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8754 Highlands Dr
D- Composite 38.15
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +11.2/30.0
  • ARV discount +6.8/15.0
  • Schools +5.5/10.0
  • Livability +4.0/5.0
  • DSCR +3.3/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.4/10.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$367,900

8754 Highlands Dr · Trussville, AL 35173
4 bd · 1.5 ba · 2,084 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 4 Days on market
Built 2019 Est $363k · at est. $113/mo HOA · 4% of rent

🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Highlands in Carrington Lakes is a great location in the subdivision just above the clubhouse with lake view. The Cochran J will feature a brick exterior trim on the front with a covered front porch. The covered back porch will be overlooking the lake below. This home will offer a formal dining room, family room open to the kitchen. Upstairs is the owner's suite and 3 more bedrooms and full bath. Amenities include a granite kitchen island with pantry and stainless steel gas appliances, gas fireplace in the family room, and all bedrooms upstairs. Carrington Lakes offers a beautiful large clubhouse with wrap around porch, exercise room, pool, tennis & basketball, sand volleyball, amphitheater, stocked lakes, and trails.

Key facts

  • Well manicured yard
  • Covered back patio
  • Granite countertops

Tags

GRANITE COUNTERTOPSSTAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCESFULLY INSULATED WALLSCOVERED BACK PATIOWELL MANICURED YARDRECENTLY BUILT RETAINING WALL

Property features AI

Finance

  • Other: Subdivision: Carrington Lake
  • HOA & community: Yearly association fee ($1,350); HOA fees cover common grounds maintenance and utilities for common areas; Community amenities: clubhouse, fishing, park, sidewalks, street lights, tennis courts, swimming allowed

Exterior

  • Parking: Front garage entry; 2-car garage (main level); Driveway parking; Off-street parking; On-street parking; Parking on main level
  • Security: Gate entrance with gate attendant (community)
  • Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Underground utilities; Electric water heater; Internet service available; Energy features: ceiling fans, double-paned windows, LED lighting, programmable thermostat
  • Home design: Tri-level home; Existing construction
  • Construction: One-side brick with Hardiplank siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
  • Exterior features: Covered patio; Porch; Community in-ground pool; Patio present

Interior

  • Kitchen: Island; Pantry; Eating area; Solid surface countertops; Built-in dishwasher; Built-in microwave; Refrigerator; Gas stove
  • Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level; Additional bedrooms on upper level
  • Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
  • Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; Master bath with separate shower and garden tub; Separate vanities; Linen closet; Tub/shower combinations
  • Heating & cooling: Three or more heating systems with gas heat; Three or more cooling systems, central electric
  • Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Recessed lighting; Security system; Gas fireplace with gas starter and gas logs in the great room; Window treatments remain
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry room on upper level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Pull-down attic

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $368k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $343k (6.8% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (26.5% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $271k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.4% in Trussville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in AL, #2,110 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: commute F.
  • Trussville City (suburban): math 49% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #5 of 129 in AL (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
  • Zoned schools: Paine Elementary School (math 68% / reading 82%, grade A, #14 of 627 statewide, top 2%, 1,350 students, 16% FRL); Hewitttrussville High School (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D+, #15 of 305 statewide, top 5%, 1,573 students, 15% FRL).
  • Market conditions: 344 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 557 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • St. Clair County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.

Negotiation context

  • Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $259k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $270,583 (26.5% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
  5. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.74%
Cap rate
5.83%
Cash-on-cash
-1.65%
DSCR
0.93
GRM
11.3

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$362,616
Comps found
12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
8738 Highlands Dr 0.05mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,130 (+2%) 9mo $370,000 $174 78
8572 Highlands Trce 0.16mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,076 (-0%) 18mo $405,000 $195 70
335 Lakeridge Dr 0.52mi 4/2.5 2,099 (+1%) 7mo $365,000 $174 65
8701 Highlands Dr 0.16mi 3/3.0 (-1) 2,347 (+13%) 1mo $365,000 $156 60
1405 Overlook Dr 0.42mi 4/3.5 2,231 (+7%) 1mo $370,000 $166 60
8551 Highlands Trce 0.25mi 4/3.0 2,264 (+9%) 11mo $377,500 $167 58
395 Lakeridge Dr 0.57mi 4/2.5 2,229 (+7%) 3mo $380,000 $170 55
340 Lake Ridge Dr 0.51mi 4/2.5 2,244 (+8%) 6mo $385,000 $172 54
8468 Ledge Cir 0.55mi 3/2.0 (-1) 2,008 (-4%) 9mo $374,900 $187 54
375 Lakeridge Dr 0.56mi 3/2.5 (-1) 2,144 (+3%) 9mo $370,000 $173 53
5844 Carrington Ln 0.61mi 4/3.5 2,218 (+6%) 12mo $395,000 $178 43
380 Lakeridge Dr 0.54mi 4/2.5 2,300 (+10%) 16mo $420,000 $183 40

