203 E 2nd St · Libby, MT
Flood risk 9/10 · Severe
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.99%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $918 – $1,706
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 93°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 9/10 · Severe
- Unhealthy air days now
- 15 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 20 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the D+ grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- Cash flow +13.0/30.0
- DSCR +3.9/10.0
- Schools +3.7/10.0
- Livability +3.7/5.0
- 1% rule +2.6/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$165,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
This single-level home in beautiful Libby, MT is being offered “as-is. ” Due to the current condition of the property, all prospective buyers must sign a Hold Harmless Agreement before entering the home this agreement acknowledges you understand and accept all risks associated with property entry. Single-level layout: Comfortable, easy accessibility with no stairs. Fenced yard, covered area for vehicle parking and outdoor storage. This is a great opportunity for investors, DIY homeowners, or buyers looking to customize a space in a scenic Montana town. House is sold as is
Key facts
- Outdoor storage
- Fenced yard
- Single-level layout
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 1-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $165k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $-77 ($-918/yr) — negative.
- To cash-flow at today's rent, offer at most $151k (8.2% below list).
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $125k (24.2% below list).
- Recommended offer: $125k (24.2% below list) — sets the bar for 1% rule.
- Cap rate 6.2% vs local median 2.4% in Libby — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 74/100 on livability (#35 in MT, #4,426 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: crime A+, cost of living A+, housing A+; Watch: amenities D, employment D, commute F.
- Libby K-12 Schools (town): math 40% / reading 49% proficiency, ranked #46 of 116 in MT (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Zoned schools: Libby Elementary School (math 44% / reading 50%, grade D-, #101 of 293 statewide, top 39%, 625 students, 0% FRL); Libby Middle School (math 37% / reading 52%, grade D, #41 of 146 statewide, top 35%, 183 students, 0% FRL); Libby High School (math 27% / reading 37%, grade F, #57 of 132 statewide, top 45%, 356 students, 0% FRL) — zoned schools average 0% FRL vs 49% district-wide (49 pts lower); this property's tenant base skews higher-income than the district average.
- Market conditions: 170 active listings in the ZIP; 1 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; 18 units permitted in Lincoln County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $1k of loan paydown is wiped out by about $5k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Lincoln County population projected at -33% by 2050 — secular population decline; favor cash flow + early exit over multi-decade hold.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 161 days — a 12% lower offer ($145k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: flood insurance adds $66/mo; built in 1938 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: severe flood risk; moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- What do current leases actually rent for vs. the listed asking? Can we see a recent rent roll and the last 12 months of T-12 income?
- It's been on market 161 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 24% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1938 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- What's the actual annual flood-insurance premium (NFIP or private), and is the property in a SFHA with mandatory coverage?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- The area grade is low — what's the realistic commute time and amenity access for the typical tenant pool here? Any planned neighborhood developments (good or bad) we should know about?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.76% ✗
- Cap rate
- 6.22%
- Cash-on-cash
- -0.26%
- DSCR
- 0.99
- GRM
- 11.0
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $199,912
- List price
- $165,000
- Delta
- -17.46%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 19 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 1 sale within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 206 E Spruce St | 0.59mi | 1/1.0 | 680 (0%) | 5mo | $130,000 | $191 | 69 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -19.6%
- Equity multiple
- 0.32×
- Total profit
- $-31,638
- Equity at exit
- $24,602
- IRR
- -12.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.27×
- Total profit
- $-33,939
- Equity at exit
- $14,266
Cash invested: $46,200 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly
- State Montana
- 82 Strongly Landlord-Friendly · R+11
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 59923
- Home prices YoY
- -29.3%
- Active inventory
- 170
- Price-to-rent
- 11.0×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,250 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$865
- Tax from tax record
- −$64 /mo · $762/yr
- Insurance
- −$69
- Flood insurance flood zone
