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128 W Beard Ave
C- Composite 53.13
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade

The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).

  • Cash flow +15.0/30.0
  • Appreciation +10.0/10.0
  • ARV discount +7.5/15.0
  • 1% rule +5.0/10.0
  • DSCR +5.0/10.0
  • Livability +3.9/5.0
  • Rent growth +2.5/5.0
  • Condition / age +2.5/5.0
  • Schools +1.8/10.0

$30,000

128 W Beard Ave · Syracuse, NY 13205
4 bd · 2.0 ba · 2,154 sqft · SingleFamily public records · 1 Days on market
Built 1900 6,336 sqft lot

🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence

Listing remarks MLS

Large single family home. Behind the house is a large 3 car garage that is two stories high. Inside the house still has all of the original wood work and charm. Four very large bedrooms and a full bathroom on each floor. The attic has walk up stairs and provides a ton of space. This property also has the potential to be converted into a two family home as well.

Key facts

  • 6,336 sq ft lot
  • 2 garage spots
  • Built 1900

Property features AI

Exterior

  • Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
  • Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
  • Home design: 2-story house; Existing/resale property
  • Construction: Wood siding; Copper plumbing; Block foundation
  • Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage

Interior

  • Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range
  • Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
  • Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Varied flooring
  • Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
  • Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
  • Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
  • Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater

Neighborhood map

Property Rental comp Retail Transit Schools Stadiums Fortune 500 · Circle radius: 3.0 mi
Loading POIs…

What this means for you Summary

Snapshot

  • This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.

Deal economics

  • At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
  • The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
  • Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
  • Cap rate 62.2% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.

Location & tenants

  • Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
  • Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
  • Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).

Forward outlook

  • In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
  • Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
  • At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
  • By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.

Negotiation context

  • Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
  • 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
  • Current owner paid $26k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.

Risks & watch-outs

  • Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Recommended offer $30,000

Questions for the listing agent

  1. Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
  2. Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
  3. Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
  4. Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
  5. Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
  6. What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
  7. What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
  8. How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.

Investment metrics

1% rule
6.88%
Cap rate
62.17%
Cash-on-cash
199.55%
DSCR
9.88
GRM
1.2

CMA / ARV

ARV (on-the-fly)
$107,700
Comps found
11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
Address Dist Beds/Ba Sqft Sold Price $/sf Match
250 Mclennan Ave 0.19mi 4/1.0 2,016 (-6%) 0mo $130,000 $64 76
262 W Borden Ave 0.19mi 4/1.5 2,192 (+2%) 19mo $70,000 $32 71
215 W Beard Ave 0.13mi 5/2.0 (+1) 2,012 (-7%) 15mo $100,000 $50 66
1806 Midland Ave 0.39mi 4/1.5 2,101 (-2%) 19mo $129,900 $62 60
1330 Midland Ave 0.24mi 4/1.0 1,870 (-13%) 8mo $85,000 $45 56
108 Wood Ave 0.06mi 4/1.0 1,870 (-13%) 19mo $75,000 $40 56
131 Wood Ave 0.11mi 5/1.0 (+1) 1,902 (-12%) 16mo $108,000 $57 53
1511 S State St 0.28mi 4/1.0 1,866 (-13%) 11mo $157,000 $84 52
109 Wood Ave 0.08mi 4/1.0 1,852 (-14%) 22mo $154,500 $83 50
205 Woodland Ave 0.28mi 4/1.5 1,832 (-15%) 17mo $85,000 $46 46
515 Cortland Ave 0.49mi 4/1.5 1,842 (-14%) 24mo $85,000 $46 31

Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.

Projected returns pro-forma

10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon

5-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
13.54×
Total profit
$105,352
Equity at exit
$27,026
10-year hold
IRR
Equity multiple
29.62×
Total profit
$240,377
Equity at exit
$58,283

Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.

Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology

Overall (STATE)
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
State New York
15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
County
— inherits STATE
City
— inherits STATE
NYC rent stabilization (~1M units); 2019 HSTPA strengthened tenant rights; courts deeply backlogged.

ZIP-level market 13205

Home prices YoY
3.0%
Active inventory
67
Price-to-rent
1.2×

Monthly cashflow live

Estimated rent
$2,065 high interval (Pro) →
Mortgage (P&I)
$157
Tax from tax record
$65 /mo · $778/yr
Insurance
$12
HOA
$0
Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
$434
Net cashflow
$1,397

Break-even live

Break-even rent $297
Max offer price $30,000
Occupancy floor 27%

Sensitivity live

Price -10% $1,414 -5% $1,405 +0% $1,397 +5% $1,388 +10% $1,380
Rent -10% $1,234 -5% $1,315 +0% $1,397 +5% $1,478 +10% $1,560
Rate -1.0pp $1,412 -0.5pp $1,404 base $1,397 +0.5pp $1,389 +1.0pp $1,381

UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt

Financing live

Cash to close

Down payment
$7,500
Closing costs
$900
Reserves months
Total cash needed

Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live

Conventional

25% down · 7.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.

DSCR

20% down · 8.5% · 30yr

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.

Hard money

10% down · 12.0% · 12mo

Down + closing
Monthly P&I
Monthly cashflow
DSCR
Eligible?

Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.

