1503 R Ave · La Grande, OR
Flood risk 3/10 · Minor
- FEMA flood zone
- X (shaded)
- Chance of flooding over 30 yrs
- 0.18%
- Est. flood insurance / yr
- $507 – $1,088
Fire risk 5/10 · Moderate
- Est. fire insurance / yr
- $498 – $926
Heat risk 3/10 · Minor
- Hot days now (above 94°F)
- 8 days/yr
- Hot days in 30 yrs
- 18 days/yr
Wind risk 1/10 · Minimal
- Chance of severe wind over 30 yrs
- —
Air-quality risk 7/10 · Major
- Unhealthy air days now
- 8 days/yr
- Unhealthy air days in 30 yrs
- 9 days/yr
Risk factors via First Street. Map © Google.
Why this score? — see what drove the C- grade
The composite is a weighted blend of 9 inputs, each scored 0–100. Each bar is that input's sub-score; the figure is the points it added to the 100-point composite (weight × sub-score).
- Cash flow +17.2/30.0
- ARV discount +15.0/15.0
- DSCR +5.4/10.0
- 1% rule +3.9/10.0
- Livability +3.8/5.0
- Schools +3.1/10.0
- Rent growth +2.5/5.0
- Condition / age +2.5/5.0
- Appreciation +0.0/10.0
$130,000
🖨 Deal sheet 📄 Offer letter ✓ Due diligence
Listing remarks MLS
Price Reduced! Now offered at $130,000! Looking for a project? This is it! Located in a General Commercial zoned area, provides with you with options of use. Corner lot with large yard, storage shed and alley access. Just a few blocks from La Grande's local shopping area for easy access to downtown. This home has lots of potential with a little elbow grease. Bring your ideas and make it a reality. Contact City of La Grande for usage options. Cash Only Sale. Call to schedule your showing today!
Key facts
- Alley access
- Large yard
- Storage shed
Tags
Neighborhood map
What this means for you Summary
Snapshot
- This is a 2-bed/1.0-bath single-family listed at $130k.
Deal economics
- At list price, monthly cash flow is $94 ($1k/yr) — positive.
- The deal already cash-flows at list — no discount required.
- To meet the 1% rule (rent ≥ 1% of price), the offer needs to be $115k (11.3% below list).
- Recommended offer: $114k (12.0% below list) — sets the bar for market timing.
- Cap rate 7.2% vs local median 2.9% in La Grande — top-decile yield for the area; either an underpriced asset or a hidden risk that comps aren't pricing in. Stress-test before assuming the spread holds.
Location & tenants
- Location reads 76/100 on livability (#74 in OR, #3,311 nationally) — a middle-class / working-renter tenant base. Strengths: cost of living A+, housing A+, health & safety A+; Watch: crime C-, commute F, employment F.
- La Grande SD 1 (town): math 24% / reading 50% proficiency, ranked #23 of 58 in OR (top 40%) — families likely to look elsewhere, expect single-tenant / working-renter base with shorter leases.
- Market conditions: 126 active listings in the ZIP; 4 comparable units currently listed for rent nearby; rentals leasing fast (median 3d on market — plan ~1-2 weeks tenant-placement turnaround); 38 units permitted in Union County in 2024 (0 in 5+ unit buildings).
Forward outlook
- Local home prices are declining (-3.0%/yr); year-one equity from $899 of loan paydown is wiped out by about $4k of value loss. Plan a longer hold.
- Union County population projected to shrink 9% by 2050 — rents likely to lag national; underwrite the cash flow, not the appreciation.
Negotiation context
- It's been on market 308 days — a 12% lower offer ($114k) is reasonable based on typical stale-listing flexibility.
- 3 sale attempts since 27y ago; this cycle's ask has dropped $25k (16%) from the opening price — seller is motivated, your offer sets the floor, not the list.
- Current owner paid $38k; list at $130k implies a 242% gain — meaningful room to come down on a strong offer.
Risks & watch-outs
- Watch-outs: built in 1910 — expect roof / HVAC / electrical / plumbing capex.
- Climate carrying-cost: moderate wildfire risk — expect insurance premiums to compound above CPI over the hold.
Questions for the listing agent
- It's been on market 308 days. Have you received any prior offers? Is the seller open to a 12% concession, seller financing, or rate buy-down credit?
- Built in 1910 — when were the roof, HVAC, electrical panel, plumbing, and water heater last replaced?
- Why hasn't it sold? Are there any deal-killer items the seller is aware of (foundation, flood, title, zoning, code violations)?
- Is there a deadline driving the sale (1031 exchange, divorce, estate, relocation)? That informs how much negotiation room exists.
