8754 Highlands Dr · Trussville, AL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $916 – $1,700
Heat risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Hot days now (above 106°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 19 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 4/10 · Minor
- Unhealthy air days now
- 3 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 7 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +11.2/30.0
- ARV discount +6.8/15.0
- Schools +5.5/10.0
- Livability +4.0/5.0
- DSCR +3.3/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- 1% rule +2.4/10.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$367,900
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Highlands in Carrington Lakes is a great location in the subdivision just above the clubhouse with lake view. The Cochran J will feature a brick exterior trim on the front with a covered front porch. The covered back porch will be overlooking the lake below. This home will offer a formal dining room, family room open to the kitchen. Upstairs is the owner's suite and 3 more bedrooms and full bath. Amenities include a granite kitchen island with pantry and stainless steel gas appliances, gas fireplace in the family room, and all bedrooms upstairs. Carrington Lakes offers a beautiful large clubhouse with wrap around porch, exercise room, pool, tennis & basketball, sand volleyball, amphitheater, stocked lakes, and trails.
Key facts
- Well manicured yard
- Covered back patio
- Granite countertops
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Other: Subdivision: Carrington Lake
- HOA & community: Yearly association fee ($1,350); HOA fees cover common grounds maintenance and utilities for common areas; Community amenities: clubhouse, fishing, park, sidewalks, street lights, tennis courts, swimming allowed
Exterior
- Parking: Front garage entry; 2-car garage (main level); Driveway parking; Off-street parking; On-street parking; Parking on main level
- Security: Gate entrance with gate attendant (community)
- Utilities: Public water; Connected sewer; Underground utilities; Electric water heater; Internet service available; Energy features: ceiling fans, double-paned windows, LED lighting, programmable thermostat
- Home design: Tri-level home; Existing construction
- Construction: One-side brick with Hardiplank siding; Shingle roof; Slab foundation
- Exterior features: Covered patio; Porch; Community in-ground pool; Patio present
Interior
- Kitchen: Island; Pantry; Eating area; Solid surface countertops; Built-in dishwasher; Built-in microwave; Refrigerator; Gas stove
- Bedrooms: Master bedroom on upper level; Additional bedrooms on upper level
- Flooring: Carpet; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: Three full bathrooms; Master bath with separate shower and garden tub; Separate vanities; Linen closet; Tub/shower combinations
- Heating & cooling: Three or more heating systems with gas heat; Three or more cooling systems, central electric
- Interior features: Smooth ceilings; Recessed lighting; Security system; Gas fireplace with gas starter and gas logs in the great room; Window treatments remain
- Laundry & utility: Laundry room on upper level; Washer hookup; Electric dryer hookup; Pull-down attic
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/1.5-bath single-family listed at $368k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-142 ($-2k/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $343k (6.8% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $271k (26.5% below list).
- Recommended offer: $271k (26.5% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 5.8% vs local median 3.4% in Trussville — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 79/100 on livability (#7 in AL, #2,110 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: employment A+, housing A+, crime B+; Watch: commute F.
- Trussville City (suburban): math 49% / reading 74% proficiency, ranked #5 of 129 in AL (top 4%) — acceptable for families but not a draw, mixed tenant base, ~2y average lease; only 7% free/reduced lunch — higher-income household profile.
- Zoned schools: Paine Elementary School (math 68% / reading 82%, grade A, #14 of 627 statewide, top 2%, 1,350 students, 16% FRL); Hewitttrussville High School (math 50% / reading 50%, grade D+, #15 of 305 statewide, top 5%, 1,573 students, 15% FRL).
