6631 Lila Ct · Vero Beach South, FL
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 3/10 · Minor
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $947 – $1,759
Heat risk 10/10 · Severe
- Hot days now (above 107°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 24 days/yr
Wind risk 10/10 · Severe
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 99.0%
Air-quality risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 0 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the B grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +30.0/30.0
- 1% rule +10.0/10.0
- DSCR +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$59,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks
This lovely 2-bedroom 2-bath home is being sold with a golf cart. TURN-KEY home in the desirable 55+Spanish Lakes Fairways community. Home is being sold fully furnished. All kitchen items and linens are provided. 2 sets of golf clubs, six beach chairs. All you will need is your suitcase. Home sits on a quiet cal da sac street. This home has a peaceful, screened-in front patio, great for morning coffee or evening cocktails. French doors lead into the main living area. This home has a great sitting area outside for soaking up the Florida sun. Waterproof vinyl plank flooring NO CARPET. The kitchen has an eat-in area with a coffee bar. Kitchen and dinette total 198 sq ft. Laundry is inside the
Key facts
- Eat-in area
- Tennis
- 18-hole golf course
Tags
Property features AI
Finance
- Financial info: Pets allowed (pet restrictions possible); Property listed in a senior community
- HOA & community: Has association; Association amenities include pool, fitness center, tennis courts, pickleball courts, bocce ball, shuffleboard court, golf course, billiard room, community room, library, dog park, workshop area; Association covers grounds maintenance, trash, and golf
Exterior
- Utilities: Three-phase electric service; Public sewer; Water available; Sewer available; Cable available
- Home design: Manufactured home; Single-story; Faces east; Resale property
- Construction: Modular construction; Composition/shingle roof; Built as a manufactured structure
- Exterior features: Not waterfront
Interior
- Kitchen: Electric range; Dishwasher; Microwave; Refrigerator; Electric water heater
- Bedrooms: 2 bedrooms on the main level
- Flooring: Ceramic tile; Vinyl
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms on the main level
- Heating & cooling: Central electric heating; Central air conditioning; Ceiling fans
- Interior features: Walk-in closets; French doors; Blinds; Furnished
- Laundry & utility: Laundry inside
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/2.0-bath manufactured listed at $59k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($15k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $59k).
- Recommended offer: $52k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 31.9% vs local median 4.3% in Vero Beach South — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 78/100 on livability (#163 in FL, #2,445 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: commute A+, housing A+, health & safety A; Watch: amenities F.
- St. Lucie (urban): math 40% / reading 48% proficiency, ranked #51 of 73 in FL (top 70%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Manatee Academy K-8 (math 53% / reading 51%, grade C-, #990 of 2,144 statewide, top 48%, 1,664 students, 65% FRL); Southern Oaks Middle School (math 39% / reading 43%, grade F, #353 of 571 statewide, top 63%, 894 students, 76% FRL); Fort Pierce Central High School (math 15% / reading 45%, grade F, #441 of 667 statewide, top 67%, 3,091 students, 62% FRL).
- Market conditions: 296 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 4,868 units permitted in St. Lucie County in 2024 (268 in 5+ unit buildings).
- This rent runs 40% of the median local income ($63k/yr) — at the standard rent-burdened threshold; future hikes will face affordability resistance.
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $408 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $2k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- St. Lucie County population projected at +20% by 2050 — long-run rental-demand tailwind backs the buy-and-hold thesis.