- What's the average days-on-market for RENTAL listings here right now (not sales)? A rising rental-DOM trend means longer vacancies and softer asking-rent achievability than the comps imply.
- What's the recent tenant-quality profile in this submarket — average credit score on applications, eviction rate, late-payment / NSF rate, and stable-employment percentage? A property-management company in the area should have these aggregated.
- How much new for-sale + rental construction is in the pipeline within 1–3 miles? Heavy new supply typically softens prices + rents 12–24 months out; constrained supply supports both.
Investment metrics
- 1% rule
- 0.89% ✗
- Cap rate
- 7.16%
- Cash-on-cash
- 3.09%
- DSCR
- 1.14
- GRM
- 9.4
CMA / ARV
- ARV (median comp)
- $212,972
- List price
- $130,000
- Delta
- -38.96%
- Verdict
- UNDERPRICED
- Comps
- 20 within 1.0 mi
Show comp detail 12 sales within ~0.75 mi
| Address | Dist | Beds/Ba | Sqft | Sold | Price | $/sf | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1527 Madison Ave | 0.13mi | 2/1.0 | 926 (-4%) | 8mo | $175,000 | $189 | 81 |
| 1605 Madison Ave | 0.16mi | 2/1.0 | 983 (+2%) | 13mo | $130,000 | $132 | 78 |
| 1908 Adams Ave | 0.46mi | 2/1.0 | 1,018 (+6%) | 2mo | $155,000 | $152 | 67 |
| 1609 6th St | 0.37mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,042 (+8%) | 1mo | $270,000 | $259 | 59 |
| 2608 N Birch St | 0.60mi | 2/1.0 | 1,044 (+8%) | 8mo | $289,000 | $277 | 51 |
| 1804 Z Ave | 0.57mi | 1/1.0 (-1) | 1,054 (+10%) | 3mo | $216,000 | $205 | 50 |
| 1205 Y Ave | 0.56mi | 2/1.0 | 1,084 (+13%) | 4mo | $211,000 | $195 | 49 |
| 1406 N Willow St | 0.47mi | 3/1.0 (+1) | 1,092 (+14%) | 4mo | $245,000 | $224 | 47 |
| 2114 Cedar St | 0.73mi | 2/1.0 | 1,028 (+7%) | 11mo | $135,000 | $131 | 45 |
| 1214 W Ave | 0.43mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,056 (+10%) | 16mo | $239,000 | $226 | 42 |
| 702 Main Ave | 0.63mi | 2/2.0 | 1,086 (+13%) | 8mo | $249,000 | $229 | 38 |
| 902 Y Ave | 0.67mi | 3/2.0 (+1) | 1,036 (+8%) | 12mo | $282,360 | $273 | 37 |
Match score weights: distance 35% · size 25% · config 20% · recency 20%. Top-matched comps best support the ARV.
Projected returns pro-forma
-3.0% appreciation · 3.0% rent growth · sell at horizon
- IRR
- -11.5%
- Equity multiple
- 0.58×
- Total profit
- $-15,125
- Equity at exit
- $19,383
- IRR
- -2.3%
- Equity multiple
- 0.85×
- Total profit
- $-5,612
- Equity at exit
- $11,240
Cash invested: $36,400 (down + closing). Projections, not guarantees.
Landlord ↔ Tenant lean methodology
- Overall (STATE)
- 28 Tenant-Leaning
- State Oregon
- 28 Tenant-Leaning · D+6
- County
- — inherits STATE
- City
- — inherits STATE
ZIP-level market 97850
- Active inventory
- 126
- Price-to-rent
- 9.4×
Monthly cashflow live
- Estimated rent
- $1,154 medium interval (Pro) →
- Mortgage (P&I)
- −$682
- Tax from tax record
- −$82 /mo · $981/yr
- Insurance
- −$54
- HOA
- −$0
- Vacancy / Maint / Mgmt
- −$242
- Net cashflow
- $94
Break-even live
UW: 25.0% down · 7.5% · 30yr · 1.5% tax · 5.0% vac · 8.0% maint · 8.0% mgmt
Financing live
Cash to close
- Down payment
- $32,500
- Closing costs
- $3,900
- Reserves months
- —
- Total cash needed
- —
Loan-product check · same deal, 3 products live
Conventional
25% down · 7.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Personal DTI + credit; lowest rate.
DSCR
20% down · 8.5% · 30yr
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
No personal income docs; deal must DSCR.
Hard money
10% down · 12.0% · 12mo
- Down + closing
- —
- Monthly P&I
- —
- Monthly cashflow
- —
- DSCR
- —
- Eligible?
- —
Short-term bridge; refi at stabilization.
