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203 E 2nd St
D+ Composite 46.79
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • ARV discount +15.0/15.0
  • Cash flow +13.0/30.0
  • DSCR +3.9/10.0
  • Schools +3.7/10.0
  • Livability +3.7/5.0
  • 1% rule +2.6/10.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Appreciation +0.0/10.0

$165,000

203 E 2nd St · Libby, MT 59923
1 bd · 1.0 ba · 680 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 161 Days on market
Built 1938 6,359 sqft lot $243/sqft · 17% below area Est $200k · 17% under

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

This single-level home in beautiful Libby, MT is being offered “as-is. ” Due to the current condition of the property, all prospective buyers must sign a Hold Harmless Agreement before entering the home this agreement acknowledges you understand and accept all risks associated with property entry. Single-level layout: Comfortable, easy accessibility with no stairs. Fenced yard, covered area for vehicle parking and outdoor storage. This is a great opportunity for investors, DIY homeowners, or buyers looking to customize a space in a scenic Montana town. House is sold as is

Key facts

  • Outdoor storage
  • Fenced yard
  • Single-level layout

Tags

SINGLE-LEVEL LAYOUTFENCED YARDOUTDOOR STORAGE

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-918/yr) — negative.
  • To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (8.2% below list).
  • To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (24.2% below list).
  • Recommended offer: $125k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
  • Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.4% in Libby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 74/100 on livability (#35 in MT, #4,426 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, commute F.
  • Libby K-12 Schools (town): math 40% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #46 of 116 in MT (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
  • Zoned schools: Libby Elementary School (math 44% / reading 50%, grade D-, #101 of 293 statewide, top 39%, 625 students, 0% FRL); Libby Middle School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade D, #41 of 146 statewide, top 35%, 183 students, 0% FRL); Libby High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #57 of 132 statewide, top 45%, 356 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
  • Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 18 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
  • Lincoln County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.

Negotiation context

  • It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
  • Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Recommended offer $125,000 (24.2% below list)

Questions for the listing agent

  1. What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
  2. It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
  3. Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  4. What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
  5. Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
  6. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  7. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  8. The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
  9. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  10. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  11. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
0.76%
Cap rate
6.22%
Cash-on-cash
-0.26%
DSCR
0.99
GRM
11.0

CMA / ARV

ARV (median comp)
$199,912
List price
$165,000
Delta
-17.46%
Verdict
UNDERPRICED
Comps
19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
206 E Spruce St 0.59mi 1/1.0 680 (0%) 5mo $130,000 $191 69

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
-19.6%
Equity multiple
0.32×
Total profit
$-31,638
Equity at exit
$24,602
10-year hold
IRR
-12.5%
Equity multiple
0.27×
Total profit
$-33,939
Equity at exit
$14,266

Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
State Montana
82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
30-day notice; no rent control; preempted; rural-skewed market.

ZIP-level market 59923

Home prices YoY
-29.3%
Active inventory
170
Price-to-rent
11.0×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$865
Tax from tax record
$64 /mo · $762/yr
Insurance
$69
Flood insurance flood zone
−$66 /mo · $798/yr
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$262
Net cashflow
$-77

Break-even live

Break-even rent $1,347
Max offer price $151,484
Occupancy floor

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $17 -5% $-30 +0% $-77 +5% $-123 +10% $-170
Rent -10% $-175 -5% $-126 +0% $-77 +5% $-27 +10% $22
Rate -1.0pp $7 -0.5pp $-35 base $-77 +0.5pp $-119 +1.0pp $-163

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$41,250
Closing costs
$4,950
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 1 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
611 E Lincoln Blvd Libby, MT 2.0 1.0 700 $1,250 $1.79 45d 1 0.43mi

Listing history 19 events

  1. 2026-06-22
    days on market $165,000 Active 161 DOM
  2. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 160 DOM
  3. 2026-06-21
    days on market $165,000 Active 159 DOM
  4. 2026-06-18
    days on market $165,000 Active 157 DOM
  5. 2026-06-17
    days on market $165,000 Active 156 DOM
  6. 2026-06-16
    days on market $165,000 Active 155 DOM
  7. 2026-06-15
    days on market $165,000 Active 154 DOM
  8. 2026-06-13
    days on market $165,000 Active 152 DOM
  9. 2026-06-12
    days on market $165,000 Active 151 DOM
  10. 2026-06-09
    days on market $165,000 Active 148 DOM
  11. 2026-06-08
    days on market $165,000 Active 147 DOM
  12. 2026-06-07
    days on market $165,000 Active 146 DOM
  13. 2026-06-05
    days on market $165,000 Active 144 DOM
  14. 2026-06-04
    days on market $165,000 Active 142 DOM
  15. 2026-06-02
    days on market $165,000 Active 141 DOM
  16. 2026-06-01
    days on market $165,000 Active 140 DOM
  17. 2026-05-31
    days on market $165,000 Active 139 DOM
  18. 2026-01-12
    listed $165,000 Active 590-char remark
    Show marketing remark (590 chars)

    This single-level home in beautiful Libby, MT is being offered “as-is. ” Due to the current condition of the property, all prospective buyers must sign a Hold Harmless Agreement before entering the home this agreement acknowledges you understand and accept all risks associated with property entry. Single-level layout: Comfortable, easy accessibility with no stairs. Fenced yard, covered area for vehicle parking and outdoor storage. This is a great opportunity for investors, DIY homeowners, or buyers looking to customize a space in a scenic Montana town. House is sold as is

  19. 1997-05-13
    soldstatus

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price

Current annual tax
$762 · $64/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$1,386 · $116/mo
Expected delta
+$624/yr (+$52/mo · 81.8%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 5/10 Major
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low
  • 🫁 Air quality 9/10 Extreme 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

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Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$15,000
− Mortgage interest
−$9,243
− Property taxes
−$762
− Insurance
−$1,622
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,200
− Management
−$1,200
− Depreciation
−$4,800
Taxable loss
−$3,827
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
+$919
After-tax cash flow
$0/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Libby K-12 Schools
NCES district ID
3016530
Math proficiency
40% ▼ -8.00%
Reading proficiency
49% ▼ -6.00%
Median HH income
$34,022
Composite
36.67/100
National rank
#4610
State rank
#46 of 116 in MT

Livability — Libby

Score
74/100
State rank
#35
US rank
#4426

Category grades

Amenities D Commute F Cost of living A+ Crime A+ Employment D Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Libby, MT
Population (ZIP)
9,885

Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
17,226 people
By 2030
15,974 · -7.3%
By 2040
13,415 · -22.1%
By 2050
11,546 · -33.0%
By 2075
9,990 · -42.0%
By 2100
11,055 · -35.8%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Predominantly White (90%)
Race & ethnicity
White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
Common ancestry
Portuguese 7% Lithuanian 5% Italian 4%
Foreign-born
3% · Canada
Languages at home
95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2%

Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln

2024 margin
Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.2% · R 75.6% · Other 2.2%
2008→2024 swing
-24.4pp toward R · 2008: -29.0pp · 2024: -53.4pp
All cycles
2024: R+53.4 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+50.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+29.0

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▼ -110.53%
Current HPI
266.3173
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 3.41%
F500 in state
2

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

2 events — show timeline
  • 2026-01-12 Listed $165,000 MRMLS
  • 1997-05-13 Sold (Public Records) Public Records

Property tax history

+3.7%/yr

Latest (2025): $762 · -7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

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