- At projected returns (-3.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $17k cash investment doubles in ~2 years — after that, you're playing with house money.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 182 days — a 12% lower offer ($52k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Climate carrying-cost: severe wind risk, 99% chance of damaging wind over 30y; extreme-heat days projected 7→24/yr by 2055 (HVAC capex compounding) — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 182 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 3.58% ✓
- Cap rate
- 31.93%
- Cash-on-cash
- 91.56%
- DSCR
- 5.07
- GRM
- 2.3
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $27,600
- Comps found
- 6
Show comp detail 6 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6539 Spanish Lakes Blvd | 0.14mi | 2/2.0 | 1,200 (0%) | 3mo | $24,987 | $21 | 91 |
| 14461 Azucena Ct | 0.24mi | 2/2.0 | 1,300 (+8%) | 11mo | $15,000 | $12 | 66 |
| 13981 Gorrion Ct | 0.62mi | 2/2.0 | 1,150 (-4%) | 1mo | $48,500 | $42 | 63 |
| 14297 Zorzal Ave | 0.40mi | 2/2.0 | 1,352 (+13%) | 13mo | $48,195 | $36 | 49 |
| 14063 Cancun Ave | 0.55mi | 2/2.0 | 1,144 (-5%) | 24mo | $20,495 | $18 | 47 |
| 6799 Dulce Real Ave | 0.37mi | 2/2.0 | 1,360 (+13%) | 18mo | $31,000 | $23 | 46 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- 92.3%
- Equity multiple
- 5.28×
- Total profit
- $70,755
- Equity at exit
- $8,797
- IRR
- 95.2%
- Equity multiple
- 11.00×
- Total profit
- $165,120
- Equity at exit
- $5,101
Cash invested: $16,520 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Florida
- 87 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+3
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 34951
- Home prices YoY
- -23.6%
- Active inventory
- 296
- Price-to-rent
- 2.3×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,112 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$309
- Tax est. 1.5%
- −$74 /mo · $885/yr
- Insurance
- −$25
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$443
- Net cashflow
- $1,261
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,301 | -5% $1,281 | +0% $1,261 | +5% $1,240 | +10% $1,220 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,094 | -5% $1,177 | +0% $1,261 | +5% $1,344 | +10% $1,427 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,290 | -0.5pp $1,276 | base $1,261 | +0.5pp $1,245 | +1.0pp $1,230 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $14,750
- Closing costs
- $1,770
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6765 Spanish Lakes Blvd Fort Pierce, FL | 2.0 | 2.0 | 1368 | $2,500 | $1.83 | 25d | 1 | 0.16mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-06-01days on market $59,000 Active 182 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $59,000 Active 181 DOM
-
2026-05-30days on market $59,000 Active 180 DOM
-
2026-04-07price $59,000
-
2026-01-28price $69,000
-
2025-12-01$75,000 Active
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 3/10 Moderate
- Heat 10/10 Extreme 7 d/yr ≥107°F today · 24 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 10/10 Extreme 99% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 1/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 0 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $25,341
- − Mortgage interest
- −$3,305
- − Property taxes
- −$885
- − Insurance
- −$295
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$2,027
- − Management
- −$2,027
- − Depreciation
- −$1,716
- Taxable income
- $15,085
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$3,620
- After-tax cash flow
- $11,506/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- St. Lucie
- NCES district ID
- 1201770
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -11.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 48% ▼ -4.00%
- Median HH income
- $44,737
- Composite
- 37.28/100
- National rank
- #4449
- State rank
- #51 of 73 in FL
Livability — Vero Beach South
- Score
- 78/100
- State rank
- #163
- US rank
- #2445
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- County
- Saint Lucie County · 337,150 people
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- Population (ZIP)
- 17,148
- Household income
- $63,122
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 140.0
Population outlook (St. Lucie County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 338,016 people
- By 2030
- 355,687 · +5.2%
- By 2040
- 385,521 · +14.1%
- By 2050
- 406,106 · +20.1%
- By 2075
- 441,054 · +30.5%
- By 2100
- 436,885 · +29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (74%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 74% Black 13% Hispanic / Latino 8% Two or more races 7% Asian 2%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 2% Puerto Rican 2% Cuban 2%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 3% Italian 2% Lithuanian 2%
- Foreign-born
- 10% · Canada, Jamaica, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 88% English-only · Spanish 7% French/Haitian/Cajun 3% Vietnamese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · St. Lucie
- 2024 margin
- Lean R (+9.1) · D 45.1% · R 54.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -21.2pp toward R · 2008: 12.1pp · 2024: -9.1pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+9.1 2020: R+1.6 2016: R+2.5 2012: D+7.9 2008: D+12.1
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -106.06%
- Current HPI
- 343.1376
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- Port St. Lucie, FL
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.28%
- F500 in state
- 36
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in FL)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Industrial Technology | 2 | $29B |
|
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| Insurance | 2 | $17B |
|
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| Retail | 1 | $60B |
|
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| Technology Distribution | 1 | $58B |
|
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| Homebuilding | 1 | $35B |
|
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| Technology Manufacturing | 1 | $35B |
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Price history
-21.3% since first listed3 events — show timeline
- 2026-04-07 Price Changed $59,000 Beaches MLS
- 2026-01-28 Price Changed $69,000 Beaches MLS
- 2025-12-01 Listed $75,000 Beaches MLS
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…