending
2. 2026-04-15
   price $56,000
3. 2026-04-06
   price $60,000
4. 2026-03-26
   listed $70,000 Active
5. 2015-01-15
   soldstatus $205,000
6. 2013-04-05
   soldstatus 298-char remark

   Show marketing remark (298 chars)

   Great home for the price. Home would make a great starter home or investment property. Buyer to verify all MLS data including by not limited to square feet, measurements, features, exemptions/taxes, schools, etc. Had no access to property due to renters. Room sizes may be verified at a later date.

7. 2013-01-18
   listed $40,000 298-char remark

   Show marketing remark (298 chars)

   Great home for the price. Home would make a great starter home or investment property. Buyer to verify all MLS data including by not limited to square feet, measurements, features, exemptions/taxes, schools, etc. Had no access to property due to renters. Room sizes may be verified at a later date.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast IL · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $2,053 · $171/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $2,053 · $171/mo
• Expected delta: $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (shaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 5/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 20 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 2/10 Low 100% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $13,173
• − Mortgage interest: −$3,137
• − Property taxes: −$2,053
• − Insurance: −$280
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$1,054
• − Management: −$1,054
• − Depreciation: −$1,629
• Taxable income: $3,966
• Est. tax owed @ 24.0%: −$952
• After-tax cash flow: $3,598/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

• District: Cahokia CUSD 187
• NCES district ID: 1708040
• Math proficiency: 3% ▼ -2.00%
• Reading proficiency: 5% ▬ 0.00%
• Median HH income: $28,028
• Composite: 6.44/100
• National rank: #14827
• State rank: #864 of 919 in IL

Livability — Cahokia Heights

No livability data for this city. (Only ~50 U.S. cities are tracked.)

Census & demographics

• Census place: Cahokia Heights, IL
• County: Saint Clair County · 169,691 people
• City population: 19,956
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• Population (ZIP): 12,959
• Household income: $33,838
• Rent vs Own: 44.5% rent · 55.5% own
• Severe rent burden: 729.0

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 250,366 people
• By 2030: 240,511 · -3.9%
• By 2040: 217,391 · -13.2%
• By 2050: 192,699 · -23.0%
• By 2075: 140,637 · -43.8%
• By 2100: 100,499 · -59.9%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.56)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 59% White 29% Two or more races 6% Hispanic / Latino 3% Asian 2%
• Common ancestry: Romanian 2% Lithuanian 1% Iranian 1%
• Foreign-born: 2% · China
• Languages at home: 95% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Indo-European 1% Chinese 1%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

• 2024 margin: Lean D (+7.9) · D 53.0% · R 45.1% · Other 1.8%
• 2008→2024 swing: -14.6pp toward R · 2008: 22.4pp · 2024: 7.9pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+7.9 2020: D+8.7 2016: D+5.6 2012: D+14.5 2008: D+22.4

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -33.26%
• Current HPI: 131.5144
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: St. Louis, MO-IL
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 1.59%
• F500 in state: 60

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in IL)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Insurance	4	$201B
▸Consumer Goods	4	$87B
▸Industrial Machinery	3	$64B
▸Healthcare	2	$55B
▸Retail / Pharmacy	1	$148B
▸Agriculture / Food	1	$86B

Price history

+40.0% since first listed

7 events — show timeline

• 2026-05-01 Pending — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-15 Price Changed $56,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-04-06 Price Changed $60,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-03-26 Listed $70,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2015-01-15 Sold (Public Records) $205,000 Public Records
• 2013-04-05 Sold (MLS) — MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2013-01-18 Listed $40,000 MARIS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

+3.5%/yr

Latest (2024): $2,053 · +10.8% YoY. Source: county tax records.