14408 Weller Ln · New York, NY 11422

$999,900

6 bd · 4.0 ba · 2,800 sqft · MultiFamily public records · 106 Days on market

Built 2003 8,820 sqft lot Est $1568k · 36% under ↓ 20% since listing

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Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

• ARV discount +15.0/15.0
• Cash flow +11.6/30.0
• Schools +5.0/10.0
• Livability +3.8/5.0
• DSCR +3.4/10.0
• Rent growth +2.5/5.0
• Condition / age +2.5/5.0
• 1% rule +2.4/10.0
• Appreciation +0.0/10.0

Multi-family units

County records classify this as Multi-Family (2-4 Unit). Listing-text estimate: 2 units. confirmed

Listing remarks

This Beautiful Multi Family Property is in exqutse condition. Seller occupies the ground floor and it is comletely Renovated with all the bells and whistles. This desirious property currently has a rent roll of $4700 dollars. (Tenants are paying and Current) Ground floor has new Stainless Steel Appliances, Radiant heated floors, Granitie Countertops, Completely renovated Kitchen and Bathrooms. Located in a very desirious area, this home reflects Pride in Homeownership!! Easy to show!! Very Motivated Seller!!

Key facts

• Renovated
• Granite countertops
• 8,820 sq ft lot

Tags

• MULTI FAMILY PROPERTY
• RENOVATED
• STAINLESS STEEL APPLIANCES
• RADIANT HEATED FLOORS
• GRANITE COUNTERTOPS
• COMPLETELY RENOVATED KITCHEN

Property features AI

Exterior

• Parking: Driveway (no carport)
• Utilities: Public sewer; Electricity connected; Natural gas connected; Sewer connected; Water connected
• Home design: Duplex; Finished basement
• Construction: Aluminum siding; Stucco exterior
• Exterior features: No waterfront

Interior

• Kitchen: Chef's kitchen with kitchen island; Granite and stone counters; Eat-in and galley-style kitchen options; Breakfast bar; Open kitchen and open floor plan
• Bedrooms: Includes a 3-bedroom unit
• Bathrooms: 4 full bathrooms
• Heating & cooling: Energy Star qualified cooling equipment; Heating via baseboard, ducts, forced air, radiant, and natural gas; Energy Star qualified heating equipment
• Interior features: First-floor bedroom; First-floor full bathroom; Breakfast bar; Ceiling fans; Chef's kitchen; Crown molding; Eat-in kitchen; Galley-style kitchen; Granite counters; Kitchen island; Open floor plan; Open kitchen; Primary bathroom; Master bedroom on main level; Recessed lighting; Stone counters; Walk-in closets; Washer/dryer hookup
• Laundry & utility: Washer/dryer hookup

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

• This is a 2 × 3-bed/2.0-bath units multifamily listed at $1000k.

Deal economics

• At list price, monthly cash flow is $-306 ($-4k/yr) — negative. Per door: $-153/mo.
• To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $946k (5.4% below list).
• To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $737k (26.3% below list).
• Recommended offer: $737k (26.3% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
• Cap rate 5.9% vs local median 2.6% in New York — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

• Location reads 75/100 on livability (#268 in NY, #4,188 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, health & safety A; Watch: crime F, cost of living F.
• Market conditions: 109 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 5,302 units permitted in Queens County in 2024 (4,918 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

• Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $7k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $30k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
• Queens County population projected at +16% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.

Negotiation context

• It's been on market 106 days — a 9% lower offer ($910k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

• Climate carrying-cost: major wind risk, 72% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→16/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.

Recommended offer $737,000 (26.3% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
2. It's been on market 106 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 26% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
3. Can we see the unit-by-unit rent roll, current vacancy, and any below-market leases? What's the average tenancy length?
4. What capital expenditures (roof, boiler, parking lot, exteriors) have been made in the last 5 years, and what's planned in the next 2?
5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
7. Schools are B-rated — typically a magnet for longer-tenancy family renters. What's the average tenant stay here, and is there a school-zone premium baked into asking?
8. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
9. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
10. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
11. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
12. How much new apartment / multifamily construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply (>2% of stock underway) typically softens rents 12–24 months out; light construction supports rent growth.

Investment metrics

• 1% rule: 0.74% ✗
• Cap rate: 5.93%
• Cash-on-cash: -1.31%
• DSCR: 0.94
• GRM: 11.3

CMA / ARV

• ARV (on-the-fly): $1,568,000
• Comps found: 4

Show comp detail 4 sales within ~0.75 mi

Address	Dist	Beds/Ba	Sqft	Sold	Price	$/sf	Match
14027 247th St	0.29mi	6/—	2,643 (-6%)	7mo	$676,000	$256	72
13937 253rd St	0.25mi	6/5.0	2,500 (-11%)	8mo	$1,400,000	$560	59
147- 26 240th St	0.51mi	6/5.0	2,658 (-5%)	6mo	$1,325,000	$498	58
257-16 145 Ave	0.20mi	6/5.0	2,400 (-14%)	14mo	$1,350,000	$563	51

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold

• IRR: -18.5%
• Equity multiple: 0.35×
• Total profit: $-181,903
• Equity at exit: $149,088

10-year hold

• IRR: -11.0%
• Equity multiple: 0.34×
• Total profit: $-185,016
• Equity at exit: $86,453

Cash invested: $279,972 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

• Overall (CITY): 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
• State New York: 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
• County: — inherits STATE
• City New York: 0 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+34

Rent Stabilization Code; HSTPA; 6+ months in housing court.

