128 W Beard Ave · Syracuse, NY
Flood risk 1/10 · Minimal
- FEMA flood zone
- X (unshaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $473 – $860
Fire risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $691 – $1,283
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 95°F)
- 7 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 16 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- 0.0%
Air-quality risk 2/10 · Minimal
- Unhealthy air days now
- 0 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 1 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +15.0/30.0
- Appreciation +10.0/10.0
- ARV discount +7.5/15.0
- 1% rule +5.0/10.0
- DSCR +5.0/10.0
- Livability +3.9/5.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Schools +1.8/10.0
$30,000
🖨 Deal sheet (PDF) 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Large single family home. Behind the house is a large 3 car garage that is two stories high. Inside the house still has all of the original wood work and charm. Four very large bedrooms and a full bathroom on each floor. The attic has walk up stairs and provides a ton of space. This property also has the potential to be converted into a two family home as well.
Key facts
- 6,336 sq ft lot
- 2 garage spots
- Built 1900
Property features AI
Exterior
- Parking: Detached garage; 2 garage spaces
- Utilities: Public water (connected); Sewer connected; Electric with circuit breakers
- Home design: 2-story house; Existing/resale property
- Construction: Wood siding; Copper plumbing; Block foundation
- Exterior features: Blacktop driveway; Near public transit; Rectangular residential lot; City street frontage
Interior
- Kitchen: Gas oven; Gas range
- Bedrooms: 1 bedroom on the main level
- Flooring: Hardwood flooring; Varied flooring
- Bathrooms: 2 full bathrooms; 1 main-level bathroom
- Heating & cooling: Gas forced-air heating
- Interior features: Separate/formal dining room; Separate/formal living room; Bedroom on main level; Full basement
- Laundry & utility: Laundry in basement; Gas water heater
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 4-bed/2.0-bath single-family listed at $30k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $1k ($17k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- Meets the 1% rule at list price ($2k rent vs $30k).
- Cap rate 62.2% vs local median 8.2% in Syracuse — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 77/100 on livability (#187 in NY, #2,869 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: amenities A+, commute A+, cost of living A+; Watch: schools D+, crime F, employment D-.
- Syracuse City School District (urban): math 18% / reading 26% proficiency, ranked #590 of 590 in NY (top 100%) — low school quality limits family demand, transient renter base, plan for 1-2y turnover; 74% free/reduced lunch — lower-income household profile, screen leases tightly.
- Market conditions: 67 active listings in the ZIP; 12 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals lingering (median 45d on market — plan ~5-8 weeks vacancy on turnover, expect pricing pressure); 50% of comp listings sitting > 30 days — soft ceiling on asking rent; 616 units permitted in Onondaga County in 2024 (256 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- In year one you build about $3k of equity ($207 loan paydown + $3k appreciation (10.0% local appreciation)).
- Onondaga County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
- At projected returns (10.0% appreciation + 3.0% rent growth), your $8k cash investment doubles in ~1 year — after that, you're playing with house money.
- By year 9, paydown + projected appreciation supports a ~$33k cash-out refi (75% LTV) — recoverable capital for the next deal without selling this one.
Negotiation context
- Only 1 days on market — expect competitive offers; lowballing is unlikely to land.
- 2 sale attempts since 9y ago with the ask held roughly flat each time — persistent listings suggest the price (not the market) is what's stuck; bring a comps-based counter.
- Current owner paid $26k; 16% above their basis — modest negotiation headroom, anchor on the comps not their cost.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: property tax is 2.6% of price; built in 1900 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
Questions for the listing agent
- Built in 1900 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Property tax is high relative to price — has the assessment been appealed recently, and will the sale trigger a re-assessment?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- Schools are D-rated, which usually means shorter tenancies and higher turnover. Who's the typical renter profile here, and what's been the actual vacancy rate?
- Crime grade is F in this area — have there been break-ins, vandalism, or insurance claims at this property in the last 3 years? What carrier currently insures it and at what premium?