- Market conditions: 344 active listings in the ZIP; 2 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 557 units permitted in St. Clair County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $3k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $11k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Clair County population projected at +11% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
Negotiation context
- Only 4 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 7y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $259k; 42% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; moderate wildfire risk; extreme-heat days projected 7→19/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- What does the HOA fee cover, when was the last increase, and are there any pending special assessments or reserve-fund shortfalls?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are A-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.74% ✗
- Cap rate
- 5.83%
- Cash-on-cash
- -1.65%
- DSCR
- 0.93
- GRM
- 11.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $362,616
- Comps found
- 12
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8738 Highlands Dr | 0.05mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,130 (+2%) | 9mo | $370,000 | $174 | 78 |
| 8572 Highlands Trce | 0.16mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,076 (-0%) | 18mo | $405,000 | $195 | 70 |
| 335 Lakeridge Dr | 0.52mi | 4/2.5 | 2,099 (+1%) | 7mo | $365,000 | $174 | 65 |
| 8701 Highlands Dr | 0.16mi | 3/3.0 (-1) | 2,347 (+13%) | 1mo | $365,000 | $156 | 60 |
| 1405 Overlook Dr | 0.42mi | 4/3.5 | 2,231 (+7%) | 1mo | $370,000 | $166 | 60 |
| 8551 Highlands Trce | 0.25mi | 4/3.0 | 2,264 (+9%) | 11mo | $377,500 | $167 | 58 |
| 395 Lakeridge Dr | 0.57mi | 4/2.5 | 2,229 (+7%) | 3mo | $380,000 | $170 | 55 |
| 340 Lake Ridge Dr | 0.51mi | 4/2.5 | 2,244 (+8%) | 6mo | $385,000 | $172 | 54 |
| 8468 Ledge Cir | 0.55mi | 3/2.0 (-1) | 2,008 (-4%) | 9mo | $374,900 | $187 | 54 |
| 375 Lakeridge Dr | 0.56mi | 3/2.5 (-1) | 2,144 (+3%) | 9mo | $370,000 | $173 | 53 |
| 5844 Carrington Ln | 0.61mi | 4/3.5 | 2,218 (+6%) | 12mo | $395,000 | $178 | 43 |
| 380 Lakeridge Dr | 0.54mi | 4/2.5 | 2,300 (+10%) | 16mo | $420,000 | $183 | 40 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.1%
- Equity multiple
- 0.33×
- Total profit
- $-68,771
- Equity at exit
- $54,855
- IRR
- -11.7%
- Equity multiple
- 0.30×
- Total profit
- $-72,008
- Equity at exit
- $31,809
Cash invested: $103,012 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Alabama
- 90 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+15
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 35173
- Home prices YoY
- -33.4%
- Active inventory
- 344
- Price-to-rent
- 11.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,706 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$1,929
- Tax from tax record
- −$84 /mo · $1,006/yr
- Insurance
- −$153
- HOA
- −$113
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$568
- Net cashflow
- $-142
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $91,975
- Closing costs
- $11,037
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 2 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1130 Overlook Dr Trussville, AL | 4.0 | 3.0 | 2549 | $2,681 | $1.05 | 44d | 1 | 0.23mi |
| 120 Lake Ridge Dr Trussville, AL | 5.0 | 4.0 | 2811 | $2,750 | $0.98 | 44d | 1 | 0.38mi |
HOA detail
- Monthly dues
- $113 · $1,356/yr
- Likely covers
- gaspool
Listing history 5 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $367,900 Active 4 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $367,900 Active 3 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $367,900 Active 2 DOM
-
2026-06-15remarks 699-char remark
-
2026-06-15$367,900 Active 1 DOM
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast AL · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $1,006 · $84/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,508 · $126/mo
- Expected delta
- +$502/yr (+$42/mo · 49.9%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥106°F today · 19 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 4/10 Moderate 3 unhealthy d/yr today · 7 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $32,470
- − Mortgage interest
- −$20,608
- − Property taxes
- −$1,006
- − Insurance
- −$1,840
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,598
- − Management
- −$2,598
- − HOA
- −$1,356
- − Depreciation
- −$10,703
- Taxable loss
- −$8,238
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$1,977
- After-tax cash flow
- $275/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Trussville City
- NCES district ID
- 0100013
- Math proficiency
- 49% ▼ -27.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 74% ▲ 3.00%
- Median HH income
- $83,473
- Composite
- 55.42/100
- National rank
- #1250
- State rank
- #5 of 129 in AL
Livability — Trussville
- Score
- 79/100
- State rank
- #7
- US rank
- #2110
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Trussville, AL
- City population
- 51,725
- Population (ZIP)
- 32,125
Population outlook (St. Clair County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 94,158 people
- By 2030
- 97,008 · +3.0%
- By 2040
- 101,615 · +7.9%
- By 2050
- 104,537 · +11.0%
- By 2075
- 109,350 · +16.1%
- By 2100
- 106,785 · +13.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (82%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 82% Black 10% Hispanic / Latino 5% Two or more races 4%
- Common ancestry
- Slovak 2% Italian 2% Lithuanian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, Jamaica
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Clair
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+64.1) · D 17.6% · R 81.7%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -0.9pp no change · 2008: -63.2pp · 2024: -64.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+64.1 2020: R+64.0 2016: R+68.6 2012: R+66.1 2008: R+63.2
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -104.75%
- Current HPI
- 208.5715
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.94%
- F500 in state
- 4
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in AL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 1 | $8B |
|
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| Healthcare | 1 | $5B |
|
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Price history
+819.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-06-14 Listed $367,900 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-07-30 Sold (MLS) $259,470 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-06-28 Contingent — Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-04-25 Listed $264,470 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-04-11 Coming Soon $264,470 Greater Alabama MLS
- 2019-04-05 Sold (Public Records) $40,000 Public Records
Property tax history
+30.2%/yrLatest (2020): $1,006 · +432.4% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…