Methodology + full state rankings →

ZIP-level market 11422

• Active inventory: 109
• Price-to-rent: 22.6×

Monthly cashflow live

• Estimated rent: $7,370 high
• Mortgage (P&I): −$5,244
• Tax from tax record: −$468 /mo · $5,621/yr
• Insurance: −$417
• HOA: −$0
• Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt: −$1,548
• Net cashflow: $-306

Break-even live

Break-even rent $7,758

Max offer price $945,793

Occupancy floor 99%

Sensitivity live

Price	-10% $260	-5% $-23	+0% $-306	+5% $-589	+10% $-872
Rent	-10% $-889	-5% $-597	+0% $-306	+5% $-15	+10% $276
Rate	-1.0pp $197	-0.5pp $-52	base $-306	+0.5pp $-565	+1.0pp $-829

2-unit breakdown (identical units grouped — click to expand)

Units	Beds	Baths	Est. rent
▸ 2× units	3	2	$7,370
Total (2 units)			$7,370

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

• Down payment: $249,975
• Closing costs: $29,997
• Reserves months: —
• Total cash needed: —

Rent comps 1 comps

Address	Beds	Baths	Sqft	Rent	$/sqft	DOM	Units	Dist
559 Linda Ln Woodmere, NY	5.0	4.5	2390	$7,000	$2.93	45d	1	1.50mi

Listing history 3 events

1. 2026-05-31
   status $999,900 Pending 106 DOM
2. 2026-03-30
   price $999,900
3. 2026-01-26
   listed $1,250,000 Active

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

• Current annual tax: $5,621 · $468/mo
• Projected year-2 tax: $11,259 · $938/mo
• Expected delta: +$5,639/yr (+$470/mo · 100.3%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

• 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
• 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
• 🌡 Heat 6/10 Major 7 d/yr ≥97°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
• 💨 Wind 6/10 Major 72% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
• 🫁 Air quality 3/10 Moderate 4 unhealthy d/yr today · 4 by 30 yrs out

Taxation est. · year 1

• Rental income: $88,440
• − Mortgage interest: −$56,010
• − Property taxes: −$5,621
• − Insurance: −$5,000
• − Repairs & maintenance: −$7,075
• − Management: −$7,075
• − Depreciation: −$29,088
• Taxable loss: −$21,428
• Est. tax savings @ 24.0%: +$5,143
• After-tax cash flow: $1,467/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

No district data.

Livability — New York

• Score: 75/100
• State rank: #268
• US rank: #4188

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living F Crime F Employment A- Housing C+ Health & safety A User ratings A

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

• Census place: New York, NY
• City population: 7,731,280
• Population (ZIP): 33,085

Population outlook (Queens County) Hauer SSP2

• Today (2025): 2,546,320 people
• By 2030: 2,643,059 · +3.8%
• By 2040: 2,815,563 · +10.6%
• By 2050: 2,944,423 · +15.6%
• By 2075: 3,123,338 · +22.7%
• By 2100: 3,098,688 · +21.7%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

• Neighborhood character: Predominantly Black (78%)
• Race & ethnicity: Black 78% Hispanic / Latino 9% Two or more races 7% White 6% Asian 2%
• Hispanic origin (detail): Puerto Rican 3% Dominican 2%
• Common ancestry: Hispanic 12%
• Foreign-born: 40% · Canada, Mexico, China
• Languages at home: 73% English-only · French/Haitian/Cajun 13% Spanish 8% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Queens

• 2024 margin: Strong D (+24.6) · D 62.3% · R 37.7%
• 2008→2024 swing: -26.2pp toward R · 2008: 50.8pp · 2024: 24.6pp
• All cycles: 2024: D+24.6 2020: D+45.2 2016: D+53.4 2012: D+58.5 2008: D+50.8

Not yet ingested

• Civics: —

Market trends

• HPI YoY: ▼ -394.74%
• Current HPI: 284.6464
• Rent YoY: —
• Metro: —
• State GDP YoY: ▲ 2.60%
• F500 in state: 92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry	F500 HQs	Revenue
▸Financial Services	10	$950B
▸Consumer Goods	9	$162B
▸Insurance	4	$225B
▸Telecommunications	2	$144B
▸Pharmaceuticals	2	$112B
▸Media / Entertainment	2	$69B

Price history

-20.0% since first listed

2 events — show timeline

• 2026-03-30 Price Changed $999,900 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid
• 2026-01-26 Listed $1,250,000 OneKey® MLS as Distributed by MLS Grid

Property tax history

-0.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $5,621 · +4.9% YoY. Source: county tax records.