Rent comps 12 comps

AddressBedsBaths SqftRent$/sqft DOM Units Dist
269 W Borden Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.5 1800 $650 $0.36 21d 1 0.20mi
1330 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 1870 $2,000 $1.07 21d 1 0.26mi
2331 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.5 1664 $2,300 $1.38 21d 1 0.71mi
147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.5 1421 $2,000 $1.41 21d 1 0.99mi
102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY 3.0 2.0 2000 $2,300 $1.15 44d 1 1.15mi
326 Holland St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 2100 $1,825 $0.87 44d 1 1.15mi
318 Kellogg St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1523 $1,675 $1.10 44d 1 1.22mi
318 Kellogg St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1523 $1,650 $1.08 44d 1 1.22mi
1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 1449 $1,500 $1.04 44d 1 1.39mi
501 Clarendon St Syracuse, NY 3.0 1.0 2516 $1,800 $0.72 21d 1 1.45mi
750 Euclid Ave Syracuse, NY 5.0 2.0 2736 $4,100 $1.50 44d 1 1.46mi
214 Rowland St Syracuse, NY 4.0 1.0 2092 $1,800 $0.86 14d 1 1.46mi

Listing history 6 events

  1. 2026-05-01
    status Pending
  2. 2026-04-30
    listed $30,000 Active
  3. 2017-11-09
    soldstatus $25,900 Closed Sale or Rented 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Large single family home. Behind the house is a large 3 car garage that is two stories high. Inside the house still has all of the original wood work and charm. Four very large bedrooms and a full bathroom on each floor. The attic has walk up stairs and provides a ton of space. This property also has the potential to be converted into a two family home as well.

  4. 2017-09-27
    status Under Contract- Do Not Show 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Large single family home. Behind the house is a large 3 car garage that is two stories high. Inside the house still has all of the original wood work and charm. Four very large bedrooms and a full bathroom on each floor. The attic has walk up stairs and provides a ton of space. This property also has the potential to be converted into a two family home as well.

  5. 2017-09-22
    historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Large single family home. Behind the house is a large 3 car garage that is two stories high. Inside the house still has all of the original wood work and charm. Four very large bedrooms and a full bathroom on each floor. The attic has walk up stairs and provides a ton of space. This property also has the potential to be converted into a two family home as well.

  6. 2017-08-27
    listed $25,900 Active 363-char remark
    Show marketing remark (363 chars)

    Large single family home. Behind the house is a large 3 car garage that is two stories high. Inside the house still has all of the original wood work and charm. Four very large bedrooms and a full bathroom on each floor. The attic has walk up stairs and provides a ton of space. This property also has the potential to be converted into a two family home as well.

ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.

Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)

Current annual tax
$778 · $65/mo
Projected year-2 tax
$778 · $65/mo
Expected delta
$0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)

ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.

Climate risk First Street

  • 🌊 Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
  • 🔥 Wildfire 1/10 Low
  • 🌡 Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
  • 💨 Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
  • 🫁 Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out

Nearby sold comps map

Loading sold comps map…

Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi

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Taxation est. · year 1

Rental income
$24,782
− Mortgage interest
−$1,680
− Property taxes
−$778
− Insurance
−$150
− Repairs & maintenance
−$1,983
− Management
−$1,983
− Depreciation
−$873
Taxable income
$17,336
combined federal + state — saved on this device
Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
−$4,161
After-tax cash flow
$12,601/yr

For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.

Schools (NCES district)

District
Syracuse City School District
NCES district ID
3628590
Math proficiency
18% ▼ -5.00%
Reading proficiency
26% ▬ 0.00%
Median HH income
$32,097
Composite
17.83/100
National rank
#9007
State rank
#590 of 590 in NY

Livability — Syracuse

Score
77/100
State rank
#187
US rank
#2869

Category grades

Amenities A+ Commute A+ Cost of living A+ Crime F Employment D- Housing A+ Health & safety A+ User ratings F

Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.

Census & demographics

Census place
Syracuse, NY
City population
152,627
Population (ZIP)
18,562

Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2

Today (2025)
467,894 people
By 2030
463,381 · -1.0%
By 2040
447,697 · -4.3%
By 2050
426,399 · -8.9%
By 2075
373,661 · -20.1%
By 2100
307,967 · -34.2%

Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023

Neighborhood character
Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
Race & ethnicity
Black 44% White 37% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
Hispanic origin (detail)
Puerto Rican 4%
Common ancestry
Romanian 2% Italian 2% Swiss 1%
Foreign-born
9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
Languages at home
87% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%

Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga

2024 margin
D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
2008→2024 swing
-3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
All cycles
2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3

Not yet ingested

Civics

Market trends

HPI YoY
▲ 10.12%
Current HPI
345.8854
Rent YoY
Metro
State GDP YoY
▲ 2.60%
F500 in state
92

Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)

Industry F500 HQs Revenue

Price history

+15.8% since first listed
6 events — show timeline
  • 2026-05-01 Pending CNYIS
  • 2026-04-30 Listed $30,000 CNYIS
  • 2017-11-09 Sold (MLS) $25,900 CNYIS
  • 2017-09-27 Pending CNYIS
  • 2017-09-22 Contingent CNYIS
  • 2017-08-27 Listed $25,900 CNYIS

Property tax history

-2.1%/yr

Latest (2025): $778 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.

Cash-flow waterfall

monthly

Sold comps — $/sqft

last 12 mo · ≤1 mi

Loading sold comps…