Rent comps 4 comps
| Address | Beds | Baths | Sqft | Rent | $/sqft | DOM | Units | Dist |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2001 N Fir St La Grande, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 540 | $1,200 | $2.22 | 43d | 1 | 0.14mi |
| 1208 Adams Ave La Grande, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 740 | $1,025 | $1.39 | 1d | 3 | 0.30mi |
| 206 Chestnut St La Grande, OR | 1.0–2.0 | 1.0 | 566 | $1,175 | $2.07 | 3d | 2 | 0.37mi |
| 2000 Gekeler Ln La Grande, OR | 2.0 | 1.0 | 858 | $1,150 | $1.34 | 1d | 2 | 1.23mi |
Listing history 24 events
-
2026-06-19days on market $130,000 Active 308 DOM
-
2026-06-18days on market $130,000 Active 307 DOM
-
2026-06-17days on market $130,000 Active 306 DOM
-
2026-06-16days on market $130,000 Active 305 DOM
-
2026-06-15days on market $130,000 Active 304 DOM
-
2026-06-14days on market $130,000 Active 302 DOM
-
2026-06-12days on market $130,000 Active 301 DOM
-
2026-06-09days on market $130,000 Active 298 DOM
-
2026-06-08days on market $130,000 Active 297 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 296 DOM
-
2026-06-07days on market $130,000 Active 295 DOM
-
2026-06-04days on market $130,000 Active 292 DOM
-
2026-06-02days on market $130,000 Active 291 DOM
-
2026-06-01days on market $130,000 Active 290 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 289 DOM
-
2026-05-31days on market $130,000 Active 288 DOM
-
2026-05-11price $130,000 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Price Reduced! Now offered at $130,000! Looking for a project? This is it! Located in a General Commercial zoned area, provides with you with options of use. Corner lot with large yard, storage shed and alley access. Just a few blocks from La Grande's local shopping area for easy access to downtown. This home has lots of potential with a little elbow grease. Bring your ideas and make it a reality. Contact City of La Grande for usage options. Cash Only Sale. Call to schedule your showing today!
-
2026-02-05price $140,000 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Price Reduced! Now offered at $130,000! Looking for a project? This is it! Located in a General Commercial zoned area, provides with you with options of use. Corner lot with large yard, storage shed and alley access. Just a few blocks from La Grande's local shopping area for easy access to downtown. This home has lots of potential with a little elbow grease. Bring your ideas and make it a reality. Contact City of La Grande for usage options. Cash Only Sale. Call to schedule your showing today!
-
2025-09-22price $149,000 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Price Reduced! Now offered at $130,000! Looking for a project? This is it! Located in a General Commercial zoned area, provides with you with options of use. Corner lot with large yard, storage shed and alley access. Just a few blocks from La Grande's local shopping area for easy access to downtown. This home has lots of potential with a little elbow grease. Bring your ideas and make it a reality. Contact City of La Grande for usage options. Cash Only Sale. Call to schedule your showing today!
-
2025-08-15$154,900 Active 498-char remark
Show marketing remark (498 chars)
Price Reduced! Now offered at $130,000! Looking for a project? This is it! Located in a General Commercial zoned area, provides with you with options of use. Corner lot with large yard, storage shed and alley access. Just a few blocks from La Grande's local shopping area for easy access to downtown. This home has lots of potential with a little elbow grease. Bring your ideas and make it a reality. Contact City of La Grande for usage options. Cash Only Sale. Call to schedule your showing today!
-
2005-03-22soldstatus $38,000 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
LR. HUD owned. Sold as is. Uninsured. Bids due by 11;59PM on 12/21/04 or daily thereafter. See www.goldenfeather. com for electronic bid insturctions and forms HUD case #432-001405 LBP addendum is required Not eligible for FHA financing. Zoned commerical economic life < 30 years
-
2004-12-17$38,000 287-char remark
Show marketing remark (287 chars)
LR. HUD owned. Sold as is. Uninsured. Bids due by 11;59PM on 12/21/04 or daily thereafter. See www.goldenfeather. com for electronic bid insturctions and forms HUD case #432-001405 LBP addendum is required Not eligible for FHA financing. Zoned commerical economic life < 30 years
-
1999-08-18soldstatus $49,900
-
1999-06-03$49,900
ⓘ Source: listings_history table (triggers on properties + properties_extension) + one-shot
backfill from property_details.listing_events for pre-trigger history.
Tax reassessment forecast OR · Resets to sale price
- Current annual tax
- $981 · $82/mo
- Projected year-2 tax
- $1,261 · $105/mo
- Expected delta
- +$280/yr (+$23/mo · 28.6%)
ⓘ Screening estimate from a state-policy table — verify with the county assessor before closing.