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.1%
Equity multiple
0.33×
Total profit
$-68,771
Equity at exit
$54,855
10-year hold
IRR
-11.7%
Equity multiple
0.30×
Total profit
$-72,008
Equity at exit
$31,809

Cash invested: $103,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Alabama
90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
Right-to-evict in 7 days for non-payment; no rent control; preempted statewide; courts move quickly.

ZIP-level market 35173

Home prices YoY
-33.4%
Active inventory
344
Price-to-rent
11.3×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,706 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$1,929
Tax from tax record
$84 /mo · $1,006/yr
Insurance
$153
HOA
$113
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$568
Net cashflow
$-142

Break-even live

Break-even rent $2,885
Max offer price $342,843
Occupancy floor

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$91,975
Closing costs
$11,037
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 2 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
1130 Overlook Dr Trussville, AL 4.0 3.0 2549 $2,681 $1.05 44d 1 0.23mi
120 Lake Ridge Dr Trussville, AL 5.0 4.0 2811 $2,750 $0.98 44d 1 0.38mi

HOA detail

Monthly dues
$113 · $1,356/yr
Likely covers
gaspool

Listing history 5 events

  1. 2026-06-18
    days on market $367,900 Active 4 DOM
  2. 2026-06-17
    days on market $367,900 Active 3 DOM
  3. 2026-06-16
    days on market $367,900 Active 2 DOM
  4. 2026-06-15
    remarks 699-char remark
  5. 2026-06-15
    listed $367,900 Active 1 DOM

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$1,006 · $84/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,508 · $126/mo
Expected delta
+$502/yr (+$42/mo · 49.9%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$32,470
− Mortgage interest
−$20,608
− Property taxes
−$1,006
− Insurance
−$1,840
− Repairs & maintenance
−$2,598
− Management
−$2,598
− HOA
−$1,356
− Depreciation
−$10,703
Taxable loss
−$8,238
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$1,977
After-tax cash flow
$275/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Trussville City
NCES district ID
0100013
Math proficiency
49% ▼ -27.00%
Reading proficiency
74% ▲ 3.00%
Median HH income
$83,473
Composite
55.42/100
National rank
#1250
State rank
#5 of 129 in AL

Livability — Trussville

Score
79/100
State rank
#7
US rank
#2110

Category grades

Amenities B Commute F Cost of living C+ Crime B+ Employment A+ Housing A+ Health & safety B+ User ratings B-

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Trussville, AL
City population
51,725
Population (ZIP)
32,125

Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
94,158 people
By 2030
97,008 · +3.0%
By 2040
101,615 · +7.9%
By 2050
104,537 · +11.0%
By 2075
109,350 · +16.1%
By 2100
106,785 · +13.4%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (82%)
Race & ethnicity
White 82% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
Common ancestry
Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
Foreign-born
4% · Canada, Jamaica
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3%

Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair

2024 margin
Solid R (+64.1) · D 17.6% · R 81.7%
2008→2024 swing
-0.9pp no change · 2008: -63.2pp · 2024: -64.1pp
All cycles
2024: R+64.1 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+68.6 2012: R+66.1 2008: R+63.2

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -104.75%
Current HPI
208.5715
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.94%
F500 in state
4

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+819.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-06-14 Listed $367,900 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-07-30 Sold (MLS) $259,470 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-06-28 Contingent Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-04-25 Listed $264,470 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-04-11 Coming Soon $264,470 Greater Alabama MLS
  • 2019-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records

Property tax history

+30.2%/yr

Latest (2020): $1,006 · +432.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…