8041 Telegraph Rd · Quinlan, TX
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $1,222 – $2,270
Heat risk 7/10 · Major
- Hot days now (above 110°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 6/10 · Moderate
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 27.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 1 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +16.4/30.0
- ARV discount +12.7/15.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.1/10.0
- 1% rule +4.2/10.0
- Livability +3.2/5.0
- Schools +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
$185,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
.Here is the revised, longer MLS-ready description with the disclaimer added at the end: Discover the potential of this beautiful 2.85-acre unrestricted property, perfectly suited for anyone looking for flexibility and wide-open space. This spacious tract offers a peaceful country setting with mature surroundings and plenty of room to create the setup you’ve always envisioned. The property includes an older mobile home that provides a starting point for renovations or can be removed to make way for a brand-new build or a new mobile home—your choice. With no restrictions, you have the freedom to customize the land to fit your needs, whether that’s a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment opportunity. All utilities are already in place, including electric, septic, and a water well, giving you a valuable head start on development and helping reduce setup costs. A small pond enhances the property, adding natural beauty and offering a peaceful spot to enjoy the outdoors. If you’re looking for land with endless possibilities, privacy, and the convenience of existing utilities, this 2.85-acre property is ready for your vision. Buyer and buyer’s agent to verify all information
Key facts
- 2.85 acre property
- Existing utilities
- Small pond
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 3-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $185k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $107 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $170k (8.1% below list).
- Recommended offer: $168k (9.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.0% vs local median 4.6% in Quinlan — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 64/100 on livability (#746 in TX) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, crime A; Watch: schools D, amenities F, commute F.
- Quinlan ISD (rural): math 27% / reading 34% proficiency, ranked #610 of 826 in TX (top 74%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 335 active listings in the ZIP; 1,289 units permitted in Hunt County in 2024 (527 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 32% of the median local income ($64k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $20k of equity ($1k loan paydown + $18k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Hunt County population projected at +15% by 2050 — modest demand growth; plan on rents tracking national, not racing it.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $52k cash investment doubles in ~3 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 2, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$32k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($168k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 2 sale attempts since 2y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 27% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 9% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.92% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.98%
- Cash-on-cash
- 2.47%
- DSCR
- 1.11
- GRM
- 9.1
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $208,928
- List price
- $185,000
- Delta
- -11.45%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 3 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7913 Reata Rd | 0.22mi | 3/2.0 | 1,456 (+14%) | 16mo | $215,000 | $148 | 53 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 26.1%
- Equity multiple
- 3.08×
- Total profit
- $107,541
- Equity at exit
- $166,663
- IRR
- 22.9%
- Equity multiple
- 7.01×
- Total profit
- $311,354
- Equity at exit
- $359,414
Cash invested: $51,800 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Texas
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+5
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 75474
- Home prices YoY
- 7.5%
- Active inventory
- 335
- Price-to-rent
- 9.1×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,700 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$970
- Tax from tax record
- −$189 /mo · $2,269/yr
- Insurance
- −$77
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$357
- Net cashflow
- $107
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $211 | -5% $159 | +0% $107 | +5% $54 | +10% $2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-28 | -5% $39 | +0% $107 | +5% $174 | +10% $241 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $200 | -0.5pp $154 | base $107 | +0.5pp $59 | +1.0pp $10 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $46,250
- Closing costs
- $5,550
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Listing history 18 events
-
2026-06-18days on market $185,000 Active 106 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $185,000 Active 105 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $185,000 Active 104 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $185,000 Active 103 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $185,000 Active 101 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $185,000 Active 97 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $185,000 Active 96 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $185,000 Active 95 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $185,000 Active 92 DOM
-
2026-06-03days on market $185,000 Active 91 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $185,000 Active 90 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $185,000 Active 89 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $185,000 Active 88 DOM
-
2026-03-04$185,000 Active 1236-char remark
Show marketing remark (1236 chars)
.Here is the revised, longer MLS-ready description with the disclaimer added at the end: Discover the potential of this beautiful 2.85-acre unrestricted property, perfectly suited for anyone looking for flexibility and wide-open space. This spacious tract offers a peaceful country setting with mature surroundings and plenty of room to create the setup you’ve always envisioned. The property includes an older mobile home that provides a starting point for renovations or can be removed to make way for a brand-new build or a new mobile home—your choice. With no restrictions, you have the freedom to customize the land to fit your needs, whether that’s a full-time residence, weekend retreat, or investment opportunity. All utilities are already in place, including electric, septic, and a water well, giving you a valuable head start on development and helping reduce setup costs. A small pond enhances the property, adding natural beauty and offering a peaceful spot to enjoy the outdoors. If you’re looking for land with endless possibilities, privacy, and the convenience of existing utilities, this 2.85-acre property is ready for your vision. Buyer and buyer’s agent to verify all information
-
2025-03-31historical
-
2024-09-25price $320,000
-
2024-09-16$350,000 Active
-
2004-10-15soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast TX · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $2,269 · $189/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $3,386 · $282/mo
- Expected delta
- +$1,116/yr (+$93/mo · 49.2%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 7/10 Severe 7 d/yr ≥110°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 6/10 Major 27% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 1 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $20,398
- − Mortgage interest
- −$10,363
- − Property taxes
- −$2,269
- − Insurance
- −$925
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,632
- − Management
- −$1,632
- − Depreciation
- −$5,382
- Taxable loss
- −$1,804
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$433
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,712/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Quinlan ISD
- NCES district ID
- 4836240
- Math proficiency
- 27% ▼ -10.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 34% ▼ -2.00%
- Median HH income
- $45,461
- Composite
- 26.16/100
- National rank
- #7271
- State rank
- #610 of 826 in TX
Livability — Quinlan
- Score
- 64/100
- State rank
- #746
- US rank
- #13776
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Hunt County · 71,969 people
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,671
- Household income
- $64,103
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 181.0
Population outlook (Hunt County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 97,090 people
- By 2030
- 100,452 · +3.5%
- By 2040
- 106,544 · +9.7%
- By 2050
- 111,218 · +14.6%
- By 2075
- 121,695 · +25.3%
- By 2100
- 123,683 · +27.4%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Hispanic / Latino 19% Two or more races 8% Asian 1% Black 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 17%
- Common ancestry
- Lithuanian 2% Romanian 2% Iranian 1%
- Foreign-born
- 8% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 10% Other Asian/Pacific 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Hunt
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+55.5) · D 21.9% · R 77.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -14.9pp toward R · 2008: -40.6pp · 2024: -55.5pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+55.5 2020: R+52.5 2016: R+56.3 2012: R+51.2 2008: R+40.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 33.95%
- Current HPI
- 484.21
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Dallas-Fort Worth-Arlington, TX
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.95%
- F500 in state
- 110
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in TX)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Energy | 16 | $1,198B |
|
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| Technology | 5 | $198B |
|
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| Engineering / Construction | 4 | $72B |
|
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| Energy Services | 3 | $60B |
|
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| Utilities | 3 | $41B |
|
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| Healthcare | 2 | $330B |
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Price history
-47.1% since first listed5 events — show timeline
- 2026-03-04 Listed $185,000 NTREIS
- 2025-03-31 Listing Removed — NTREIS
- 2024-09-25 Price Changed $320,000 NTREIS
- 2024-09-16 Listed $350,000 NTREIS
- 2004-10-15 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+4.9%/yrLatest (2025): $2,269 · +1.1% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…