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 6.88% ✓
- Cap rate
- 62.17%
- Cash-on-cash
- 199.55%
- DSCR
- 9.88
- GRM
- 1.2
CMA / ARV
- ARV (on-the-fly)
- $107,700
- Comps found
- 11
Show comp detail 11 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 250 Mclennan Ave | 0.19mi | 4/1.0 | 2,016 (-6%) | 0mo | $130,000 | $64 | 76 |
| 262 W Borden Ave | 0.19mi | 4/1.5 | 2,192 (+2%) | 19mo | $70,000 | $32 | 71 |
| 215 W Beard Ave | 0.13mi | 5/2.0 (+1) | 2,012 (-7%) | 15mo | $100,000 | $50 | 66 |
| 1806 Midland Ave | 0.39mi | 4/1.5 | 2,101 (-2%) | 19mo | $129,900 | $62 | 60 |
| 1330 Midland Ave | 0.24mi | 4/1.0 | 1,870 (-13%) | 8mo | $85,000 | $45 | 56 |
| 108 Wood Ave | 0.06mi | 4/1.0 | 1,870 (-13%) | 19mo | $75,000 | $40 | 56 |
| 131 Wood Ave | 0.11mi | 5/1.0 (+1) | 1,902 (-12%) | 16mo | $108,000 | $57 | 53 |
| 1511 S State St | 0.28mi | 4/1.0 | 1,866 (-13%) | 11mo | $157,000 | $84 | 52 |
| 109 Wood Ave | 0.08mi | 4/1.0 | 1,852 (-14%) | 22mo | $154,500 | $83 | 50 |
| 205 Woodland Ave | 0.28mi | 4/1.5 | 1,832 (-15%) | 17mo | $85,000 | $46 | 46 |
| 515 Cortland Ave | 0.49mi | 4/1.5 | 1,842 (-14%) | 24mo | $85,000 | $46 | 31 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
10.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 13.54×
- Total profit
- $105,352
- Equity at exit
- $27,026
- IRR
- —
- Equity multiple
- 29.62×
- Total profit
- $240,377
- Equity at exit
- $58,283
Cash invested: $8,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly
- State New York
- 15 Strongly Tenant-Friendly · D+10
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 13205
- Home prices YoY
- 3.0%
- Active inventory
- 67
- Price-to-rent
- 1.2×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $2,065 high interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$157
- Tax from tax record
- −$65 /mo · $778/yr
- Insurance
- −$12
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$434
- Net cashflow
- $1,397
Break-even live
Sensitivity live
| Price | -10% $1,414 | -5% $1,405 | +0% $1,397 | +5% $1,388 | +10% $1,380 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rent | -10% $1,234 | -5% $1,315 | +0% $1,397 | +5% $1,478 | +10% $1,560 |
| Rate | -1.0pp $1,412 | -0.5pp $1,404 | base $1,397 | +0.5pp $1,389 | +1.0pp $1,381 |
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $7,500
- Closing costs
- $900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 12 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 269 W Borden Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1800 | $650 | $0.36 | 21d | 1 | 0.20mi |
| 1330 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 1870 | $2,000 | $1.07 | 21d | 1 | 0.26mi |
| 2331 Midland Ave Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.5 | 1664 | $2,300 | $1.38 | 21d | 1 | 0.71mi |
| 147 E Matson Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.5 | 1421 | $2,000 | $1.41 | 21d | 1 | 0.99mi |
| 102 Newbury Hollow Ln Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 2.0 | 2000 | $2,300 | $1.15 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 326 Holland St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2100 | $1,825 | $0.87 | 44d | 1 | 1.15mi |
| 318 Kellogg St Unit 2 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1523 | $1,675 | $1.10 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 318 Kellogg St Unit 1 Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1523 | $1,650 | $1.08 | 44d | 1 | 1.22mi |
| 1110 Bellevue Ave Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 1449 | $1,500 | $1.04 | 44d | 1 | 1.39mi |
| 501 Clarendon St Syracuse, NY | 3.0 | 1.0 | 2516 | $1,800 | $0.72 | 21d | 1 | 1.45mi |
| 750 Euclid Ave Syracuse, NY | 5.0 | 2.0 | 2736 | $4,100 | $1.50 | 44d | 1 | 1.46mi |
| 214 Rowland St Syracuse, NY | 4.0 | 1.0 | 2092 | $1,800 | $0.86 | 14d | 1 | 1.46mi |
Listing history 6 events
-
2026-05-01status Pending
-
2026-04-30$30,000 Active
-
2017-11-09soldstatus $25,900 Closed Sale or Rented 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Large single family home. Behind the house is a large 3 car garage that is two stories high. Inside the house still has all of the original wood work and charm. Four very large bedrooms and a full bathroom on each floor. The attic has walk up stairs and provides a ton of space. This property also has the potential to be converted into a two family home as well.