- −$66 /mo · $798/yr
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$262
- Net cashflow
- $-77
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $17 | -5% $-30 | +0% $-77 | +5% $-123 | +10% $-170 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $-175 | -5% $-126 | +0% $-77 | +5% $-27 | +10% $22 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $7 | -0.5pp $-35 | base $-77 | +0.5pp $-119 | +1.0pp $-163 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $41,250
- Closing costs
- $4,950
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 1 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 611 E Lincoln Blvd Libby, MT | 2.0 | 1.0 | 700 | $1,250 | $1.79 | 45d | 1 | 0.43mi |
Listing history 19 events
-
2026-06-22days on market $165,000 Active 161 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Active 160 DOM
-
2026-06-21days on market $165,000 Active 159 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $165,000 Active 157 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $165,000 Active 156 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $165,000 Active 155 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $165,000 Active 154 DOM
-
2026-06-13days on market $165,000 Active 152 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $165,000 Active 151 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $165,000 Active 148 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $165,000 Active 147 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $165,000 Active 146 DOM
-
2026-06-05days on market $165,000 Active 144 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $165,000 Active 142 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $165,000 Active 141 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $165,000 Active 140 DOM
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2026-05-31days on market $165,000 Active 139 DOM
-
2026-01-12$165,000 Active 590-char remark
Show marketing remark (590 chars)
This single-level home in beautiful Libby, MT is being offered “as-is. ” Due to the current condition of the property, all prospective buyers must sign a Hold Harmless Agreement before entering the home this agreement acknowledges you understand and accept all risks associated with property entry. Single-level layout: Comfortable, easy accessibility with no stairs. Fenced yard, covered area for vehicle parking and outdoor storage. This is a great opportunity for investors, DIY homeowners, or buyers looking to customize a space in a scenic Montana town. House is sold as is
-
1997-05-13soldstatus
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast MT · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $762 · $64/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,386 · $116/mo
- Expected delta
- +$624/yr (+$52/mo · 81.8%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 9/10 Extreme FEMA zone X (shaded) · 99% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥93°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 9/10 Extreme 15 unhealthy d/yr today · 20 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $15,000
- − Mortgage interest
- −$9,243
- − Property taxes
- −$762
- − Insurance
- −$1,622
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,200
- − Management
- −$1,200
- − Depreciation
- −$4,800
- Taxable loss
- −$3,827
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$919
- After-tax cash flow
- $0/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Libby K-12 Schools
- NCES district ID
- 3016530
- Math proficiency
- 40% ▼ -8.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 49% ▼ -6.00%
- Median HH income
- $34,022
- Composite
- 36.67/100
- National rank
- #4610
- State rank
- #46 of 116 in MT
Livability — Libby
- Score
- 74/100
- State rank
- #35
- US rank
- #4426
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Libby, MT
- Population (ZIP)
- 9,885
Population outlook (Lincoln County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 17,226 people
- By 2030
- 15,974 · -7.3%
- By 2040
- 13,415 · -22.1%
- By 2050
- 11,546 · -33.0%
- By 2075
- 9,990 · -42.0%
- By 2100
- 11,055 · -35.8%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (90%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 90% Two or more races 7% Hispanic / Latino 3% Native American 2%
- Common ancestry
- Portuguese 7% Lithuanian 5% Italian 4%
- Foreign-born
- 3% · Canada
- Languages at home
- 95% English-only · Spanish 3% German/W. Germanic 2%
Political lean MEDSL · Lincoln
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+53.4) · D 22.2% · R 75.6% · Other 2.2%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -24.4pp toward R · 2008: -29.0pp · 2024: -53.4pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+53.4 2020: R+49.7 2016: R+50.6 2012: R+39.5 2008: R+29.0
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -110.53%
- Current HPI
- 266.3173
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 3.41%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in MT)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Technology / Analytics | 1 | $2B |
|
||
Price history
2 events — show timeline
- 2026-01-12 Listed $165,000 MRMLS
- 1997-05-13 Sold (Public Records) — Public Records
Property tax history
+3.7%/yrLatest (2025): $762 · -7.7% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…