Climate risk First Street
- Flood 3/10 Moderate FEMA zone X (shaded) · 18% chance over 30 yrs
- Wildfire 5/10 Major
- Heat 3/10 Moderate 8 d/yr ≥94°F today · 18 d/yr by 30 yrs out
- Wind 1/10 Low
- Air quality 7/10 Severe 8 unhealthy d/yr today · 9 by 30 yrs out
Nearby sold comps map
Loading sold comps map…
Walkable amenities ~0.75 mi
Loading nearby amenities…
Taxation est. · year 1
- Rental income
- $13,844
- − Mortgage interest
- −$7,282
- − Property taxes
- −$981
- − Insurance
- −$650
- − Repairs & maintenance
- −$1,108
- − Management
- −$1,108
- − Depreciation
- −$3,782
- Taxable loss
- −$1,066
- Est. tax savings @ 24.0%
- +$256
- After-tax cash flow
- $1,381/yr
For passive investors: Depreciation is non-cash, so a rental often shows a tax loss while cash-flowing — sheltering income. Rental losses are passive: they offset passive income freely, and up to $25,000/yr can offset ordinary (W-2) income if you actively participate and your MAGI is under $100k (phasing out to $0 by $150k); unused losses carry forward. On sale, claimed depreciation is recaptured at up to 25%, and gains may owe capital-gains tax (a 1031 exchange can defer both). Figures are a year-1 estimate at your 24.0% rate — not tax advice; consult a CPA.
Schools (NCES district)
- District
- La Grande SD 1
- NCES district ID
- 4107200
- Math proficiency
- 24% ▼ -16.00%
- Reading proficiency
- 50% ▼ -5.00%
- Median HH income
- $41,706
- Composite
- 31.11/100
- National rank
- #6070
- State rank
- #23 of 58 in OR
Livability — La Grande
- Score
- 76/100
- State rank
- #74
- US rank
- #3311
Category grades
Schools grade is shown separately in the Schools card above.
Census & demographics
- Census place
- La Grande, OR
- County
- Union County · 16,903 people
- City population
- 16,903
- Metro
- La Grande, OR
- Population (ZIP)
- 16,903
- Household income
- $63,421
- Rent vs Own
- Severe rent burden
- 597.0
Population outlook (Union County) Hauer SSP2
- Today (2025)
- 25,207 people
- By 2030
- 24,794 · -1.6%
- By 2040
- 23,658 · -6.1%
- By 2050
- 22,897 · -9.2%
- By 2075
- 20,885 · -17.1%
- By 2100
- 17,841 · -29.2%
Race, ethnicity, and origin ACS 2023
- Neighborhood character
- Predominantly White (85%)
- Race & ethnicity
- White 85% Hispanic / Latino 6% Two or more races 5% Pacific Islander 1% Asian 1%
- Hispanic origin (detail)
- Mexican 4%
- Common ancestry
- Italian 4% Portuguese 3% Slovak 2%
- Foreign-born
- 4% · Canada, China
- Languages at home
- 94% English-only · Spanish 3% Other Asian/Pacific 1% Chinese 1%
Political lean MEDSL · Union
- 2024 margin
- Solid R (+40.6) · D 28.1% · R 68.7% · Other 3.1%
- 2008→2024 swing
- -17.0pp toward R · 2008: -23.6pp · 2024: -40.6pp
- All cycles
- 2024: R+40.6 2020: R+40.4 2016: R+41.4 2012: R+30.8 2008: R+23.6
Not yet ingested
- Civics
- —
Market trends
- HPI YoY
- ▼ -144.50%
- Current HPI
- 213.8093
- Rent YoY
- —
- Metro
- La Grande, OR
- State GDP YoY
- ▲ 2.05%
- F500 in state
- 2
Industry mix (Fortune 500 HQ in OR)
| Industry | F500 HQs | Revenue |
|---|---|---|
| Consumer Goods | 1 | $51B |
|
||
Price history
+160.5% since first listed8 events — show timeline
- 2026-05-11 Price Changed $130,000 RMLS
- 2026-02-05 Price Changed $140,000 RMLS
- 2025-09-22 Price Changed $149,000 RMLS
- 2025-08-15 Listed $154,900 RMLS
- 2005-03-22 Sold (MLS) $38,000 RMLS
- 2004-12-17 Listed $38,000 RMLS
- 1999-08-18 Sold (MLS) $49,900 RMLS
- 1999-06-03 Listed $49,900 RMLS
Property tax history
+3.9%/yrLatest (2025): $981 · +3.5% YoY. Source: county tax records.
Cash-flow waterfall
monthlySold comps — $/sqft
last 12 mo · ≤1 miLoading sold comps…