-
2017-09-27status Under Contract- Do Not Show 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Large single family home. Behind the house is a large 3 car garage that is two stories high. Inside the house still has all of the original wood work and charm. Four very large bedrooms and a full bathroom on each floor. The attic has walk up stairs and provides a ton of space. This property also has the potential to be converted into a two family home as well.
-
2017-09-22historical Continue to Show- Under Contract 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Large single family home. Behind the house is a large 3 car garage that is two stories high. Inside the house still has all of the original wood work and charm. Four very large bedrooms and a full bathroom on each floor. The attic has walk up stairs and provides a ton of space. This property also has the potential to be converted into a two family home as well.
-
2017-08-27$25,900 Active 363-char remark
Show marketing remark (363 chars)
Large single family home. Behind the house is a large 3 car garage that is two stories high. Inside the house still has all of the original wood work and charm. Four very large bedrooms and a full bathroom on each floor. The attic has walk up stairs and provides a ton of space. This property also has the potential to be converted into a two family home as well.
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast NY · Partial reset (capped growth)
- Current annual tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $778 · $65/mo
- Expected delta
- $0/yr ($0/mo · 0.0%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 1/10 Low FEMA zone X (unshaded) · 0% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 1/10 Low
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 7 d/yr ≥95°F today · 16 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low 0% chance of damaging wind over 30 yrs
- Air quality 2/10 Low 0 unhealthy d/yr today · 1 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $24,782
- − Mortgage interest
- −$1,680
- − Property taxes
- −$778
- − Insurance
- −$150
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,983
- − Management
- −$1,983
- − Depreciation
- −$873
- Taxable income
- $17,336
- Est. tax owed @ 24.0%
- −$4,161
- After-tax cash flow
- $12,601/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- Syracuse City School District
- NCES district ID
- 3628590
- Math proficiency
- 18% ▼ -5.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 26% ▬ 0.00%
- Median HH income
- $32,097
- Composite
- 17.83/100
- National rank
- #9007
- State rank
- #590 of 590 in NY
Livability — Syracuse
- Score
- 77/100
- State rank
- #187
- US rank
- #2869
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- Syracuse, NY
- City population
- 152,627
- Population (ZIP)
- 18,562
Population outlook (Onondaga County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 467,894 people
- By 2030
- 463,381 · -1.0%
- By 2040
- 447,697 · -4.3%
- By 2050
- 426,399 · -8.9%
- By 2075
- 373,661 · -20.1%
- By 2100
- 307,967 · -34.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Diverse neighborhood (Simpson 0.67)
- Race & ethnicity
- Black 44% White 37% Two or more races 10% Hispanic / Latino 6% Asian 3%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Puerto Rican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Romanian 2% Italian 2% Swiss 1%
- Foreign-born
- 9% · Canada, China, Vietnam
- Languages at home
- 87% English-only · Spanish 5% Arabic 1% Other Indo-European 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Onondaga
- 2024 margin
- D (+17.3) · D 58.6% · R 41.4%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -3.0pp toward R · 2008: 20.3pp · 2024: 17.3pp
- All cycles
- 2024: D+17.3 2020: D+20.6 2016: D+12.8 2012: D+21.1 2008: D+20.3
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▲ 10.12%
- Current HPI
- 345.8854
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- —
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.60%
- F500 in state
- 92
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in NY)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Financial Services | 10 | $950B |
|
||
| Consumer Goods | 9 | $162B |
|
||
| Insurance | 4 | $225B |
|
||
| Telecommunications | 2 | $144B |
|
||
| Pharmaceuticals | 2 | $112B |
|
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| Media / Entertainment | 2 | $69B |
|
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Price history
+15.8% since first listed6 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-01 Pending — CNYIS
- 2026-04-30 Listed $30,000 CNYIS
- 2017-11-09 Sold (MLS) $25,900 CNYIS
- 2017-09-27 Pending — CNYIS
- 2017-09-22 Contingent — CNYIS
- 2017-08-27 Listed $25,900 CNYIS
Property tax history
-2.1%/yrLatest (2025): $778 · +0.0% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…